Loss & Exempt Percentages & Crop Size History 1.94% 1.89%
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- Meryl Todd
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1 September 9, 2016 Dear Industry Members, Please note that the Beginning Inventory/Carry-in figure for 8/1/2016 reflects the actual Loss & Exempt (L&E) figure for the 2015/2016 crop year. The actual L&E of 2.52% versus the 2% forecasted L&E figure resulted in a downward adjustment of -9,882,602 pounds or -2.34%. The restated 8/1/2016 beginning inventory is 412,001,125 pounds. The July 2016 Carry-out from the July 2016 Position Report compared to actual: Crop Size (million pounds) 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Loss & Exempt Percentages & Crop Size History 2.00% 1.89% 1.94% 1.57% 2.52% - 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 Crop Size 2,020 1,884 2,010 1,868 1,894 Loss & Exempt 2.00% 1.89% 1.94% 1.57% 2.52% 3.00% 2.25% 1.50% 0.75% 0.00% The five year average for L&E is 1.98%. Best regards, Sue Olson Associate Director, Marketing Order Services
2 Almond Industry Position Report Crop Year Salable Forecast Million Lbs Kernel Wt Kernel Wt. AUGUST 2016 % Change 1. Carryin August 1, Crop Receipts to Date 3. [2% Loss and Exempt] 4. New Crop Marketable (2-3) 5. [Reserve] 6. Total Supply (1+4-5) , ,009.0 n/a 2, ,001, ,614, % 359,418, ,387, % ( 7,188,372 ) ( 6,887,757 ) 352,230, ,500, % ,231, ,114, % Shipments by Handlers 7. Domestic 8. Export 9. Total Shipments , , Forecasted Carryout Computed Inventory (6-9) 58,799, ,217, ,017,553 53,976,837 72,188, ,165, ,213, ,948, % 54.07% 34.76% 1.07% Commitments (sold, not delivered)** 12. Domestic 13. Export 14. Total Committed Shipments 205,646, ,197, ,844, ,040, ,381, ,421, % 35.14% 29.73% 15. Uncommitted Inventory (11-14) 112,369, ,527, % DOMESTIC Handlers reporting commitments represent 95% of the 2015/2016 crop MONTHLY REPORT OF SALABLE HANDLER SHIPMENTS Crop Year Crop Year 36,731,045 36,731,045 19,591,800 19,591, , , , ,973 Shelled 39,113,030 Manufactured 22,663,734 Products 181,116 Inshell 128,482 (Interhandler Transfers) ( 2,145,477) (Industry Purchases) ( 1,140,887) TOTAL: 58,799,998 39,113,030 22,663, , ,482 ( 2,145,477 ) ( 1,140,887 ) 58,799,998 35% ( ( 1,459,224) 1,465,147) 53,976,837 ( 1,459,224 ) ( 1,465,147 ) 53,976,837 43% EXPORT Shelled 58,024,217 58,024,217 Manufactured 11,286,052 11,286,052 Products Inshell TOTAL: 41,907, ,217,555 41,907, ,217,555 65% 43,820,671 43,820,671 12,804,338 12,804, ,563,459 15,563,459 72,188,505 72,188,505 57% NET SHIPMENTS 170,017, ,017, % 126,165, ,165, % EXEMPT/INEDIBLE SHIPMENTS 717, ,359 2,604,402 2,604,402 Source: ABC Form 25 September 9, 2016
3 Destinations >250,000 lbs. are reported 2016/17 Global vs. 2016/ Current 2016/ YTD 2015/ Current 2015/ YTD Current Month - August 2016 August 1st through August 31st Current Month - August 2016 August 1st through August 31st Percent 2015/16 WORLD REGION NKW Month NKW Month NKW Month NKW Month YTD Total YTD DESTINATION SHELLED Inshell Total SHELLED Inshell Total SHELLED Inshell Total SHELLED Inshell Total Shipments + / - 62% 38% 100% 62% 38% 100% 78% 22% 100% 78% 22% 100% NORTH AMERICA 57% Canada 3,996, ,996,392 3,996, ,996,392 2,548, ,548,261 2,548, ,548,261 47% Mexico 1,563, ,563,050 1,563, ,563,050 1,062, ,062,448 1,062, ,062,448 54% Ttl. NORTH AMERICA 