Future of Transportation Decoding the Headlines
|
|
- Jack McCormick
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Future of Transportation Decoding the Headlines John Eichberger Executive Director,
2 Fuels Institute Board of Advisors Disclaimer: The opinions and views expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the individuals on the Fuels Institute Board of Directors and the Fuels Institute Board of Advisors, or any contributing organization to the Fuels Institute. They are exclusively those of the speaker..
3 Disruption? What is the compelling consumer benefit of new transportation options?
4
5 Electrified vehicles show strong growth rates
6 BEV & PHEV = 1.9% of LDV sales in 2018
7 Fleet Turnover Rate
8 An optimistic EV growth curve through 2035 Even with aggressive sales growth, BEV & PHEV would combine for 10% of vehicles on road in 2035
9 Uncertainties about EV future in U.S. Federal Tax Credit of up to $7,500 Applies only to first 200,000 qualified vehicles sold by corporation Once threshold met, credit phased-out over 12 months Tesla and GM are already being phased-out of eligibility Was deleted by House of Representative s budget in 2017 but survived with Senate inclusion Legislation introduced in 2018 to repeal tax credit (no action) Continuation of additional state tax credits/incentives Zero Emissions Vehicle Programs At least half of all EVs sold in US are sold in CA to satisfy ZEV program requirements SAFE Vehicles proposed rule could vacate CA s ZEV program Highway Trust Fund Fully funded by excises taxes on gasoline and diesel fuel sales EVs do not buy fuel and are seen by some as a threat to funding infrastructure funding
10 It is a global, interconnected market
11 LDV Sales of Leading Global Markets The U.S. is no longer the dominant market in terms of LDV sales Source: Stratas Advisors
12 Mobility as a Service Changes Adoption Curves 2/3 of Gen Y/Z question whether they will need to own a car in the future. Possible vision of the future? May Not Need Car 70% 60% 64% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Pre/Boomers Gen Y/Z Source: Deloitte
13 Even if EVs continue to expand market share, internal combustion engines and liquid fuels will still represent a majority of the fleet for decades. How is the ICE evolving to deliver consumer and emissions benefits?
14 ICEs have become much more efficient Class MPG % Change Small Car 6.7% Middle Car 11.5% Large Car 14.3% Luxury Car 4.4% Every class of vehicle has improved efficiency CUV 22.7% SUV 17.7% 20 Van 5.0% Pickup 11.1% 15 Small Car Middle Car Large Car Luxury Car CUV SUV Van Pickup Source: Fuels Institute Vehicle Sales and Fuel Prices, WardsAuto, Fueleconomy.com 14
15 4-Cylinder Engines Dominate Market 60% 50% 40% 30% 35.3% 83% of cars in 2017 have 4 cylinders, up from 56% in % 20% 10% 0% Cyl 4 Cyl 5 Cyl 6 Cyl 8 Cyl 10 Cyl 12 Cyl Electric Rotary Source: WardsAuto 15
16 Turbos Become the Norm A 10% Drop in Lbs = 7% MPG + New Tech Breakthroughs Mazda s SPCCI Nissan s VC-T Direct Injection in Majority Variable Valve Timing 16
17 Optimize fuels and engines with octane Engine Efficiency from Higher Octane Fuel (HOF) HOF enables efficiency increases for all vehicles with SI engines including hybrid electric vehicles HOF Higher Compression Ratio Improved Efficiency Relative efficiency gain Slide information taken from USCAR presentation in Jan 2018 Leone, Anderson, Davis, Iqbal, Reese, Shelby, and Studzinski, "The Effect of Compression Ratio, Fuel Octane Rating, and Ethanol Content on Spark-Ignition Engine Efficiency", Environmental Science & Technology 2015.
