TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM OF ENRICHMENT TECHNOLOGY COMPANY. STATUS AND DEVELOMENT PROSPECTS OF URENCO & ORANO & ETC

Transcription

1 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST 2018, V-1 IBR TM TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM OF ENRICHMENT TECHNOLOGY COMPANY. STATUS AND DEVELOMENT PROSPECTS OF URENCO & ORANO & ETC VOLUME I DESIGN & TECHNOECONOMIC PERFORMANCES OF THE SIX GENERATIONS OF URENCO/ETC GC & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT IBR TM - INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RELATIONS, LLC Moscow, 2018 IBR TM 1

2 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST 2018, V-1 ABOUT INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RELATIONS, LLC (IBR TM ) INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RELATIONS, LLC (IBR TM ) was set up in 1991 by a group of researchers and engineers who previously worked at enterprises under the USSR Ministry of Atomic Power and Industry. IBR TM is specialized in consulting & engineering along with project management in nuclear power and nuclear fuel cycle. Leading Russian and foreign companies, as well as state organizations, are constant clients of IBR TM. The IBR TM successful activities are based on high professionalism of the company staff, which implies: Deep knowledge of technologies and operational experience in nuclear power and nuclear fuel cycle; Knowledge of the tools for economic and investment analysis of nuclear technologies; Experience in successful management of nuclear projects. IBR TM strives for expansion and intensification of cooperation with its constant clients and welcomes collaboration with new clients in the interests of further improvement of safety and efficiency of nuclear technologies. IBR TM 2

3 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST 2018, V-1 PROJECT TEAM The IBR TM staff Selected experts from state & private institutions IBR TM 3

4 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST 2018, V-1 CONTENTS About INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RELATIONS, LLC (IBR TM ) 2 PROJECT TEAM 3 CONTENTS 4 DEFINITIONS 5 LIST OF TABLES 6 LIST OF FIGURES 8 CHAPTER 1 ANALYSIS OF TECHNICAL PERFORMANCES OF THE SIX GENERATIONS OF GC MANUFACTURED BY URENCO/ETC COMPANIES 10 CHAPTER 2 ANALYSIS OF URENCO/ETC GC DESIGN 22 CHAPTER 3 ANALYSIS OF POWER CONSUMPTION BY THE G3, TC-11, TC-12 & TC-21 GC MODELS 22 CHAPTER 4 GC RELIABILITY 25 CHAPTER 5 ANALYSIS OF MODELS TC-12 & TC-21 GC PRICES 27 APPENDIX A.1 IDENTIFICATION OF AREA BOUNDARIES ENCOMPASSING THE GEOMETRICAL DIMENSIONS OF MODELS TC-12 AND TC-21 GC 28 APPENDIX A.2 IDENTIFICATION OF THE GC NUMBER IN A SINGLE CASCADE WITHIN URENCO SELECTED PLANT PROJECTS 40 APPENDIX A.3 DESIGN ANALYSIS OF URENCO/ETC GC 49 APPENDIX A.4 CARBON FIBER FOR ETC MANUFACTURED GC 61 REFFERENCES 65 IBR TM 4

