MAN Diesel & Turbo - Technical Seminar New PrimeServ Academy, Pireaus, 22-23.10.2015 Market Situation and new engine Programme Michael Jeppesen Promotion Manager Sales & Customer Support Marine Low Speed Michael.jeppesen@man.eu < 1 >
Agenda Market Situation MDT Hellas Technical Seminar, 22-23.10. 2015 1 MDT highlights 2015 2 New Engine Programme 2015 3 Global Economy Market Development 4 MDT order books, Market share, Reference lists 5 Conclusions < 2 >
Agenda Market Situation MDT Hellas Technical Seminar, 22-23.10. 2015 1 MDT highlights 2015 2 New Engine Programme 2015 3 Global Economy Market Development 4 MDT order books, Market share, Reference lists 5 Conclusions < 3 >
The Worlds first ME-GI Vessel Launching at NASSCO, USA, April 2015 Order details No. of ships: 2 + 3 options No. of engines: 2 + 3 Ship type: Container Capacity: 3100 Teu Engine type: 8L70ME-C8.2-GI GenSets: 3 x 9L28/32DF Builder: Doosan Yard: Owner: Fuel type: NASSCO TOTE Maritime HFO, MGO, NG < 4 >
The worlds first ME-GI LNG Carrier Launching at DSME, Korea, May 2015 Order details No. of ships: 5 + 5 options No. of engines: 10 + 10 Ship type: LNG tankers Capacity: 173,400 CBM Engine type: 2 x 5G70ME-C9-GI Builder: Hyundai Yard: DSME Owner: Teekay Fuel type HFO, MGO, NG < 5 >
The Worlds First ME-LGI Methanol Engine Shop Test at Mitsui, Japan, June 2015 Order details No. of ships: 2 + 1 options No. of engines: 2 + 1 Ship type: Capacity: Engine type: MAN Diesel & Turbo Author Current topic Builder: Yard: Methanol carrier 50,000 dwt 7S50ME-B9.3L-GI Mitsui MNS Engine delivery year: 2015 Fuel type: HFO, MGO, Methanol < 6 >
The Worlds Largest Car Carrier Delivered at Xiamen Shipbuilding, China, July 2015 Order details No. of ships: 6 No. of engines: 6 Ship type: Capacity: Engine type: Builder: Yard: Owner: Fuel type Car Carrier 8500 CEU 6S60ME-C8.2 Xamien Shipbuilding Industry Höegh Autoliners HFO, MGO First Kappel FP propeller < 7 >
The Worlds first FP Kappel Propeller order Sea Trial, China, Lemissoler Navigation, Cyprus, August 2015 Principal particulars 58,500 DWT - Bulk Carriers Length between 186.5 m Breadth moulded 32.26 m Draught fp/ap 11.30 m Design speed 14.2 knots Main engine MAN B&W 5S60ME-C 8.2 Output (SMCR) 8,050 kw at 89 r/min Propeller MAN Alpha Kappel Blades/diameter 4/6,8 m < 8 >
The World s First ME-GI Retrofit Project Service Delivery Test November 2015 Gas Valve Train (GVT) Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) Q-Max 266.000 m 3 LNG Length: 345 m Breadth: 54 m Depth: 27 m Conversion of 2 x 7S70ME-C to ME-GI engine x 2 Submerged LNG feed pumps in cargo tank 4 + 5 < 9 >
Agenda Market Situation MDT Hellas Technical Seminar, 22-23.10. 2015 1 MDT highlights 2015 2 New Engine Programme 2015 3 Global Economy Market Development 4 MDT order books, Market share, Reference lists 5 Conclusions < 10 >
Engine Programme Development External Influence World trade Ship and propeller technology World fleet Environmental requirements Freight prices Fuel types and prices < 11 >
Engine Programme Development Evolution of engines Efficient Low emissions Production friendly Safe Reliable Easy to maintain < 12 >
Engine Programme Development 2013-2015 Engine programme 2014 Dot 2/3/5 21 engines Layout area stretched Some models gone New fuels are available Tier III technologies available All engines updated to dot 5 design Dot 5 performance control strategy Engine programme 2015 All engines Dot 5 19 engines < 13 >
