Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa. 000 tonnes 39 41 31 22 29 22 32 27 17 18 9 27 15 12 6 6 6 4 5 6 5 4 11 25 15 9 9 93 62 51 41 99 91 67 135 115 98 149 133 117 102 57 46 42 31 000 tonnes 53 40 32 18 5 357 378 4 099 267 101 81 55 54-1 258 111 132 118 106 71 4 704 668 3 508 875-1 195 793 139 131 121 4 062 618 2 992 117-1 070 501 156 148 141 86 3 340 878 2 367 263 198 176 151-973 615 2 622 488 1 767 263 220 195 176 81-855 225 238 181 1 87 1 901 060 1 157 572-743 488 227 178 154 55 1 201 908 695 487 185 145 144 52-506 421 664 888 338 101 114 91 84 45-326 787 65 43 33 14 350 468 152 115-198 353 152 127 113 61 D G A G R I D A S H B O A R D : A P P L E S INDEX PRICES PROD. TRADE BALANCE EXPORT DIV. Last update: 14.11.2018 /100 kg 95 90 85 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 75 79 74 65 64 64 60 56 49 59 54 42 76 63 58 53 78 40 41 EU AVG PRICES Apple prices in the EU ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) Simple avg of 4 MSs (the 4 major producers) Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 77 77 79 63 62 62 63 81 63 57 57 57 57 58 56 51 52 52 52 52 42 43 44 47 83 64 59 53 48 89 68 62 56 50 90 92 67 67 60 60 81 64 59 54 53 54 46 Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 44 45 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR /100 kg 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 48 36 32 30 28 22 20 38 31 28 25 19 40 30 14 14 40 26 26 23 Apple prices in Poland ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 15 13 38 30 30 27 37 29 26 20 20 41 41 32 28 25 20 33 30 44 34 30 26 26 19 47 40 35 30 18 18 46 37 33 29 17 47 36 32 MS PRICES 32 29 27 27 19 18 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR 42 /100 kg 105 100 95 90 85 75 70 65 60 55 50 88 74 74 73 70 66 60 89 89 68 69 63 Apple prices in Italy ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 Monthly 5 year MAX 69 68 87 87 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 88 91 78 78 77 77 77 72 72 72 71 72 66 66 66 66 66 90 76 71 65 93 77 71 66 99 74 68 60 59 103 105 81 82 75 75 69 69 56 56 55 54 52 52 52 53 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR 60 62 77 72 67 92 /100 kg Apple prices in France ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) 125 124 Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 121 120 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 118 5 year avg 66% lower line 115 115 111 Monthly 5 year MIN 110 110 Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 105 103 104 104 101 100 97 95 96 95 96 94 95 93 92 92 90 90 90 87 87 86 87 87 89 89 84 84 83 86 85 82 83 83 82 83 82 81 79 79 81 78 78 78 77 77 78 78 75 76 76 75 72 73 73 70 72 72 72 71 71 71 70 70 68 65 66 66 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR /100 kg Apple prices in Germany ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) 109 110 104 Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 99 100 95 94 90 91 89 89 89 90 87 84 Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 73 5 year avg 66% lower line 68 70 70 Monthly 5 year MIN 66 63 59 59 60 61 61 60 60 60 60 56 56 55 55 56 48 52 49 50 49 50 50 50 51 51 52 50 51 43 40 44 44 42 41 39 39 40 40 41 41 41 42 42 38 30 33 32 31 30 29 30 29 28 26 25 20 23 22 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR 5 000 4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 EU apples supply (usable production), cider apples included (000 tonnes) The 4 major EU producers + other producers (24 MSs) 4 035 3 979 3 900 3 750 3 744 3 359 3 259 3 113 3 170 2 923 2 900 2 766 2 870 2 456 2 766 2 2 2 272 2 200 2 122 1 912 1 704 1 674 1 576 1 515 1 444 1 424 1 467 1 169 1 116 1 100 1 033 972 973 4 France Italy Poland 597 Germany EU-other 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18[e] 2018/19[f] 5 700 000 5 200 000 4 700 000 4 200 000 3 700 000 3 200 000 2 700 000 2 200 000 1 700 000 1 200 000 700 000 200 000-300 000-0 000-1 300 000-1 0 000 Apple stocks in the EU (tonnes) the 1st day of the month Current stocks minus 5 year average 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 Current 2017/18 2016/17 minus avg 5 year avg Linear ( 5 year avg) Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July 1 900 000 ExtraEU trade for apples - Aug to Jul - Tonnes Apples - Extra-EU monthly imports - 000 tonnes (= million