5 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST 2018, V-1 LIST OF TABLES Table 1.1 Table 1.2 Table 1.3 Table 1.4 Table 1.5 Table 1.6 Table 1.7 Table 1.8 Areas (ranges), encompassing the geometrical dimensions of models TC-12 and TC- 21 of URENCO/ETC centrifuges, identified based on analysis of the available photographic and other information Estimated results of the GC number in a single cascade of UTA-1, UTA-2 plants and SBM-1001 module (NEF-LES plant, 2004 year Project) Input data and calculated results of model TC-12 GC capacity, obtained from analysis of various projects Comparative data on the dynamics of installed capacity of plant E23 of URENCO, presented in (NEF No dated June 10, 200, and the results of the calculations with the use of IBRTM model with the measure of capacity of GC TC-12 equal to 40.0 SWU per year and with reliability factor of GC ~ Technical specifications of model TC-12 GC URENCO GC models and their characteristics in relative units General characteristic of URENCO GC six generations Specifications of the six generations of URENCO/ETC GC Table 1.9 Actual and IBR TM forecasted URENCO/ETC GC service life as the 2017 Table 3.1 Table 4.1 Table 5.1 Table A.1.1 Table A.1.2 Table A.1.3 Table A.2.1 Table A.2.2 IBR estimate of energy consumption by various GC models and specific energy consumption of the process making use of different GC models IBR estimation of GC TC-12 and TC-21 models failure probability IBR estimate of models TC-12 and TC-21 GC price evolution Geometrical dimensions of the elements shown in Figure A.1: results of analysis Criteria for TC-12 GC nuclear safety analysis Areas (ranges), encompassing the geometrical dimensions of models TC-12 and TC- 21 of URENCO/ETC centrifuges, identified based on analysis of the available photographic and other information Calculation of GC number in a cascade row of UTA-1, UTA-2 plants and SBM-1001 module Calculated results: Total number of the sections in the cascade halls of UTA-1 and UTA-2 plants; The number of sections per cascade of UTA-1 and UTA-2 plants; The number of cascades in the cascade hall of UTA-1 and UTA-2 plants. Table A.2.3 Calculated results of the number of GC in a single cascade of UTA-1, UTA-2 plants and SBM-1001 module IBR TM 6

6 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST 2018, V-1 Table A.3.1 Structure of bending resonances of the TC-12 type rotors with a uniform rotor of the T- 800 fiber and rotor with bellows (resonance frequencies in view of gyro effect are given after a slash ) Table A.4.1 Table A.4.2 Table A.4.3 Characteristics of high-strength carbon fiber fabricated by Toray Characteristics of high-strength carbon fiber fabricated by Toray Most probable makes of carbon fibers used in the structure of GC manufactured by ETC and formula of their laying IBR TM 7

7 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST 2018, V-1 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1.1 Figure 3.1 Figure 3.2 Relative linear velocity of the rotor revolution and rotor relative length, as a function of URENCO centrifuge generation Evolution of specific energy consumption on URENCO Deutschland GmbH site in , kw x hour / SWU Evolution of specific energy consumption on URENCO Deutschland GmbH site in , kw x hour / SWU Figure A.1.1 Figure from URENCO Annual Report 2005, page 18 Figure A.1.2 Figure A.1.3 Figure A.1.4 Figure A.1.5 Figure A.1.6 Figure A.1.7 Figure A.1.8 Figure A.1.9 Figure A.1.10 Figure A.1.11 Centrifuges manufactured by ETC TC-12 gas centrifuges manufactured by ETC TC-12 gas centrifuges manufactured by ETC TC-12 gas centrifuges manufactured by ETC Passage between TC-12 centrifuge sections Passage between TC-12 centrifuge sections Start of winding in the video clip, the carriage (marked out by red) moves to the right The carriage has turned round and is moving to the left The pattern of forming the strengthening winding on the end of composite tube (Patent EP B1) Video fragments Figure A.2.1 Separation Building Module, first floor (The National Enrichment Facility Project, 2004) Figure A.2.2 Figure A.2.3 Figure A.2.4 Figure A.2.5 The SP4 plant cascade hall The UTA-1 plant cascade hall General view of UTA-1 plant and standard module layout General view of UTA-2 plant and standard module layout Figure A.2.6 Fragment of Process Service Area at SBM plant of National Enrichment Facility (2004 year Project) Figure A.3.1 Figure A.3.2 Figure A.3.3 Figure A.3.4 Structural element as a fiber-reinforced cylindrical tube: US Patent , dated , Uranit Co. (German Patent DE dated ) Two methods of bellows fastening for joining two composite tubes Possible technology of mounting a steel bellows on a composite tube Machining of an end element blank IBR TM 8

