STUDY OF GEOMETRIC FEATURES OF ROAD AND ACCIDENT RATE. A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Award of the Degree of

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STUDY OF GEOMETRIC FEATURES OF ROAD AND ACCIDENT RATE A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Award of the Degree of Bachelor of Technology In CIVIL ENGINEERING Submitted by Vikas Golakoti 111CE0057 Under the guidance of Prof. U.Chattaraj Dept. of Civil Engineering NIT Rourkela DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING NIT ROURKELA ROURKELA-769008 1 P a g e

CERTIFICATE This is to certify that the thesis entitled, Study of Geometric features of road and Accident rate submitted by Vikas Golakoti is a record of original work carried out by him under my supervision and guidance in partial fulfillment for the prerequisites for the degree of Bachelor of Technology, 2014-15 in Civil Engineering at National Institute of Technology, Rourkela. To the best of my knowledge, the matter embodied in the thesis has not been submitted to any other University/ Institute for the award of any degree or diploma. DATE: Dr. Ujjal Chattaraj Department of Civil Engineering National Institute of Technology Rourkela-769008 2 P a g e

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Above all else, I might want to express my profound feeling of admiration and appreciation towards my counsel and aide Prof.U.Chattaraj, who has been the controlling constrain behind this work. I am extraordinarily obliged to him for his steady consolation, significant counsel and for impelling me further in every part of my scholarly life. His vicinity and idealism have given a priceless impact on my vocation and viewpoint for what's to come. I think of it as my favorable luck to have got a chance to work with such an eminent individual. I likewise extend my gratitude to all my friends of the Department of Civil Engineering, who have empowered me over the span of bachelor degree. I might want to thank every one of my companions and schoolmates for all the mindful and brain fortifying dialogues we had, which incited us to think past the self-evident. I am particularly obligated to my guardians for their affection, yield, and backing. They are my first instructors after I resulted in these present circumstances world and have set extraordinary samples for me about how to live, study, and work. Vikas Golakoti 111CE0057 3 P a g e

CONTENTS CHAPTER 1... 7 INTRODUCTION... 7 1.1 GEOMETRIC FACTORS OF ROADS... 8 1.2 OBJECTIVE... 12 CHAPTER 2... 13 LITERATURE REVIEW... 13 CHAPTER 3... 14 DATA COLLECTION AND EXTRACTION... 14 3.1 METHODOLOGY... 14 3.2 DATA COLLECTION... 15 CHAPTER 4... 20 RESULTS AND DATA ANALYSIS... 20 4.1 ANALYSIS OF GEOMETRIC PARAMETERS... 20 4 P a g e

4.2 ANALYSIS OF RESULTS..30 CHAPTER 5... 31 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION... 31 CHAPTER 6... 32 REFERENCES... 32 5 P a g e

ABSTRACT The increase in traffic across the globe has resulted in the increase in the number of accidents on roads. This has resulted in the study of the reasons for accidents and also the factors which cause them. In this thesis, the factors affecting the accident rate have been studied and also how much they contribute to the accident rate has been found out using regression analysis and analysis of variance. A national highway of plain terrain has been studied and the results were found out. The accident rate has been found out by regression analysis for various geometric features of road such as horizontal radius, super elevation, K-value, vertical grade, visibility, and vertical arc length, rate of change of super elevation and accident rate. The findings show that the accident rate is highly influenced by the factors such as super elevation, horizontal radius, K-value in case of plain and rolling terrain. Key words: AADT (annual average daily traffic), AR (accident rate), Super elevation, Horizontal Radius, Geometric features, K-value, Visibility. 6 P a g e

Chapter 1 1.1 INTRODUCTION Transportation is important for the development of a country. Roads are easily accessible and are widely used for transportation purpose. With development comes increase in traffic and also resulting in increase of accidents. Accidents are mainly caused by three factors which are human, road and vehicles. Accidents are mainly caused due to human errors but it varies from human to human and hence the study of the accident rate based on this factor is difficult. Vehicle factors are also difficult to study because there are different types of vehicles and vehicles differ from person to person and hence their properties also differ. Hence the road factors are important and also contribute to the study. If the design of a road is good then there are less chances for the cause of accidents. 7 P a g e

1.1 GEOMETRIC FACTORS OF ROADS Terrain Terrain is classified as the following depending on the slope of the land. Terrain Classification Slope of location (%) Plain Less than 10 Rolling Greater than 10 up to 25 Mountainous Greater than 25 up to 60 Steep Greater than 60 Horizontal alignment This is defined by tangents and curves horizontally. The horizontal curve is shown below as per Indian Road Congress (IRC) guidelines. 8 P a g e

