Forum Industrial Batteries Economic Outlook. Authors: EUROBAT IBC Committee. Presenters:
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1 Forum 2013 Industrial Batteries Economic Outlook Authors: EUROBAT IBC Committee Presenters: Lorenzo De Micheli - VP Sales & Marketing Motive Power EMEA ENERSYS - Chairman of the EUROBAT IBC Committee Michael Geiger - VP Sales & Marketing - EXIDE - Vice-chairman of the EUROBAT IBC Commitee
2 Content Part I Economic Outlook report - Workmethod & contributors Part 2 Economic Outlook results and trends - Batteries for Motive Power markets - Batteries for Stand-by Power markets Part 3 Analyzing Market evolutions in off-grid and grid- connected applications
3 Part I Economic Outlook report Work method & contributors
4 An instrument from the IBC Committee Committee members: Lorenzo De Micheli - ENERSYS Committee Chair Michael Geiger EXIDE Vice Committee Chair Rainer Bussar EXIDE Leader TF Smart Grid Giorgio Crugnola FIAMM co-leader TF Rural Electrification Andrea Compostella FIAMM Balbo Piergiorgio FIAMM Marc Zoellner HOPPECKE Manfred Schrewe HOPPECKE René Lincke HOPPECKE Anda Ghiran JCI Stefano Bovo MIDAC Pierre-Marc Leroy SAFT Orkun Gayretli INCI AKÜ Mehmet Külahci - INCI AKÜ Matthaios Sarantos SUNLIGHT Tyron Williams YUASA Erwin Marckx / Chris Heron - EUROBAT EU Battery Industry well represented
5 MARKET SEGMENTS: Motive Power: 2V Cells Sealed & 2V Cells Vented Monoblocs > 50 Ah sealed & Monoblocs > 50 Ah vented Stand-by Power Flooded and Sealed Telecommunication, UPS and others AREA: «Wider» Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA) Number of countries: 72 WORK METHOD IBC SURVEY: Data collection from EUROBAT members Members submitting data every 6 months Based on invoicing addresses Increased participation of members, including national data Secretariat in compliance with competition law: Calculating and displaying the results and trends Ensuring confidentiality of company information
6 72 Survey Countries Western Europe (31 countries) Other CEE (8 countries) Middle East (15 countries) Africa (18 countries) EU 27 Belarus Azerbaijan Algeria Norway Bosnia-Herzegovina Bahrain Angola Switzerland Croatia Egypt Cameroon Russia Georgia Iran Congo Turkey Macedonia Iraq Equatorial Guinea Moldova Israel Gabon Serbia-Montenegro Jordan Ghana Ukraine Kuwait Kenya Lebanon Mauritius Pakistan Morocco Qatar Mozambique Saudi Arabia Niger United Arab Emirates Nigeria Uzbekistan Senegal Yemen South Africa Tunisia Uganda Zambia
7 Contributors Survey 2012 A. Members of the IBC Committee and their sales representatives Lorenzo De Micheli / John Lawton / Phil Jones - ENERSYS Michael Geiger / José Luis Nebot / Andreas Suessbauer - EXIDE Giuseppe Vitalli / Andrea Salvatelli FAAM Andrea Compostella / Piergiorgio Balbo - FIAMM Marc Zoellner / Heinrich Becker / René Lincke HOPPECKE Orkun Gayretli / Mehmet Külahci - INCI AKÜ Stefano Nogara, Stefano Bovo - MIDAC Vicky Kokothaki / Matthaios Sarantos SUNLIGHT Richard Davies / Tyron Williams YUASA B. Other members of EUROBAT Andreas Bawart / Josef Berger / Thomas Amon BANNER Irvin Komar Bogomir Auprih / TAB
8 Part 2 Economic Outlook - Motive Power markets - Stand-by Power markets
9 Motive versus Stand-by Markets EMEA k Euro ; 57% ; 43% Stand-by Motive Based on EUROBAT Member Information only
10 Motive Battery Market in 2012 by Product Category Units ( 000) Trend (units) k Trend ( ) 2011/2012 2V Cells Sealed 452-3% 44,850-5% 2V Cells Vented 9,450-4% 819,750-5% Mono-blocks Sealed % 58,250 +7% Mono-blocks Vented % 19,550-7% Total Motive Market 2012: 942,400 k - 10,600,000 units 523,000; 5% 178,000; 2% 452,000; 4% 9,450 kunits 89% 2V Sealed 2V Vented Mono-blocs Sealed Mono-blocs Vented
11 Motive Power 2V Cells Vented EMEA Total Market ,450,000 units - By Region data
12 Conclusions: Motive Battery Market Trends 2012 vs V Cells: The trend in 2012 is a downturn of around -4% for EU27 and -1% for wider Europe Middle East and Africa still growing considerably, but market much smaller in size than Europe Downturn is both for sealed as for vented technologies Mono-blocs: Steadily continuation of the market uptake; close 4-5% (units) Discrepancy in currency and units indicates a trend to smaller batteries but more units sold
13 Conclusions: Motive Battery Market Predicted Trend 2013 Continuation of the weak position of the Eurozone is confirmed: 1Q2013: 9 of the 17 Eurozone countries are in recession Material Handling Sector extremely sensitive to economic situation Both sealed and vented technology will remain in the market Interest in the evaluation of technological alternatives to lead batteries. Targeted benefits in operation and design.