8 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST 2018, V-1 Figure A.3.5 Figure A.3.6 Figure A.3.7 Figure A.3.8 Figure A.3.9 Technology of metal flange parts mounting on a composite tube Manufacturing technology and design of (rotor) drive plate of an ultracentrifuge, inertial accumulator or other similar device The motor working parameters, effective power and efficiency depending on voltage Example of magnetization lines pattern TC-12 GC upper section Figure A.3.10 A drawing to Patent DE dated Figure A.3.11 Centrifuge lower dampers (supports) IBR TM 9

9 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST 2018, V-1 REFERENCES [1] Safety Evaluation Report for the Claiborne Enrichment Center, Homer, Louisiana, Docket No Louisiana Energy Services, L.P., NUREG-1491 [2] National Enrichment Facility, Safety Analysis Report, Revision 2, July 2004 [3] Eagle Rock Enrichment Facility Environmental Report, Revision 0, December 2008 [4] Eagle Rock Enrichment Facility Environmental Report, Revision 0, April 2009 [5] Complementary Safety Margin Assessment URENCO Netherlands BV [6] Section Gas Centrifuges from monograph Isotopes: Properties, Production, Application, 2000 (in Russian) [6] Centrifuge technology: the future for enrichment, Pat Upson, World Nuclear Association Annual Symposium, 5-7 September 2001 London [7] Centrifuge technology: the future for enrichment, Pat Upson, World Nuclear Association Annual Symposium, 5-7 September 2001 London [8] Umwelterklarung Zweite Aktualisierung URENCO Deutschland GmbH Urananreicherungsanlage Gronau, 2005 [9] Umwelterklärung Erste Aktualisierung URENCO Deutschland GmbH Urananreicherungsanlage Gronau 2015 Berichtsjahr 2014) [10] URENCO Nederland B.V. Uitbreiding capaciteit naar tsw/jaar Drienemansweg 1 te Almelo, Milieueffectrapport, Definitief, 15 December 2010 [11] The Enriching Troika. A History of URENCO to the Year R.В.Kehoe. Urenco Limited, [12] On a Formula to Evaluate the Separative Power of Long Gas Centrifuges V. D. Borisevich, V. D. Borman, S. V. Bogovalov, V. A. Kislov, V. N. Tronin, I. V. Tronin, V. I. Abramov, and S. V. Yupatov, National Research Nuclear University MEPhI, Moscow, Russian Federation, Separation Science and Technology, 49: , 2014 Copyright Taylor & Francis Group, LLC ISSN: print= online DOI: / [13] Separative Power of an Optimized Concurrent Gas Centrifuge, Sergey Bogovalov, Vladimir Borman, National Research Nuclear University (MEPHI), Nuclear Engineering and Technology, Volume 48, Issue 3, June 2016, Pages [14] Umwelterklärung, URENCO Deutschland GmbH, Urananreicherungsanlage Gronau, Berichtsjahr 2016, 2017 IBR TM 65

10 IBR TM TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM OF ENRICHMENT TECHNOLOGY COMPANY. STATUS AND DEVELOMENT PROSPECTS OF URENCO & ORANO & ETC VOLUME II STATUS AND DEVELOPMENT PROSPECTS OF URENCO & AREVA & ETC IBR TM - INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RELATIONS LLC Moscow, 2018 IBR TM 1

11 ABOUT INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RELATIONS, LLC (IBR TM ) INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RELATIONS, LLC (IBR TM ) was set up in 1991 by a group of researchers and engineers who previously worked at enterprises under the USSR Ministry of Atomic Power and Industry. IBR TM is specialized in consulting & engineering along with project management in nuclear power and nuclear fuel cycle. Leading Russian and foreign companies, as well as state organizations, are constant clients of IBR TM. The IBR TM successful activities are based on high professionalism of the company staff, which implies: Deep knowledge of technologies and operational experience in nuclear power and nuclear fuel cycle; Knowledge of the tools for economic and investment analysis of nuclear technologies; Experience in successful management of nuclear projects. IBR TM strives for expansion and intensification of cooperation with its constant clients and welcomes collaboration with new clients in the interests of further improvement of safety and efficiency of nuclear technologies. IBR TM 2

