Making GVCs Inclusive for ASEAN. Cassey Lee, Dionisius Narjoko and Sothea Oum June 2016

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Transcription:

Making GVCs Inclusive for ASEAN Cassey Lee, Dionisius Narjoko and Sothea Oum June 2016

Project Description ERIA-ISEAS Project: Small Medium Enterprises (SME) in ASEAN and East Asia Regional Economic Integration Objective: SME participation in ASEAN and East Asian regional economic integration Duration: June 2014 - December 2016 Structure/Coverage: Primary Data: 200 firms per country, 2-3 Industries Sampling: 30%-40% : firms with 11-49 workers 40%-50% : firms with 50-249 workers 20% : firms with 250 or more workers Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam MNE Perspectives: Japan, South Korea, Taiwan

Country Micro Small Medium Large Total Indonesia 1 102 60 37 200 Thailand 0 86 128 87 301 Cambodia 60 36 27 78 201 Vietnam 0 99 99 10 208 Myanmar 17 37 54 90 198 Philippines 13 33 86 73 205 Malaysia 0 79 114 33 226 Total 91 472 568 408 1,539

Indonesia Thailand Cambodia Vietnam Myanmar Philippines Malaysia 1. Burn-in 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2. Component parts 0 0 0 0 0 0 103 3. Software systems 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4. Diodes and transistors 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 5. Smart cards 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 6. Modules and arrays 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 7. Diodes and components 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 8. Printed circuit boards 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 9. Cathode-ray tv pictubes and tv camera picture tubes 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 10.Manufacture of food products 52 95 22 48 90 11 0 11. Manufacture of beverages 20 0 10 0 0 2 0 12. Manufacture of tobacco products 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 13. Manufacture of textiles 1 10 2 82 0 4 0 14. Manufacture of wearing apparel 70 0 80 0 102 23 0 15. Manufacture of leather and related products 14 21 7 0 0 2 0 16. Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials 15 0 1 78 2 1 0 17. Manufacture of paper and paper products 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 18. Printing and reproduction of recorded media 0 0 6 0 0 3 0 20. Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 22. Manufacture of rubber and plastics products 0 104 2 0 0 18 0 23. Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 24. Manufacture of basic metals 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 25. Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 0 9 30 0 0 16 0 26. Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products 3 0 2 0 0 9 0 27. Manufacture of electrical equipment 4 0 0 0 0 3 0 28. Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. 0 33 0 0 0 4 0 29. Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 1 0 1 0 0 14 0 30. Manufacture of other transport equipment 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 31. Manufacture of furniture 20 29 10 0 0 5 0 32. Other manufacturing 0 0 20 0 3 67 0 33. Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 0 0 1 0 0 1 0

Measuring SME Involvement in GVC Project does not focus on GVCs but may offer some insights from data collected Purchase of inputs & sale of outputs Indirect Exporting intermediate goods parent-co, sister-co, subsidiary-co, unrelated-co Importing intermediate goods Direct In-house sourcing Outsourcing (domestic, foreign)

Industry Non-Exporting Exporting Total % Non-Exporting % Exporting 1. Burn-in 4 1 5 80 20 2. Component parts 82 21 103 80 20 3. Software systems 3 0 3 100 0 4. Diodes and transistors 6 19 25 24 76 5. Smart cards 21 0 21 100 0 6. Modules and arrays 6 2 8 75 25 7. Diodes and components 14 12 26 54 46 8. Printed circuit boards 12 23 35 34 66 9. Cathode-ray tv pictubes and tv camera picture tubes 2 0 2 100 0 10.Manufacture of food products 225 93 318 71 29 11. Manufacture of beverages 25 7 32 78 22 12. Manufacture of tobacco products 1 0 1 100 0 13. Manufacture of textiles 51 48 99 52 48 14. Manufacture of wearing apparel 138 137 275 50 50 15. Manufacture of leather and related products 19 25 44 43 57 16. Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials 68 29 97 70 30 17. Manufacture of paper and paper products 2 2 4 50 50 18. Printing and reproduction of recorded media 8 1 9 89 11 20. Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 7 6 13 54 46 22. Manufacture of rubber and plastics products 85 39 124 69 31 23. Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products 1 0 1 100 0 24. Manufacture of basic metals 3 2 5 60 40 25. Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 37 18 55 67 33 26. Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products 4 10 14 29 71 27. Manufacture of electrical equipment 5 2 7 71 29 28. Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. 18 19 37 49 51 29. Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 11 5 16 69 31 30. Manufacture of other transport equipment 3 1 4 75 25 31. Manufacture of furniture 42 22 64 66 34 32. Other manufacturing 37 53 90 41 59 33. Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 2 0 2 100 0 Total 942 597 1,539 61 39

Micro Small Medium Large Industry NX X Total NX X Total NX X Total NX X Total 1. Burn-in 2 0 2 2 1 3 0 0 0 2. Component parts 49 0 49 32 17 49 1 4 5 3. Software systems 3 0 3 4. Diodes and transistors 3 0 3 3 9 12 0 10 10 5. Smart cards 19 0 19 2 0 2 6. Modules and arrays 2 0 2 4 0 4 0 2 2 7. Diodes and components 1 0 1 11 5 16 2 7 9 8. Printed circuit boards 12 16 28 0 7 7 9. Cathode-ray tv pictubes and tv camera picture tubes 2 0 2 10.Manufacture of food products 24 0 24 110 27 137 59 29 88 32 37 69 11. Manufacture of beverages 5 0 5 8 2 10 10 2 12 2 3 5 12. Manufacture of tobacco products 1 0 1 13. Manufacture of textiles 0 1 1 23 7 30 28 28 56 0 12 12 14. Manufacture of wearing apparel 2 5 7 33 14 47 33 26 59 70 92 162 15. Manufacture of leather and related products 3 1 4 8 14 22 5 5 10 3 5 8 16. Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials 44 13 57 23 14 37 1 2 3 17. Manufacture of paper and paper products 2 1 3 0 1 1 18. Printing and reproduction of recorded media 3 0 3 4 0 4 1 1 2 20. Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 3 0 3 3 5 8 1 1 2 22. Manufacture of rubber and plastics products 2 0 2 18 6 24 43 14 57 22 19 41 23. Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products 1 0 1 24. Manufacture of basic metals 1 0 1 2 2 4 25. Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 19 0 19 8 1 9 8 15 23 2 2 4 26. Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products 2 1 3 2 9 11 27. Manufacture of electrical equipment 1 0 1 3 0 3 1 2 3 28. Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. 9 3 12 6 12 18 3 4 7 29. Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 1 0 1 1 0 1 4 0 4 5 5 10 30. Manufacture of other transport equipment 3 0 3 0 1 1 31. Manufacture of furniture 5 0 5 16 6 22 19 11 30 2 5 7 32. Other manufacturing 14 1 15 4 10 14 10 22 32 9 20 29 33. Repair and installation of machinery and equipment 2 0 2 Total 83 8 91 369 103 472 331 237 568 159 249 408

Preliminary Findings - 1 Exporting propensity differs across industries Size matters in firm participation in exporting Probit regressions - non-exporters & exporters: Dependent variable: sale of intermediate goods Independent variables: size, online sale, online purchase, online payment Main constraint on SME relating to export per se ICT-variables significant sale, purchase, payment

Findings - 2 Outsourcing foreign sources Probit regressions Dependent variable: outsourcing from foreign sources Independent variables: size, online sale, online purchase, online payment Online sale and purchase only significant for medium and large-sized firms Small firms face severe constrains in participating in GVCs?

Preliminary Findings - 3 Government variables: 1. Support for participation in events in countries abroad (e.g. fairs and exhibitions) 2. Support for organising meetings with potential partners (e.g. trade partners, R&D partners and networking) 3. Provision of financial support (e.g.grants, subsidies, loans) Exporting intermediate goods Policy no.2 for medium-sized firms Foreign outsourcing Policy no.1 for medium-sized firms

THANK YOU

Suggested Topics What does evidence suggest about GVCs and inclusivity? How do SMEs engage and benefit from GVCs? Are NMS being left out? What aspects are to be considered in spreading the gains from GVCs to the grander population? What can policy do (or what is currently being done) to make GVCs more inclusive?

SME Definition No of employees/workers: Micro: < 10 Small: 10-49 Medium: 50-249 Large: 250