Operational Forum Meeting Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 13th April 2011, 10:30AM, Radisson Grafton Hotel, 130 Tottenham Court Road, London.
System Management Principles Statement Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.
System Management Principles Statement Compliance report Period March 2011 Summary of balancing actions and breaches for March 2011 Performance compared to last year 3
Summary Report Mar 2011 Total Number of Buy Actions 5 Total Number of Sell Actions 23 Total 28 Number of Material Breaches 0 Number of Non-Material Breaches 0 4
2010 / 2011 Comparison To Mar To Mar 2010 2011 Number of Balancing Actions 108 85 (Calendar year to date) Number of Material Breaches 0 0 (Calendar year to date) Number of Non Material Breaches 0 0 (Calendar year to date) 5
Operational Overview Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.
Weather Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.
01/03/2011 02/03/2011 03/03/2011 04/03/2011 05/03/2011 06/03/2011 07/03/2011 08/03/2011 09/03/2011 10/03/2011 11/03/2011 12/03/2011 13/03/2011 14/03/2011 15/03/2011 16/03/2011 17/03/2011 18/03/2011 19/03/2011 20/03/2011 21/03/2011 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 National CWV and EP2 SNCW Weather March 2011 22/03/2011 23/03/2011 24/03/2011 25/03/2011 26/03/2011 27/03/2011 28/03/2011 29/03/2011 30/03/2011 31/03/2011 8
Mean Composite Weather Variables March 2011 Mean National Composite Weather for March 1962 1969 1970 1964 1987 1979 1996 1975 1984 1986 1976 1985 1980 2006 1965 1971 2001 1995 1974 1963 1982 1988 2008 1968 1983 1978 1966 2004 2010 1977 1967 1993 1973 1972 1992 1994 1989 2005 2011 2009 2007 1981 1999 2000 2002 1991 1998 2003 1990 1997 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2011 2010 Other years 9 degrees CWV
Demands Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.
Gas Demand Breakdown 1 st February 2011 to 2 nd April 2011 Gas Demand Breakdown 1st February 2011 to 2nd April 2011 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 11 01-Feb-11 04-Feb-11 07-Feb-11 10-Feb-11 13-Feb-11 16-Feb-11 19-Feb-11 22-Feb-11 25-Feb-11 28-Feb-11 03-Mar-11 06-Mar-11 09-Mar-11 12-Mar-11 15-Mar-11 18-Mar-11 21-Mar-11 24-Mar-11 27-Mar-11 30-Mar-11 02-Apr-11 Gas Day NDM DM (Excl Interconnectors) Storage Injection Total Interconnector Export SND Cold Demand Warm Demand mcm
Power Generation 1st February 2011 to 2 nd April 2011 120 Power generation gas demand 100 80 m c m /d 60 40 20 0 01-Feb 08-Feb 15-Feb 22-Feb 01-Mar 08-Mar 15-Mar 22-Mar 29-Mar High Seasonal normal Low Actual 12
Supplies Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.