12 PROJECT TEAM The IBR TM staff Selected experts from state & private institutions IBR TM 3

13 CONTENTS About INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS RELATIONS, LLC (IBR TM ) 2 PROJECT TEAM 3 CONTENTS 4 DEFINITIONS 5 LIST OF TABLES 6 LIST OF FIGURES 8 CHAPTER 1 IBR TM MODEL OF URENCO & AREVA & ETC, INITIAL DATA, TESTING 11 CHAPTER 2 URENCO BACKGROUND, STATUS & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST UP TO CHAPTER 3 AREVA ENRICHMENT BUSINESS UNIT BACKGROUND, STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST UP TO CHAPTER 4 ENRICHMENT TECHNOLOGY COMPANY (ETC) BACKGROUND, STATUS & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST UP TO APPENDIX A.1 PROCEDURES TO DETERMINE INITIAL DATA FOR THE MODEL 83 APPENDIX A.2 OTHER MANUFACTURERS AND SUPPLIERS OF AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT FOR URENCO AND AREVA URANIUM ENRICHMENT PLANTS 89 APPENDIX A.3 URENCO S TAILS ASSAY ANALYSIS: BACKGROUND, STATE & FORECAST. URENCO S DEPLETED URANIUM STRATEGY ANALYSIS: BACKGROUND, STATE & FORECAST RESULTS OF EUP MARKET FORECAST DYNAMIC PATTERN OF URENCO AND AREVA CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT UP TO YEAR REFERENCES 97 IBR TM 4

14 LIST OF TABLES Table 2.1 Table 2.2 Table 2.3 Table 2.4 Table 2.5 Data on rated operational capacities of separate URENCO sites and of URENCO as a whole obtained with the aid of the IBR TM model as compared with data in annual URENCO reports Dynamics of URENCO s main financial and economic performances (absolute values) Dynamics of URENCO s main financial and economic performances (specific values) IBR TM forecast of URENCO capacity development IBR forecast of URENCO share at the world market of SWU production, EUP production and EUP supplies to the final customers Table 2.6 Current status of UTA-1 plant (2017) Table 2.7 Current status of UTA-2 plant (2017) Table 2.8 Activities to implement the development strategy of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) in the period of up to 2035 (Option, if Gronau site development doesn t stop) Table 2.9 Current state of SP4 plant (2017) Table 2.10 Current state of SP5 plant (2017) Table 2.11 Activities to implement the development strategy of URENCO Nederland B.V. (UNL) in the period up to 2035 Table 2.12 Current state of A3 plant (2017) Table 2.13 Current state of E22 plant (2017) Table 2.14 Current state of E23 plant (2017) Table 2.15 Activities to implement the development strategy of URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) in the period up to 2035 Table 2.16 Current state of LES plant (2017) Table 2.17 Table 3.1 Actions to be taken to implement strategic plans of URENCO USA Inc. development through 2035 Dynamics of financial and economic performance of AREVA Enrichment Business Unit (a total for three companies which are part of Business Unit) Table 3.2 Current state of GB-II plant, phase I (2017) Table 3.2 Table 3.4 Table 3.5 Table 4.1 IBR TM forecast of market demands for EUP from AREVA Enrichment Business Unit and sources of EUP supplies IBR TM forecast of AREVA Enrichment Business Unit capacity development IBR forecast of ORANO share at the world market of SWU production, EUP production and EUP supplies to the final customers Financial and economic performances of ETC IBR TM 6