Fig: 1.1 horizontal alignment : Total deflection angle L : Total length of curve Intersection point of IP : tangents ST : Short tangent RC : Radius of circular curve LT : Long tangent Total tangent LS : Length of spiral curve Ts : distance LC : Length of circular curve Es : External distance 9 P a g e

Vertical alignment It is the section of road in longitudinal direction for change of gradient. It is defined by gradients and vertical curves. The rate of rise with respect to horizontal along the length of road is called gradient and is measured in percentage or ratio in degrees. The figure of vertical curve is shown below as per IRC. Fig: 1.2 Vertical alignment K VCL g g Y MO g1% g 2 % g X 200VCL g VCL 800 2 VIP : Vertical point of intersection. G : Gradient MO : Mid-ordinate g : Algebraic difference in grades (percent) of the grades tangents. VCL : Vertical curve length measured horizontally. BVC : Beginning of vertical curve EVC : End of vertical curve K : Horizontal distance required to effect a one percent change in gradient. 10 P a g e

Super elevation It is the banking provided on roads to resist the centripetal force on the vehicles while travelling along the curves. Sight distance It is the distance on the road up to which the person driving the vehicle can see the object or other vehicles to safely stop the vehicle. Cross section of roads Cross section of roads is the number of segments the road is divided into such as lanes, side walk, earth slope, etc. Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) Annual Average Daily Traffic is the number of vehicles crossing a point of the road in both directions in one year and then calculated per day in the year. This is done by dividing with number of days in that year. 11 P a g e

1.2 OBJECTIVE The aim of this study is to find the role of the geometric factors of road on accident rate in the case of plain terrain and also find the extent to which these factors affect the accident rate for rural areas. The study aims to find the impact of factors like extra widening, horizontal radius, sight distance, K-value, super elevation, horizontal arc length, vertical arc length, vertical gradient on the accident rate and aims to study the significant factors causing accidents and to find the values for future design of roads. 12 P a g e

Chapter 2 LITERATURE REVIEW This has been a problem all over the world. Hence many studies have been carried out on the accident rate dependency on geometric features. Some of the studies are listed below: Lyinam et al (1987) studied that these geometric factors are responsible for road safety and the relationship can be found by regression analysis. These vary from country to country based on their conditions. Fitzpatrick (2010) studied various accidents on horizontal curves and on tangent sections. The negative binomial regression models can best explain the effects of the factors on accident rate. Yingxue (2009) found that the geometric variable of the highway have adverse effects on crashes. Raymond et al (2009) evaluated measures for crash rates on curves and found that they are important. Superelevation is a very important factor in determining accident rate. Sayed et al (2006) studied that sharp curves doesn t give the driver enough visibility or sight distance such that the vehicle cannot be stopped immediately in case of an obstacle causing accident. 13 P a g e

Chapter 3 DATA COLLECTION AND EXTRACTION For this thesis study NH-200 is selected which comes under plain & rolling terrain category. NH-200 has a total length of 741km it connects Chhattisgarh and Orissa. Now for this study the place called Bhojpur is taken which starts at 130/0 is chosen as starting point and ending point is at Chatabar 190/0. This part is entirely situated in Orissa. This is between 21 25.92' N & 20 56.84' N latitude, 85 11.21' E & 85 16.30' E longitude. The length of the part selected for study is 60 km. 3.1 METHODOLOGY Accident records are known by enquiring the locals and with the help of police. Now the survey is done by taking the centre line of the road and levelling it for every 10m intervals. In case of curves the interval can be changed up to 5m. the survey can be done by using GPS or reference points from the data available in the location. Traffic survey is done to find out the Annual average daily traffic (AADT). To find out this a 3 day survey is carried out at the required location. And the data of traffic which is already available has been collected from various departments. To find out the geometric features of the road such as horizontal radius, super elevation, etc. the MX Road software is used. 14 P a g e

3.2 DATA COLLECTION It starts with a topographic survey which is done using total station. The survey is carried out at the places where the accidents have occurred. Total station projects the 3-d feature of the road when connected to a computer. It measures distance, angle, co-ordinates. By using the computer the data can be visualised in AutoCAD. Now the data is analysed for getting the geometric features of road using MX Road software. Horizontal radius The radius is found out from the alignment of the road at the location. The tangents are drawn from the centre line of the road and the radius with the tangents is found out. This gives the radius and is measured in metres. This is shown in the figure below 15 P a g e

