The Great Eastern Shipping Co. Ltd. Business & Financial Review June 2011

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Transcription:

The Great Eastern Shipping Co. Ltd. Business & Financial Review June 2011 1

Forward Looking Statements Except for historical information, the statements made in this presentation constitute forward looking statements. These include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of GE Shipping and its management regarding the Company s operations, strategic directions, prospects and future results which in turn involve certain risks and uncertainties. Certain factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements; including changes in freight rates; global economic and business conditions; effects of competition and technological developments; changes in laws and regulations; difficulties in achieving cost savings; currency, fuel price and interest rate fluctuations etc. The Company assumes no responsibility with regard to publicly amending, modifying or revising the statements based on any subsequent developments, information or events that may occur. 2

Corporate Profile The Great Eastern Shipping Co. Ltd. Incorporated in 1948 Shipping Business Offshore Business Wet bulk Through subsidiary Greatship (India) Limited Crude Tankers Product Tankers - Logistics -Subsea Dry bulk - Drilling 3

Company at a glance India s largest private sector Shipping Company Diverse asset base with global operations Completed 63 years of operations More than 27 years of uninterrupted dividend track record Shareholding Pattern as on Mar 31, 2011 Public 27% FIIs 16% Govt/FI 19% Promoters 30% Bodies Corporate 8% 4

Shipping business-owned fleet 34 ships aggregating 2.55 Mn dwt, avg.age 8.8 years 26 Tankers avg.age 8.9 years (76% in tonnage terms) - 9 Crude carriers (4 Suezmax, 5 Aframax) avg.age 8.6 years - 16 Product tankers (4 LR1, 8 MR, 4 GP) avg.age 9.0 years (1 single hull double sided) - 1 LPG carrier avg.age 20 years 8 Dry bulk carriers avg.age 8.6 years -1 Capesize -avg.age 15 years - 2 Kamsarmax - avg.age 0 years - 1 Panamax - avg.age 16 years - 3 Supramax- avg.age 6 years - 1 Handymax - avg.age 14 years 5

Committed CAPEX Shipping Business Committed Capex of around USD 96 Mn - 2 new building contracts aggregating 0.14 mn. dwt To be delivered in: FY 2012-1 NB, Supramax Dry Bulk Carrier (Cosco (Zhoushan) Shipyard Co. Ltd) - 1 NB, Kamsarmax Dry Bulk Carrier (SPP Shipbuilding Co.Ltd) Stage payments already made : around US$69 mn of the total CAPEX 6

Offshore business- Fleet Profile Current Owned Fleet 2 350ft Jack Up Rigs 4 Platform Supply Vessels (PSV) 7 Anchor Handling Tug cum Supply Vessels (AHTSV) 3 Multipurpose Platform Supply and Support Vessels (MPSSV) 3 Platform / ROV Support Vessels (ROVSV) 7

Committed CAPEX Offshore Business Committed Capex of around USD 450 Mn To be delivered in: FY 2012-2 NB MSVs (Mazagon Dock) - 2 NB 150T AHTSV (Drydock World, Singapore) - 1 NB Platform / ROV Support Vessel (CDL) FY 2013-2 NB Platform / ROV Support Vessels (CDL) - 1 Jackup Rig (350 feet) (Lamprell Energy, Dubai) Stage payments already made : around US$72 mn of the total CAPEX Fleet Growth FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E FY2013E Fleet ( in nos) 4 9 15 19 24 27 8

Modern & Technologically Advanced Fleet Young Fleet Young fleet with an average age of approx. 3 years by FY 2012 Demand shifting to modern vessels, especially as safety becomes a major concern for oil companies Revenue Efficiencies - Higher utilization rates - Minimum down time Technologically Advanced Specialized/technologically advanced vessels equipped with DP I/DP II (Dynamic Positioning) and FiFi I (Fire Fighting) technologies Subsea vessels are SPS 2008 compliant Equipped to operate in challenging environments Efficient and versatile vessels Cost Efficiencies - Lower Operating costs - Reduced maintenance capex & opex 9

Global Presence-Risk Diversification and Profit Maximization One of of the few Indian companies to to operate in in diverse markets across the world with prestigious counterparties; helps to to hedge against fluctuations in in charter rates North Sea Mediterranean West Africa India ONGC GSPC BG India Reliance Thailand Emas Offshore Mexico Oceanografia/ PEMEX Middle East Saudi Aramco Far East South East Asia Latin America Area of Operation Target Markers South Africa Marine Delivery/ PSA Australia New Zealand 10

