Wind power in Brazil New solutions for new challenges

Transcription

1 Wind power in Brazil New solutions for new challenges

2 Index Global wind power market Brazil wind power market ABB in wind and in Brazil Advanced control systems Wind farm operation and maintenance Integration of wind power to the grid Month DD, Year Slide 2

3 Market to peak in 2015 followed by 2016 contraction China and US move the needle New additions (W) 2015: 58 GW up from 47 GW in 2014 Growth drivers: End of PTC in US, FIT revision in China China alone 24 GW US: almost 8 GW Contraction in Europe onshore : 10 GW India: 2.7 GW, growing Offshore almost doubling 3 GW. Brazil expected to install 2.6 GW New additions (GW) Data source: Make Q wind power market outlook update Market to bottom in 2016 and 2017 due to end of US PTC, FIT revision in CN and policy uncertainty in Europe. Market down in US, China, Germany and offshore But rest of the markets are flat or growing Growth in new markets August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 3

4 2020: 61GW, up 13 GW compared to 2014 Drivers: onshore grid parity, offshore. Policy changes. New additions (GW) New additions (GW) In 2020 Offshore contributes with almost 8GW Importance of emerging markets: +5.3GW China flattening around 20GW US: cliff in 2017, after recovery up to 5GW in 2020 Mature onshore markets are flat except for US and IN that grow India: 3GW seems to be the new frontier to beat Brazil: solid project backlog supported by future auctions. 2 to 3 GW per annum. Beyond 2020 Europe moving out of FIT towards more auctions EU 2030 target: wind 27% of the generation mix China NDRC long term vision 1000 GW by 2050 US: market to stabilize around grid parity, CPP act Offshore to grow on cost reduction and China Data source: Make Q wind power market outlook update August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 4

5 Brazil taking upper positions in global ranking While penetration in Brazilian energy matrix increases With almost 6 GW, represent almost 5% of total generation capacity In 2015, wind has covered between 2 to 2.5% of the total electricity demand August 4: wind accounted for 4.8% of the country's total power supply Month DD, Year Slide 5

6 Brazil wind market outlook Based on contracted capacity and forecast Source: ABEEÓLICA / ANEEL ( ) Month DD, Year Slide 6

7 Brazil wind market carries on own characteristics Young market with specific wind conditions Two key success factors Auction model BNDES financing Demanding but working local content requirements All in all, Brazil perceived as market with positive outlook Well known challenges Infrastructure Supply chain Skilled resources O&M experience Month DD, Year Slide 7

8 Wind generation performance in Brazil A different potential compared to other regions The Proinfa time: early days, low performance Wind potential: stronger, more constant, hotter and more humid Capacity factor 2014 average: 41% Excluding Proinfa: 43% Some projects have reached above 50% in some months, peaking even at 80% Month DD, Year Slide 8

9 Main players on the Brazilian wind market Wind farm owners: mainly local players so far Turbine manufacturers: changing picture Source: ABEEÓLICA / Brasil Energia Source: BNEF, H Brazil Market Outlook. Month DD, Year Slide 9

10 ABB is key-enabler for the wind-industry ABB helps customers along the complete value-chain to generate, monitor and control power from wind farms as well as to maintain and optimize their systems. Power systems consulting Hybrid generation microgrid Generators Plan Generate Collect Connect Control & Manage Operate & Maintain Month DD, Year Slide 10

11 ABB in Wind Some Key Facts 30 years of experience ABB components in 40 GW Manufacturing and engineering wind products in 80 locations More then wind generators ABB market leader for low voltage products, essential to safe operation ABB s SafeWind is the slimmest MV switchgear available on the market In 2014, ABB connected wind farms to the grid in 14 countries Providing service in all the main wind markets Strategic investment in ROMO and Pentalum Month DD, Year Slide 11

12 ABB presence in Brazilian Wind Market Local content covering the whole electrical value chain Oil and dry transformers manufactured in Blumenau, with FINAME code Medium voltage manufactured in Guarulhos, with FINAME code Manufacturing of generators in Sorocaba with FINAME code Manufacturing of converters in Sorocaba. Applied for FINAME code Delivering to Gamesa, Alstom, Acciona, Vestas and Wobben. Power transformers and high voltage switchgear manufactured in Guarulhos Consulting team in Guarulhos active in all main grid connection projects. Substations from Guarulhos. 3.3 GW connected from south to northeast up to 500 kv grid Country service organization covering all ABB portfolio Month DD, Year Slide 12

13 Advanced control systems

14 Maximize output of existing assets Wind automation solutions to address operations and maintenance challenges Month DD, Year Slide 14