(DEFLECTION ANGLE) TANGENT TANGENT RADIUS (ARC) ARC LENGTH ROAD EDGE ROAD CENTER Fig: 4.2 Horizontal alignment data Deflection angle From the figure above we can see that the angle subtended by the tangents is the deflection angle. Horizontal Arc Length From the figure arc length is measured from the starting point of one tangent on the curve to the starting point of other tangent on the curve. This is known as horizontal arc length and measured in metres. 16 P a g e

Superelevation From the MX Road software a Digital terrain model has been developed and from this we can get the super elevation of the road. It is normally higher at the edge of the road which is away from the curve. Rate of change of Superelevation From the digital terrain model developed using MX Road software the super elevation is calculated and also the change in super elevation for every 10 m interval is calculated and thus the rate of change of super elevation is calculated. The units are 1 in n metre. Vertical Gradient From the model developed using MX Road the section of the centre line of road is available by software and the vertical grade is measured from existing section of the location. Vertical curve length The vertical curve length (VCL) is calculated from the model developed by the software. This is in the form of a parabola which is obtained by measuring the arc length between the two grades. It is measured in metres. 17 P a g e

K-value It is also known as equivalent radius of vertical curve. It tells us about the flatness of the vertical curve. It is the ratio of vertical curve length and change in vertical grade. K-value is the distance required to effect a 1% change in gradient. It is expressed as VCL K g VCL is the vertical curve length as mentioned above and g is the change in gradient Visibility Visibility or sight distance is obtained directly from the software along the road for 10m intervals. It is the distance up to which the driver can safely view the road without any obstacles or it is the distance available to stop the vehicle before crashing in to the obstacle on the road. 18 P a g e

Extra Widening Horizontal Alignment includes extra widening also along the curves. This is studied from the book transportation engineering by Tom V Mathew. It is the extra length of the road provided on the curves and turnings more than the carriageway provided for straight alignment. It is done because the rear wheels of a vehicle usually travel a shorter path than those of the front wheels. Also it is also by psychological reason which is the tendency of the drivers to travel along the edges when travelling on the curves. It increases the effective width of the space for the vehicle. The extra width which is provided than the normal to allow the vehicles to take a safe turn is extra widening. It is calculated by formulae provided in the code. This provision of extra widening which is the widening of pavements also affects the accident rate. If extra widening is not provided then there is a high chance that accidents occur along that curve. Also set back distance which is the distance from the centre line to the obstacle while on the curve also affects the accident rate. 19 P a g e

Chapter 4 RESULTS AND DATA ANALYSIS Accident Rate It is the ratio between number of accidents in a year and number of vehicles with length of study corridor in that year. It is expressed as crashes per million vehiclekms of travel. C 100,000,000 AR V 365 N L AR = Accident Rate expressed as crashes per 100 million vehicle-kms of travel (100mvkm) C = Total number of crashes in the study period V = Traffic volumes using Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) N = Number of years of data L = Length of the roadway in km The data is of Annual average daily traffic and crashes are obtained from the respective departments with which they are concerned and the analysis is carried out. The results of the analysis are further explained below. 20 P a g e

4.1 Analysis of Geometric parameters 4.1.1 Horizontal Radius The number of crashes within range of radius are counted and accident rate has been calculated for the respective range of radius and histogram is plotted as shown below. From the data we can say that we could observe a significant change in the accident rate and that this should be given importance while design of roads. Also for small values of radius the value of accident rates are high which proves the fact that for steep curves the probability of accidents is more than that of the curves with larger radii. Chart Title 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Series1 Series2 Series 1 Horizontal Radius Series 2 Accident rate 21 P a g e

4.1.2 Deflection angle The accidents in every 10 0 interval of deflection angle are measured and the accident rate has been calculated and comparison Histogram has been shown below. From this it can be clearly said that the deflection angle doesn t have a significant change in the accident rate the value of accident rate in this case are very less when compared with other geometric factors. Chart Title 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Series1 Series2 Series 1 Deflection Angle Series 2 Accident rate 22 P a g e

4.1.3 Horizontal Arc Length The accident rate has been calculated for the range of arc length. The comparison plot between horizontal arc length and accident rate is shown below. From the plot we could say that the accident rate decreases with increase in the horizontal arc length but it is very less when compared with other geometric factors like super elevation and visibility. Chart Title 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Series1 Series2 Series 1 Horizontal Arc Length Series 2 Accident rate 23 P a g e