Engine Programme Development Now All Engines are ME < 14 >
Engine Programme 2015 Extended layout request lead to Dot 5 Design Update 1 2 3 MEP dependent design 1 2 3 2013: layout requested for some projects < 15 >
Engine Programme 2015 G - type engines replace K, L and S - types MW ordered per year < 16 >
Engine Programme 2015 Detailed fuel data for each engine model in different configurations < 17 >
Engine Programme 2015 Detailed fuel data & dimensions for each engine model in different configurations < 18 >
Engine Programme 2015 Model Designation NEW CEAS Calculation Programme available Link < 19 >
Agenda Market Situation MDT Hellas Technical Seminar, 22-23.10. 2015 1 MDT highlights 2015 2 New Engine Programme 2015 3 Global Economy Market Development 4 MDT order books, Market share, Reference lists 5 Conclusions < 20 >
Global Economy - Market Development OECD Projections, May 2015 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Real GDP Percentage changes from previous period United States 1,2 2,4 3,1 4,4 3,5 3,3 2,1 0,4-2,4 2,9 1,7 2,3 2,2 2,4 2,0 2,8 Japan -0,4 0,3 2,7 2,6 2,7 2,0 2,4-1,2-5,2 4,0-0,7 1,7 1,6-0,1 0,7 1,4 Euro area 1,6 0,9 0,5 1,8 1,4 2,8 2,7 0,5-4,1 1,7 1,5-0,8-0,3 0,9 1,4 2,1 EU 1,7 1,0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - China (Not member of OECD) 7,7 7,7 7,4 6,8 6,7 OECD Total 1,0 1,8 2,2 3,4 2,8 3,2 2,8 0,5-3,3 2,9 1,8 1,3 1,4 1,8 1,9 2,5 Short-term interest rates Per cent United States 3,7 1,8 1,2 1,6 3,5 5,2 5,3 3,2 0,9 0,5 0,4 0,4 0,3 0,3 0,7 1,8 Japan 0,1 0,1 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,2 0,7 0,7 0,3 0,2 0,2 0,2 0,2 0,1 0,1 0,1 Euro area 4,2 3,3 2,3 2,1 2,2 3,1 4,3 4,7 1,2 0,8 1,4 1,0 0,2 0,2 0,1 0,1 World Trade Percentage changes from previous period 0,0 3,6 4,5 9,4 7,5 9,6 7,3 3,2-11,0 12,5 6,0 3,1 3,3 3,2 3,9 5,3 Economic Outlook no. 70-97 MAN Diesel & Turbo Author Current topic ID: OECD GDP-Trade Source: OECD < 21 >
Global Economy - Market Development OECD World Trade Projections, May 2015 MAN Diesel & Turbo Author Current topic ID: OECD GDP-Trade Source: OECD < 22 >
Global Economy - Market Development Freight Rates, Bulk Carriers, Tankers, Containers Source: IHS Fairplay Hamburg Index for Containership Time-Charter-Rates MAN Diesel & Turbo Author Source: HIS Fairplay Current topic < 23 >
Global Economy - Market Development Newbuilding Prices, Based on Contracting < 24 >
Global Economy Market development - Money World economic development is under pressure (expected GDP growth 2015-2020 2.0-2.5% pa) China is hit by decreasing stock market and a flat consumer market Source: OECD Press Decreased demand for Iron ore and coal (This because low economic growth in China) < 25 >
Global Economy Market development - Fuel Low fuel prices (decreasing Crude prices due to overproduction, Shale Oil/ Gas and the atomic treaty with Iran) Low crude oil prices will lower development in alternative fuel and energy sources Low Energy prices will boost the economic growth (except for oil exporting countries, and oil industries) < 26 >
Global Economy Market development - Ships World fleet capacity increase by 5% in 2015 (same level as growth in OECD world trade) Hidden capacity in The Shipping Market (due to slow steaming) Increasing overcapacity at the worlds yards (also caused by lack of demand for OFF-Shore structures) Source: IHS- Fairplay < 27 >