18 Efficiency Improvement: Boosted SI Engines Based upon Co-Optima s Merit Function Analysis Demonstrates Importance of RON and S Source: DOE Co-Optimization 18
19 Advocates for HOF Legislation USCAR, comprised of GM, Ford and FCA, advocating for legislation: Establish a 95 RON octane fuel standard Require new vehicles as of a date certain to be restricted to operate only on 95 RON or higher gasoline Argue 95 RON will enable the least expensive option for complying with CAFE through RON is essentially today s 91 AKI, is sold and can be sold in all markets Supported, tentatively, by AFPM and some refiners: Renewable Fuels Standard must sunset Would support HOF to replace RFS Biofuels Industry Opposes Legislation: Oppose elimination of RFS Oppose HOF defined as 95 RON desire higher octane standard to facilitate mid-level blends Retail Associations Open to the idea but with concerns Misfueling prevention will be required Could lead to higher retail fuel prices for consumers
20 Fuels Institute Octane Study Overview Commissioned before legislative initiative focused on 98 RON as the HOF Conducted refinery analysis to estimate potential cost of producing certain HOF (95 RON 102 RON) comprised of E10, E20 or E30 Analyzed regulatory rulemaking necessary to convert market to HOF Evaluated infrastructure compatibility and investments necessary to convert market to HOF Estimated costs of implementing HOF three scenarios with 98 RON produced with E10, E20 or E30 The study does not estimate retail prices, just potential investments to produce and distribute HOF
21 Refinery Screening Cost of Production* Additional refinery production costs, plus purchase of ethanol (Billions of Dollars per Year) 21
22 Refinery Screening Cost of Production* Additional refinery production costs, plus purchase of ethanol (Cents per Gallon) 22
23 Experience with Lead Phase-Out = Full Market Conversion Could Take 23+ Years The phase-out of lead is instructive for scenario development: 100% new vehicles (1975) required to have catalytic converters and use UL Took 10 years for UL to grow from 7% to 57% of fuel pool Took 20 years for UL to attain 97% of fuel pool This 100% vehicle market conversion scenario was selected for analysis HOF vehicle market penetration with 100% of all new vehicles sold being HOF PERCENT OF FLEET HOF VEHICLE PENETRATION 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% YEARS AFTER REGULATORY PROMULGATION 23
24 Cost Comparison Across Scenarios Scenarios present trade-offs between production and infrastructure costs (Billions of Dollars) One-Time Infrastructure Upgrade Costs Added Annual Refining Costs $25 $23.6 $25 $20 $20 $19.7 $15 Refinery Pipeline Terminal Retail $15 $10 $6.60 $10 $8.3 $5.7 $5 $3.20 $5 $0 98 RON E10 98 RON E20 98 RON E30 $0 98 RON E10 98 RON E20 98 RON E30 24
25 Net Present Value At year years after regulatory promulgation Scenario Total New Fuel Volume (B gallons) Total Ethanol Volume (B gallons) Refinery Front End Infra Costs ($B) Pipeline Front End Infra Costs ($B) Terminal Front End Infra Costs ($B) Retail Front End Infra Costs ($B) New Fuel Production Costs ($B/year) NPV 5% ($B) E $0.219 $1.65 $1.35 $0 $19.7 $178 E $0.219 $1.65 $1.61 $3.12 $8.3 $78 E $0.219 $1.65 $1.675 $20.0 $5.7 $73 25
26 Total Ethanol Needed in Scenarios Forecast for ethanol demand when all vehicles are HOV, assuming MOGAS demand static at 2016 levels 100% of Gasoline Supply as E20 = 22 Billion Gallons per Year of Ethanol 100% of Gasoline Supply as E30 = 34 Billion Gallons per Year of Ethanol 26
27 Corn ethanol production is strong Historical Statistics 2016 Corn acreage 86.7 million 2016 corn yield bu/acre Corn for ethanol = 35% of corn acres Ethanol production = 2.8 gal/bu gal/year increase ( ) Assumptions Corn acres remain static 86.7 million Corn yield improves 2 bu/acre/year Ethanol efficiency gains gal/year Corn for ethanol modeled in 2 scenarios: 1. Static at 35% of corn acres 2. All new corn yield dedicated to ethanol production Corn yield has grown at an annual average rate of 1.95 bushels/acre since Corn Yield (Bu/acre) 27
28 Bushels for ethanol should increase In both scenarios, corn feedstock for ethanol increases through 2041 (28% and 81%, respectively) Billion Bushels Corn for Ethanol (Scen 1) Corn for Ethanol (Scen 2) 28
29 Ethanol production likely to increase If production efficiency improves at historic norms, production to grow 29% - 96% (depending on corn scenario) Billion Gallons per Year Gallons per Bushel Ethanol Production (Scen 1) Ethanol Production (Scen 2) Ethanol Efficiency (gals/bu) 29
30 Consumer Perceptions
31 Consumers remain sensitive to fuel prices Nearly two-thirds of consumers will turn left or drive five minutes out of their way to save 5 cpg 70% Turn Left Drive 5 Minutes National Average Retail Price for Regular: $ % 63% 61% 60% 55% 50% Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Source: Fuels Institute, NACS, Penn Schoen Berland 31
32 At retail, Premium averaged 53.8 cpg more The price spread between Regular and Premium ranged from cents per gallon $3.50 $0.60 $3.00 $2.50 $0.55 $2.00 $1.50 $0.50 $1.00 $0.45 $0.50 $0.00 $0.40 Delta Unleaded Price Premium Price Source: OPIS 32
33 Only 2% of consumers clearly understand octane Consumer open replies to question: What is an octane grade as it relates to gasoline? Nothing / Don't Know / No Response Others Additives/chemicals / How much additives are in the gas Cleaner gas / Burns cleaner / Keeps the engine clean Regular / Mid-grade / Premium Anti-knocking / The fuels ability to resist knocking/pinging Purity / How pure the gas is / The higher the octane the purer the gas How powerful/strong the fuel is Other specific things in the gas: Ethanol / Lead / Oxygen, etc. Amount of octane in the gas Combustibility / Burn rate/temperature / The amount of compression The quality / The higher the octane, the better the gas is Performance / The higher the octane the better the fuel performance / Percentage/specific percentages: 78 / 87 / 94, etc. 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Source: Fuels Institute, Penn Schoen Berland, May
34 Consumers don t know what their car needs But they are resistant to purchasing a vehicle that recommends or requires mid-grade or premium fuel Do you know if there is a recommended octane grade for the vehicle you most commonly drive? How likely are you to purchase a vehicle that requires higher octane (mid-grade or premium) gasoline? Don't Know, 30% Very Unlikely, 21% Very Likely, 14% Less than half know Yes, 48% 56% Unlikely Somewhat Likely, 31% No, 22% Somewhat Unlikely, 35% Source: Fuels Institute, Penn Schoen Berland, May