kgs) 240 Apples - Extra-EU monthly exports - 000 tonnes (= million kgs) 1 700 000 1 500 000 Exports Imports 140 120 132 132 220 200 1 1 300 000 1 100 000 900 000 700 000 500 000 300 000 Severe weather event: spring frosts in 2017 destroyed 23 % of the crop (calculated on 3 year average crop) 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18[e] 2018/19[f] 100 60 40 20 0 Current 2017/18 2016/17 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 10 9 2 2 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul MONTH AVG 160 140 120 100 60 40 20 0 Current 2017/18 2016/17 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul MONTH AVG Apples - key balance indicators including consumption Marketing year: Aug to Jul - 000 tonnes EU Supply (usable production) 14 000 12 912 13 331 13 370 13 071 13 127 Imports (fresh) 12 000 12 199 11 262 12 061 11 937 11 741 11 483 11 883 Total Supply (prod.+imports) 10 000 10 359 9 362 -Apparent Fresh Consumption 8 000 7 414 7 086 7 695 7 797 7 675 7 079 7 614 -Apparent processing consumption 6 000 -Exports (fresh) 4 000 3 842 4 221 3 854 3 988 3 920 3 667 3 956 2 000 1 605 1 782 1 585 1 476 1 557 943 737 0 Years--> 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18[e] 2018/19[f] EU Supply (usable production) 10 359 11 262 12 061 11 937 11 741 9 362 11 883 Imports (fresh) 891 576 401 451 428 551 401 Total Supply (prod.+imports) 12 199 12 912 13 331 13 370 13 071 11 483 13 127 -Apparent Fresh Consumption 7 414 7 086 7 695 7 797 7 675 7 079 7 614 -Apparent processing consumption 3 842 4 221 3 854 3 988 3 920 3 667 3 956 -Exports (fresh) 943 1 605 1 782 1 585 1 476 737 1 557
INDEX 0. Summary overview, market update 1. Prices * EU prices * MS prices for major producers 2. Production (by variety + extreme weather events + stocks) 3. Trade * Evolution of the trade balance * Import monitoring * Export development 4. Key balance indicators including CONSUMPTION 5. Export diversification 2
0. SUMMARY OVERVIEW, MARKET UPDATE RECENT DEVELOPMENTS Marketing year 2018/19 (*) 1. Marketing year 2018/19 started the 1st of August. After a very small crop the preceding marketing year the ongoing season represents coming back to high volumes which in terms of prices implies moving from very high prices to lower prices. 2. EU average prices in this campaign were above reference period average (+31% in August and +11% in September) but moved to just below average in October (-1%). 3. At Member State level there are significant differences: September price for France is more than 6 times the price in Poland. 4. The situation by MS in October compared to the 5 year reference period is as follows: +10% in DE, +11% in FR, minus 6% in IT and minus 48% in PL. Some PL notifications did not have prices for the most expensive varieties, 5. Drought did not affect significantly apple production. Poland has a big crop and there are difficulties for selling it due to lack of adaptation to demand for some varieties and especially regarding apples for processing. (*) Adjustements to price figures are still possible and likely to happen in the context of methodological review and complementary notifications. Background 3
0. SUMMARY OVERVIEW, MARKET UPDATE FURTHER COMMENTS 1. The level of stocks that is going to be transferred to the next marketing year is very small (unlike for preceding years). 2. Regarding the international environment, export opportunities seem to be on the rise. China, a country representing over a half of the world's production and a major exporter, suffered a severe frost that could imply an important reduction of the world's supply and, therefore, favourable conditions for EU exports in Asia and the international markets. 3. The crops of the Sourthern Hemisphere (-4%) and the US are decreasing when compared the the preceding one. Background 4