4.1.4 Superelevation The number of accidents are counted in one percent interval of super elevation and accident rate has been calculated and plotted below as histogram. The comparison shows that for very low values and for high values of super elevation the accident rates are high and they are comparatively for super elevation values between 2.5 to 4. Hence this has to be kept in mind while designing the road. Chart Title 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Series1 Series2 Series 1 Superelevation Series 2 Accident rate 24 P a g e

4.1.5 Rate of change of Superelevation The accident rate has been calculated by counting the accidents within the range of change of super elevation. The histogram is shown below which clears that there isn t much change in the accident rate with respect to the rate of change of superelevation. Hence this might not be an important geometric factor which needs attention. Chart Title 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Series1 Series2 Series 1 rate of change of superelevation Series 2 Accident rate 25 P a g e

4.1.6 Vertical Grade The accident rate has been calculated by knowing the number of accidents in one percent interval of vertical grade. The comparison histogram is shown below from which we can observe that the values of accident rate are very irregular and doesn t follow a trend with vertical grade. However from the data we could observe the range where accident rate is high and hence we could design the road according to that. 12 10 8 6 4 2 Chart Title 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Series1 Series2 Series 1 Vertical gradient Series 2 Accident rate 26 P a g e

4.1.7 Vertical curve length In 25 m interval of the vertical curve length the accidents have been counted and the accident rate has been calculated. The comparison is shown below in the form of Histogram and from the comparison we can say that it varying irregularly with the vertical curve length but however for the range of 25-50 the accident rate is the highest observed. Hence proper precautions should be taken while providing the vertical curve length during the design. Chart Title 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Series1 Series2 Series 1 Vertical Curve Length Series 2 Accident rate 27 P a g e

4.1.8 K-value The number of accidents have been counted for K-value that is the distance required to change 1% in grade and accident rate has been calculated. The comparison as shown below shows that for lesser K-values the accident rate is more and it went on decreasing for increase in the K-value. Which means that the accident rate is inversely proportional to K-value and the fact that the distance provided to change the gradient when provided insufficiently could lead to accidents. The comparison histogram is shown below. Chart Title 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 Series1 Series2 Series 1 K-value Series 2 Accident rate 28 P a g e

4.1.9 Visibility The number of crashes has been measured in 10 m interval of visibility and the accident rate is calculated. The comparison is done and shown below and we can observe from the diagram that for the less visibility values the accident rate is more which proves the fact that the sight distance should be provided sufficiently for the safe journey on roads. Chart Title 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Series1 Series2 Series 1 visibility Series 2 Accident rate 29 P a g e

4.2 Results of Analysis It is used to summarize a group of data. Analysis of variance is used to find the differences between group means and their association. The geometric factors have been analysed with accident rate as shown below. The regression is done and the result is obtained from this the R 2 value for Horizontal Radius is found to be 0.82 which is nearer to 1 and hence it can bring a significant change in the accident rate, which means that it affects the accident rate very much and should be given more importance while designing the road. Also from the results the R 2 value for Superelevation is found to be 0.89 and is nearer to 1 and hence is a significant factor. The R 2 value for K-value and visibility are found to be 0.87 and 0.89 respectively and are also the significant factors which affect the accident rate in the case of a highway in plain and rolling terrain. The P value is <0.005 for 95% level of significance which is the probability and hence the values obtained above are significant. 30 P a g e

Chapter 6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION In this study the study corridor is NH-200 between Chhatabar and Bhojpur. The section of 60 km length is chosen and studied for the geometric features of the road such as horizontal radius, super elevation, K-value, Visibility and others and the analysis is done and in the analysis the value of R 2 are nearer to one for the geometric features such as Horizontal Radius, Superelevation, K-value and visibility. From the regression we can say that the factors which have their R 2 value nearer to one have a greater effect on the accident rate. Hence for NH-200 which is of plain and rolling terrain the geometric features that influence accident rate more are horizontal radius, K-value, Superelevation and visibility. Hence while designing a road in plain and rolling terrain these geometric features namely Horizontal radius, K-value, Superelevation and visibility has to be given more importance. 31 P a g e

Chapter 7 REFERENCES Geometric Design Standards for Rural (Non-Urban) Highways, IRC:73-1980, The Indian Road Congress, New Delhi, 1980 Aram (2010). Effective safety factors on horizontal curves of two-lane highways. Journal of Applied Sciences. Guidelines for Design of Horizontal Curve for Highway The Indian Road Congress, New Delhi, 1988. Milton et al (1998). The relationship between geometric factors of highway and accident rate. Seneviratne et al (1994) Optimum curvature for simple horizontal curves. Journal of Transportation Engineering Transportation engineering by Tom V Mathew www.wikipedia.org 32 P a g e