35 And what about E15?
36
37 FUELS2019 (A Shameless Plug!) May 21-23, 2019 Dallas, TX Learn from and network with nearly 200 industry experts, including: Vehicle manufacturers Petroleum and biofuel producers Laboratory scientists and engineers Distribution and retail leaders EV market and charging experts Consumer behavior specialists New mobility service advocates Registration is now open at: Fuelsinstitute.org
38 Closing Thoughts Disruption highly unlikely transportation market evolves slowly Electric vehicles will represent majority of fleet someday Internal combustion engines continue to evolve to be more efficient Advancements in EVs and ICEs need not be mutually exclusive Potential to leverage high octane fuel for greater efficiency E15 has a very bright future, provided seasonal restrictions are resolved
39 Thank you! John Eichberger Executive Director
Future Fuels. John Eichberger Executive Director
Future Fuels John Eichberger Executive Director Fuels Institute jeichberger@fuelsinstitute.org @eichbergerjohn @fuelsinstitute Fuels Institute Board of Advisors Disclaimer: The opinions and views expressed
More informationMarket Feasibility of Advanced Fuels and Vehicles
Market Feasibility of Advanced Fuels and Vehicles John Eichberger Executive Director, The Fuels Institute jeichberger@fuelsinstitute.org @eichbergerjohn @fuelsinstitute What is the Fuels Institute? History,
More informationMichigan Public Service Commission Electric Vehicle Pilot Discussion
Michigan Public Service Commission Electric Vehicle Pilot Discussion Brett Smith Assistant Director, Manufacturing & Engineering Technology Valerie Sathe Brugeman Senior Project Manager, Transportation
More informationViewing the Vehicle and Fuel as a System: The Economic Implications of High Octane Low Carbon Fuel
Dean Drake Defour Group EESI Briefing Rm. 106 Dirksen Senate Office Building Washington, DC November 13, 2017 Viewing the Vehicle and Fuel as a System: The Economic Implications of High Octane Low Carbon
More informationRFS2: Where Are We Now And Where Are We Heading? Paul N. Argyropoulos
Agricultural Outlook Forum Presented: February 24-25, 2011 U.S. Department of Agriculture RFS2: Where Are We Now And Where Are We Heading? Paul N. Argyropoulos Office of Transportation and Air Quality
More informationDirect Injection Ethanol Boosted Gasoline Engines: Biofuel Leveraging For Cost Effective Reduction of Oil Dependence and CO 2 Emissions
Direct Injection Ethanol Boosted Gasoline Engines: Biofuel Leveraging For Cost Effective Reduction of Oil Dependence and CO 2 Emissions D.R. Cohn* L. Bromberg* J.B. Heywood Massachusetts Institute of Technology
More informationOperating Refineries in a High Cost Environment. Options for RFS Compliance. March 20, Baker & O Brien, Inc. All rights reserved.
Operating Refineries in a High Cost Environment Options for RFS Compliance March 2, 217 Baker & O Brien, Inc. All rights reserved. Discussion Points Introduction Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS) Overview
More informationU.S. Fuel Economy and Fuels Regulations and Outlook
U.S. Fuel Economy and Fuels Regulations and Outlook An Industry Perspective Mike Hartrick Fuels2018 May 23, 2018 Topics Market Perspective Regulatory Perspective What Could Changes in Fuel Economy Regulations
More informationTHE ELECTRIC VEHICLE REVOLUTION AND ITS IMPACT ON PEAK OIL DEMAND
THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE REVOLUTION AND ITS IMPACT ON PEAK OIL DEMAND INDONESIAN GAS SOCIETY JAKARTA 20 TH NOVEMBER JUNE 2016 - SELECTED SLIDES JON FREDRIK MÜLLER PARTNER HEAD OF CONSULTING ASIA-PACIFIC When
More informationCorn Outlook. David Miller Director of Research & Commodity Services Iowa Farm Bureau Federation December 2013
Corn Outlook David Miller Director of Research & Commodity Services Iowa Farm Bureau Federation December 2013 Source: USDA-WAOB U.S. Corn Supply & Usage U.S. Corn Supply & Usage Comments With the largest
More informationExecutive Summary. Light-Duty Automotive Technology and Fuel Economy Trends: 1975 through EPA420-S and Air Quality July 2006
Office of Transportation EPA420-S-06-003 and Air Quality July 2006 Light-Duty Automotive Technology and Fuel Economy Trends: 1975 through 2006 Executive Summary EPA420-S-06-003 July 2006 Light-Duty Automotive
More informationCVRP: Market Projections and Funding Needs
CVRP: Market Projections and Funding Needs Public Workshop: Update to the 3-Year Plan for LDV & Transportation Equity Investments (4 Dec. 2018, El Monte CA) Brett Williams, PhD Senior Principal Advisor,
More informationTomorrow s Vehicles A Projection of the Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicle Fleet Through 2025