Gas Supply Breakdown 1 st February 2011 to 2 nd April 2011 Gas Supply Breakdown 1st February 2011 to 2nd April 2011 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 14 01-Feb-11 03-Feb-11 05-Feb-11 07-Feb-11 09-Feb-11 11-Feb-11 13-Feb-11 15-Feb-11 17-Feb-11 19-Feb-11 21-Feb-11 23-Feb-11 25-Feb-11 27-Feb-11 01-Mar-11 03-Mar-11 05-Mar-11 07-Mar-11 09-Mar-11 11-Mar-11 13-Mar-11 15-Mar-11 17-Mar-11 19-Mar-11 21-Mar-11 23-Mar-11 25-Mar-11 27-Mar-11 29-Mar-11 31-Mar-11 02-Apr-11 Gas Day UKCS Norw ay (est) LNG Imports BBL I(UK) LRS Supplies MRS Supplies SRS Supplies mcm/d
Gas Supply Breakdown LNG Flows Total LNG flows By Gas Day [October 2010 - March 2011] 120.00 110.00 100.00 90.00 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 15 25/03/2011 11/02/2011 18/02/2011 25/02/2011 04/03/2011 11/03/2011 18/03/2011 01/10/2010 08/10/2010 15/10/2010 22/10/2010 29/10/2010 05/11/2010 12/11/2010 19/11/2010 26/11/2010 03/12/2010 10/12/2010 17/12/2010 24/12/2010 31/12/2010 07/01/2011 14/01/2011 21/01/2011 28/01/2011 04/02/2011 Gas Day Highest LNG Flows Gas Day 21 st Jan 2011 117 mcm Flow (MCM)
Gas Supply Breakdown LNG Flows Total LNG Flows 2010 Vs 2011 Total Flow (MCM) 2600 2500 2400 2300 2200 2100 2000 1900 1800 1700 1600 1500 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 57% 86% 50% Jan Feb Mar 2010 2011 Month 16
Storage Stocks - UK From 1 st October 2010 to 7 th April 2011 LRS Stocks MRS Stocks G W h 45.00 40.00 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 G Wh 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 O c t N ov D ec J an F eb Mar Apr M ay J un J ul Aug Sep O c t Nov Dec J an F eb M ar Apr May J un J ul Aug Sep LRS 2008/2009 LRS 2009/2010 LRS 2010/2011 MRS 2008/2009 MRS 2009/2010 MRS 2010/2011 2.50 SRS Stocks 2.00 GWh 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep SRS 2008/2009 SRS 2009/2010 MRS 2010/2011 17
Storage Stocks - EU From 1 st October 2010 to 5 th April 2011 Total EU Weekly Storage Levels m c m 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 0 6 - O c t 0 6 - N o v 0 6 - D e c 0 6 - J a n 0 6 - F e b 0 6 - M a r 0 6 - A p r 0 6 - M a y 0 6 - J u n 0 6 - J u l Date 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 0 6 - A u g 0 6 - S e p Stocklevel Status at 06:00CET on Monday 11.04.11 Hub Area Stock Level (mcm) % Full Baumgarten 6945.74 44.37% Germany 8482.40 42.53% Iberian 1120.00 47.33% NBP 1914.00 40.24% France 3369.00 27.05% PSV 8026.95 53.68% TTF (Eurohub) 1202.21 58.53% ZEE 144.84 21.45% Total Hubs 31205.14 42.83% 18
Transporter Actions and Neutrality Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.
System Prices 1 st February 2011 to 6 th April 2011 70.00 60.00 System Prices 1st February 2011 to 6th April 2011 Following Supply Loss Friday 11 th March 2011 Japan was hit by two of it s worst natural disasters [earthquake and subsequent tsunami] 50.00 p/therm 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 01-Feb-11 08-Feb-11 15-Feb-11 22-Feb-11 01-Mar-11 08-Mar-11 15-Mar-11 22-Mar-11 29-Mar-11 05-Apr-11 SAP SMP Buy SMP Sell SAP 2010 20
Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM Buys and Sells by Month From March 2010 to March 2011 400 National Grid Monthly Buys and Sells March 2010 to March 2011 200 0 GWh -200-400 -600-800 -1,000 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Buy Sell 21
Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM Buys and Sells by Day From 1 st February 2011 to 6 th April 2011 80,000,000 Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM 1st February 2011 to 6th April 2011 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 kwh 0-20,000,000-40,000,000-60,000,000-80,000,000 01-Feb-11 08-Feb-11 15-Feb-11 22-Feb-11 01-Mar-11 08-Mar-11 15-Mar-11 22-Mar-11 29-Mar-11 05-Apr-11 Gas Day Buy Sell 22