15 Table A.1.1 Table A.1.2 Table A.1.3 Table A.1.4 Table A.1.5 Table A.2.1 Table A.3.1 Table A.3.2 Structures of the investments in the construction and commissioning of the plant using the TC-12 technology (in term of 2017 year prices), EUR per installed SWU Structure of the investments in the construction and commissioning of the plant using the TC-21 technology (in term of 2017 year prices), EUR per installed SWU Structure of the investments in the plant upgrading (in term of 2017 year prices), EUR per installed SWU Structure of the investments in the plant upgrading (in term of 2017 year prices), EUR per installed SWU Results of analyzing value of efficient specific investments into installed capacity of plants using ETC technology Auxiliary equipment for uranium isotope separation plants and its manufacturers (URENCO/ETC technology) Contract s terms for URENCO s depleted uranium enrichment in Russia URENCO s depleted uranium volume and quality supplied to Russia in for the enrichment Table A.3.3 Estimation of annual average tails assay at URENCO Gronau site in Table A.3.4 URENCO s products (EUP, NU) production, and DU generation and utilization in IBR TM 7

16 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2.1 Figure 2.2 Figure 2.3 Figure 2.4 Figure 2.5 Figure 2.6 Figure 2.7 Figure 2.8 Figure 2.9 Figure 2.10 Figure 2.11 Corporate structure of URENCO Dynamics of URENCO s Installed Capacity, Nominal Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output in , mln. SWU per year Dynamics of URENCO s Installed Capacity, Nominal Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output in , mln. SWU per year URENCO s Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics in , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year URENCO s Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics in , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year Dynamics of URENCO s GC fleet in , % of total quantity Dynamics of URENCO s GC fleet in , % of total quantity Distribution of URENCO s Capacity by GC models in , % of total capacity Distribution of URENCO s Capacity by GC models in , % of total capacity Relation of Nominal Operating Capacity to original Installed Capacity of URENCO s cascades in operation in , % of Installed Capacity Relation of Nominal Operating Capacity to original Installed Capacity of URENCO s cascades in operation in , % of Installed Capacity Figure 2.12 URENCO s dynamics of regional sales, mln. Figure 2.13 Figure 2.14 Figure 2.15 Figure 2.16 Figure 2.17 Figure 2.18 Figure 2.19 Figure 2.20 Figure 2.21 Figure 2.22 URENCO s dynamics of regional sales, mln. SWU URENCO debt maturity profile, mln IBR TM -forecasted development dynamics of URENCO for the period up to 2035, mln. SWU IBR TM - forecasted capital expenditures of URENCO for the period up to 2035, mln. Dynamics of URENCO s GC fleet in the period of , % of total quantity Distribution of URENCO s capacity by GC models in the period of , % of total capacity Relation of Nominal Operating Capacity to original Installed Capacity of URENCO s cascades in operation in , % of Installed Capacity Overall view of the URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) site Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output dynamics of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) in , mln. SWU per year Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output dynamics of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) in , mln. SWU per year Figure 2.23 Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) in 1985 IBR TM 8

17 2000, as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year Figure 2.24 Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) in , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year Figure 2.25 Output dynamics of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) in , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against the data of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD), mln. SWU per year Figure 2.26 IBR TM -predicted development of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) in , mln. SWU per year Figure 2.27 Figure 2.28 Figure 2.29 Overall view of the URENCO Nederland B.V. (UNL) site Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output dynamics of URENCO Nederland B.V. (UNL) in , mln. SWU per year Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output dynamics of URENCO Nederland B.V. (UNL) in , mln. SWU per year Figure 2.30 Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics of URENCO Nederland B.V. (UNL) in , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year Figure 2.31 Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics of URENCO Nederland B.V. (UNL) in , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year Figure 2.32 IBR TM -forecasted development dynamics of URENCO Nederland B.V. (UNL) in , mln. SWU per annum Figure 2.33 Figure 2.34 Figure 2.35 Figure 2.36 Figure 2.37 Figure 2.38 Figure 2.39 Figure 2.40 Figure 2.41 Overall view of A3 plant at the site of URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) Overall view of E22 plant at the site of URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) Overall view of E23 plant at the site of URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output dynamics of URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) in , mln. SWU per year Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output dynamics of URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) in , mln. SWU per year Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics of URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) in , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics of URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) in , as calculated against the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year IBR TM -forecasted dynamics of URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) in , mln. SWU per year Overall view of URENCO USA Facility s plant site Figure 2.42 Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output dynamics of URENCO USA Inc. (UUS) in , mln. SWU per annum IBR TM 9