Tomorrow s Vehicles A Projection of the Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicle Fleet Through 2025 Tomorrow s Vehicles A Projection of the Medium and Heavy Duty Vehicle Fleet Through 2025 Introduction 2 List of
More informationWilliam Piel
Fuel Options Exist for Expanding Gasoline Supplies without processing additional Crude Oil? E1? E2? E8? ETBE? Which use of in Fuel Provides the Highest Market Value? Which use of results in the Most Non-Petroleum
More informationPOLICIES THAT REDUCE OUR DEPENDENCE ON OIL. Carol Lee Rawn Ceres November 2013
POLICIES THAT REDUCE OUR DEPENDENCE ON OIL Carol Lee Rawn Ceres November 2013 THE CERES NETWORK Ceres is an advocate for sustainability leadership, mobilizing investors and business to build a thriving,
More informationThe Hybrid and Electric Vehicles Manufacturing
Photo courtesy Toyota Motor Sales USA Inc. According to Toyota, as of March 2013, the company had sold more than 5 million hybrid vehicles worldwide. Two million of these units were sold in the US. What
More informationPotential Environmental and Economic Benefit s of Higher-Oct ane Gasoline
Potential Environmental and Economic Benefit s of Higher-Oct ane Gasoline Raymond Speth, Eric Chow, Robert Malina, Steven Barrett, J ohn Heywood, W illiam Green CRC W orkshop, Argonne National Laboratory
More informationEthanol and the Economics of Octane The Superior Solution
Ethanol and the Economics of Octane The Superior Solution Geoff Cooper Renewable Fuels Association October 20, 2017 Today s Presentation What is octane and why is it important? Options for boosting octane
More informationCalifornia s Low Carbon Fuel Standard
California s Low Carbon Fuel Standard Outlook and Opportunities Philip Sheehy, PhD EMA Annual Meeting September 27, 2013 0 Overview Introduction Basic Rules of the Game (a bit redundant with whatever Dan
More informationRenewable Fuel Standard
Renewable Fuel Standard Protect Availability of Splash Blending Growing number of oil companies are selling pre-blended E10, and retaining majority of profit Some oil companies have gone to mandated E10
More informationRNG Production for Vehicle Fuel. April 4, 2018
RNG Production for Vehicle Fuel April 4, 2018 Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section
More informationBiofuels, Energy Security, and Future Policy Alternatives. Wally Tyner
Biofuels, Energy Security, and Future Policy Alternatives Wally Tyner Purdue University Ethanol Economics Ethanol has value as energy and as an additive to gasoline The energy content is about 68% of gasoline
More informationLegislative and Regulatory Developments Likely to Affect the U.S. Refining Sector in the Next Decade
Legislative and Regulatory Developments Likely to Affect the U.S. Refining Sector in the Next Decade Round Table Discussion on U.S. Refining OPIS 11 th National Supply Summit October 18, 2009 Dave Hirshfeld
More informationImproving Engine Efficiency and Fuels: An Overview. John B. Heywood. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Improving Engine Efficiency and Fuels: An Overview John B. Heywood Sun JaeProfessor of Engineering, Emeritus Massachusetts Institute of Technology Presentation at CRC Advanced Fuel and Engine Efficiency
More informationDo Tax Incentive Programs Change Taxpayers' Behavior?
Do Tax Incentive Programs Change Taxpayers' Behavior? A Case Study Of Effectiveness of the Iowa Biofuel Retailers' Tax Credits John Good Mandy Jia Iowa Department of Revenue September 3, 214 FTA Revenue
More informationAdvanced Vehicles & Fuel Quality
Advanced Vehicles & Fuel Quality John M. Cabaniss, Jr. Director, Environment & Energy Association of Global Automakers National Council of Weights & Measures July 16, 2013 Louisville, KY OUR MEMBERS Advanced
More informationThank you, Chairman Shimkus and Ranking Member Tonko. I appreciate the opportunity to
Thank you, Chairman Shimkus and Ranking Member Tonko. I appreciate the opportunity to testify today on behalf of the National Corn Growers Association (NCGA). NCGA represents nearly 40,000 dues-paying
More informationNancy Homeister Manager, Fuel Economy Regulatory Strategy and Planning
SLIDE 0 Nancy Homeister Manager, Fuel Economy Regulatory Strategy and Planning Automotive Product Portfolios in the Age of CAFE Wednesday, February 13, 2013 SLIDE 0 SLIDE 1 1 SLIDE 1 SLIDE 2 The Four Pillars
More informationUpdated Assessment of the Drought's Impacts on Crop Prices and Biofuel Production
CARD Policy Briefs CARD Reports and Working Papers 8-2012 Updated Assessment of the Drought's Impacts on Crop Prices and Biofuel Production Bruce A. Babcock Iowa State University, babcock@iastate.edu Follow
