Who s in the Driver s Seat? Rebecca M. Brewster President and COO American Transportation Research Institute

Transcription

1 Who s in the Driver s Seat? Rebecca M. Brewster President and COO American Transportation Research Institute

2 ATRI Trucking industry s NFP research organization Safety Mobility Economic Analysis Technology Environment

3 Board of Directors

4 Research Advisory Committee

5 2014 Top Industry Issues 1. Hours-of-Service 2. Driver Shortage 3. CSA 4. Driver Retention 5. ELD Mandate 6. Truck Parking 7. Transportation Infrastructure/ Congestion/Funding 8. Driver Health & Wellness 9. Economy 10. Driver Distraction

6 Top Issues Drivers vs. Carriers Commercial Drivers 1. Hours-of-Service 2. Truck Parking 3. ELD Mandate 4. CSA 5. Driver Retention 6. Driver Health/Wellness 7. Fuel Supply/Fuel Prices 8. Driver Distraction 9. Driver Shortage 10. Transportation Infrastructure /Congestion/Funding Motor Carrier Execs 1. Driver Shortage 2. Hours-of-Service 3. CSA 4. Driver Retention 5. ELD Mandate 6. Transportation Infrastructure /Congestion/Funding 7. Economy 8. Driver Health/Wellness 9. Tort Reform 10. Driver Distraction

7 Analysis of Truck Driver Age Demographics Across Two Decades Identified as a top RAC priority 2013 Released December 2014 Analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data Examines demographic trends in driver workforce with implications for future

8 Truck Driver Age Demographics

9 Truck Driver Age Demographics

10 Truck Driver Age Demographics

11 Truck Driver Age Demographics Program Type Public Schools Offering Program Business 96.5% Computer Technology 94.4% Mechanics and Repair 81.9% Precision Production 78.9% Construction 73.5% Childcare and Education 68.3% Healthcare 64.9% Agriculture 62.4% Other Technology 58.3% Marketing 57.9% Food Service and Hospitality 57.4% Communications and Technology 53.6% Other Occupational Programs 48.2% Personal and Other Services 48.0% Trade and Industry/Transportation 28.8% Protective Services 25.8%

12 What to Do? Maintain current employee base Research best ways to engage year olds (and younger) Identify ways to encourage/foster vocational learning focused on trucking Bridge gap between high school and trucking career Graduated CDL

13 Hours-of-Service Analysis to quantify expected impacts of 34-hour restart changes 2,292 driver surveys 500+ carrier surveys Logbook analysis 40k+ drivers

14 Hours-of-Service Post-rules implementation data collection 2,370 driver surveys 446 carrier surveys Logbook analysis 40k+ drivers

15 Carrier Findings Operational Impacts

16 Driver Findings Quality of Life

17 Driver Findings Fatigue Impacts

18 Driver Findings Pay Impacts

19 34-Hour Restart Impacts Analyzed full year pre-/post-july 1, 2013 truck GPS and crash data Impacts on operations and safety RAC priority 2014

20 Moving Drivers to Daytime

21 Moving Drivers to Daytime

22 Crash Risk for Drivers by Time of Day

23 Safety Impacts Post-July 1, 2013 Overall injury and towaway crashes up for all days and weekdays Mondays all crashes up; injury and towaway highest increases Tuesdays all crashes up; towaways highest increase Saturdays all crashes up; towaways highest increase Sundays morning injury crashes up 28%; towaways 13.3%

24 Managing Critical Truck Parking Top RAC priority for 2015 Research tasks include: Driver data collection yielded over 1,400 driver surveys Utilizing truck GPS data to assess parking supply and demand Benefit-cost analysis of truck parking reservation systems impacts on productivity and safety Impacts of lost capacity

25 Where is it most difficult to find available parking? Public rest stops 14% Public and private rest stops equally difficult 62% Private truck stops 24%

26 Where are you most likely to reserve a parking space? Small Metro 8% Rural 8% All Areas 30% Major Metro 54%

27 How much are you willing to pay to reserve a parking space? $21+ $16-$20 $11-$15 $6-$10 $1-$5 $0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Percent of Respondents

28 CSA Scores and Crash Risk What is the relationship of BASIC scores to crash risk? Analyzed percentile scores and alerts Similar findings in 2014 GAO report

29 BASIC Scores and Crash Risk

30 Controlled Substances/Alcohol Percentile Scores and Crash Rates

31 Driver Fitness Percentile Scores and Crash Rates

32 Enforcement Disparities Top RAC priority in 2013 Quantitative and qualitative analysis of the impact of enforcement priorities on carrier CSA scores Disparate enforcement of safety regulations obscures actual carrier performance, relative to peers as measured by the SMS

33 Freight Bottleneck Analysis Ongoing monitoring of 250 truck freightsignificant locations Avoiding/scheduling around truck freight congestion chokepoints

34 Rank 2014 Top 10 Freight Bottlenecks Location Average Speed 2013 Rank Change 1 Fort Lee, NJ: I-95 at SR Chicago, IL: I-290 at I-90/I Atlanta, GA: I-285 at I-85 (North) Cincinnati, OH: I-71 at I Houston, TX: I-45 at US Houston, TX: I-610 at US St. Louis, MO: I-70 at I-64 (West) Los Angeles, CA: SR 60 at SR Louisville, KY: I-65 at I-64/I Austin, TX: I Tampa, FL: I-4 at I Jacksonville, FL: I-10 at I

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36 Cost of Congestion Calculates total trucking industry cost of congestion on Interstates 2013 cost of $9.2 billion 141 million lost hours of productivity Translates to over 51,000 drivers sitting idle for a working year

37 Cost of Congestion 89% of cost concentrated on 12% of Interstate miles

38 Operational Costs of Trucking Annual report first issued in 2008 Collects and analyzes real-world motor carrier operational data Calculates costs by mile and by hour

39 Operational Costs of Trucking Average Carrier Costs per Mile Motor Carrier Costs Vehicle-based Fuel Costs $0.633 $0.405 $0.486 $0.590 $0.641 $0.645 $0.583 Truck/Trailer Lease or Purchase Payments $0.213 $0.257 $0.184 $0.189 $0.174 $0.163 $0.215 Repair & Maintenance $0.103 $0.123 $0.124 $0.152 $0.138 $0.148 $0.158 Truck Insurance Premiums $0.055 $0.054 $0.059 $0.067 $0.063 $0.064 $0.071 Permits and Licenses $0.016 $0.029 $0.040 $0.038 $0.022 $0.026 $0.019 Tires $0.030 $0.029 $0.035 $0.042 $0.044 $0.041 $0.044 Tolls $0.024 $0.024 $0.012 $0.017 $0.019 $0.019 $0.023 Driver-based Driver Wages $0.435 $0.403 $0.446 $0.460 $0.417 $0.440 $0.462 Driver Benefits $0.144 $0.128 $0.162 $0.151 $0.116 $0.129 $0.129 TOTAL $1.653 $1.451 $1.548 $1.706 $1.633 $1.676 $1.703

40 2015 Top Research Priorities Determining Ideal Truck Parking Locations Onboard Safety Systems (OSS) Analysis Phase 1 Truck Crash Costs by Severity Phase 2 Deployment of OSS, Lives Saved, Injuries Avoided Getting Younger Drivers in the Driver s Seat Younger Driver Assessment Tool Fixing the 12% Baseline Class 8 Truck MPG

41 Questions? Rebecca Brewster