18 Figure 2.43 IBR TM -forecasted development dynamics of URENCO USA Inc. (UUS) in , mln. SWU per year Figure 3.1 Figure 3.2 Figure 3.3 Figure 3.4 Figure 3.5 Figure 3.6 Figure 3.7 Figure 4.1 Figure 4.2 Figure 4.3 Figure 4.4 George Besse II South Unit George Besse II North Unit Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output dynamics of AREVA Enrichment Business Unit (George Besse II) in , mln. SWU per year Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics of AREVA Enrichment Business Unit (George Besse II) for , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against AREVA s data, mln. SWU per year IBR TM -forecasted development dynamics of AREVA Enrichment Business Unit for the period until 2035, mln. SWU IBR TM -forecasted capital expenditures of Enrichment Business Unit for the period until 2035, mln. Relation of the Nominal Operating Capacity to the original Installed Capacity the AREVA Enrichment Business Unit cascades in operation in , % of Installed Capacity Dynamics of GC models TC-12 and TC-21 production, pieces per year Dynamics of GC models TC-12 and TC-21 production, SWU per year Dynamics of GC models TC-12 and TC-21 production, pieces per year Dynamics of GC models TC-12 and TC-21 production, SWU per year Figure A.3.1 URENCO Gronau site feeding in Figure A.3.2 URENCO Gronau site SWU production & feeding dynamics in IBR TM 10

19 Figures show the dynamics of the URENCO development in the period up through the year Installed Capacity (IBR Data) Nominal Operating Capacity (IBR Data) Production (IBR Data) Figure 2.2 Dynamics of URENCO s Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output in , mln. SWU per year Installed Capacity (IBR Data) Nominal Operating Capacity (IBR Data) Production (IBR Data) Figure 2.3 Dynamics of URENCO s Installed Capacity, Nominal Operating Capacity and Output in , mln. SWU per year IBR TM 15

20 Figures compare the dynamics of URENCO s Nominal Operating Capacity calculated using the IBR TM model against URENCO s data Nominal Operating Capacity (IBR Data) Nominal Operating Capacity (URENCO Data) Figure 2.4 URENCO s Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics in , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year Nominal Operating Capacity (IBR Data) Nominal Operating Capacity (URENCO Data) Figure 2.5 URENCO s Nominal Operating Capacity dynamics in , as calculated using the IBR TM model, compared against URENCO s data, mln. SWU per year Table 2.1 gives a digital comparison of data on rated operational capacities of separate URENCO sites and of URENCO as a whole, obtained with the aid of the IBR TM model, with data presented by URENCO. IBR TM 16

21 Data on rated operational capacities of separate URENCO sites and of URENCO as a whole obtained with the use of the IBR TM model as compared with data in annual URENCO reports Year URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) IBR URENCO Data, Data, Mln. SWU Mln. SWU URENCO Nederland B.V. (UNL) IBR URENCO Data, Data, Mln. SWU Mln. SWU URENCO UK Ltd. (UUK) IBR Data, Mln. SWU URENCO Data, Mln. SWU URENCO USA Inc. (UUS) IBR Data, Mln. SWU URENCO Data, Mln. SWU IBR Data, Mln. SWU URENCO Table 2.1 URENCO Data, Mln. SWU IBR TM 17