More informationDepartment of Energy Analyses in Support of the EPA Evaluation of Waivers of the Renewable Fuel Standard November 2012
Department of Energy Analyses in Support of the EPA Evaluation of Waivers of the Renewable Fuel Standard November 2012 Ethanol Demand Curve for 2012 and 2013 In support of EPA analyses of the 2012 RFS
More informationElectric Vehicle Cost-Benefit Analyses
Electric Vehicle Cost-Benefit Analyses Results of plug-in electric vehicle modeling in eight US states Quick Take M.J. Bradley & Associates (MJB&A) evaluated the costs and States Evaluated benefits of
More informationWhy Light Duty Diesels Make Sense in the North American Market MARTEC. Automotive News World Congress. January 16, 2007
Why Light Duty Diesels Make Sense in the North American Market Automotive News World Congress January 16, 2007 MARTEC Agenda The diesel value proposition in the US Policy considerations 50-state emissionized
More informationUnderstanding the RFS and RINs. Geoff Cooper Renewable Fuels Association August 29, 2018
Understanding the RFS and RINs Geoff Cooper Renewable Fuels Association August 29, 2018 Million Gallons To understand RINs, you must first understand the RFS 36,000 Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS2) Statutory
More informationThe Future for the Internal Combustion Engine and the Advantages of Octane
The Future for the Internal Combustion Engine and the Advantages of Octane DAVE BROOKS Director, Global Propulsion Systems R&D Laboratories GM Research & Development KEY DRIVERS OF THE TRANSFORMATION
More informationTomorrow s Vehicles A Projection of the Light Duty Vehicle Fleet Through 2025
Tomorrow s Vehicles A Projection of the Light Duty Vehicle Fleet Through 2025 Tomorrow s Vehicles A Projection of the Light Duty Vehicle Fleet Through 2025 Introduction 2 Scope and Methodology Overview
More informationBiofuel Market Factors
Biofuel Market Factors Michael Cooper Ultra Green Energy Corporation, Executive Vice President Biofuel Brokers, LLC, President/Director 866-E-MY-FUEL (369-3835) info@ultragreenenergy.com emyfuel@biofuelbrokers.com
More informationElectric Vehicle Cost-Benefit Analyses
Electric Vehicle Cost-Benefit Analyses Results of plug-in electric vehicle modeling in five Northeast & Mid-Atlantic states Quick Take With growing interest in the electrification of transportation in
More informationEvaluation of Costs of EPA s GHG Standards With High Octane Fuels and Optimized High Efficiency Engines AIR, Inc. 1 September 14, 2016
Evaluation of Costs of EPA s 2022-2025 GHG Standards With High Octane Fuels and Optimized High Efficiency Engines AIR, Inc. 1 September 14, 2016 1.0 Introduction In August of 2012, EPA released a final
More informationFlexible-Fuel Vehicle and Refueling Infrastructure Requirements Associated with Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS2) Implementation
Flexible-Fuel Vehicle and Refueling Infrastructure Requirements Associated with Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS2) Implementation Conducted for The Renewable Fuels Association March 211 47298 Sunnybrook Lane
More informationPreliminary Assessment of the Drought s Impacts on Crop Prices and Biofuel Production
CARD Policy Brief 12-PB 7 July 2012 Preliminary Assessment of the Drought s Impacts on Crop Prices and Biofuel Production by Bruce Babcock Partial support for this work is based upon work supported by
More informationMade in Texas Plan to Create a Million New Jobs. Oil Sign Policy
Made in Texas Plan to Create a Million New Oil Sign Policy History The history of oil, autos and Texas are forever intertwined. With the discovery of one of the largest oil strikes at Spindletop outside
More informationMay 1, SUBJECT: Demand Forecasting and the Transportation Sector
James Yost Chair Idaho W. Bill Booth Idaho Guy Norman Washington Tom Karier Washington Jennifer Anders Vice Chair Montana Tim Baker Montana Ted Ferrioli Oregon Richard Devlin Oregon May 1, 2018 MEMORANDUM
More informationThe Near Future of Electric Transportation. Mark Duvall Director, Electric Transportation Global Climate Change Research Seminar May 25 th, 2011
The Near Future of Electric Transportation Mark Duvall Director, Electric Transportation Global Climate Change Research Seminar May 25 th, 2011 Mainstream PEV Commercialization Began December 2010 Chevrolet
More informationNew Engines and Fuels for U.S. Cars and Light Trucks Ryan Keefe* Jay Griffin* John D. Graham**
New Engines and Fuels for U.S. Cars and Light Trucks Ryan Keefe* Jay Griffin* John D. Graham** *Doctoral Fellows, Pardee RAND Graduate School **Dean and Chair of Policy Analysis, Pardee RAND Graduate School,
More informationHow much oil are electric vehicles displacing?