Days of Default SMP Prices From March 2010 to March 2011 90 80 70 60 SMP Buy SMP SELL Both Feb-11 92.90% 92.90% 85.70% Mar-11 96.80% 77.40% 74.20% SMP Days Of Default March 2010 to March 2011 %age 50 40 30 20 10 0 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Both 23
Transporter Actions on the OCM Mechanism Revenues / Costs From 1 st October 2010 to 31 st March 2011 Quantity Average Price Cost TWh p/kwh Therms m System Buy 1.16 1.87 54.7 21.64 System Sell -2.62 1.84 53.87-48.15 Net Position -1.46-26.51 Transporter Actions on OCM March 2010 to March 2011 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00-2.00-4.00-6.00-8.00-10.00-12.00-14.00-16.00 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 m Month System Cost - Buy System Cost - Sell 24
Shipper Imbalance Revenues / Costs From 1 st October 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Quantity Average Price Average price Cost (TWH) P/KWh P/Therm m System Buy 4.98 1.78 52.24 88.84 Shipper Over Delivery/Cost to Neutrality System Sell -3.91 1.88 55.2-73.75 Shipper Under Delivery/Revenue to Neutrality Net Position 1.07 15.09 40.00 Shipper Imbalances - Revenue Costs February 2010 to February 2011 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00-10.00-20.00-30.00 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 m Month System Cost - Buy System Cost - Sell 25
Scheduling Revenues From 1 st October 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Cost m Input - 1.06 Output - 0.70 Total - 1.76 0.00-0.10-0.20 Scheduling Revenues February 2010 to February 2011 m - 0.30-0.40-0.50-0.60 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Month Input Output 26
Balancing Costs From 1 st October 2010 to 28 th February 2011 m Transporter Actions on OCM - 16.55 Imbalance Charge 15.09 Scheduling Charge - 1.76 Balancing Cost - 3.22 10.00 Balancing Costs February 2010 to February 2011 5.00 0.00-5.00-10.00-15.00 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 m Month OCM Imbalance Sched 27
Capacity Neutrality Revenues from DSEC and DAI From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 St Fergus 116,723.06 Teesside 22,545.00 Barrow 6,432.95 Theddlethorpe 23,035.80 Easington 209,595.13 Bacton 73,167.39 Other 109,744.85 250,000.00 200,000.00 150,000.00 100,000.00 Capacity Neutrality Revenues from DSEC and DAI April 2010 to February 2011 50,000.00 0.00 St Fergus Teesside Barrow Theddlethorpe Easington Bacton Other 28
Capacity Neutrality Prompt Buy Backs From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 29
Capacity Neutrality Capacity Management Agreement (Including RMTTSEC) From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Month Cost Apr-10 0.00 May-10 0.00 Jun-10 0.00 Jul-10 0.00 Aug-10 0.00 Sep-10 0.00 Oct-10 0.00 Nov-10 0.00 Dec-10 0.00 Jan-11 0.00 Feb-11 0.00 Mar-11 TOTAL 0.00 30
Capacity Neutrality Revenues from Locational Sells and PRI Charges From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Month Revenue Apr-10-1,677,416.00 May-10 0.00 Jun-10 0.00 Jul-10 0.00 Aug-10-567,734.00 Sep-10 0.00 Oct-10 0.00 Nov-10-110,028.00 Dec-10 0.00 Jan-11 0.00 Feb-11 0.00 Mar-11 TOTAL - 2,355,178.00 31
Capacity Neutrality Revenues from Entry Capacity Overruns and Non-Obligated Sales From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Month Entry Capacity Non-Obligated Sales Apr-10-5,080,778.12 0.00 May-10-13,825.95-516.35 Jun-10-1,083.26 0.00 Jul-10-77,085.71 0.00 Aug-10-652.54 0.00 Sep-10-1,190.84 0.00 Oct-10-2,977.87-56,215.68 Nov-10-11,606.22-54,168.00 Dec-10-64,425.21-55,973.60 Jan-11-29,108.00-185,704.00 Feb-11-5,638.74-167,733.00 Mar-11 TOTAL - 5,288,372.46-520,310.63 32
Capacity Neutrality Net Cost / Revenue From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Month Revenue DSEC/DAI Revenue - 561,244.18 Buy Back Costs 0.00 Capacity management Agreement 0.00 Entry Capacity Overrun Revenue - 5,288,372.46 Non-Obligated Sales Revenue - 520,310.63 Revenue from Locational Sells and PRI Charges - 2,355,178.00 Net Revenue - 8,725,105.27 33