Technical Corn Oil Review December 2017

Similar documents
US biofuel Indicators and a changing market dynamic

CURRENT AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIAL REPORTS

Economic Parameters for Corn Ethanol and Biodiesel Production. Vernon R. Eidman 1

Commercial-in-Confidence Ashton Old Baths Financial Model - Detailed Cashflow

2017 Risk and Profit Conference Breakout Session Presenters. 13. Ethanol and Biodiesel Market and Profitability Prospects

Market Outlook. David Reinbott.

External Market Factors Impacting US Soybean Meal

COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS*

COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS*

The Outlook for Biofuels

Progress on developing value-added uses for distillers grains: current and evolving opportunities

Biofuels: Implications for Prices and Production. Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin

products from the bio-fuels industry Steven Rust Michigan State University

IMPORTANCE OF THE RENEWABLE FUELS INDUSTRY TO THE ECONOMY OF IOWA

2007 AAEA Livestock Outlook Symposium

ETHANOL INDUSTRY IN MINNESOTA ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE. Agricultural Marketing Services Division Minnesota Department of Agriculture

TOOL #5: C&S WASDE PRICE STUDY FOR DECEMBER CORN 7/09/10 For the July 9 th to the August 12 th time frame for CZ 2010

USDA Projections of Bioenergy-Related Corn and Soyoil Use for

BioFuels Lessons Learned From Georgia

CONTRIBUTION OF THE RENEWABLE FUELS INDUSTRY TO THE ECONOMY OF IOWA

Corn Outlook. David Miller Director of Research & Commodity Services Iowa Farm Bureau Federation December 2013

Biodiesel Industry A Statewide Assessment

Copyright 2018 Renewable Energy Group, Inc. AFOA Biomass Based Diesel Market Trends

What you might have missed Bioenergy Situation & Outlook

The Rapidly Growing Biofuels Industry How Will It Affect Animal Agriculture? Bryan I. Fancher, Ph.D. Vice-President Global Technical Operations

CONTRIBUTION OF THE RENEWABLE FUELS INDUSTRY TO THE ECONOMY OF IOWA

Up and Down Months of the Stock Market

New Technologies In the Dry Grind Corn Ethanol Industry Hunter Flodman, PhD Department of Chemical Engineering University of Nebraska - Lincoln

Potential for Corn Oil Extracted from Distillers Dried Grain and Solubles as a Feedstock for Biodiesel. John (Jake) Ferris

Crop Market Outlook 8/22/2017

An Economic Analysis of Legislation for a Renewable Fuels Requirement for Highway Motor Fuels

Prices indeed dropped on Thursday, aided by a surprise increase in crude oil supplies caused by stronger imports.

Major Junctions Ahead Energy, Grains and Metals. David Hightower President, The Hightower Report

D3MAX Technology Deployment Update. Mark Yancey, CTO D3MAX LLC Office: (701) Cell: (303)

Wheat Marketing Situation

Soybean and Oilseed Meal Import Prospects Higher as Severe Weather Damages EU Crops

Technoeconomic Evaluation of On Farm Biodiesel Production from Camelina sativa in the Southeastern United States

Strong Global Grain Production Isn t Good Enough. David Hightower The Hightower Report

We re Going Global ETHANOL

POSITIONED FOR GROWTH BNSF Railway. John Miller Group Vice President Agricultural Products BNSF Railway

D3MAX Update 2017 FEW. Mark Yancey, CTO D3MAX LLC Office: (701) Cell: (303)

November 2017 Customer Switching Report for the Electricity and Gas Retail Markets

WNC s Biofuels Market & Supply Chain

Diesel prices at multi-year highs mean pain at the pump

Mid-term Outlook for World Agricultural Markets

2016 U.S. ETHANOL EXPORTS AND IMPORTS

It s time to start buying propane for fall Expect to pay more to dry 2017 corn crop By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst

7.09 ULTRASONIC ANALYZER

Kansas Ethanol 101 January 25, 2016

Title Jozef Mikulec 1, Ján Cvengroš 3, Andrea Kleinová 3, Tomáš Cvengroš 2, Ľudmila Joríková 1 1

Fundamentals Driving U.S. Agricultural Prosperity

Damian Evans, Colyer Fehr Tallow Pty Limited. Australian Tallow: Back to the future for prices and destinations?