How much oil are electric vehicles displacing? Aleksandra Rybczynska March 07, 2017 Executive summary EV s influence on global gasoline and diesel consumption is small but increasing quickly. This short
More informationReplacing the Volume & Octane Loss of Removing MTBE From Reformulated Gasoline Ethanol RFG vs. All Hydrocarbon RFG. May 2004
Replacing the Volume & Octane Loss of Removing MTBE From Reformulated Gasoline Ethanol RFG vs. All Hydrocarbon RFG May 2004 Prepared and Submitted by: Robert E. Reynolds President Downstream Alternatives
More informationState s Progress on 1.5 Million Zero Emission Vehicles by 2025
State s Progress on 1.5 Million Zero Emission Vehicles by 2025 The latest new vehicle sales data from California New Car Dealers Association shows Californians remain on track to exceed 2 million new light
More informationEthanol and Regulatory Perspectives
Ethanol and Regulatory Perspectives Coleman Jones Biofuel Manager, GM Powertrain February 4, 2013 Michigan Corn Growers Annual Meeting, Lansing, MI WIDE RANGE OF TECHNOLOGY DRIVERs Technology Innovation
More informationHow vehicle fuel economy improvements can save $2 trillion and help fund a long-term transition to plug-in vehicles
How vehicle fuel economy improvements can save $2 trillion and help fund a long-term transition to plug-in vehicles Policy Institute, NextSTEPS and GFEI Webinar November 7, 2013 Dr. Lewis Fulton, NextSTEPS
More informationepowertrain landscape Outlook 2020
1 epowertrain landscape Outlook 2020 CESA Congress 2012 Paris, December 04th, 2012 A. xev markets European Union/Germany, USA and China: Ambitious governmental targets will not be reached 2020: max. 600k
More informationPhilip Schaffner & Jason Junge Minnesota Department of Transportation
Philip Schaffner & Jason Junge Minnesota Department of Transportation 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 9% 33% 9% 21% 29% Trunk Highways $1.3B 14% 16% 19% 33% 17% Greater Minnesota Transit $55.7M 25% 27% 36% Note:
More informationEnergy Independence. tcbiomass 2013 The Path to Commercialization of Drop-in Cellulosic Transportation Fuels. Rural America Revitalization
Energy Independence The Path to Commercialization of Drop-in Cellulosic Transportation Fuels Rural America Revitalization Forward Looking Statements These slides and the accompanying oral presentation
More informationAftermarket Trends: What will Drive Future Aftermarket Repair Opportunities in North America?
Aftermarket Trends: What will Drive Future Aftermarket Repair Opportunities in North America? Mark Seng Global Aftermarket Practice Leader July 29, 2014 - Vehicles - Powertrains - Technology & How the
More informationThe Energy Independence and Security Act (EISA): Proposed Changes to the Renewable Fuel Standard Program (RFS2)
The Energy Independence and Security Act (EISA): Proposed Changes to the Renewable Fuel Standard Program (RFS2) Presentation to the NAS Biofuels Workshop Madison, WI. June 23-24, 2009 1 Agenda Background
More informationThe Electrification Coalition
The Electrification Coalition Revolutionizing Transportation and Achieving Energy Security The Problem Oil dependence weakens our national security, threatens our economy, and creates environmental challenges.
More informationImpacts of Weakening the Existing EPA Phase 2 GHG Standards. April 2018
Impacts of Weakening the Existing EPA Phase 2 GHG Standards April 2018 Overview Background on Joint EPA/NHTSA Phase 2 greenhouse gas (GHG)/fuel economy standards Impacts of weakening the existing Phase
More informationEconomic and Air Quality Benefits of Electric Vehicles in Nevada
Economic and Air Quality Benefits of Electric Vehicles in Nevada Greater efficiency Compared to gasoline powered internal combustion engines, electric vehicles can travel the same distance using approximately
More informationConventional Fuel Management Strategies That Work
Conventional Fuel Management Strategies That Work THROUGH RESEARCH, REPLACEMENTS, AND PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE, FLEET MANAGERS CAN GET THE BIGGEST BANG OUT OF THEIR FLEET DOLLARS. November 2013, By Brad
More informationU.S. Ethanol Ready For The World Market
U.S. Ethanol Ready For The World Market The United States has plenty of ethanol and is ready and willing to meet foreign market needs. As the U.S. Grains Council (USGC) works with its industry partners
More informationThe Automobile and our Energy Future. Michael J. Stanton President, CEO Association of Global Automakers
The Automobile and our Energy Future Michael J. Stanton President, CEO Association of Global Automakers NCSL December 4, 2013 OUR MEMBERS Miles Per Gallon Fuel Economy Standard for Cars and Light Duty
More informationVEHICLE SALES AND RECESSIONS
TOM LOVELESS Vice President Sales Kia Motors America 1 VEHICLE SALES AND RECESSIONS The volume decline over the last several years is the largest in history. Where do we go from here? 20,000,000 18,000,000
More informationThe Electrification Futures Study: Transportation Electrification
The Electrification Futures Study: Transportation Electrification Paige Jadun Council of State Governments National Conference December 7, 2018 nrel.gov/efs The Electrification Futures Study Technology
More informationTOWARDS LOW SULPHUR FUELS ECOWAS/ARA ROADMAP
TOWARDS LOW SULPHUR FUELS - ECOWAS/ARA ROADMAP Engr Tony Ogbuigwe ECOWAS Regional Advisor to African Refiners Association Accra, Ghana 31 st October 2016 Presentation outline World refining environment
More informationACE/Biofuels Journal Webinar March 10, 2011
ACE/Biofuels Journal Webinar March 10, 2011 Where We are Today: The Status of the U.S. Ethanol Industry Producing 13.23 Billion Gallons of Ethanol 12.86 Billion Gallons consumed domestically 397 Million
More informationFederal And New York Tax Incentives For Alternative Fuels
Federal And New York Tax Incentives For Alternative Fuels NE Sun Grant Regional Feedstock Summit November 13, 2007 Statler Hotel at Cornell University Ithaca, New York 14853 Presented by: Gerald F. Stack
More informationAustralia s Experience in Alternative Transport Fuels. An Overview
Australia s Experience in Alternative Transport Fuels An Overview Main alternative transport fuels in use in Australia Automotive LPG (Autogas) 6% of transport need requirements by volume 5% by energy
More informationprovide testimony on the opportunities and challenges with high octane fuels and vehicles.