14 Stand-by Market 2012 by Region - k Value 2012 Trend 2011/2012 Total EMEA 840,000 +2% EU ,000 +1% Other Europe 109,000 +5% Middle East 53,000 +7% Africa 51,000 Double digit increase 13,0% 6,3% 6,1% 74,6% EU 27 Other Europe Middle East (15 countries) Africa (18 countries)
15 Standby Market 2012 by Country Total Market EMEA - k 840, Germany France Italy UK/Ireland Spain Belux Middle East Africa Other countries
16 Stand-by Market 2012 EU 27 Total Market: 627,000 k Per Technology 18,6% Flooded Sealed < 24 Ah Sealed > 24 Ah Per Application Communication UPS (AC) Others 6,8% 46,2% 28,0% 74,7% 25,9% Others: power, lighting, switching, security, solar, train infrastructure
17 Conclusions: Stand-By Battery Market 2012 vs 2011 Demand in 2011 was essentially flat, for 2012 we see a growth: Growth in EU 27 at 1% Other Europe at 5% Middle East and Africa more significant growth Market split per technology Main market in sealed : >80% Flooded market: < 20% Applications Communication 28% UPS 26% Others 46% (ex. power lighting, swithching, security, solar, train infrastructure etc)
18 Conclusions: Stand-By Battery Market Predicted Trend 2013 Most opportunities for growth to be expected in Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa. There is the prospect for better demand for emerging applications around telecom hybrid energy systems, plus storage for both smarter grids and renewable power (however, these applications are still mostly pilot installations or modest in scale today in comparison to the larger classic telecom, UPS and utility applications)
19 Part III Analyzing market evolutions in offgrid and grid-connected applications
20 Two IBC Task forces to share knowlegde on stand-by power market developments in 2 different areas: IBC TF on Rural Electrification: For off-grid and mini-grid markets (Islands and developing countries) Participating members: K-Dieter Merz, Abertax, co-leader Giorgio Crugnola, FIAMM, co-leader Géry Bonduelle, EnerSys EMEA Raf Bruggeman, Exide François Linck, Saft René Linke, Hoppecke Batterien Joseph Cilia, Abertax Chris Heron, EUROBAT Erwin Marckx, EUROBAT IBC TF on Smart Grid: For new markets for on-grid battery storage Participating member: Rainer Bussar, TF Leader Michael Lippert, Saft Géry Bonduelle, EnerSys René Linke, Hoppecke Batterien Giorgio Crugnola, Fiamm Joseph Cilia, Abertax Klaus-Dieter Merz, Abertax Chris Heron, EUROBAT Erwin Marckx, EUROBAT
21 IBC and Task Forces - Assessing/Evaluate technical and functional requirements - Battery Technology Roadmaps - Better View of applications and market segments - Further define precise function of BES - Evaluation of current and future potential values of battery energy storage (cost, functions, benefits ) - Communicate on the role and value of BES to all stakeholders:
22 Two new EUROBAT publications «Battery Storage for Rural Electrification systems»: - Current state of knowledge of off- and mini-grid systems - General guidelines for optimized battery selection - Enhance the knowledge about combination of functions - Lead, Lithium, Nickel and Sodium technology «Battery Storage for Smart grid applications»: - Complementary paper to the joint EASE/EERA «European Energy Storage Technology Development Roadmap towards 2030» - Explains the potential contribution /advantages of battery energy storage at all levels of the electricity grid: generation, transmission, distribution and customer. - Recommendations to facilitate mass-market utilization - Lead, Lithium, Nickel and Sodium technology
23 IBC welcomes the new EUROBAT members who joined the IBC survey 2012: Midac, TAB IBC welcomes new EUROBAT members to join the IBC To participate IBC Sales survey: bi-yearly basis To join the IBC Committee: quarterly meeting - THANK YOU -
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