Global Economy Market development Potential consequences Older ships may become competitive again (due to low fuel prices) Low fuel prices may lead to speed increases Hoping for increasing in freight rates may be optimistic (due to reactivating of hidden capacity) Source: IHS- Fairplay < 28 >
Market Development All Vessel Types >2000 DWT/GT October 2015 Update < 29 >
Market development Vessel contracting Market Share, Countries < 30 >
Market Development All Vessel Types >2000 DWT/GT October 2015 Update < 31 >
Agenda Market Situation MDT Hellas Technical Seminar, 22-23.10. 2015 1 MDT highlights 2015 2 New Engine Programme 2015 3 Global Economy Market Development 4 MDT order books, Market share, Reference lists 5 Conclusions < 32 >
Two Stroke Licensee Network Active Licencees in Yellow Poland Cegielski 1959 Croatia Uljanik 1954 Split 1967 China CCCS HHM 1980 CMD 2007 CMP 2008 GMD 2011 CSIC DMD 1980 YMD 1989 QMD 2014 Others STX 2007 JAD 2007 ZHD 2008 RPM 2008 YungPu 2008 Korea Hyundai 1976 Doosan 1983 STX 1984 Vietnam Vinashin 2004 Japan Mitsui 1926 Makita 1981 Diesel United 2008 Hitachi 1951 IMEX Kawasaki 1911 Hanshin < 33 >
Four-Stroke Licensee Network Most important are CMP, STX and Doosan Poland FSA 1959 Croatia Brodosplit 1967 Uljanik 1984 Adriadiesel 1998 China CMP 1980 SXD 2004 HND 2004 JAD 2008 WHM 2008 CSR 2008 CNPC 2009 Korea STX 1977 Doosan 1983 < 34 >
The Licensees Reported Order Book Low Speed GW on Order End Month Licensee Country Month South Korea Japan China Europe Total 2014 July 16,1 4,4 8,7 0,1 29,4 August 17,1 4,7 10,0 0,1 31,8 September 18,9 4,6 9,9 0,2 33,6 October 19,1 4,6 10,0 0,1 33,8 November 18,6 4,9 10,1 0,1 33,8 December 18,8 4,7 10,2 0,1 33,9 2015 January 19,0 4,4 9,9 0,1 33,4 February 18,9 4,5 10,1 0,1 33,7 March 17,5 4,4 10,2 0,1 32,2 April 17,3 4,8 10,0 0,1 32,2 Maj 17,0 4,8 10,0 0,1 32,0 Juni 17,0 4,5 9,8 0,1 31,4 July 17,5 5,8 9,9 0,1 33,4 MAN Diesel & Turbo Licensee Author Current topic < 35 >
The Licensees Reported Order Book Small Bore Four-stroke MW on Order End Month Month Licensee Country South Korea China Europe India Total 2014 July 951 1.311 12 94 2.368 August 941 1.303 12 94 2.351 September 878 1.284 25 94 2.280 October 875 1.333 25 94 2.327 November 861 1.300 18 94 2.272 December 828 1.072 14 94 2.009 2015 January 808 1.057 14 94 1.974 February 799 1.073 6 94 1.972 March 777 1.075 6 94 1.952 April 756 1.047 6 94 1.902 Maj 750 1.013 6 94 1.862 June 792 970 6 94 1.862 July 789 935 6 10 1.740 < 36 >
Contracting, four quarter moving Ships larger than 2,000 DWT/GT < 37 >
MDT Market Shares-Marine Auxiliary Market shares based on deliveries (2008 2014) Marine Auxiliary (Small bore & 3X bore) High speed auxiliary engines included in market volume 5,6 5,8 6,6 7,3 6,6 5,2 5,1 Significant drop in market share in 2013 and 2014! < 38 >
G engine Tier II Reference list No. of Engines Type Mk. 50 G 95 ME-C 9.5 181 G 80 ME-C 9.2, 9.5 302 G 70 ME-C 9.2, 9.5 335 G 60 ME-C 9.2, 9.5 294 G 50 ME-B 9.3, 9.5 26 G 45 ME-C 9.5 112* G 70 ME-C-GI 9.2, 9.5 6 G 50 ME-B- LGI 9.5 6 G 60 ME-C- GIE 9.5 3 G 50 ME-C- GIE 9.5 Total: 1315 engines Total: MAN Diesel & Turbo Author RASA/ Dept LSP Current topic 31.08.2015 26.5 GW * Incl. options < 39 >