Testimony of Chet Thompson, President and CEO, American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers U.S. House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on the Environment High Octane Fuels and High Efficiency Vehicles:
More informationAdvancing Vehicle and Fuel Technologies
US Department of Energy Advancing Vehicle and Fuel Technologies Presented by David E. Rodgers Deputy Assistant Secretary for Energy Efficiency Governors Summit on Alternative Transportation Fuels and Advanced
More informationON-ROAD FUEL ECONOMY OF VEHICLES
SWT-2017-5 MARCH 2017 ON-ROAD FUEL ECONOMY OF VEHICLES IN THE UNITED STATES: 1923-2015 MICHAEL SIVAK BRANDON SCHOETTLE SUSTAINABLE WORLDWIDE TRANSPORTATION ON-ROAD FUEL ECONOMY OF VEHICLES IN THE UNITED
More informationDesigning a Low-Carbon Fuel Standard for the Northeast
Designing a Low-Carbon Fuel Standard for the Northeast Matt Solomon msolomon@nescaum.org Northeast LCFS Workshop Yale University October 14, 2008 What s carbon intensity again? A measure of the total CO
More informationPwC Autofacts. The Transformation of the Automotive Value Chain.
www.pwc.de The Transformation of the Automotive Value Chain Research results on how the automotive transformation will impact value add October 18 DON T PANIC: The automotive transformation will bring
More informationFueling Savings: Higher Fuel Economy Standards Result In Big Savings for Consumers
Fueling Savings: Higher Fuel Economy Standards Result In Big Savings for Consumers Prepared for Consumers Union September 7, 2016 AUTHORS Tyler Comings Avi Allison Frank Ackerman, PhD 485 Massachusetts
More information1 Faculty advisor: Roland Geyer
Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions with Hybrid-Electric Vehicles: An Environmental and Economic Analysis By: Kristina Estudillo, Jonathan Koehn, Catherine Levy, Tim Olsen, and Christopher Taylor 1 Introduction
More informationThe U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard Background, Controversies, & Reform, or, This Crisis, or the Next?
The U.S. Renewable Fuel Standard Background, Controversies, & Reform, or, This Crisis, or the Next? Argus Global Gasoline Conference May 8-9, 2018 London, UK Max Pyziur Energy Policy Research Foundation,
More informationFuel Economy: How Will Consumers Respond?
Fuel Economy: How Will Consumers Respond? Julie Becker Vice President Environmental Affairs Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers Asilomar Conference August 2015 Number Of Models Investment = Great Product
More informationINDIRECT LAND USE CHANGE, LOW CARBON FUEL STANDARDS, & CAP AND TRADE: The Role of Biofuels in Greenhouse Gas Regulation
INDIRECT LAND USE CHANGE, LOW CARBON FUEL STANDARDS, & CAP AND TRADE: The Role of Biofuels in Greenhouse Gas Regulation Matthew Carr Policy Director, Industrial & Environmental Section Biotechnology Industry
More informationLower Carbon Intensity Solution. How Biodiesel Has Become the Answer to Emission-cutting Initiatives
Lower Carbon Intensity Solution How Biodiesel Has Become the Answer to Emission-cutting Initiatives LCFS LOW-CARBON FUEL STANDARD The Low Carbon Fuel Standard is undeniably altering the transportation
More informationFuel-Engine Co-Optimization with Ethanol for High Efficiency Engines
Fuel-Engine Co-Optimization with Ethanol for High Efficiency Engines Robert L. McCormick robert.mccormick@nrel.gov Washington DC November 13, 2017 The Message Liquid fuels will make a substantial contribution
More informationSubmission to Select Committee on Electric Vehicles - inquiry into the use and manufacture of electric vehicles in Australia
31 July 2018 Senator Tim Storer Department of the Senate PO Box 6100 Parliament House Canberra ACT 2600 Dear Senator Storer, RE: Submission to Select Committee on Electric Vehicles - inquiry into the use
More informationTrends in Iowa Ethanol Blends Sales: E10, E15, E20, and E85 and the Biofuel Distribution Percentage
Trends in Iowa Ethanol Blends Sales: E10, E15, E20, and E85 and the Biofuel Distribution Percentage By IFBF Research and Commodity Services- By Patricia Batres-Marquez, Decision Innovation Solutions (DIS).
