San Francisco Mobility, Access & Pricing Study
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1 San Francisco Mobility, Access & Pricing Study SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY Summer Workshops 2010
2 Downtown Growth Projections + 24,000 hsg units + 107,000 jobs +184,000 auto trips +88,000 transit trips +39,000 auto trips +25,000 transit trips +8,000 auto trip +4,000 transit trips +19,000 auto trips +9,000 transit trips +37,000 auto trips +15,000 transit trips +8,000 auto trips +4,000 transit trips +73,000 auto trips +30,000 transit trips *projected growth by 2030, Projections 2007 and SF-CHAMP
3 Distribution of trips (2005 base) 2.3M person-trips in the Northeast Cordon daily nearly half are auto trips over 40% of trips are made during peak periods (17% AM; 25% PM) In the PM peak ~46% are auto person-trips ~28% are transit person-trips Of the 260K PM auto trips in the Northeast Cordon more than half of auto persontrips made by San Francisco residents East Bay, 30,000, 12% North Bay, 10,000, 4% Distribution of AUTO Trips during the PM Peak, 2005 South Bay, 26,000, 10% External, 3,000, 1% w/in NE Cordon, 52,000, 20% Rest of SF, 136,000, 53% Source: SF-CHAMP,
4 Why Congestion Pricing? Bay Area is 2 nd most congested region in the nation (Texas Transportation Institute) 10% of region s population is in SF 20% of region s traffic delay is in SF s downtown 850, , ,000 business as usual Vehicle Miles Traveled in Focus Area Average peak period trip to Downtown SF is twice as long as off-peak trip 820, ,000 San Francisco sacrificed over $2 billion to congestion in 2005 ($3.2B/yr by 2030) Transportation is responsible for about half of greenhouse gas emissions in SF 800, , , , , Baseline Southern Gateway Northeast Cordon (AM & PM) Northeast Cordon (PM outbound) Private automobiles contribute over 45% SF seeks to reduce GHG emissions to 25% below 1990 levels by , % lower with 2015 congestion pricing
5 How congestion pricing would work 6am 9am 9am 3pm 3pm 7pm evenings Possible Fees Weekdays $3 NO FEE $3 NO FEE Weekends NO FEE NO FEE NO FEE NO FEE Technology would leverage existing systems, e.g. FasTrak accounts Sample Detection Technology Design considerations support camerabased equipment Multiple payment methods possible Phone, web, text, retail, etc. 5
6 Potential Scenarios tell us what you think Northeast Cordon, AM/PM ($3 am/pm both directions) Northeast Cordon, PM ($6 evening outbound only) Southern Gateway w/ Parking Pricing ($3 am/pm both directions plus higher parking fees) Transit speed below 8 mph Transit speed below 8 mph Transit speed below 8 mph Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph 6
7 Change in Transit Service (by neighborhood) Southern +34% Richmond +9% Northern +5% Mission +42% Edge Circulation +44% Central +26% ,000 1,200 1,400 1, Base 2015 Southern Gateway 2015 NE Cordon 2015 NE Cordon, PM Out Peak Period Runs
8 Potential investment program Start-up capital improvements: $ million for projects including: San Francisco Van Ness BRT Signal priority & diamond lanes on Fulton, Mission, California Bike lanes citywide Real-time signage and wayfinding East Bay BART station wayfinding, capacity, access improvements North Bay 101 corridor management (FPI/ramp metering) South Bay Caltrain access improvements, 101 HOV lane Annual investments: $35-55M/year to be spent on multi-modal improvements such as: More frequent regional and local express bus service Street paving/pothole repair Traffic calming Streetscape improvements Parking management and enforcement School, worksite TDM programs Power-washing Tell us what investments you d like to see Sample of feedback received at previous meetings