15 Operations Dispersed assets ABB s remote management system integrates all your assets Remote portfolio management Effective operations Plant diagnostics Power management & optimization Production forecasting Condition monitoring Service & Maintenance Market operator Plant Operations Remote management system Grid operator Plant automation Data collection, storage and analysis Plant automation system Plant automation system Plant automation system Plant automation system Integrates plant, substation and all other equipment into one system One point of control for the entire plant Ensures compliance to grid code requirements August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 15

16 Operations Effective operations Real time monitoring, unified data model and ergonomic HMI Fast data, big data Unified information model Efficient operations Real time monitoring of assets, with refresh rate at HMI within a second Flexible configuration of data retention policies Enables big data due to scalability of the system on both real time and historian databases IEC based information model for each plant type Integration of generation and electrical systems into a single information model Efficient engineering and additions of new plants into the system Ergonomic HMI to visualize all relevant process data from the plant, grid connection and weather stations Improved reaction time through structuring and visualization of critical data in a high level displays August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 16

17 Security of supply Security of supply Predict and control the power to enable renewable energy trading Service & Maintenance Market operator Grid operator Minimizes risks associated with intermittency using power forecasting tools Optimizes the power production with real time control application at portfolio level Plant Diagnostics Remote management center Condition Monitoring Power management Power and price forecasting Extracts the entire value of your assets and provides relevant services to market and grid operators Plant data, alarms, notifications Real time monitoring Setpoints for each plant Facilitates renewable energy trading August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 17

18 Forecasting of power production Security of supply Runs with most updated field data to minimize forecasting error Historian Power management Maintenance schedule Forecasting module interacts with all other relevant parts of the system to ensure minimum forecasting error Numerical weather predictions are outside of our controls, everything else is Real time SCADA data Forecasting Numerical weather predictions Provides intraday forecasts up to 6 hours, with 10 min resolution Provides 6 days ahead forecasts with hourly resolution Intraday forecasts Days ahead forecasts August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 18

19 Forecasting of power production Application example with Engie in Italy Security of supply Ventyx Nostradamus was trained on customer data Good forecasting results were achieved and customer was happy with the application August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 19

20 Optimized power production at fleet level Security of supply Considers running costs and constraints of each plant, tightly integrates with forecasting and condition monitoring Fleet objective Plant constraints Power Management Plant running costs Optimizes power production across the entire portfolio using a real time and powerful optimization solver Ensures best economic running point for the entire fleet due to the consideration of plant running costs and constraints Provides intraday scheduling of the power considering plant schedules, availability and forecasts of power production Plant availability Plant condition Plant schedule & forecasts Helps maintenance activities by protecting plants with bad health conditions Enables ancillary services provision and energy trading of renewable power due to the capability to enable virtual power plant functionality and make all plant work towards a common objective Turns renewable/intermittent power into a flexible production facility August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 20

21 Power Management Power management The plant control system has an important role to enable security of supply Monitor ABB Service Team Owner & operator Grid operator Single point of monitoring and control for the plant, integrates generation with electrical, power with automation Remote connection Grid code compliant control libraries Plant Automation System SCADA database, including historian IEC 104 IEC 104 Wind HMI Web interface for remote access Monitors all plant equipment, from turbines to meteorological stations and substations IEDs Ensures high standards for cybersecurity Control SCADA Control Modbus WT Controller Modbus IEC 104 OPC Wind Farm Control IEC Substation Modbus IEC 104 Direct I/O STATCOM Modbus IEC 104 Energy Storage Modbus IEC 104 Grid Stabilization Turns the plant into a flexible generating facility Coordinates the controls of turbines with other actuators in the plant (capacitor banks, tap changer, STATCOMs & energy storage) Provides grid code compliance at all times, all over August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 21

22 Plant performance assessment Performance indicators Availability Efficiency Performance assessment library using IEC recommendations to calculate efficiency of the wind turbines Calculates efficiency of wind turbines, wind farm and the entire fleet Availability assessment library considering various triggers for unavailability Turbine components Collector grid Grid connection/substation Power grid (quality of it) Weather Service & Maintenance Plant Diagnostics Remote management center Condition Monitoring Plant data, alarms, notifications Market operator Real time monitoring Power management Setpoints for each plant Grid operator Power and price forecasting August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 22

23 Availability Efficiency How to improve efficiency of wind turbines Use new sensing technologies to determine efficiency improvements Spinner Anemometer (from ROMO Wind) LiDAR Technology (from Pentalum) Accurate wind speed measurements using sonic sensors placed on the spinner of each wind turbine Possibility to accurately determine the power curve (efficiency) of the wind turbine by correlating wind speed and produced power Identify the reasons for efficiency loss (e.g. yaw misalignment) and correct it Accurate wind speed measurements using LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) sensors placed on the ground, in front of each wind turbine Possibility to accurately determine the power curve (efficiency) of the wind turbine by correlating wind speed and produced power Identify the reasons for efficiency loss due to wakes and turbulences inside the wind farm August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 23

