Wind power in cold climate in the global energy landscape. Sten Lillienau

Transcription

1 Wind in cold climate in the global energy landscape Sten Lillienau

2 Or Who s gonna take the bill?

3 Or Who s gonna take the bill?

4 The bill?

5 The bill? What the park owner needs to make it a good investment

6 The bill? The bill! What the park owner needs to make it a good investment

7 The bill? The bill! The bill! What the park owner needs to make it a good investment

8 Different systems Feed in tariff Limited feed in tariff Marked based electricity certificate Auction

9 Feed in tariff Support

10 Feed in tariff Support Support

11 Feed in tariff No incentive to get more cost effective Support Support

12 Feed in tariff The government offers a party of a certain standard, but don t know how big the bill can get The consumers pay the bill! Support Support

13 Feed in tariff The government offers a party of a certain standard, but don t know how big the bill can get The consumers pay the bill! Support Support

14 Limited Feed in tariff 83,50 EUR Support

15 Limited Feed in tariff 83,50 EUR Support Support Max 53,50 EUR < 30 EUR

16 Limited Feed in tariff Certain market risk stimulates cost effectiveness 83,50 EUR Maximum MW Support Support Max 53,50 EUR < 30 EUR

17 Limited Feed in tariff The government invites to a party And Limits how big the bill can get The consumers pay the bill

18 Limited Feed in tariff The government invites to a party And Limits how big the bill can get The consumers pay the bill

19 Marked based electricity certificate Supply: 1 elcertificate per produced MWh renewably produced electricity Elcertificates are assigned monthly. Demand: Quota based on electricity consumption. Elcertificates are cancelled once a year 1 April Shall stimulate build out of 28,4 TWh new renewable production until 2020 Sweden will prolong the system but Norway will not. Last date for approval is 31 dec Swedish prolongation until 2030 additional 18 TWh.

20 Current and revised quota 0,35 0,3 0,25 0,2 0,15 0,1 0, Svensk KS 2015 Norsk KS 2015 Svensk KS 2017 Norsk KS 2017

21 Marked based electricity certificate Good: Promotes cost effectiveness

22 Marked based electricity certificate Good: Promotes cost effectiveness Bad: Promotes cost effectiveness 75 EUR 50 EUR 25 EUR

23 Marked based electricity certificate Good: Promotes cost effectiveness Bad: Promotes cost effectiveness 75 EUR 50 EUR Support 25 EUR

24 What s left

25 Current and revised quota 0,35 0,3 0,25 0,2 0,15 0,1 0, Svensk KS 2015 Norsk KS 2015 Svensk KS 2017 Svensk förlängning Norsk KS 2017

26 Marked based electricity certificate What about the bill?

27 Marked based electricity certificate What about the bill? Government/ Authority

28 Marked based electricity certificate What about the bill? Government/ Authority Consumers

29 Marked based electricity certificate What about the bill? Government/ Authority Consumers Owners of existing older parks

30 Auction system Make bids on much you need to make your project fly You get the Support for a given period Promotes cost effectiveness Stable conditions for the owner

31 Auction system Make bids on much you need to make your project fly You get the Support for a given period Promotes cost effectiveness Stable conditions for the owner Support But who pays the bill?

32 Will there be a bill? Cost of establishing new renewable is going down. Ratification of Paris agreement. Cost of CO 2 will go up. Market prices will go up. Support

33 Will there be a bill? Cost of establishing new renewable is going down. Ratification of Paris agreement. Cost of CO 2 will go up. Market prices will go up. There is nothing like a free lunch!

34 Thank you for your attention Sten Lillienau Key Account Manager Stockholm Jesper Düring Key Account Manager Aalborg Web: