System Management Principles Statement Compliance report for December 213 and January 214 Summary of balancing actions and breaches for December 213 - January 214 Performance compared to last year
Summary Report Dec-13 Jan-14 Total Number of Buy Actions 9 5 Total Number of Sell Actions 1 17 Total 19 22 Dec-13 Jan-14 Number of Material Breaches Number of Non-Material Breaches Jan-14 Jan-13 Number of Balancing Actions (Calendar year to date) 22 41 Number of Material Breaches (Calendar year to date) Number of Non-Material Breaches (Calendar year to date) 2
Transporter Actions and Neutrality Energy Balancing Capacity
Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM January 213 to January 214 Vs Previous Year 6 4 2-2 National Grid Monthly Buys and Sells Jan 213 to Jan 214 vs Previous Year 6 4 2-2 GWh -4-6 -8-1, -1,2-1,4 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Month Buy 213/14 Buy Prev Year Sell 213/14 Sell Prev Year -4-6 -8-1, -1,2-1,4 Year 214 [YTD] Jan Dec 13 Buy [GWh] 124 2891 Sell [GWh] -362-3316 4
Days of Default SMP Prices From February 213 to January 214 SMPB Calculation Summary Feb 213 to Jan 214 %age 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 SMPB [NG Set Price] May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 SMPB [Default Marginal] Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Month SMPB SMPS Both Jan 14 94% 77% 71% SMPS Calculation Summary Feb 213 to Jan 214 %age 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 SMPS [NG Set Price] Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 SMPS [Default Marginal] Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 5
Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Nov - Dec 213 Payments / Charges / Net Credit / Debit [Imbalance / Scheduling / OCM] - 1st Nov to 31st Dec 213 6,, 5,, Net Debit 2,291,785 4,, 7,965,111 671,476 12,798,263 3,, 2,, 37,342,989 35,473,98 1,, Credits Debits Imbalance Scheduling OCM 6
Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Nov - Dec 213 OCM Payments / Charges Graph 1st Nov 213 to 31st Dec 213 1,5, Payment [TTB] Charge [TTS] Imbalance Payments / Charges Graph 1st Nov 213 to 31st Dec 213 3,, Payment [DCS] Charge [DCT] 1,, 2,5, 2,, 5, 1,5, -5, -1,, 1,, 5, -5, -1,, -1,5, -1,5, -2,, -2,, -2,5, 1/11/213 8/11/213 15/11/213 22/11/213 29/11/213 Day 6/12/213 13/12/213 2/12/213 27/12/213 1/11/213 8/11/213 15/11/213 22/11/213 29/11/213 Day 6/12/213 13/12/213 2/12/213 27/12/213 4, Scheduling Charges Graph 1st Nov 213 to 31st Dec 213 Exit Charge [EXS] Entry Charge [ESC] Exit Charge [DXS] 35, 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, 1/11/213 8/11/213 15/11/213 22/11/213 29/11/213 Day 6/12/213 13/12/213 2/12/213 27/12/213 7
Capacity Neutrality Net Cost / Revenue From 1 st April 213 to 31 st December 213 Revenue/Costs WDDSEC/DAI Entry Capacity Revenue - 454,856 Total Entry Constraint Management Operational Costs Entry Capacity Overrun Revenue - 11,94 Non-Obligated Sales Revenue (Entry only) - 85,537 Revenue from Locational Sells and PRI Charges Net Revenue - 651,333 8
Capacity Neutrality Revenues from WDDSEC and DAI From 1 st April 213 to 31 st December 213 Capacity Neutrality Revenues from WDDSEC and DAI April 213 to December 213 185, 165, 145, 125, 15, 85, 65, 45, 25, 5, St Fergus Teesside Barrow Theddlethorpe Easington Bacton Other 9
Capacity Neutrality Revenues from Entry Cap Overruns and Non-Obligated Sales, and Locational Sells and PRI Charges. Totals From 1 st April 213 to 31 st December 213 Month Entry Cap Overrun Revenue Non-obligated sales revenue (entry) Month Locational Sells and PRI charges revenue Apr-13-4,972-175 Apr-13 May-13-7,376 - May-13 Jun-13-33,996 - Jun-13 Jul-13-16,257 - Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14-6,8-11,538-5,355-22,2-3,364 - - - - - - 28,755-27,943-28,665 - - - Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 - - - Total - 11,94 (FY13-14) - 85,537 (FY13-14) Total (FY13/14) 1
Operational Overview
National Composite Weather October 213 to Feb 214 vs. Historical Range 2 Month ahead ensemble weather 15 Degrees CWV 1 5 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec 1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr -5 Minimum to seasonal normal Seasonal normal to maximum Ensemble forecasts Mean Ensemble 212/13 CWV 12
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Mean Composite Weather Variables December 213 vs. Previous Yrs Mean National Composite Weather for December 213 13 Degrees CWV 21 195 1962 1995 1963 1935 1946 1969 1996 1928 29 1978 1943 199 197 1965 1967 193 1999 1958 1991 1936 25 1947 1932 1989 1929 1956 23 1951 1955 1986 1984 22 2 1998 1997 1972 1985 1994 1971 1953 1988 212 213
7 6 5 4 3 2 1-1 -2-3 -4 Mean Composite Weather Variables January 214 vs. Previous Yrs Mean National Composite Weather for January 214 14 Degrees CWV 1962 1978 1944 1984 1928 29 1958 1954 1979 1945 1981 1985 193 1983 1963 1952 1955 1935 2 1967 1959 212 1961 1991 1949 197 1942 198 1972 25 1993 1956 1987 23 1968 1997 1973 1943 211 1931 24 1974 27 212 213
Demands
Gas Demand Breakdown 1 st Oct 213 to 2 nd Feb 214 vs Previous Year Gas Demand Breakdown 1st Oct 213 to 2nd February 214 vs Previous Year 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 16 1-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 15-Oct-13 22-Oct-13 29-Oct-13 5-Nov-13 12-Nov-13 19-Nov-13 26-Nov-13 3-Dec-13 1-Dec-13 17-Dec-13 24-Dec-13 31-Dec-13 7-Jan-14 14-Jan-14 21-Jan-14 28-Jan-14 4-Feb-14 11-Feb-14 18-Feb-14 25-Feb-14 4-Mar-14 11-Mar-14 18-Mar-14 25-Mar-14 mcm NDM DM (Excl Interconnectors) Total Interconnector Export Storage Injection SND Cold Demand Warm Demand Previous Years Demand
LDZ Demand 1st October 213 to 2 nd February 214 Gas Demand Breakdown [LDZ 213/14 vs Previous Year] vs NTS Demand / CWV's 1st Oct 213 to 2nd Feb 214 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 17 1-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 15-Oct-13 22-Oct-13 29-Oct-13 5-Nov-13 12-Nov-13 19-Nov-13 26-Nov-13 3-Dec-13 1-Dec-13 17-Dec-13 24-Dec-13 31-Dec-13 7-Jan-14 14-Jan-14 21-Jan-14 28-Jan-14 mcm Gas Day LDZ Demand 13/14 LDZ Demand Previous Year NTS Demand 13/14 CWV 13/14 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2
Power Generation October 213 to February 214 Gas Consumption for Power Generation 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 18 3-Sep 7-Oct 14-Oct 21-Oct 28-Oct 4-Nov 11-Nov 18-Nov 25-Nov 2-Dec 9-Dec 16-Dec 23-Dec 3-Dec 6-Jan 13-Jan 2-Jan 27-Jan 3-Feb 1-Feb 17-Feb 24-Feb 3-Mar mcm/d 1-Mar 17-Mar 24-Mar 31-Mar Actual for Power Generation Base Case High Previous Year
Depressed Demand this Winter 19
Supplies
Gas Supply Breakdown 1 st October 213 to 2 nd February 214 Gas Supply Breakdown 1st October 213 to 2nd February 214 vs Previous Year 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 21 1-Oct-13 8-Oct-13 15-Oct-13 22-Oct-13 29-Oct-13 5-Nov-13 12-Nov-13 19-Nov-13 26-Nov-13 3-Dec-13 1-Dec-13 17-Dec-13 24-Dec-13 31-Dec-13 7-Jan-14 14-Jan-14 21-Jan-14 28-Jan-14 4-Feb-14 11-Feb-14 18-Feb-14 25-Feb-14 4-Mar-14 11-Mar-14 18-Mar-14 25-Mar-14 Gas Day UKCS Norway (est) LNG Imports BBL I(UK) LRS Supplies MRS Supplies SRS Supplies Previous Year Actual Supply mcm/d
Gas Supply Breakdown IUK 1 st October 213 to 3 rd February 214 IUK Export / Import volumes Oct 213 - Feb 214 vs Previous Year / SAP 22 2-Feb 29-Jan 25-Jan 21-Jan 17-Jan 13-Jan 9-Jan 5-Jan 1-Jan 28-Dec 24-Dec 2-Dec 16-Dec 12-Dec 8-Dec 4-Dec 3-Nov 26-Nov 22-Nov 18-Nov 14-Nov 1-Nov 6-Nov 2-Nov 29-Oct 25-Oct 21-Oct 17-Oct 13-Oct 9-Oct 5-Oct 1-Oct 9 8 5 7 6 price (p/tm) 5 4 3 1-1 -3-5 Volumes (mcm) 3 2 1-7 IUK Export IUK Import IUK Import [Previous Year] IUK Export [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 Gas Supply Breakdown LNG 1st October 213 to 3 rd February 214 LNG terminal flows Oct 213 - Feb 214 vs Previous Year / SAP 1 23 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 2-Feb 29-Jan 25-Jan 21-Jan 17-Jan 13-Jan 9-Jan 5-Jan 1-Jan 28-Dec 24-Dec 2-Dec 16-Dec 12-Dec 8-Dec 4-Dec 3-Nov 26-Nov 22-Nov 18-Nov 14-Nov 1-Nov 6-Nov 2-Nov 29-Oct 25-Oct 21-Oct 17-Oct 13-Oct 9-Oct 5-Oct 1-Oct Volumes (mcm) Price (p/th) SouthHookTer DragonTer Isle of grain DragonTer [Previous Year] Isle of grain [Previous Year] SouthHookTer [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
Gas Supply Breakdown Norway 1 st October 213 to 3 rd February 214 Norwegian* supply volumes Oct 213 - Feb 214 vs Previous Year / SAP 14 12 1 9 8 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 6 4 1 24 2 2-Feb 29-Jan 25-Jan 21-Jan 17-Jan 13-Jan 9-Jan 5-Jan 1-Jan 28-Dec 24-Dec 2-Dec 16-Dec 12-Dec 8-Dec 4-Dec 3-Nov 26-Nov 22-Nov 18-Nov 14-Nov 1-Nov 6-Nov 2-Nov 29-Oct 25-Oct 21-Oct 17-Oct 13-Oct 9-Oct 5-Oct 1-Oct Volumes (mcm) Price (p/th) Norway* Norway* [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
Gas Supply Breakdown Storage 1 st October 213 to 3 rd February 214 Storage flows Oct 213 - Feb 214 vs Previous Year / SAP 12 1 8 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 6 4 1 2 25 2-Feb 29-Jan 25-Jan 21-Jan 17-Jan 13-Jan 9-Jan 5-Jan 1-Jan 28-Dec 24-Dec 2-Dec 16-Dec 12-Dec 8-Dec 4-Dec 3-Nov 26-Nov 22-Nov 18-Nov 14-Nov 1-Nov 6-Nov 2-Nov 29-Oct 25-Oct 21-Oct 17-Oct 13-Oct 9-Oct 5-Oct 1-Oct Volumes (mcm) Price (p/tm) Storage Storage [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
Storage Stocks - UK 1 st Oct 213 to 4 th February 214 Vs Previous Years 45. LRS Stocks 14. MRS Stocks 4. 35. 3. 12. 1. 25. 8. TWh 2. 15. 1. 5. TWh 6. 4. 2.. Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep. Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep LRS 21/211 LRS 211/212 LRS 212/213 LRS 213/214 MRS 21/211 MRS 211/212 MRS 212/213 MRS 213/214.7 SRS Stocks.6.5 TWh.4.3.2.1. Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep MRS 21/211 SRS 211/212 SRS 212/213 SRS 213/214 26
213/14 Reflection Storage Stocks 1 1% 9 9% 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1 1% % 27 Net Storage Injection (mcm) 1-Apr 8-Apr 15-Apr 22-Apr 29-Apr 6-May 13-May 2-May 27-May 3-Jun 1-Jun 17-Jun 24-Jun 1-Jul 8-Jul 15-Jul 22-Jul 29-Jul 5-Aug 12-Aug 19-Aug 26-Aug 2-Sep 9-Sep 16-Sep 23-Sep 3-Sep 7-Oct 14-Oct 21-Oct 28-Oct 4-Nov 11-Nov 18-Nov 25-Nov 2-Dec 9-Dec 16-Dec 23-Dec 3-Dec 6-Jan 13-Jan 2-Jan 27-Jan 3-Feb 1-Feb 17-Feb 24-Feb 3-Mar 1-Mar 17-Mar 24-Mar 31-Mar Storage Stock Percentage Full Rough Humbley Grove Hatfield M oor Hornsea Holford Holehouse Farm Aldbrough Avonmouth LRS % Full 212 M RS % Full 212 SRS % Full 212 LRS % Full 213 M RS % Full 213 SRS % Full 213
Storage Stocks - EU From 1 st Oct 213 to 1 st February 214 vs. Previous Years Storage Data for Wednesday 5-2-214 Total EU Weekly Storage Levels 8, 7, 6, mcm 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 21/211 211/212 212/213 213/214 Date Note: AGSI+ are no longer publishing aggregated data on hub level. 28
Gas Supply comparison Winter 212/13 vs 213/14 29
UK Gas Prices 1 st Jan 213 to 4 th Feb 214 Vs Previous Years 13 System Prices 1st Jan 213 to 4th February 214 Vs Previous Years SAP 12 11 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 3 p/therm 1-Jan-13 15-Jan-13 29-Jan-13 12-Feb-13 26-Feb-13 12-Mar-13 26-Mar-13 9-Apr-13 23-Apr-13 7-May-13 21-May-13 4-Jun-13 18-Jun-13 2-Jul-13 16-Jul-13 3-Jul-13 13-Aug-13 27-Aug-13 1-Sep-13 24-Sep-13 8-Oct-13 22-Oct-13 5-Nov-13 19-Nov-13 3-Dec-13 17-Dec-13 31-Dec-13 14-Jan-14 28-Jan-14 SAP SMP Buy SMP Sell SAP Previous Year
What Operational Issues Affected Users? 31