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1 5 Tables Table 5.1 Eurozone forecasts (% YoY) GDP at constant prices Private consumption Public consumption Gross Fixed Capital Formation Inventories (*) Domestic Demand (*) Exports (goods and services) Imports (goods and services) External Demand (*) Prices and Costs CPI CPI Core Labour Market Employment Unemployment rate (% of labour force) Public Sector Surplus (+) / Deficit (-) (% GDP) Public debt (% GDP) External Sector Current Account Balance (% GDP) (*) Contribution to GDP growth. Table 5.2 Macroeconomic Forecasts: Gross Domestic Product (End of period, YoY rate) United States Eurozone Germany France Italy Spain UK Latin America * EAGLES ** Asia Pacific Japan China Asia (exc. China) World ** Bangladesh, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Thailand and Turkey. Forecast closing date: 30 April and IMF 19 / 25

2 Table 5.3 Macroeconomic forecasts: Inflation (Annual average, YoY rate) United States Eurozone Germany France Italy Spain UK Latin America * EAGLES ** Turkey Asia Pacific Japan China Asia (exc. China) World ** Bangladesh, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Thailand and Turkey. Forecast closing date: 30 April and IMF Table 5.4 Macroeconomic forecasts: Current Account (End of period, % GDP) United States Eurozone Germany France Italy Spain UK Latin America * EAGLES ** Turkey Asia Pacific Japan China Asia (exc. China) ** Bangladesh, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Thailand and Turkey. Forecast closing date: 30 April and IMF 20 / 25

3 Table 5.5 Macroeconomic Forecasts: Government Balance End of period, % GDP United States EMU Germany France Italy Spain * UK ** Latin America *** EAGLES **** Turkey Asia Pacific Japan China Asia (exc. China) ** Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia and Turkey. Forecast closing date 6 February and IMF Table 5.6 Financial variables Macroeconomic Forecasts: Official Interest Rates (End of period) United States Eurozone China Macroeconomic Forecasts: 10-year government bond yield (Annual average) United States Germany Macroeconomic Forecasts: Exchange Rates (Annual average) USD-EUR EUR-USD GBP-USD JPY-USD CNY-USD Forecast closing date: 6 February and IMF 21 / 25

4 Table 5.7 Germany: GDP growth and inflation forecasts (% YoY) Private consumption Public consumption Gross Fixed Capital Formation Inventories (*) Domestic Demand (*) Exports Imports Net exports (*) GDP Inflation Table 5.8 France: GDP growth and inflation forecasts (% YoY) Private consumption Public consumption Gross Fixed Capital Formation Inventories (*) Domestic Demand (*) Exports Imports Net exports (*) GDP Inflation Table 5.9 Italy: GDP growth and inflation forecasts (% YoY) Private consumption Public consumption Gross Fixed Capital Formation Inventories (*) Domestic Demand (*) Exports Imports Net exports (*) GDP Inflation / 25

5 Table 5.10 Portugal: GDP growth and inflation forecasts (% YoY) Rate YoY Private consumption Public consumption Gross Fixed Capital Formation Inventories (*) Domestic Demand (*) Exports Imports Net exports (*) GDP Inflation Table 5.11 Spain: GDP growth and inflation forecasts (% YoY) Private consumption Public consumption Gross Fixed Capital Formation Equipment and other products Construction Housing Other construction Inventories (*) Domestic Demand (*) Exports Imports Net exports (*) GDP Inflation Table 5.12 UK: GDP growth and inflation forecasts (% YoY) Private consumption Public consumption Gross Fixed Capital Formation Inventories (*) Domestic Demand (*) Exports Imports Net exports (*) GDP Inflation / 25

6 DISCLAIMER This document has been prepared by BBVA Research Department, it is provided for information purposes only and expresses data, opinions or estimations regarding the date of issue of the report, prepared by BBVA or obtained from or based on sources we consider to be reliable, and have not been independently verified by BBVA. Therefore, BBVA offers no warranty, either express or implicit, regarding its accuracy, integrity or correctness. Estimations this document may contain have been undertaken according to generally accepted methodologies and should be considered as forecasts or projections. Results obtained in the past, either positive or negative, are no guarantee of future performance. This document and its contents are subject to changes without prior notice depending on variables such as the economic context or market fluctuations. BBVA is not responsible for updating these contents or for giving notice of such changes. BBVA accepts no liability for any loss, direct or indirect, that may result from the use of this document or its contents. This document and its contents do not constitute an offer, invitation or solicitation to purchase, divest or enter into any interest in financial assets or instruments. Neither shall this document nor its contents form the basis of any contract, commitment or decision of any kind. In regard to investment in financial assets related to economic variables this document may cover, readers should be aware that under no circumstances should they base their investment decisions in the information contained in this document. Those persons or entities offering investment products to these potential investors are legally required to provide the information needed for them to take an appropriate investment decision. The content of this document is protected by intellectual property laws. It is forbidden its reproduction, transformation, distribution, public communication, making available, extraction, reuse, forwarding or use of any nature by any means or process, except in cases where it is legally permitted or expressly authorized by BBVA. 24 / 25

7 This report has been produced by the Europe Unit: Chief Econmist for Developed Economies Rafael Doménech Europe Miguel Jiménez Agustín García Diego Torres Massimo Trento Sonsoles Castillo BBVA Research Group Chief Economist Jorge Sicilia Serrano Developed Economies Area Rafael Doménech Emerging Markets Area Alicia García-Herrero Financial Systems and Regulation Area Santiago Fernández de Lis Global Areas Spain Miguel Cardoso Europe Miguel Jiménez US Nathaniel Karp Cross-Country Emerging Markets Analysis Alvaro Ortiz Asia Le Xia Mexico Carlos Serrano LATAM Coordination Juan Manuel Ruiz Argentina Gloria Sorensen Financial Systems Ana Rubio Financial Inclusion David Tuesta Regulation and Public Policy María Abascal Recovery and Resolution Strategy José Carlos Pardo Global Coordination Matías Viola Economic Scenarios Julián Cubero Financial Scenarios Sonsoles Castillo Innovation & Processes Oscar de las Peñas Chile Jorge Selaive Colombia Juana Téllez Peru Hugo Perea Venezuela Oswaldo López Contact details: BBVA Research Paseo Castellana, 81 7th floor Madrid (Spain) Tel.: and Fax: / 25

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