Generation Projection (July Sep 2017)

Transcription

1 Projectio s base o Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Commets From DICs (if a) Figure as Projecte Geeratio per before ormalizatio Commets/ w.r.t projecte All Iia PoC Peak Dema 1 UP NR 7458 Bara Delhi NR As per Delhi Haraa NR Shravati Gas As per ata give b Uttarakha NR 951 Shravati Gas Uttrakha Shravati Gas Pujab NR Chhabra Rajastha NR As per ata give b Rajastha Suratgarh Himachal Praesh NR As per ata give b HP Jammu & Kashmir NR BBMB NR As per BBMB Chaigarh NR Railwas NR Dari Thermal NR Riha NR Sigrauli NR As per ata give b NTPC 15 Uchahar NR Auraia NR Dari CCPP NR NAPS NR As per NPCIL Jhajjar NR DHAULIGANGA NR As per ata give b NHPC 21 Taakpur NR Koteshwar NR As per ata give b Koteshwar Tehri NR Ata NR As per ata give b NTPC RAAP B NR RAPP C NR AD Hro NR Everest NR Karcham Wagtoo NR

2 Projectio s base o Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Commets From DICs (if a) Figure as Projecte Geeratio per before ormalizatio Commets/ w.r.t projecte All Iia PoC Peak Dema 30 Bairasul NR Chamera 1 NR As per ata give b NHPC 32 Chamera 2 NR Chamera 3 NR Naptha Jhakri NR As per SJVN Laco Buhil NR DULHASTI NR Salal NR Sewa-II NR As per ata give b NHPC URI 1 HPS NR URI II HPS NR Sree Cemet NR Parbati III NR As per ata give b NHPC Rampur HEP NR As per SJVN KOLDAM NR As per ata give b NHPC West Begal ER Oisha ER As per GRIDCO Bihar ER Jharkha ER Sikkim ER Chujacha ER DVC ER 52 Durgapur Steel ER 53 Koerma TPP ER As per ata give b DVC Bokaro TPS ER 55 Raghuathpur ER 56 MPL ER Teesta ER As per ata give b NHPC Kahalgao ER As per ata give b NTPC 59 Farakka ER Talcher ER Rageet ER As per NHPC 63 63

3 Projectio s base o Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Commets From DICs (if a) Figure as Projecte Geeratio per before ormalizatio Commets/ w.r.t projecte All Iia PoC Peak Dema 62 Corporate Power ER Ahuik Power ER Barh ER As per ata give b NTPC Kamalaga TPP (GMR) ER JITPL ER Jorethag ER Bhuta ER ER Teesta-III Teesta-III ER Teesta-III ER Teesta-III ER Dikchu Dikchu HEP ER Dikchu Nabiagar BRBCL Nabiagar BRBCL ER Nabiagar BRBCL MP WR As per ata give b M.P Maharashtra WR Korai TPS As per ata give b Maharashtra Korai TPS Chattisgarh WR As per ata give b Chattisgarh Gujarat WR Bhavagar TPP As per ata give b Gujarat Goa WR D&D WR DNH WR Vihachal WR As per ata give b NTPC Ratagiri Dabhol WR TAPS (1,2,3,4) WR Jial WR LANCO WR NSPCL Bhilai WR Korba WR As per ata give b NTPC 83 SIPAT WR CGPL WR

4 Projectio s base o Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Commets From DICs (if a) Figure as Projecte Geeratio per before ormalizatio Commets/ w.r.t projecte All Iia PoC Peak Dema 85 Maua WR 837 Maua Gahar WR As per ata give b NTPC Kawas WR SSP WR KAPS WR Essar Maha WR 431 Essar Maha BALCO WR KSK Mahaai WR 1134 KSK Mahaai Vaaa Viut WR Sasa UMPP WR Tamar TPP (Jial Ext.) WR DGEN WR As per DGEN DB Power Lt. WR Korba West WR Dhariwal WR Raikhea TPP (GMR) WR JP Nigrie WR As per JP Nigrie GMR Warora WR ACBIL+Spectrum+ MCCPL WR MB Power (Auppur) WR RKM Power WR RKM Power RKM Power Jhabua Power WR 0 0 Last Quarter geeratio TRN Eerg WR TRN Eerg TRN Eerg Sholapur STPP WR Sholapur STPP As per ata give b NTPC AGTPP, NEEPCO NER Doag, NEEPCO NER