National Renderers Association

William Piel

Algeria. Grain and Feed Update. Wheat update

The Importance of Emission Allocation in Determining Emission Impacts from Including Corn Oil

Renewable Energy & Climate Change Newsletter

Canada Meat Market Report

A. U.S. Ethanol Policy. B. U.S. Ethanol Industry Capacity. C. U.S. Ethanol Prices, Costs & Profits. E. Key Ethanol Related Research

U.S. Soybean Exports Forecast to Reach Record

ETHANOL PRODUCTION SYNERGY STARCH AND BIOMASS?

Monthly Hog Market Update United States Hog Production

Growth in Renewable Fuels and Effects on Feeds Markets

DEMAND SCENARIOS Palm Oil Consumption Growth Major Consuming Countries Iran s Consumption Trend

THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.

Macro economic and Energy Factors Driving the Agricultural Outlook

Fats and Oils: Oilseed Crushings, Production, Consumption and Stocks

November 2018 Customer Switching Report for the Electricity and Gas Retail Markets

Pakistan Oilseed Processors Seize Opportunity to Crush Soybeans

Fats and Oils: Oilseed Crushings, Production, Consumption and Stocks

How important is sugar in the global ethanol equation? (and vice-versa)

Global Monthly March 2019

Growing Soybean Oil Price Raises Oil s Contribution to Total Soybean Value

Oil Crops Outlook. Mark Ash and Erik Dohlman. Soybean Prices Benefit from a Strong Vegetable Oil Market

Impact of Process Economics for Green Energy July 23, 2009

The Feasibility of Biofuels in the United States. funds that go with it, have spurred both the use of biofuels and further research into them.

Sunflower & Soybean Forum

Energy Crops and Co-Products in the Region --- What does is mean?

2017 U.S. Ethanol Exports and Imports. Statistical Summary Renewable Fuels Association. All Rights Reserved.

The economics of biofuels. by Ronald Steenblik Director of Research

Canadian Renewable Fuels Association

China s Rapeseed Meal Imports Rise as Seed Imports Decline

January-March 2017 Customer Switching Report for the Electricity and Gas Retail Markets

Evaluation of Corn Dried Distillers Grains with Solubles (DDGS) as a Potential Alternative Ingredient for Shrimp Feeds

Update of Poultry Fundamentals April 18

Sunflower Oil Imports Increase for Ration Card Program

DuPont Biofuels. Technology that Fuels. Russ Sanders Marketing Director Pioneer Hi-Bred. Citigroup October 2, 2007

TABLE C-43. Manufacturers' new and unfilled orders, {Amounts in millions of dollars] Nondurable. Capital goods. Total. goods.

Soybean Oil Prices Diverge on Different Supply Situations

Indian Soybean Meal Exports Unlikely to Recover in 2015/16

Soybean Trade Growth: A Story of Brazil, the United States, and China

Diesel prices finally ease Winter weather and international events could determine your fuel bill for 2018 By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst

Fats and Oils: Oilseed Crushings, Production, Consumption and Stocks

World Wheat Supply and Demand Situation

THE AG INDUSTRY & THE PORT OF VIRGINIA: GROWING OUR ECONOMY

Biofuels Industry and Impacts on Agriculture

Mining and quarrying 13,503 19,062 26,170 35,190 38,511 53,515 74,386 85,792 99, ,422

Indonesia BIOFUELS ANNUAL. Annual Report Required Report - public distribution. Date: 6/1/2009 GAIN Report Number: ID9017

Overview. Background and Context Ethanol Policies and Policy Rumblings. Assessment of the prospects for trade and trade disputes

Rice Outlook Slide Show U.S. and World August 10, 2017

Transcription:

Technical Corn Oil Review December 2017

Brian Engel GM, Vegetable Oil Trading Green Plains Inc. NASDAQ: GPRE www.gpreinc.com Green Plains Partners LP NASDAQ: GPP www.greenplainspartners.com

Corn Kernel Components - One bushel = 56 lbs - 39.2 lbs of starch - 8.7 lbs of water - 5.6 lbs of protein - 1.9 lbs of tech corn oil - One bushel of corn produces - 18.2 lbs of ethanol - 15.5 lbs of DDGs Components of 1 Bushel of Corn 1.32% 33.06% 35.48% - 0.7 lbs of technical corn oil 30.14% Ethanol DDGS Biogenic Carbon Corn Oil Page 3

Wet Mill Ethanol Process Key Differentiations Wet mill separates into four basic components: germ, starch, fiber & gluten protein Starch separation is first step and removed from rest of kernel components Starch is turned into ethanol while hexane is used to extract corn oil from germ Since corn oil is extracted via chemical process, wet mills can recover 100% of the corn oil available in the corn kernel Page 4