24 Availability Efficiency Increase performance with advanced controls Optimize wind farm operation using all available means Some wind farms are affected by wake effects Power production could potentially be increased Loading of turbines could be reduced Life time of turbines can be increased Maintenance could be better managed and controlled The collector grid offers possibility for improving efficiency Voltage and reactive power management inside the wind farm reduces tripping risks and losses in the collector grid Coordinated control with the other actuators at grid connection, such as capacitor banks and STATCOMs, further reduces the losses in the collector grid Optimization at farm level necessary August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 24

25 Wind farm operation and maintenance

26 Emergence of O&M market Brazil market prepares for servicing boom Increasing number of wind farms entering into operation Increasing number of wind farms out of warranty The trilemma: OEM contract, ISP s, self maintenance The challenges of Brazilian wind power plants: high capacity factor, high salinity, 99% availability, reduce LCOE O&M market is expected to grow from $157 million to $500 million in the next five year Month DD, Year Slide 26

27 Operation & maintenance ABB offerings for wind turbines Generator Repairs Converter Replacements LV Motors Retrofits LV circuit breakers Spare parts LV contactors Training June 2, 2015

28 Operation & maintenance ABB offerings for electric balance of plant Transformer Repairs & Retrofits MV & HV Switchgear Replacement Capacitor banks Plant assessment Facts On site assessment and repair Substation Maintenance contract June 2, 2015

29 ENEL Power Modelo Wind Power Plant Brazil Customer: ENEL Year of commissioning: 2015 Customer need Rapid response after a fire in the GIS medium voltage cubicles ABB response Delivery of temporary air insulated system including project, 34,5kV reconnectors and protection panels Customer benefits August 30, 2015 Slide 29 Recovered 110MW power generation in 45 days after the incident

30 ENEL Power Serra Azul Wind Power Plant Brazil Customer: ENEL Year of commissioning: 2015 Customer need Temporary solution to connect the wind farm to a 138 kv grid while the 230kv grid is not ready ABB response Implementation of 2 mobile bays with PASS and protection system Customer benefits Start 40MW power generation on time with the concession contract August 30, 2015 Slide 30

31 MS Renováveis Substation Service Contract for 3 Wind Power Plants Brazil Customer: MS Renovaveis Year of commissioning: 2012 Customer need Asset Management 99% Availability ABB response Predictive Maintenance Yearly Preventive Maintenance 24/7 Assistance for corrective maintenance Customer benefits Reliability and longer system lifetime 1 single point of contact for 3 wind power plants, reduction of own workforce August 30, 2015 Slide 31

32 Integration of wind power to the grid

33 Grid integration Increased penetration of wind power brings new challenges Wind represent 2 to 2.5% of total electrify consumption Expectation is that penetration could reach 10% In some regions and at peak time, penetration will be much higher The challenges Avoid grid disturbance (Reactive power, Harmonics, Flicker) Keep system stable Avoid curtailment (Scheduling and dispatching, Balancing) The solutions Planning Grid development Ensure power quality Flexibility in grid and generation operation Eventually, energy market where renewables take their responsibility and get paid for it Month DD, Year Slide 33

34 Integration of renewables is core to ABB Consulting: expertise and competences Month DD, Year Slide 34

35 Integration of renewables is core to ABB Product and solutions Capacitor banks Harmonic filters Statcoms SVC Energy storage HVDC Forecasting Active and reactive power management Virtual power plants EMS/GMS Month DD, Year Slide 35

36 Galvão Engenharia: CGE Farol, São Bento, Olho D agua e Boa Vista Interconnection studies and power quality Month DD, Year Slide 36

37 Suzlon Capacitor Banks for Faisa Wind Power Plant Brazil Customer: Suzlon Year of commissioning: 2015 Customer need Power factor correction in a MW wind power plant ABB response Delivery in turn key basis 2 x 15MVaR capacitor banks, HV and MV equipment Integration with existing sysytem Customer benefits Asure power quality in compliance with ONS requirements August 30, 2015 Slide 37

38 FACTS devices in REE transmission grid Month DD, Year Slide 38

39 Energy storage system for renewable applications USA Month DD, Year Slide 39

40 CREZ Reactive power compensation study. ERCOT Month DD, Year Slide 40

41 Alberta Electric System Operator Impact assessment Month DD, Year Slide 41

42 Key points to take away Brazil wind market Fast growing with stable positive outlook Own characteristics compared to other major wind markets Well known challenges Infrastructure Supply chain Skilled resources O&M experience New challenges Maximize output of existing assets require advanced control solutions Aging fleet will require increased focus on operation and maintenance Integration of renewables to the grid involves a range of solutions At the planning and design stage Taking advantage of exsting products and solutions August ABB 30, Group 2015 Slide 42

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