22 Figures show the characteristic of URENCO s GC fleet in G1+SNOR LEC G2+CNOR G3 4M 3LC TC-10 TC-11 TC-12 TC-16 TC-21 Figure 2.6 Dynamics of URENCO s GC fleet in , % of total quantity LEC G2+CNOR G3 4M 3LC TC-10 TC-11 TC-12 TC-16 TC-21 Figure 2.7 Dynamics of URENCO s GC fleet in , % of total quantity IBR TM 18

23 LEC G2+CNOR G3 4M 3LC TC-10 TC-11 TC-12 TC-16 TC-21 Figure 2.8 Distribution of URENCO s Capacity by GC models in , % of total capacity LEC G2+CNOR G3 4M 3LC TC-10 TC-11 TC-12 TC-16 TC-21 Figure 2.9 Distribution of URENCO s Capacity by GC models in , % of total capacity IBR TM 19

24 Figures show the relation of Nominal Operating Capacity to original Installed Capacity of URENCO s cascades in operation Nominal Opearating Capacity / Installed Capacity Figure 2.10 Relation of Nominal Operating Capacity to original Installed Capacity of URENCO s cascades in operation in , % of Installed Capacity Nominal Opearating Capacity / Installed Capacity Figure 2.11 Relation of Nominal Operating Capacity to original Installed Capacity of URENCO s cascades in operation in , % of Installed Capacity IBR TM 20

25 Table 2.3 Year Dynamics of URENCO s main financial and economic performances (specific values) Specific revenue from sales of goods and services, / SWU Specific EBITDA, / SWU Specific cash generated from operations, / SWU Specific net income, / SWU Specific SWU cost 5, / SWU / / / / / / / Без учета / с учетом отчислений на создание и эксплуатацию Tails Management Facility (TMF). IBR TM 22

26 Table 2.5 IBR forecast of URENCO share at the world market of SWU production, EUP production and EUP supplies to the final customers URENCO Year Share at the world market of SWU production, % Share at the world market of EUP production, % Share at the world market of EUP supplies to the final customers (with account of EUP receipt from the other enrichers), % IBR TM 35

27 2.3 Background, state-of-the-art and forecast of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) Development Figure 2.20 gives an overall view of the URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) site. At present time, there are two plants, UTA-1 and UTA-2, in operation at the site of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD). Current status of UTA-1 plant (2017) Cascade hall serial number Main equipment (GC model) Operation years 11 1 G G3 1985/ G G TC / TC /1994 ~ 2021/ TC /1996 ~ 2024/ TC /2000 ~ 2027/2030 TC ~ TC /2006 ~ 2030/2036 TC /2005 ~ 2031/2035 Current status of UTA-2 plant (2017) Cascade hall serial Main equipment number (GC model) Operation years 1 TC /2009 ~ 2038/ TC ~ TC ~ TC ~ TC ~ 2041 Table 2.6 Table 2.7 Figures present data that characterize the installed capacity, nominal operating capacity and output dynamics of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) in Here and below, in case the date of cascade's decommissioning is indicated after 2014, this date is forecasted. IBR TM 41

28 Nevertheless, if URENCO does not abandon the development of the site in Gronau, then the following activities will be performed on the site in Gronau until Table 2.8. Activities to implement the development strategy of URENCO Deutschland GmbH (UD) in the period of up to 2035 (Option, if Gronau site development doesn t stop) Table 2.8 Plant UTA-1 UTA-2 Development (forecast) Option 1 UTA-1 plant modernization. Option 2 - Termination of UTA-1 plant operation by Decommissioning (decontamination and dismantling) after The project of the UTA-2 plant provided for construction and placing into service of the plant two phases [8]. According to the UTA-2 plant project the first and second phases will have a shared UF 6 Handling Area. The project provided for the TC-21 technology to be used in the first phase of the UTA-2 plant, the TC-12 technology in the second phase. The first phase of the UTA-2 plant (made operational in ) is based on the GC TC-21 technology. UTA-2 plant first phase nominal operation capacity is 2.85 mln. SWU. UTA-2 plant second phase nominal operation capacity is 1.15 mln. SWU. Option 1 - UTA-1 plant modernization. UTA-2 second phase will be not demanded until UTA-2 plant second phase will be not in demand until Option 2 - Termination of UTA-1 plant operation by Decommissioning (decontamination and dismantling) after Construction and commissioning UTA-2 plant second phase started from IBR TM 46