Dual fuel engines Reference list No. of Type Mk. engines 5 S 90 ME-C-GI 10.5 112 G 70 ME-C-GI 9.5, 9.2 5 L 70 ME-C-GI 8.2 4 S 70 ME-C-GI 8.2, 7 10 S 50 ME-B-GI / ME-C-GI 9.5, 8.5, 8.2 6 G 50 ME-B-LGI 9.5 3 S 50 ME-B-LGI 9.3 5 G 60 ME-C-GIE 9.5 3 G 50 ME-C-GIE 9.5 Total dual fuel engines including options: Total power main engine: 153 engines 2.9 GW MAN Diesel & Turbo 03/09/2015 Author Current RASA/LSP topic < 40 >
2-stroke: LNG Tanker Market ME-C and ME-GI Engines Number of LNG tankers 120% S/T 2 Stroke DFDE X-Df ME-GI 100% 92% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 19% 7% 9% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 In 2014/15 MDT won significant market shares in LNG tanker market with the ME-GI Engines < 41 >
Market Situation, China Increased competition CHINA STX Fushun MDT 2-stroke licensees MDT 4 stroke licnesees Win GD 2-stroke licensees Winterthur Gas & Diesel = Joint venture of Wartsila and CSSC. CSSC controls 11 shipyards in China HHM, CMD, GMD, CMP double licensees CSSC has introduced W- engines as standard on all their shipyards. CSR SXD HND YMD YMD (CSIC) GMD GMD YCMP CMP (2/4) CMP RPM (2/4) RPM WHM YZJ JAD (2/4) JAD ZGPT DMD DMD (CSIC) QMD QMD (CSIC) SQE HHM HHM Shanghai CMD CMD ZHD YungPu < 42 >
Market Situation, Korea Increased competition KOREA Hyundai promotes X-engines for standard ships.due to claimed lower Price SFOC Weight Pay-back of engineering hours MDT too dominant in the market 14,400 TEU C/V: 8X92 18,000 TEU C/V: 10X92 19,200 TEU C/V : 11X92 250K Bulk carrier: 6X82 Hyundai installs only Himsen gensets in their ships.. because They protect their own brand They are in a leading position They have a reliable product at a low price 115K Aframax tanker: 6X62 158K Suezmax tanker: 6X72 300K VLCC : 7X82 < 43 >
Market Situation, Japan Increased competition Win GD (Winterthur Gas & Diesel) and Diesel United (DU) Q2, 2015 presented 6-cylinder full scale test engine, W6X72DF DU s Aioi Works, announced verification tests of W6X72DF completed with succes Scavenging + Low gas pressure < 16bar Compression/ gas admission Ignition/ expansion + Lean Burn Otto combustion means IMO Tier III compliance < 44 >
Agenda Market Situation MDT Hellas Technical Seminar, 22-23.10. 2015 1 MDT highlights 2015 2 New Engine Programme 2015 3 Global Economy Market Development 4 MDT order books, Market share, Reference lists 5 Conclusions < 45 >
Conclusions With 153 ME-GI/LGI engines ordered MDT are Market leader DF engines Kappel Propeller/Aft Ship opt. by MDT Alpha is gaining on global market Very low freight rates and low economical growth in China slows down the Global Market Low Energy prices will boost the economic growth, but. Slow down development of alternative fuels and Add to overcapacity of ships Freight rates will probably remain low for some time MDT is in a continued strong position for two stroke engines, but WIN/GD Merger between Wartsila and CSSC is a new threat MDT Gensets are loosing market share and need a boost. < 46 >
Thank You for Your Attention! All data provided in this document is non-binding. This data serves informational purposes only and is especially not guaranteed in any way. Depending on the subsequent specific individual projects, the relevant data may be subject to changes and will be assessed and determined individually for each project. This will depend on the particular characteristics of each individual project, especially specific site and operational conditions. < 47 >