5,559, ,559,442 5,559, ,559,442 3,613, ,613,324 3,613, ,613,324 LATIN/CARIBBEAN 1505% Brazil 353, , , ,000 22, ,000 22, ,000 49% Ttl. LATIN/CARIBBEAN 1,025, ,025,857 1,025, ,025, , , , ,041 4% 53% TOTAL AMERICAS 6,585, ,585,299 6,585, ,585,299 4,301, ,301,365 4,301, ,301,365 NORTHEAST ASIA 7% China/Hong Kong 5,470,663 2,651,748 8,122,411 5,470,663 2,651,748 8,122,411 5,514,929 2,084,383 7,599,312 5,514,929 2,084,383 7,599,312-13% Japan 3,487, ,156 3,646,181 3,487, ,156 3,646,181 4,152,394 32,580 4,184,974 4,152,394 32,580 4,184,974 9% South Korea 3,920, ,920,582 3,920, ,920,582 3,604, ,604,522 3,604, ,604,522-28% Taiwan 382, , , , , , , ,298 1% Ttl. NORTHEAST ASIA 13,260,323 2,810,904 16,071,227 13,260,323 2,810,904 16,071,227 13,805,143 2,116,963 15,922,106 13,805,143 2,116,963 15,922,106 SOUTHEAST ASIA 32% Indonesia 381, , , , , , , ,750-34% Malaysia 348, , , , , , , , % Thailand 898, , , , , , , , % Vietnam 425,950 1,216,471 1,642, ,950 1,216,471 1,642,421 41, , ,775 41, , , % Ttl. SOUTHEAST ASIA 2,278,891 1,216,471 3,495,362 2,278,891 1,216,471 3,495,362 1,502, ,975 1,623,447 1,502, ,975 1,623,447 SOUTH/CENTRAL ASIA 146% India 784,959 34,228,484 35,013, ,959 34,228,484 35,013,443 1,723,950 12,522,423 14,246,373 1,723,950 12,522,423 14,246, % Pakistan 175, , , , , , ,714 42, ,714 42, % Ttl. SOUTH/CENTRAL ASIA 996,959 34,501,641 35,498, ,959 34,501,641 35,498,600 1,723,950 12,565,137 14,289,087 1,723,950 12,565,137 14,289,087 AUSTRALASIA/OCEANIA 46% Australia 311, , , , , , , ,091 44% New Zealand 312, , , , , , , ,250 45% Ttl. AUSTRALASIA/OCEANIA 624, , , , , , , ,341 33% 73% TOTAL ASIA-PACIFIC 17,160,343 38,529,016 55,689,359 17,160,343 38,529,016 55,689,359 17,462,906 14,803,075 32,265,981 17,462,906 14,803,075 32,265,981 Page 2 August 2016 Position Report
4 Destinations >250,000 lbs. are reported Global 2016/17 Percent vs. 2016/ Current 2016/ YTD 2015/ Current 2015/ YTD Current Month - August 2016 August 1st through August 31st Current Month - August 2015 August 1st through August 31st YTD Total 2015/16 WORLD REGION NKW Month NKW Month NKW Month NKW YTD Shipments + / - DESTINATION SHELLED Inshell Total SHELLED Inshell Total SHELLED Inshell Total SHELLED Inshell Total -3% Belgium 1,346, ,346,000 1,346, ,346,000 1,390, ,390,164 1,390, ,390,164 91% Denmark 836, , , , , , , ,900 9% France 1,580, ,580,266 1,580, ,580,266 1,444, ,444,405 1,444, ,444,405 87% Germany 11,177, ,177,687 11,177, ,177,687 5,991, ,991,751 5,991, ,991,751 70% Greece 484,000 33, , ,000 33, , , , , ,000 46% Italy 4,169,800 31,500 4,201,300 4,169,800 31,500 4,201,300 2,851,535 28,220 2,879,755 2,851,535 28,220 2,879,755-16% Netherlands 2,409, ,409,529 2,409, ,409,529 2,877, ,877,256 2,877, ,877,256 46% Norway 1,110, ,110,690 1,110, ,110, , , , ,450 44% Spain 13,220,585 59,453 13,280,038 13,220,585 59,453 13,280,038 9,178,500 60,912 9,239,412 9,178,500 60,912 9,239,412 50% Sweden 783, , , , , , , ,000-17% United Kingdom 1,798, ,798,567 1,798, ,798,567 2,168, ,168,217 2,168, ,168,217 23% 39% Ttl. WESTERN EUROPE 39,348, ,204 39,472,567 39,348, ,204 39,472,567 28,354,036 89,132 28,443,168 28,354,036 89,132 28,443, % Estonia 440, , , , , , , ,000 1% 2% l. CENTRAL/EASTERN EUROPE 1,229, ,229,224 1,229, ,229,224 1,200, ,200,200 1,200, ,200,200 37% TOTAL EUROPE 40,577, ,204 40,701,791 40,577, ,204 40,701,791 29,554,236 89,132 