Rhythms & Reasons in Recycling Markets

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1 Rhythms & Reasons in Recycling Markets Dr. Jeffrey Morris Sound Resource Management Group, Inc. Olympia, WA Tel TRUE Markets Webinar May 22, 2018

2 $/ton Recycling Market Price Fluctuations $200 Average Price for Curbside Recycled Materials Puget Sound Region, $180 $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $98 $60 $40 $20 $33 $50 $64 $81 $ Source: Sound Resource Management Group, Inc. database on Northwest recycling market prices. This graph and graphs for individual materials available for download at:

3 Old Corrugated Cardboard Boxes January March 2018 $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $

4 Recycling Market Price Fluctuations for Cardboard Actual & Estimated Recycled Cardboard Prices (1993 to 2018 in constant 2009$/ton) $320 $280 $240 Actual Ordinary Least Squares (OLSQ) Autoregressive (AR1) $200 $160 $120 $80 $ Source: Morris, J., Oregon Recycling Markets Price Cycles and Trends: A Statistical Search for Significant Economic Causes, prepared for the State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, October Available at or at Resource Recycling article at

5 Used Aluminum Beverage Cans February March 2018 $2,000 $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $

6 Recycling Market Price vs. Virgin Material Price Virgin & Recycled Prices ($/ton) Aluminum Ingot Vs. Used Beverage Cans $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 Virgin Ingot $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 Recycled Cans Source: Sound Resource Management Group, Inc. database on Northwest recycling market prices and London Metal Exchange official cash settlement prices. This graph available for download at:

7 Baled PET Bottles January March 2018 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $

8 Recycling Market Price vs. Virgin Material Price Virgin & Recycled Prices ($/ton) PET Bottle Resin Pellets Vs. Baled PET Bottles $2,500 Virgin Pellets $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 Recycled Bottles $ Source: Sound Resource Management Group, Inc. database on Northwest recycling market prices and Plastic News PET Commodity Bottle Resin prices. This graph available for download at:

9 $900 Baled HDPE Bottles January March 2018 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $

10 Tin-Plated Steel Cans February March 2018 $325 $275 $225 $175 $125 $75 $25 ($25)

11 Curbside Recycled Glass Average January March 2018 $60 $40 $20 ($20) ($40) ($60)

12 Old Newspapers February March

13 Mixed Paper February March

14 Thank you. Dr. Jeffrey Morris Sound Resource Management Group, Inc. Olympia, WA Tel

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