GE Renewable Energy. Unsubsidised Onshore Wind. Charles Haworth PhD Risk and Operations Leader EMEA & Asia. Imagination at at work.
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1 GE Renewable Energy Unsubsidised Onshore Wind Charles Haworth PhD Risk and Operations Leader EMEA & Asia Imagination at at work General Electric Company GE wind turbines 170MW, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil
2 Cost of onshore wind around the world Price of Wind (GBP/MWh) UK Wholesale Electricity Price Source of Pricing information: DECC Recharge BNEF Lawrence Berkley National Labs Exchange rates as of 1 st May General Electric Company
3 Europe wind resources Source EEA,
4 Factors effecting energy capture Energy capture scales by: Wind speed 3 Wind speed increases with height (Wind Shear Effect) Rotor Diameter Wind shear effect important at low tip heights and forested sites 2014 General Electric Company
5 Appropriate planning parameters would be the largest driver to unsubsidised onshore wind in the UK 2015 General Electric Company GE s MW turbines 55MW, Mumbida,
6 Largest Rotor Installed in UK today GE 2.75MW-120m Rotor on 85m Tower Muirhall Windfarm, UK
7
8 Evolution of the GE wind portfolio GE units 1,000 th 5,000 th 10,000 th 20,000 th 25,000 th UNIT FARM 1.5i (65m) 1.5s (70.5m) 1.5sl (77m) e 1.5xle (82.5m) GE acquires Alstom Model introduction 2.5s (88m) 2.5xl (100m) /137 Digital Wind Farm 2MW-116 2MW-107 GE s journey from the unit to the farm 8 *Since General Electric Company
9 Energy Production and Levelised Cost of Energy Typical 15 unit wind speed GE Turbine Model MW Rotor Diameter Tower Height
10 125m Tip Height 170m Tip heights and turbine selection Modelled on typical 15 turbine UK 7.5m/s 15,700 Homes 16/MWh LCOE 4300 Homes 3.3/MWh LCOE mTH 5,200 Homes 6.1/MWh LCOE 6,200 Homes 6.6/MWh LCOE mTH mTH mTH Low Annual Energy Production High Flexible permitting largest driver for cost of electricity 2014 General Electric Company
11 Conclusion Onshore wind projects are viable at current UK wholesale energy prices. Permitting changed (150+m tip heights) UK onshore wind market re-alignment to new price levels (financing returns, development fees, land royalties) General Electric Company.
12 Thank you for your attention 2015 General Electric Company GE wind turbines 50MW, Salkhit wind plant, Mongolia
13 LCOE Calculation Assumptions Installation Site Conditions Annual Average Wind Speed m/s 7.50 Wind Speed Measured At m 80 Annual Average Temperature C 8.00 Shear Factor 0.2 K Factor 2 Number of WTGs Units 15 WTG Loss factor % 15 Tariff Details Project Life Years 20 Escalation % 1.0% Financing Duration Years 10 Financing Rate % 4.5% Grid and Development CAPEX Million GBP General Electric Company GE 97m spaceframe tower Prototype unit, Tehachapi,
14 Wind is a good citizen of the grid Wind keeps the lights on Isn t today! wind intermittent? 122% - Denmark 93% - Portugal 61% - Germany (w/ solar) 61% - Xcel (CO) 45% - Ireland 36% - ERCOT (TX) 34% - BPA (OR/WA) 33% - SPP (NE/KS/OK) 25% - MISO (Midwest) & more! *Instantaneous penetration. Sources: AWEA, America s Power Plan Isn t wind intermittent? Wind is predictable as predictable as flipping a light switch Don t wind speeds change? Change is normal as normal as air conditioners turning on or generators tripping off What if winds don t blow when needed? Siting affects timing high-capacity-factor turbines & good siting enables wind generation when needed General Electric Company.
15 Wind is a good citizen of the grid when allowed to act like a power plant All power plants Commit power in advance Dispatch power as grid operators demand Regulate transmission voltage Wind plants achieve this through Forecasting free wind fuel 1 st dispatched curtailment Power controls control flexibility curtailment, revenue opportunity Voltage controls connect to weak grids, utility trust curtailment Stabilize grid during disturbances Ride-thru controls interconnect site, avoid curtailment by supporting grid Operating wind as a power plant helps the grid and your economics General Electric Company.
16 2015 General Electric Company The digital infrastructure behind your wind farm Digital Twin Capturing diverse streams of high velocity data in a comprehensive library, creating a digital model of your physical assets Customer Tools Apps leverage Digital Twin infrastructure to empower customers with actionable insights Power forecast Weather Performance Parameter settings Maintenance history Component configuration Pulse POINT Plan of the day Predix* A cloud-based software platform COLLECT VISUALIZ ANALYZE E Turning real-time operational data into actionable insights *Trademark of General Electric Company
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