Pedestrian Protection in Europe The Potential of Car Design and Impact Testing DEKRA Automobil GmbH, Accident Research F. A. Berg, M. Egelhaaf DaimlerChrysler AG, Accident Research J. Bakker, H. Bürkle, R. Herrmann, J. Scheerer 21.10.2002 1
Fatality Rates in Europe * Source: IRTAD-data 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 * Data from Greece and Portugal not available Pedestrians per 1 Mill. Inhabitants Car Occupants per 1 Mill. Inhabitants 21.10.2002 2
Fatality Rates for Pedestrians (Europe, USA, Japan) Source: IRTAD-data 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Pedestrians in Europa per 1 Mill. Inhabitants Pedestrians in the USA per 1 Mill. Inhabitants Pedestrians in Japan per 1 Mill. Inhabitants 21.10.2002 3
Pedestrian Fatalities per Mill. Inhabitants Source: German National Statistics 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 1980 1984 1988 Year all ages 1992 till 6 years from 6 to 15 years 1996 over 65 years 2000-76%* -93%* -83%* -79%* * Reduction from 1980 data 21.10.2002 4
Severely Injured Pedestrians per Mill. Inhabitants Source: German National Statistics 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1980 1984 Year 1988 1992 1996 all ages till 6 years from 6 to 15 years over 65 years 2000-63%* -77%* -58%* -61%* * Reduction from 1980 data 21.10.2002 5
Trend of the European Pedestrian Fatalities and the Draft Phase-In 10000 9000 Fatalities 8000 Number of fatalities 7000 6000 5000 4000 30%-Reduction of fatalities expected (based on 1999 data) 3000 2000 1000 0 Target of European Commision: 30% Reduction of the fatalities EC Directive 6065/2000 Source: IRTAD-Data 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Year 21.10.2002 6
Pedestrian Accidents in Germany Comparison of the German National Data 2000 with the GIDAS data (n=415) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 4% 3% 32% 31% fatalities seriously injured slightly injured uninjured unknown 40% 30% 62% 66% 20% 10% 0% GIDAS Sources: German National Data 2000 GIDAS (German In-Depth Accident Study) 1999-2001 German National Data 21.10.2002 7
Age Groups in Pedestrians Accidents 100% 80% 65 and older 55-65 60% 18-55 15-18 40% 10-15 6-10 20% till 6 years 0% fatalities seriously injured pedestrians casualties GIDAS all inv. pedestrians Source: German National Data 2000 21.10.2002 8
Injuries and Contact Zones for AIS 2+ injuries (n = 116 Injuries from 53 Pedestrians) front bumper 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% front panel bonnet leading edge headlamp bonnet windscreen and frame fender head thorax / abdomen upper extremities pelvis femur knee lower leg unknown front roof frame rear part ground unknown Source: GIDAS 21.10.2002 9
Frequency of contacts for AIS 2+ - injuries, all body regions (front-to-pedestrian impacts, only passenger cars, all impact speeds) GIDAS IHRA (Europe) Contact zones 100% = 100% = 116 injuries 1460 injuries Parts of vehicle share share front bumper 28% 21% front panel and headlamps 5% 3% bonnet leading edge 3% 10% bonnet 8% 15% Subtotal for vehicle front 44% 49% windscreen and frame 18% 24% ground surface 27% 13% others 11% 14% 21.10.2002 10
Frequency of contacts for AIS 2+ - injuries, head and face (front-to-pedestrian impacts, only passenger cars, all impact speeds) GIDAS IHRA (Europe) Contact zones 100% = 100% = 45 injuries 512 injuries Parts of vehicle share share front bumper 0% 0% front panel and headlamps 0% 1% bonnet leading edge 0% 0,2% bonnet 6% 16% Subtotal for vehicle front 6% 17,2% windscreen and frame 35% 51% ground surface 49% 22% others 10% 9,8% 21.10.2002 11
Number of Contacts in Different Zones for AIS 1+ Head Injuries Source: GIDAS 1 0 Windscreen and frame 5 7 23 1 21.10.2002 12
Frequency of contacts for AIS 2+ - injuries, lower extremities (front-to-pedestrian impacts, only passenger cars, all impact speeds) GIDAS IHRA (Europe) Contact zones 100% = 100% = 55 injuries 572 injuries Parts of vehicle share share front bumper all 61% 52%* lower leg 46% 39% knee 13% 5% femur 2% 3% front panel and headlamps 9% 6% bonnet leading edge all 6% 19% pelvis 4% 12% bonnet 6% 4% Subtotal for vehicle front 82% 81% windscreen and frame 0% 0% ground surface 2% 5% others 16% 14% *including 5% others 21.10.2002 13
Distribution of Vehicle Types in Pedestrian Accidents (AIS1+) Source: GIDAS 3% 6% 1% 10% Passenger Cars 4% 1% Off - Road Vehicles Light trucks / Mini Buses Trucks, etc. Motorcycles Bicycles Unknown 75% 21.10.2002 14
Impact Locations in Car-to-Pedestrian Accidents (AIS1+) Source: GIDAS Rear 5% Unknown/Other 12% Side 29% Front 54% 21.10.2002 15