5 Projectio s base o Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Commets From DICs (if a) Figure as Projecte Geeratio per before ormalizatio Commets/ w.r.t projecte All Iia PoC Peak Dema 110 Kopili, NEEPCO NER As ratifie i 132 OCC meetig 111 Khaog, NEEPCO NER Ragaai, NEEPCO NER AGBPP_Kathalguri NER Loktak, NHPC NER As per ata give b NHPC Palataa GBPP NER As per OTPC Bogaigao_NTPC NER As per ata give b NTPC Aruachal Praesh NER Assam NER As per Assam Maipur NER Meghalaa NER Nagala NER As ratifie i 132 OCC meetig 123 Tripura NER Mizoram NER Ahra Praesh SR 6551 Hiuja Sigerei Thermal Telagaa SR As per ata give b Telagaa Sigerei Thermal Karataka SR Kerala SR As per ata give b Kerala Tamil Nau SR As per ata give b Tamil Nau Po SR Ramaguam SR As per ata give b NTPC 132 Simhari SR SEPL SR Laco Koapalli SR

6 Projectio s base o Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Uit Istalle Ge. cosiere Commets From DICs (if a) Figure as Projecte Geeratio per before ormalizatio Commets/ w.r.t projecte All Iia PoC Peak Dema 135 Kaiga SR NEYVELI ( EXT) TPS SR NEYVELI TPS-II SR NEYVELI TPS-II EXP SR MAPS SR Vallur SR Meeakhshi SR Coastal Eerge SR Kuakulam SR Tuticori TPP SR Thermal Power Tech SR IL&FS SR Talcher Stage II SR Sembcorp Gaatri Sembcorp Gaatri Power Power Lt. SR Lt. Sembcorp Gaatri Power Lt Kugi STPS SR Kugi STPS As per ata give b NTPC Note: 1. Projectios are base o mothl maximum ijectio i the last 3 ears from actual metere ata. 2. Geeratio forecast has bee oe base o the followig criteria (i) If there is a icreasig tre the last ear average geeratio has bee cosiere (ii) Otherwise average of past three ear average geeratio has bee cosiere 3. I case of ew geerators where past ata was ot available followig has bee assume (i) 1.0 plf for hro geerators (ii) 0.7 plf for thermal geerators. (iii) 0.3 plf for gas statios