Dry Mill Ethanol Process Key Differentiations Dry milling processes the entire corn kernel into flour, without separating into various components Water is added to create a mash that then undergoes a fermentation process, which take 40-50 hours After distillation, the mash is transferred into distillation columns where anhydrous ethanol is separated through remaining stillage Stillage is sent through another centrifuge that to separates water, proteins, fibers from the solubles A third centrifuge is used to remove the remaining water from the syrup stream before adding back into the stillage stream prior to drying for DDGS production Technical corn oil recovery occurs during the third centrifuge process (oil/water separation via gravity) Of the 1.9 pounds available, only.7 pounds is actually recovered via natural separation, meaning only 1% of the total content available in a bushel of corn is spontaneously separated Page 5

Technical Corn Oil Specifications vs. Crude Corn Oil Specifications Page 6

Further Processing Required Technical Corn Oil contains elevated levels of FFAs, gums, metals (minerals), color and MIU that need to be treated before the material can be converted For biodiesel, these impurities, without pretreatment, will cause damage to catalytic converters and lower yields For feed use, technical corn oil is not fed directly to livestock, chickens or swine For livestock and chickens, technical corn oil is mixed with DDGs, hay, silage, flake, hulls and other agricultural foliage for better digestibility Swine producers prefer a ration that does not include technical corn oil as the material has a tendency to cause a condition know as soft bellies Page 7

Technical Corn Oil Supply 6,300 5,950 5,600 5,250 4,900 4,550 4,200 3,850 3,500 3,150 2,800 2,450 2,100 1,750 1,400 1,050 700 350 - U.S. Corn Oil Supply and Demand source: USDA Grain Crushing Report Domestic Use (MM Lbs) Exports (MM Lbs) U.S. Recovery (MM Lbs) Dry mills started adopting centrifuge recovery systems in 2005/2006 Dry milling operations account for 62% of total corn oil recovered on an annualized basis Ethanol supply and demand is the driving force Wet milling operations account for 38% of total corn oil recovered on an annualized basis Starch and sweetener demand is the driving force Page 8

MM Lbs MM Gals TCO Demand For Biofuels Technical Corn Oil is the second most used feedstock for domestic biodiesel production behind soybean oil @ 13.17% feedstock share International feedstock demand remains firm with monthly exports running 17 20mm lbs U.S. Bio Feedstock Usage Monthly U.S. Biodiesel Production (MM Gals) 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 - Canola Oil Corn Oil Soybean Oil Poultry Fat 2014 2015 2016 2017 Tallow & White Grease Yellow Grease 150 135 120 105 90 75 60 45 30 15 - Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: EIA Monthly Biodiesel Page 9

TCO Demand For Feed There are three main types of distillers grains: traditional, with more than 10% crude fat; low-fat, with 5% to 9% crude fat; and de-oiled, with less than 5% crude fat Low-fat distillers grains will likely result in a lower energy content Fat content not main driver when determining ration: Oil left in DDGS after recovery is LESS digestible than the oil that is recovered during the dry milled ethanol process Recovered oil was 92% digestible while the oil left in the grain is only 50% digestible U.S. ethanol producers recovered 3.1 billion pounds of technical corn oil in 2016, of that 866 million pounds was used for feed or 29% of total production Poultry producers supplement poultry rations with technical corn oil due to the unsaturated fats present in the oil which are easier for chicks to digest and the carotenoids present which give chicken skin a more appealing pigment Livestock producers supplement livestock rations with technical corn oil at 2% of the entire ration Technical corn oil is limited in swine diets, as it is attributed to soft bellies, a negative impact on bacon quality Research has shown efficiency gains in the DDGs drying process as a result of technical corn oil recovery Cleantech Corp published study indicating a 10% improvement in drying efficiency National Corn to Ethanol Research Center study claims >4% improvement in drying efficiencies Sources: http://www.grains.org/news/20160107/usgc-study-demonstrates-new-value-corn-distillers-oil-poultry http://nationalhogfarmer.com/business/different-distillers-grains-may-change-feed-rations http://www.nd.gov/ndic/renew/meeting0903/r005-b-prop.pdf Page 10

Technical Corn Oil vs Soybean Oil Page 11

Technical Corn Oil Summary Recovered from liquid stream, natural water / oil separation Recovery started in 2005/2006 Less than 2% of total corn is recovered as oil Industry recovering over 3.1 billions lbs /year Requires further processing than other fats and oils Offered to fuel and feed markets Feedstock for US biodiesel production approximately 13% of total use Feed markets significantly deviate on value of oil content Page 12

About Green Plains Page 13

About Green Plains Page 14

www.gpreinc.com