Offshore Service Value Chain Exploration Development Production Length of of Typical Cycle - 3 to to 5 years - 2 to to 4 years - 5 to to 55 years Description --Collection of of survey data --Analysis & interpretation --Identification of of oil oil & gas reserves --Construction & installation of of production platforms, pipelines & equipment --Preparation for for production --Management of of oil oil & gas production --Operations & Maintenance --Retrofit work Vessels -AHTV, AHTSV, MPSSV, Tugs --PSV/ Supply, Crewboats --ROV Support Vessels --Seismic survey & support hydrographic survey (for pipeline routes) --Chase boats -AHTV, AHTSV, MPSSV, Tugs --PSV/ Supply, Crewboats --Derrick/ Crane Vessels --Cable & pipe-lay vessels --Heavy Lift Transport --Offshore Dredgers --Accommodation units --AHTSV, --PSV/ Supply --MPSSV/ Production Support Vessels --Emergency Rescue & Response Vessels --Crewboats --Accommodation units 11

Q4FY 11 Financial Highlights Standalone FY'11 FY'10 (Amount in Rs. crs) Consolidated FY'11 FY'10 Income Statement 1649 2245 Revenue (including other income) 2741 3322 829 921 EBITDA (including other income) 1275 1191 266 396 Net Profit 469 513 Balance Sheet 9596 9605 Total Assets 12653 11868 5504 5371 Equity 6031 5710 3616 3669 Long Term Debt (Gross) 5957 5370 1112 214 Long Term Debt (Net of Cash) 2832 1447 Key financial figures 50.30% 41.03% EBITDA Margin (%) 46.51% 35.86% 4.90% 7.68% Return on Equity (ROE) (%) 8.62% 9.37% 4.53% 6.29% Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) (%) 6.13% 7.02% 0.66 0.68 Gross Debt/Equity Ratio (x) 0.99 0.93 0.20 0.04 Net Debt/Equity Ratio (x) 0.47 0.24 Share related figures 17.50 25.99 Earnings per share, EPS (Rs) 30.78 33.67 17.46 25.93 Diluted earnings per share (Rs) 30.71 33.60 43.02 48.74 Cash Profit per share (Rs) 58.38 61.55 8.00 8.00 Dividend per share (Rs) 8.00 8.00 NAV as on 31 Mar 11 Rs.345 12

Q4FY 11 Performance Highlights Breakup of revenue days FY11 FY10 Revenue Days Q4 FY11 Q4 FY10 12,097 13,269 Owned Tonnage 2,827 3,374 111 256 Inchartered Tonnage 23-12,208 13,525 Total Revenue Days 2,850 3,374 2.63 2.89 Total Owned Tonnage (mn.dwt) 2.63 2.89 Mix of Spot & Time Average TCY Details Q4 FY11 Q4 FY10 Days (in %) FY11 FY10 Dry Bulk Average (TCY $ per day) Q4 FY11 Q4 FY10 % Chg 59% 41% 47% 53% Spot % Time % 52% 48% 63% 37% Crude Carriers Product Carriers (Incl. Gas) 23,072 15,556 29,322 17,920 (21)% (13)% 52% 48% 39% 61% Tankers Spot % Time % 46% 54% 47% 53% Dry Bulk 18,153 23,963 (24)% 53% 41% Total Spot % 47% 49% 47% 59% Time % 53% 51% 13

Asset Price Movement (5 yr old) Timeline- Sep2003 till June 13, 2011 Amt in US$ mn 16 0 12 0 80 40 0 16 0 12 0 80 40 0 16/09/2003 VLCC AFRAMAX CA PESIZE PANAMAX(DRY) Source: Baltic Sale & Purchase Assessment 14

Indices Movement - Timeline Jan'08 to 17 Jun 11 12000 Baltic Dry Index (BDI) 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 2500 2000 Baltic Dirty Tanker Index (BDTI) & Baltic Clean Tanker Index (BCTI) BDTI 1500 1000 500 BCTI 0 Jan-08 Jul -08 Jan-09 Jul -09 Jan-10 Jul -10 Jan-11 Source: Baltic Exchange 15