29,643,368 29,554,236 89,132 29,643,368 MIDDLE EAST -9% Israel 286, , , , ,525 31, , ,525 31, ,102 9% Jordan 237,500 31, , ,500 31, , , , , ,000-56% Saudi Arabia 609, , , ,950 1,401, ,401,750 1,401, ,401, % Turkey 479,800 2,932,745 3,412, ,800 2,932,745 3,412, ,000 63, , ,000 63, ,000 3% United Arab Emirates 2,260, ,675 2,550,125 2,260, ,675 2,550,125 2,070, ,241 2,482,741 2,070, ,241 2,482,741 47% Ttl. MIDDLE EAST 4,051,486 3,253,920 7,305,406 4,051,486 3,253,920 7,305,406 4,447, ,818 4,954,717 4,447, ,818 4,954,717 NORTH AFRICA 68% Algeria 440, , , , , , , ,000-4% Ttl. NORTH AFRICA 527, , , , , , , , , ,434 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA -21% South Africa 371, , , , , , , ,640-14% Ttl. SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 407, , , , , , , ,640 5% 38% TTL MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA 4,987,186 3,253,920 8,241,106 4,987,186 3,253,920 8,241,106 5,306, ,252 5,977,791 5,306, ,252 5,977,791 54% TOTAL EXPORTS: 69,310,415 41,907, ,217,555 69,310,415 41,907, ,217,555 56,625,046 15,563,459 72,188,505 56,625,046 15,563,459 72,188,505 35% 9% TOTAL DOMESTIC: 58,799,998 58,799,998 53,976,837 53,976, % 35% GRAND TOTAL SHIPMENTS: 170,017, ,017, ,165, ,165,342 Page 2 August 2016 Position Report
5 Variety Name Almond Board of California Quality Control Receipts Report Industry Summary August 1, 2016 through August 31, 2016 From ABC Form 1 From USDA Inspection Certificates Total Receipts Total Receipts Total Inedibles % of Total Receipts % Rejects Aldrich 1,959,966 1,529,517 16, % 1.05% Avalon 228, ,254 8, % 4.08% Butte 1,270, ,048 3, % 0.58% Butte/Padre 2,594,837 2,400,633 13, % 0.55% Carmel 1,163, ,664 7, % 0.85% Carrion Folsom 47,245 66,754 1, % 2.87% Fritz Hash 504,241 48,877 14, % 30.08% Hashem 0 29, % 1.28% Independence 8,209,011 6,490,809 93, % 1.44% Livingston 136,513 4, % 3.62% Marchini Marcona 20, % 0.00% Mission Mixed 732,225 1,784, , % 6.74% Mono 86,577 11, % 2.50% Monterey 240, ,172 1, % 0.93% Morley Neplus 12,063 6, % 1.36% Nonpareil 334,979, ,111,106 3,366, % 1.36% Padre 1,676,972 1,003,055 6, % 0.69% Peerless 41, % 0.00% Price 1,198, ,926 5, % 0.65% Ruby Sonora 1,679,338 5,294, , % 2.40% Supareil 19,656 10, % 1.04% Tokyo 118, ,668 1, % 1.16% Winters 128, % 0.00% Wood Colony 2,320,404 2,018,517 21, % 1.08% Major Varieties Sub Total: 359,370, ,612,823 3,809, % 1.41% Minor Varieties Total: 48,223 33,499 1, % 5.10% Grand Total All Varieties 359,418, ,646,322 3,811, % 1.41% This report is subject to further verification of handler's receipts and further reconciliation of USDA incoming certificates Friday, September 9, 2016
6 Almond Board of California Record Breaking History Million Pounds Domestic 16/17 vs. 15/16 16/17 15/16 14/15 13/14 12/13 11/12 10/11 09/10 08/09 07/08 August 8.9% September October November December January February March April May June July Total Export 16/17 vs. 15/16 16/17 15/16 14/15 13/14 12/13 11/12 10/11 09/10 08/09 07/08 August 54.1% September October November December January February March April May June July Total , , , , , , , Net 16/17 vs. 15/16 16/17 15/16 14/15 13/14 12/13 11/12 10/11 09/10 08/09 07/08 August 34.8% September October November December January February March April May June July Total , , , , , , , , , August 2016 Position Report
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