9 Scenario Comparison by the numbers NE Cordon* (AM/PM) NE Cordon (PM, outbound) Southern Gateway (AM/PM) Net Operating Revenue $80 M $70 M $60 M Operating Ratio (exp/gross rev after disc) 30-35% 20-25% 25-30% Peak Auto Trips to/from NE Cordon (avg) -12% -10% -5% Peak Auto Trips to/from S. Corridor (avg) -4% -4% -20% Change in Transit Speeds up to 20% up to 20% up to 15% Daily San Francisco VMT -5% -3% -4% Daily NE Cordon VHD -21% -10% -4% Change in C0 2 Emissions (NE Cordon) -16% -9% -7% Change in C0 2 Emissions (San Francisco) -5% -3% -4% Change in PM 2.5 Emissions (NE Cordon) -17% -11% -8% Change in PM 2.5 Emissions (San Francisco) -5% -3% -4% Change in Collisions (NE Cordon) -12% -5% -3% Change in Collisions (San Francisco) -6% -4% -5% Values in 2008$ for single representative year * Risk analysis pending 9
10 Feedback: community & equity Top concerns: Availability, reliability, cost of transit Impacts on working poor, families Reduction in local/off-peak service due to core/peak demands Traffic/parking diversions on edge of zone Geographic equity (no South Bay tolls currently) Needs/requests: Discounts and/or exemptions for low-income drivers, disabled drivers EQUITY OUTREACH Transportation Justice Working Group TALC Annual Summit MTC Committees: Citizens Advisory Committee Elderly/Disabled Advisory Committee Minority Citizens Advisory Committee Varied neighborhood/community groups Suggest other groups we should consult: Tell us more: Sample of comments received at previous meetings
11 Feedback: business impacts & analysis Top concerns: Better enforcement of double parking More enforcement of loading zones More loading zones, tour bus parking Needs/requests: Varied fee/discount suggestions: - fleet rates should be flat - periodic invoices to minimize administrative burden Varied scenario suggestions: - AM only charges (even if higher) - Outbound only charges during PM - Parking pricing BUSINESS OUTREACH Union Square Association (board & policy committee) SF Chamber of Commerce (board & public policy committee) BOMA Committees (Environment & Gov t Affairs) SF Small Business Commission Focus groups on: Commercial Transportation, Hospitality/Tourism, Restaurant, Retail Varied organizational meetings & associations Suggest other groups we should consult: Tell us more: Sample of comments received at previous meetings
12 How might trip patterns change? Origin Mode Roundtrip Travel Time Cost Peak vs. Off-Peak 2 1. Haight/ Ashbury, SF Drive Alone 54 mins $2 AM/PM peak 1 3 Switches from drive alone to transit and saves 15 mins/day 2. Mill Valley, Marin Drive Alone 91 mins $9 Mid-day/PM peak Switches time of day and saves 13 mins/day 3. Rockridge, Alameda Transit 147 mins $7 AM/PM peak Keeps taking transit and saves 20 mins/day 4 4. San Jose, Santa Clara Carpool 206 mins $62 AM/PM peak Keeps carpooling and saves 53 mins/day 12
13 Potential economic/social benefits User Benefits/Costs Social Benefits/Costs Congestion Charges Paid Travel Time Savings Vehicle Operating Cost Savings Safety, Health, & Environmental Benefits Congestion Charges Received Program Costs - $145 M + $370 M + $30 M + $30 M + $145 M -$65 M Total Benefits/Costs Annual Costs Annual Benefits Overall Annual Social benefit - $260 M + $620 M + $360 M Values in 2008$ for a single representative year 13
14 Potential business impacts broadly neutral Employment impact expected to be minimal (up to 1%), due to: infusion of external capital for startup costs streetscape enhancements, visitor amenities work/school TDM measures Neutral to positive retail impacts expected considering multiple factors: 60,000 more transit and walk/bike trips per day in the cordon area (conservative estimate) retail survey shows comparable spending by transit and auto users Average Spending & Frequency by Mode Mode Average Spend per Visit Average # Trips per Month Average Spend per Month Drive $56 4 $224 Transit $39 7 $273 Walk $42 7 $294 Survey of 1400 travelers in San Francisco s downtown retail areas, December 2007 and April 2008 How should we help mitigate potential business impacts: 14
15 Opportunities for Feedback: Public workshops: July Ferry Building, 5:30 7p July SFCTA, 5:30 7p Lunchtime webinars: August 4th, 12n 1:00p August 5th, 12:30 1:30p mobility@sfcta.org
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