Total Seaborne trade at a glance Dry Bulk Seaborne Bulk trade (in mn. tonnes) 2008 2009 2010 2011(F) % chg (CY11 over CY10) Iron ore 841 907 970 1043 8% Steam Coal (Thermal) 578 590 654 680 4% Coking Coal 221 215 264 298 13% Grains 244 236 248 254 2% Bauxite 86 66 79 86 9% Sugar 49 50 53 50 6% Agri. Bulks 114 115 117 120 3% Fertilizers 80 71 87 88 1% Other minor bulks 736 622 695 748 8% Total 2949 2872 3167 3367 6% Source: Clarksons 16

Total Seaborne iron ore trade at a glance Seaborne Iron Ore Imports mn. tonnes 2008 2009 2010 2011(F) % chg (CY10 over CY09) W. Europe 131 81 112 114 2% China 436 615 603 652 8% Asia (Ex. China) 211 164 215 220 2% ROW 56 48 52 54 4% Total 834 908 982 1040 6% Chinese iron ore imports in Jan to May 11: 283 mn tons Source: Clarksons 17

Global Oil Demand mn.bpd 2008 2009 2010 2011 (F) % chg (CY11 over CY10) N.America 24.2 23.3 23.9 23.9 - OECD Europe 15.4 14.5 14.5 14.4 (1)% OECD Pacific (Japan& Korea) 8.0 7.7 7.8 7.8 - Asia (Non OECD) 17.4 18.4 19.8 20.6 4% Other Non OECD 21.0 20.9 22.1 22.7 3% Total 86.0 84.8 88.1 89.1 1% Source: Clarksons 18

Total Seaborne crude trade Seaborne Crude Imports mn bpd 2008 2009 2010 2011 (F) % chg (CY11 over CY10) Asia 15.9 16.1 17.6 18.4 5% EU 10.9 10.3 10.0 10.0 - N. America (incl. Canada) 7.0 6.9 6.8 7.0 3% ROW 5.7 5.0 4.8 4.9 2% Total 39.5 38.3 39.2 40.3 3% of which Long Haul Trades 15.0 13.8 14.2 15.0 6% 38% 36% 36% 37% Source: Clarksons 19

Gross World fleet addition-shipping World Fleet addition* Fleet (as on 1 Jun 11) (in mn dwt) CY2011 CY2012 CY2013 + Crude tankers 329.5 9% 10% 6% Product tankers 132.2 8% 5% 2% Dry bulk carriers 564.1 17% 16% 6% Source: Clarksons *includes only new building from yards - 4% of world tanker fleet is single hull 20

Global Fleet Scrapping Details Fleet as on Scrapping CY2011 1 st Jun 11 (in mn dwt) CY2008 CY2009 CY2010 YTD (in mn dwt) 329.5 Crude 2.2 5.0 132.2 Product 2.2 3.8 564.1 Bulk 5.5 10.4 7.1 5.8 5.7 2.5 1.7 11.6 Source: Clarksons 21

Slippages to be a decisive factor CY 2010 (in mn dwt) VLCC Suezmax Aframax Panamax MR GP Total Expected orders to be delivered 25.3 9.6 10.5 2.6 10.5 3.0 61.5 in CY 10 Actual deliveries 16.6 5.9 7.7 2.3 5.2 1.3 39.1 Slippages 8.7 3.7 2.8 0.3 5.3 1.7 22.4 Slippages/ cancellations as % of expected deliveries 34% 38% 26% 12% 50% 57% 36% CY 2010 (in mn dwt) Capesize Panamax H max H size Total Expected orders to be delivered 62.1 23.6 25.5 12.8 123.9 in CY 10 Actual deliveries 37.3 14.8 17.2 7.8 77.1 Slippages 24.8 8.8 8.3 5.0 46.8 Slippages/ cancellations as % of expected deliveries 40% 37% 32% 39% 38% CY 09 Slippages (in mn dwt): Tankers ~ 24%, Dry Bulk ~ 40% Source: Clarkson 22

Global Fleet Supply -Offshore (Nos) Jackup Rigs AHTSVs PSVs MSV, DSV & ROV Support Current Fleet 541 3,148 2,223 268 Orderbook 66 333 257 87 % of O/B to current fleet 12% 11% 12% 32% % fleet over 25 years 66% 48% 40% 20% Average age 23.0 18.9 17.6 12.7 Source: Clarksons, Rigzone 23

THANK YOU visit us at www.greatship.com 24