More informationUsed Vehicle Supply: Future Outlook and the Impact on Used Vehicle Prices
Used Vehicle Supply: Future Outlook and the Impact on Used Vehicle Prices AT A GLANCE When to expect an increase in used supply Recent trends in new vehicle sales Changes in used supply by vehicle segment
More informationBiodiesel. Kimmo Rahkamo Executive Vice President
Biodiesel Kimmo Rahkamo Executive Vice President Biofuels agenda is driven by three elements Climate change Security of supply Biofuels set to gain considerable share in transportation fuels market Domestic
More informationLINAMAR Success in a Rapidly Changing Automotive Industry
LINAMAR Success in a Rapidly Changing Automotive Industry Linda Hasenfratz Chief Executive Officer January 2019 Linamar Diversified Global Manufacturing Diversified Manufactured Products that Power Vehicles,
More informationExperian Automotive Quarterly Briefing
Experian Automotive Quarterly Briefing Q2 2015 automotive market share trends and registrations Brad Smith Director, Automotive Market Statistics Marty Miller Senior Product Manager, VIO Experian and the
More informationPowertrain Acceptance & Consumer Engagement Study. Chrysler Powertrain Research March
Powertrain Acceptance & Consumer Engagement Study Chrysler Powertrain Research March 2008 1 Research Objectives The 2010 Morpace Powertrain Acceptance & Consumer Engagement (PACE) study builds upon the
More informationBackground and Considerations for Planning Corridor Charging Marcy Rood, Argonne National Laboratory
Background and Considerations for Planning Corridor Charging Marcy Rood, Argonne National Laboratory This document summarizes background of electric vehicle charging technologies, as well as key information
More informationMacro economic and Energy Factors Driving the Agricultural Outlook
Macro economic and Energy Factors Driving the Agricultural Outlook Michael Swanson Ph.D. Wells Fargo September 2013 Inter connected Markets Economic growth GDP, Population and Income Currency competition
More informationMethodology. Supply. Demand
Methodology Supply Demand Tipping the Scale 1 Overview Latin America and the Caribbean, a major petroleum product importing region, provides an important counterbalance to surpluses in refined product
More informationBenefits of greener trucks and buses
Rolling Smokestacks: Cleaning Up America s Trucks and Buses 31 C H A P T E R 4 Benefits of greener trucks and buses The truck market today is extremely diverse, ranging from garbage trucks that may travel
More informationThe Growing California Plug-in Electric Vehicle Market. updated: April 2014
The Growing California Plug-in Electric Vehicle Market www.pevcollaborative.org updated: April 2014 1 Mission The California Plug-In Electric Vehicle Collaborative is a public/private organization focused
More informationGrid Services From Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles: A Key To Economic Viability?
Grid Services From Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles: A Key To Economic Viability? Paul Denholm (National Renewable Energy Laboratory; Golden, Colorado, USA); paul_denholm@nrel.gov; Steven E. Letendre (Green
More informationAutomotive Industry Insights Summary: Q1 2012
Automotive Industry Insights Summary: Q1 2012 Jeffrey Anderson, Director of Consulting & Analytics 2012 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian and the marks used herein are
More informationAustria. Advanced Motor Fuels Statistics
Austria Austria Drivers and Policies In December 2016, the national strategy framework Saubere Energie im Verkehr (Clean Energy in Transportation) 1 was introduced to the Ministerial Council by the Federal
More informationFARMLAND MARKETS: PROFITABILITY AND FUTURE PERSPECTIVES
FARMLAND MARKETS: PROFITABILITY AND FUTURE PERSPECTIVES Title: The RFS and Grain and Oilseed Markets: All Eyes on the EPA Presenter: Scott Irwin Affiliation: University of Illinois Wednesday, November
More informationHigh Octane Fuels, Making Better use of Ethanol
High Octane Fuels, Making Better use of Ethanol Brian West Fuels, Engines, and Emissions Research Center EESI High-Octane Fuels Briefing Washington, DC November 13, 2017 Work supported by DOE Office of
More informationJet Demand Takeoff - Strong Prospects for U.S. Refiners Bunker fuel changes to boost prices in a growing market.
? Jet Demand Takeoff - Strong Prospects for U.S. Refiners Bunker fuel changes to boost prices in a growing market. Morningstar Commodities Research March 26, 2018 Sandy Fielden Director, Oil and Products
More informationHEV, EV, Diesel Technology ; Indian trends and Role of Government for supporting
HEV, EV, Diesel Technology ; Indian trends and Role of Government for supporting Presented: 6 th JAMA SIAM meeting 30 th. November 2011 Tokyo 30th November 2011 Tokyo Encouraging Electric Mobility and
More informationCo-Optimization of Fuels and Engines
Co-Optimization of Fuels and Engines Michael Berube, Director, DOE Vehicle Technologies Office Petroleum Equipment Institute Convention October 19, 2016 Goal: better fuels and better vehicles sooner Fuel
More informationFILL UP ON FACTS: THE POINT OF OBLIGATION AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE. CHAPTER 1 I Introduction to the RFS
FILL UP ON FACTS: CHAPTER 1 I Introduction to the RFS THE POINT OF OBLIGATION AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE 1 THE POINT OF OBLIGATION: PASSING THE BUCK TO DISTRIBUTORS Chapter 8: Moving the Point of Obligation
More informationCONNECTED PROPULSION - THE FUTURE IS NOW
MOTOR & UMWELT 2018 ENGINE & ENVIRONMENT 2018 CONNECTED PROPULSION - THE FUTURE IS NOW Larry Nitz General Motors 9 We re at a transformative time in automotive history, but a lot of innovation is already
More information