BACKGROUND Marketing year 2017/18 1. Extreme weather events during April and May 2017, late spring frosts, are at the origin of a relatively small supply level implying high prices during this marketing year. This is the central weather event defining the ongoing marketing year. 2. The EU apple market has essentially two major "leading indicators": 2.1. The size of the crop for the ongoing marketing year; at EU level a 19% reduction of the current crop (when compared to a 5 year reference period) results on about 40% price increase (with huge differences depending on the relative size of the crop of each MS and the historical reference level of prices); => in the current year the price band is situated well above the historical range for prices; => [PLACEMENT OF THE BAND WHEN COMPARED TO REFERENCE PERIOD AVERAGE PRICES] 2.2 The depletion or unstocking rate month after month during the marketing year; => that rate and price evolve towards opposite directions; = [MONTHLY ADJUSTMENTS WITHIN THE BAND ABOVE] 3. The depletion or unstocking rate depends on 3 sub-factors: 3.1 Monthly consumption; 3.2 Monthly trade balance (the EU apple market is sensitive to extra-eu export developments) ; 3.2 Small adjustments in terms of product expecting to go to fresh consumption but that due to quality issues has to go finally for processing. 4. In conclusion, the current marketing year is caracterized by a significantly smaller than average supply and very high prices. 5
1. PRICES 1.1. EU Prices 1.2. MS prices for major producers * Poland (1st EU28 volume producer) * Italy (2nd) * France (3rd) * Germany (4th) 6
Market summary /100 kg 95 90 85 75 79 75 74 76 Apple prices in the EU ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) Simple avg of 4 MSs (the 4 major producers) Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 78 77 77 79 81 83 89 90 92 81 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 65 64 64 60 56 49 59 54 42 63 58 53 40 41 63 62 62 63 57 57 57 57 58 56 63 51 52 52 52 52 42 43 44 47 64 59 53 48 68 62 56 50 67 67 60 60 64 59 54 53 54 46 Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 44 45 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR 7
Market summary Provisional price data for Nov in graphs (up to week 45) EU Apple prices /100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes Oct 2018 CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE Sep->Oct 2018, Price, /100 kg 65->58 Sep->Oct 2018, comparison to 5 year avg, base = 100 % 111->99 CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO 5 year avg price, changes from Sep to Oct % -1 % 2018, changes from Sep to Oct % -12 % PL-Poland 19->14 69->52-7% -30 % IT-Italy 68->69 99->94 +4 % +1 % FR-France 104->92 118->111-6 % -11 % DE-Germany 70->55 142->110 +2 % -21 % month 8
Market summary Apple prices /100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes Sep 2018 CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO Sep 2018, Price, /100 kg Aug->Sep 2018, comparison to 5 year avg, base = 100 % 5 year avg price, changes from Aug to Sep % 2018, changes from Aug to Sep % EU 65 131->111-2 % -17 % PL-Poland 19 95->69-12% -36 % IT-Italy 68 104->99-2 % -6 % FR-France 104 130->118-7 % -16 % DE-Germany 70 201->142 +14 % -20 % month 9
Market summary Apple prices /100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes Aug 2018 CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO Aug 2018, Price, /100 kg Jul->Aug 2018, comparison to 5 year avg, base = 100 % 5 year avg price, changes from July to Aug % 2018, changes from July to Aug % EU 79 160->131 +5 % -15 % PL-Poland 30 110->95-3% -16 % IT-Italy 73 142->104-5 % -31 % FR-France 118 153->130 +23 % +5 % DE-Germany 87 237->201-6 % -20 % month 10
Market summary Apple prices /100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes July 2018 CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO July 2018, Price, /100 kg July 2018, comparison to 5 year avg, base = 100 % 5 year avg price, changes from June to July % 2017/18, changes from June to July % EU 92 160 0 % +2 % PL-Poland 36 110-4% -7 % IT-Italy 105 142 0 % +2 % FR-France 118 153 +1 % +2 % DE-Germany 109 237 0 % +4 % 11
/100 kg 50 45 40 35 30 25 48 36 32 30 28 38 31 28 25 40 30 Apple prices in Poland ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 40 26 26 38 30 30 27 37 29 26 41 41 32 28 25 33 30 44 34 30 26 26 47 40 35 30 46 37 33 29 47 42 36 32 32 29 27 27 20 15 22 20 19 23 14 14 15 13 20 20 20 19 18 18 17 19 18 10 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR 12
/100 kg 105 100 95 90 85 75 70 65 60 55 50 88 74 74 73 70 66 60 89 89 68 69 63 Apple prices in Italy ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 69 68 87 87 88 91 78 78 77 77 77 72 72 72 71 72 66 66 66 66 66 52 52 52 53 Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 54 90 76 71 65 56 55 93 77 71 66 99 74 68 60 59 103 105 81 82 75 75 69 69 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR 60 62 77 72 67 56 92 13