Potential to Reduce Serious Injuries in the GIDAS data, AIS 2+, all body regions windscreen and frame 7.3% Potential at the car front of about 18% ACEA-phase 1 = 14.5% Potential left = 3.2% frontbumper 11.3% bonnet. 3.2% front panel, headlamps 2.0% bonnet leading edge 1.2% Contact zones, potential of the EEVC-test 17.7% rest: 25% injured by car (62%) rest: 40% frontal impacts (54%) n=116 injuries rest: 75% passenger cars (75%) all vehicles 100% ground and other contacts 38% others than front 46% other vehicles 25% factors of reduction 21.10.2002 16
Potential to Reduce Serious Head Injuries in the GIDAS data, AIS 2+ windscreen and frame 14.0% Potential at the car front of about 2% ACEA-phase 1 = 2.4% Potential left = 0% frontbumper 0% bonnet. 2.4% front panel, headlamps 0% bonnet leading edge 0% Contact zones, potential of the EEVC-test 2.4% rest: 16% injured by car (41%) rest: 40% frontal impacts (54%) n=45 injuries rest: 75% passenger cars (75%) all vehicles 100% ground and other contacts 59% others than front 46% other vehicles 25% factors of reduction 21.10.2002 17
Potential to Reduce Serious Injuries in the IHRA data, AIS 2+, all body regions windscreen and frame 13.2% Potential at the car front of about 27% ACEA-phase 1 = 19.7% Potential left = 7.1% frontbumper 11.5% bonnet. 8.2% front panel, headlamps 1.6% bonnet leading edge 5.5% Contact zones, potential of the EEVC-test 26.8% rest: 40% injured by car (73%) rest: 55% V o < 60 km/h (74%) n=1460 injuries rest: 75% passenger cars (75%) all vehicles 100% ground and other contacts 27% catastrophic impacts > 60 km/h 26% other vehicles 25% factors of reduction 21.10.2002 18
Potential to Reduce Serious Head Injuries in the IHRA data, AIS 2+ windscreen and frame 28.5% Potential at the car front of about 9% ACEA-phase 1 = 8.9% Potential left = 0.6% frontbumper 0% bonnet. 8.9% front panel, headlamps 0.5% bonnet leading edge 0.1% Contact zones, potential of the EEVC-test 9.5% rest: 38% injured by car (68%) rest: 55% V o < 60 km/h (74%) n=512 injuries rest: 75% passenger cars (75%) all vehicles 100% ground and other contacts 32% catastrophic impacts > 60 km/h 26% other vehicles 25% factors of reduction 21.10.2002 19
Potential of the tests for ACEA-phase 1 and EEVC WG17 3.2 (8.2) % 1.2 (5.5) % 2.0 (1.6) % 11.3 (11.5) % AIS 2+, all body regions ACEA Phase 1: 14.5 (19.7) % potential left: 3.2 (7.1) % potential of EEVC: 17.7 (26.8) % ground and other contacts: 15 (15) % 2.4 (8.9) % 0 (0.1) % 0 (0.5) % 0 (0) % AIS 2+, head and face ACEA Phase 1: 2.4 (8.9) % potential left: 0 (0.6) % potential of EEVC: 2.4 (9.5) % ground and other contacts: 24 (18) % GIDAS (IHRA) data 21.10.2002 20
Estimated Potentials of Pedestrian Protection Testing for Complete European Vehicle Fleet Exchange seriously injured fatalities European casualties 2000 74,494 6,143 GIDAS 8.8% see fig. 16 (17.7%/2) 0.5% see fig. 17 (2.4%/5) Potential from ACEA-Phase 1 5,363 (7.2%) 30 (0.5%) Potential left 1,191 (1.6%) 0 (0%) Total potential based on GIDAS-data for EEVC WG17 IHRA (Europe) 6,554 30 13.4% see table 19 (26.8%/2) 1.9% see table 20 (9.5%/5) Potential from ACEA-Phase 1 7,375 (9.9%) 110 (1.78%) Potential left 2,607 (3.5%) 7 (0.12%) Total potential based on IHRA-data for EEVC WG17 9,982 117 21.10.2002 21
Estimated Potential ACEA-phase 1 (left) Compared to Estimated Potential for EEVC WG17 tests (right) Potential of fatalities by ACEA-phase 1 Potential of fatalities by EEVC WG17 6500 6500 6000 6000 5500 5500 Potential of fatalities 5000 4500 4000 Trend ACEA-phase 1 (GIDAS) ACEA-phase 1 (IHRA) Potential of fatalities 5000 4500 4000 Trend EEVC WG17 (GIDAS) EEVC WG17 (IHRA) 3500 3500 3000 3000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year Year 21.10.2002 22
Reduced collision speed by using a brake-assistant Deceleration in m/s 2 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Decelerations with different brake-systems Brake-Assistant Experienced driver Standard driver 0 0,2 0,4 0,6 Time [s] 1 Start of braking, v 0 = 50 km/h Impact with pedestrian Standard driver v K = 40 km/h Experienced driver v K = 35 km/h Brake-Assistant v K = 25 km/h 21.10.2002 23
Conclusions Internationally, the fatality rate in Europe with 14 pedestrians per mill. Inhabitants is the lowest in the world. (US 17, Japan 23) Based on this positive trend, the target of the EU-Commision to reduce the fatalities by 30% and the seriously injured by 17% will be reached in 2010 without having any regulation. The potential of the EEVC WG17 tests is less than 2% of the pedestrian fatalities and about 8-13% of the seriously injured. ACEA-phase 1 is a good compromise for all parties Upper Leg test / Adult head test have no potential to reach targets estimated by the Commission Accident avoidance is much more promising to reduce casualties 21.10.2002 24