7 DEMAND FORECAST USING PAST 3 YEARS DATA (Jul Sep 2017) Projecte Dema Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep for (Jul give b Commets Average Average Average Sep 2017) before DICs Chaigarh ormalizatio 338 Delhi 5,925 5,507 4,882 5,743 5,434 5,457 6,261 5,707 5,301 5,438 5,545 5,756 5, As per ata give b Delhi Haraa 8,752 9,152 8,227 8,504 8,871 9,113 9,262 8,984 9,109 8,710 8,829 9,118 9,294 Himachal Praesh 1,248 1,313 1,286 1,337 1,312 1,300 1,297 1,293 1,329 1,282 1,316 1,306 1,326 1,221 As per ata give b HP Jammu & Kashmir 1,931 1,826 1,869 1,967 1,898 2,026 1,950 2,008 1,975 1,875 1,964 1,978 2,041 Pujab 9,699 9,126 8,861 10,852 10,571 10,502 11,408 11,204 10,543 9,229 10,642 11,052 12,130 Rajastha 9,403 10,077 9,474 8,431 10,080 10,961 9,168 7,807 9,816 9,651 9,824 8,930 8, As per ata give b Rajastha Uttar Praesh 11,968 10,512 11,844 13,373 12,929 13,493 15,154 14,690 15,457 11,441 13,265 15,100 16,928 Uttarakha 1,780 1,761 1,813 1,948 1,853 1,948 1,907 1,888 1,942 1,785 1,916 1,912 1, As per ata give b Uttrakha Norther 47,367 47,642 43,931 49,028 50,230 50,354 51,658 50,081 51,816 Chattisgarh 2,978 3,195 3,121 3,410 3,494 3,681 3,321 3,827 3,449 3,098 3,528 3,532 3, As per ata give b Chattisgarh Gujarat 13,467 12,263 13,136 14,417 14,391 14,448 12,692 12,564 14,666 12,955 14,419 13,307 13,912 14,100 As per ata give b Gujarat Maha Praesh 6,851 7,438 8,159 7,130 7,477 8,377 6,660 6,759 7,893 7,483 7,661 7,104 7, As per ata give b MP Maharashtra 18,483 16,938 18,565 19,266 18,447 18,984 15,997 18,644 20,232 17,995 18,899 18,291 18, As per ata give b Maharashtra Dama & Diu Dara Nagar Haveli Goa ESIL W ester 41,170 38,019 42,757 42,689 41,781 43,325 38,709 39,903 46,010 Ahra Praesh 6,072 6,549 6,380 6,847 6,500 6,281 7,175 7,965 7,714 6,334 6,543 7,618 8,116 Telagaa 5,949 6,630 6,578 6,468 6,589 6,555 6,890 8,223 8,284 6,386 6,537 7,799 8, As per ata give b Telagaa Karataka 8,137 7,878 7,973 8,705 8,208 7,303 8,302 9,218 9,497 7,996 8,072 9,006 9,368 Kerala 3,210 3,189 3,403 3,391 3,411 3,491 3,369 3,528 3,505 3,267 3,431 3,467 3, As per ata give b Kerala Tamil Nau 13,034 12,634 12,899 13,448 13,416 13,505 14,467 14,158 14,385 12,856 13,456 14,337 15, As per ata give b TN Poicherr Goa SR 80 Souther 34,541 34,162 35,238 36,464 35,892 35,563 36,172 40,532 41,259 Bihar 2,470 2,251 2,722 3,084 3,061 3,409 3,596 3,403 3,624 2,481 3,185 3,541 4,129 DVC 2,512 2,453 2,454 2,688 2,351 2,409 2,459 2,469 2,524 2,473 2,483 2,484 2, As per DVC Jharkha ,083 1,090 1,113 1,134 1,142 1, ,095 1,143 1,231 Oisha 3,634 3,541 3,710 3,844 3,929 3,827 3,989 3,919 3,865 3,628 3,867 3,924 4, AS per GRIDCO West Begal 7,133 7,419 7,288 7,601 7,355 7,495 7,434 7,625 7,653 7,280 7,484 7,571 7,735 Sikkim Bhuta Easter 16,086 16,010 16,609 17,642 17,149 17,597 18,075 18,024 18,276 Aruachal Praesh Assam 1,187 1,242 1,207 1,326 1,330 1,325 1,547 1,633 1,576 1,212 1,327 1,585 1, Maipur Meghalaa Mizoram As ratifie i 132 OCC meetig Nagala Tripura N. Easter 1,996 2,053 2,112 2,356 2,283 2,255 2,391 2,387 2,373 All Iia (sum of all regios) 1,41,160 1,37,886 1,40,647 1,48,179 1,47,335 1,49,094 1,47,005 1,50,927 1,59,734 1,39,898 1,48,203 1,52,555 1,59,543 All Iia Peak Met 1,41,160 1,37,886 1,40,647 1,41,203 1,46,124 1,45,947 1,46,289 1,48,746 1,56,934 1,39,898 1,44,425 1,50,656 1,55,752 Notes 1. Projectios are base o the past 3 ears' mothl Peak Dema Met ata available o the website of CEA 2. The above projectios are beig oe for fiacial ear (Q2) i.e Jul 2017 to September Projectios are beig oe base o the forecast fuctio available i MS Office Excel