/100 kg 125 120 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 75 70 65 121 124 103 96 89 78 111 104 95 89 82 68 96 92 87 83 94 90 84 81 77 72 73 Apple prices in France ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 90 82 79 76 71 93 95 83 83 77 72 79 75 71 97 84 76 72 101 87 82 78 72 110 92 86 81 73 115 86 118 78 78 70 70 66 66 104 87 87 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR 83 78 71 14
/100 kg Apple prices in Germany ( /100kg=Euro cents/kg) 110 100 90 70 60 50 Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 87 56 48 73 70 56 49 84 55 90 91 89 89 59 59 60 60 60 50 95 94 Current 2018/19 () 2017/18 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 61 61 52 49 50 50 50 51 51 52 99 63 104 66 55 109 68 56 89 60 51 40 30 20 43 44 44 42 41 39 39 40 40 41 41 41 42 42 38 32 30 23 22 33 31 29 30 29 28 26 25 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR 15
2. PRODUCTION 2.1. EU production for MSs that are major producers 2.2. EU production by variety (%) 2.3. Extreme weather events 2.4. Apple stocks 16
5 000 EU apples supply (usable production), cider apples included (000 tonnes) The 4 major EU producers + other producers (24 MSs) 4 500 4 000 3 750 3 979 4 035 3 900 3 500 3 000 3 113 2 900 3 259 3 170 3 744 3 359 2 923 2 870 2 766 2 500 2 122 2 456 2 2 2 272 2 766 2 200 2 000 1 704 1 912 1 500 1 000 500 0 1 674 1 576 1 515 1 444 1 424 1 467 1 169 972 4 1 116 1 100 1 033 973 France Italy Poland Germany EU-other 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18[e] 2018/19[f] 597 Further detail 17
18
General index AGRO-WEATHER INDEX Agro-weather index 1. Background with main elements 2. Summary multi-event map * main events 3. Precipitation analysis * 90 day * 30 day * maps of current or recent droughts in the EU 4. Temperature analysis * 30 day average, C, regional deviations * Relative number of cold days 5. Other agro-weather events WEATHER FACTORS IN FRUIT AND VEGETABLE PRODUCTIONS 19
Further detail Source: JRC Agro-weather start page 20
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE 90 DAY PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS OF ANOMALIES 14 Aug 2018 to 13 Nov 2018 (90 days) - % of normal Agro-weather start page Further detail 21
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE 30 DAY PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS OF ANOMALIES 14 Oct 2018 to 13 Nov 2018 (30 days) - % of normal Agro-weather start page Further detail 22
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES +/- C ON AVG 15 Oct 2018 to 13 Nov 2018 (+/- 30 days) Agro-weather start page Further detail 23
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE 01 Oct 2018 to 15 Nov 2018 Agro-weather start page Main area of severe wind 24
5 700 000 5 200 000 4 700 000 4 200 000 3 700 000 3 200 000 2 700 000 2 200 000 1 700 000 1 200 000 5 357 378 4 099 267 4 704 668 3 508 875 Apple stocks in the EU (tonnes) the 1st day of the month 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 Current 2017/18 4 062 618 2 992 117 Current stocks minus 5 year average 3 340 878 2 367 263 2 622 488 1 767 263 2016/17 minus avg 5 year avg Linear ( 5 year avg) 1 901 060 1 157 572 1 201 908 700 000 695 487 664 888 200 000 338 101 350 468 152 115-300 000-0 000-1 300 000-1 0 000 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July -326 787-506 421-743 488-855 225-973 615-1 070 501-1 258 111-1 195 793-198 353 Data sources: WAPA&AMI Further detail 25
tonnes 850 000 0 000 750 000 700 000 650 000 600 000 550 000 500 000 450 000 400 000 350 000 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 729 899 734 790 652 710 590 392 596 160 642 050 516 758 573 185 Apples - Monthly unstocking rates in the EU - tonnes 814 124 7 843 624 854 600 000 774 238 721 740 718 390 721 428 662 756 661 955 665 155 Current 2017/18 2016/17 Monthly 5 year MAX 609 691 +/-66% upper line 5 year avg +/-66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 765 001 699 152 462 085 618 869 591 376 537 020 357 386 448 863 364 151 314 420 185 986 219 997 672 191 625 864 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun YEAR AVG 493 394 565 857 26