29 2.5 Background, state-of-the-art and forecast of URENCO USA Inc. (UUSA) Development Figure 2.41 Overall view of URENCO USA Facility s plant site Current state of URENCO USA Facility LES (2017) Table 2.16 Module Main equipment (GC model) Operation years SBM-1001/1002 TC / /2043 SBM-1003/1004 TC / /2044 SBM-1005/1006 TC / /2053 Notes All GC cascades are in operation. All GC cascades are in operation. All GC cascades in SBM-1005 are in operation. 10 GC cascades out of 12 are installed in SBM No one of GC cascades in operation in SBM IBR TM 62

30 Current state of GB-II facility, phase 1 (2017) Table 3.2 Module Basic equipment Year of (GC model) commissioning Note South Unit 1 TC ~ 2041 South Unit 2 TC ~ 2042 South Unit 3 TC /2013 ~ 2042/2043 South Unit 4 TC ~ 2043 North Unit 1 TC /2013 ~ 2042/2043 North Unit 2 TC /2014 ~ 2043/2044 North Unit 3 TC /2015 ~ 2044/2045 North Unit 4 TC /2017 ~ 2045/ GC cascades out of 16 are installed and in operation. It proceeds from IBR TM analysis that 120 cascades of the GC of TC-12+ of 128 cascades envisaged by design have been installed in cascade halls of GB-II as of the end of cascades of the GC of TC-12+ are in operation (2017). Figure 3.3 presents the evolution dynamics of ORANO GB-II capacity in the period up to the year 2017 inclusively. IBR TM 69

31 Table 3.5 IBR forecast of ORANO share at the world market of SWU production, EUP production and EUP supplies to the final customers ORANO Year Share at the world market of SWU production, % Share at the world market of EUP production, % Share at the world market of EUP supplies to the final customers (with account of EUP receipt from the other enrichers), % IBR TM 74

32 4.3 GC production by ETC in TC-12, pieces per year TC-21, pieces per year Figure 4.1 Dynamics of GC models TC-12 and TC-21 production, pieces per year SWU per year Figure 4.2 Dynamics of GC models TC-12 and TC-21 production, SWU per year IBR TM 79

33 ETC TECHNOLOGICAL PLATFORM / URENCO & AREVA STATE & DEVELOPMENT FORECAST, V-2, 2017 REFERENCES [1] Uranium Enrichment Update from URENCO, World Nuclear Fuel Market, Istanbul, Paul Harding, Executive Director Commercial, URENCO Enrichment Company, 11 June 2013 [2] The Enriching Troika. A History of URENCO to the Year R.В.Kehoe. Urenco Limited, [3] NATIONAL ENRICHMENT AFACILITY, June 10, 2004, NEF# [4] European Communities Commission, EUR Uranium enrichment by gas centrifuge, I. D. Heriot, Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities 1988 [5] Umwelterklarung Zweite Aktualisierung URENCO Deutschland GmbH Urananreicherungsanlage Gronau, 2012 [6] Safety Evaluation Report for the Claibome Enrichment Center, Homer, Louisiana, RECEIVED FEB , OSTI, Docket No , Louisiana Energy Services, L.P., U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Office of Nuclear Material Safety and Safeguards, January 1994 [7] Gronauer Nachrichten Feb. 14, 2005 [8] Urananreicherungsanlage Gronau Kurzbeschreibung des Endausbaus und der voraussichtlichen Auswirkungen auf die Umgebung, Stand: Dezember 2002 [9] URENCO Nederland B.V. Uitbreiding capaciteit naar tsw/jaar Drienemansweg, Definitief 15 December 2010 [10] Nuclear Engineering International, October 8, 2014 IBR TM 97