3. TRADE 3.1. Evolution of the trade balance 3.2. Import monitoring 2.3. Export development (export diversification is under section 5) 27
1 900 000 ExtraEU trade for apples - Aug to Jul - Tonnes 1 700 000 1 500 000 Exports Imports 1 300 000 1 100 000 900 000 Severe weather event: spring frosts in 2017 destroyed 23 % of the crop (calculated on 3 year average crop) 700 000 500 000 300 000 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18[e] 2018/19[f] 28
000 tonnes Apples - Extra-EU monthly imports - 000 tonnes (= million kgs) 149 140 132 132 135 133 120 115 117 100 Current 2017/18 2016/17 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 93 99 91 98 102 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 60 62 67 57 51 40 20 0 46 39 41 42 32 41 31 27 29 25 27 22 31 22 17 18 15 10 12 9 11 15 9 6 4 5 6 9 5 9 6 6 4 2 2 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul MONTH AVG 29
240 220 000 tonnes Apples - Extra-EU monthly exports - 000 tonnes (= million kgs) 238 227 220 200 198 195 185 1 176 176 181 1 178 160 156 152 140 120 100 101 132 118 106 139 131 121 148 141 151 154 145 144 114 127 113 81 71 86 81 87 91 84 65 60 40 20 0 53 55 54 40 32 18 Current 2017/18 2016/17 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN 61 55 52 45 43 33 14 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul MONTH AVG 30
- Production - Imports - Total supply (production +imports) * Apparent fresh consumption * Apples for processing * Exports - Market access (Imports/Fresh consumption) - Fresh production exported (%) - Apparent fresh consumption (kg/person) 4. KEY BALANCE INDICATORS including CONSUMPTION 31
Apples - key balance indicators including consumption Marketing year: Aug to Jul - 000 tonnes EU Supply (usable production) 14 000 12 912 13 331 13 370 13 071 13 127 Imports (fresh) 12 000 12 199 11 262 12 061 11 937 11 741 11 483 11 883 Total Supply (prod.+imports) 10 000 10 359 9 362 -Apparent Fresh Consumption 8 000 7 414 7 086 7 695 7 797 7 675 7 079 7 614 -Apparent processing consumption 6 000 -Exports (fresh) 4 000 3 842 4 221 3 854 3 988 3 920 3 667 3 956 2 000 1 605 1 782 1 585 1 476 1 557 943 737 Years--> 0 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18[e] 2018/19[f] EU Supply (usable production) 10 359 11 262 12 061 11 937 11 741 9 362 11 883 Imports (fresh) 891 576 401 451 428 551 401 Total Supply (prod.+imports) 12 199 12 912 13 331 13 370 13 071 11 483 13 127 -Apparent Fresh Consumption 7 414 7 086 7 695 7 797 7 675 7 079 7 614 -Apparent processing consumption 3 842 4 221 3 854 3 988 3 920 3 667 3 956 -Exports (fresh) 943 1 605 1 782 1 585 1 476 737 1 557 Further detail 32
Apples - key balance indicators including consumption (+) Marketing year: Aug to Jul - Units: % and kg per person (consumption) Market Access (Imp./Cons. %) 23 22.5 21 20.8 20.7 Exported fresh production % 19 19.0 18.4 19.8 17 16.9 Apparent Fresh Cons. Kg/person 15 15.1 13 13.3 12.1 13.2 12.9 12.2 14.1 12.8 13.6 12.2 12.8 13.1 11.7 11 10.9 Years--> 9 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17[e] 2017/18[f] 2017/18[f] Market Access (Imp./Cons. %) 16.9 15.1 12.2 12.8 12.2 20.7 11.7 Exported fresh production % 13.3 20.8 22.5 19.0 18.4 10.9 19.8 Apparent Fresh Cons. Kg/person 12.1 13.2 12.9 14.1 13.6 12.8 13.1 33
5. EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION - Map of top world importers of apples - Bar chart on top world importers and annual growth rates - Key trade indicators on top world importers of apples - Main apple traders in the world and degree of diversification - World consumption of apples, main players 34
TOP WORLD IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS 0810-2017 Further detail 35
TOP WORLD APPLE IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS 2017 and % Annual growth in value 2013-17 Further detail 36
TOP WORLD APPLE IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS - 0810 Further detail 37
TOP 25 APPLE IMPORTERS OF THE WORLD FROM ALL ORIGINS - 2017 Value Terms Remark: Interesting method of analysis, the scale is not accurate, just indicative <- diversified, many trade partners concentrated, few trade partners-> Further detail 38
World consumption of apples 2015/16 (volume) Main players Russia 2% India 4% Turkey 4% Iran 2% Other 15% United States 4% European Union 11% China 58% 39
End Thank you 40