MPO Staff Report Technical Advisory Committee: July 12, 2017 RECOMMENDED ACTION: 2 nd TAC Meeting with Kimley-Horn/WSB in Updating the Street/Highway Element of 2045 Metropolitan Transportation Plan. Matter of Kick-off for 2045 Street/Highway Element. Background: The UPWP identifies that the major undertaking of the MPO for the next two years is to update the Street/Highway Element of our Metropolitan Transportation Plan to the horizon year of 2045. Kimley-Horn, with WSB as subconsultant, were retained to assist us in this update. The final contracts were signed during the first week of May. The consultant team will be present at the July TAC meeting to present existing conditions of the Street/Highway system. The presentation is attached. Findings and Analysis: This activity is identified in UPWP. The regular 5 year update cycle ends December 2018 This update is required to be FAST compliant This update will need to incorporate require performance measures and targets. The consulting team of Kimley-Horm and WSB are under contract and working. One of the first activities is to analyze the existing conditions. Support Materials: Presentation.
Streets + Highways Plan Update TAC Meeting #2 July 12, 2017
Agenda Existing Conditions Report Goals, Objectives, and Performance Measures Schedule & Public Participation Process Overall Schedule Online Engagement In Person Engagement Open House #1 Wrap-Up Next Steps Questions
Existing Conditions Report
Existing Conditions: Overview Existing Demographics and Forecasted 2045 Land Use Update on 2015/2045 Travel Demand Modeling (ATAC) Existing Street/Highway System Characteristics NHS & Other Federal-Aid Eligible Roadways Network Lane Miles Roadway Jurisdiction Pavement Conditions Traffic Volumes Intersection Level of Service (LOS) Auto and Truck Crash History Truck Routes and Truck Traffic Volumes BNSF Trackage and Railroad Crossings
Existing Conditions: MPO Study Area Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Population Forecasts City 2010 2015 2025 2035 2045 US Census ACS Estimate Grand Forks 52,838 54,944 60,247 67,879 76,479 East Grand Forks 8,601 8,611 9,841 10,764 11,773 Total 61,439 63,555 70,088 78,643 88,252 1.2 percent growth rate assumed per 2045 Grand Forks Land Use Plan 0.9 percent growth rate assumed per 2045 East Grand Forks Land Use Plan Source: 2045 Grand Forks Land Use Plan, East Grand Forks 2045 Land Use Plan
Existing Conditions: Age Groups 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Under 5 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 to 74 75 and over Grand Forks 2015 East Grand Forks 2015 Source: 2015 American Community Survey
Existing Conditions: Race Composition City White Black or African American American Indian and Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Some other race Grand Forks 90.7% 3.7% 4.7% 3.2% 0.2% 1.1% East Grand Forks 94.9% 3.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.6% Source: 2015 American Community Survey
Existing Conditions: Workplace Location and Travel Patterns City Percent of People that Live and Work in Same City Percent of People that Live and Work in Same County Travel to Work via Automobile Drive Alone Mean Travel Time to Work Grand Forks 84.4% 89.7% 90.1% 82.1% 12.9 minutes East Grand Forks 22.3% 27.5% 94.6% 86.7% 14.5 minutes Source: 2015 American Community Survey Note: MPO data indicates approximately 4,000 EGF residents commute to GF for work and approximately 4,000 GF residents commute to EGF for work.
Existing Conditions: Link Level of Service (LOS) ATAC UPDATING NETWORK TO 2015 CALIBRATED BASE YEAR
Existing Conditions: 2045 Land Use Plans Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: 2045 Growth Allocation MPO STAFF/ATAC ALLOCATING FORECASTED GROWTH BY TAZ (POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT & HOUSEHOLDS) Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: National Highway System (NHS) & Other Federal-Aid Roads Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Lane Miles Roadway Type 4 Lanes All Others Total North Dakota 32.7 316.62 349.32 Minnesota 7.6 134.57 142.17 MPO Study Area 40.3 451.19 491.49 Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Roadway Jurisdiction Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Roadway Jurisdiction Mileage Jurisdiction State County Township City Total North Dakota 37.62 22.06 63.72 225.88 349.28 Minnesota 18.1 21.25 42.24 60.57 142.16 MPO Study Area 55.72 43.31 105.96 286.45 491.44 Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Functional Classification Note: Functional Classification recently updated for East Grand Forks Needs to be updated for Grand Forks Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Functional Classification Mileage Totals by State Interstate Principal Arterial Minor Arterial Collector Major Collector Local All Roads North Dakota 16.22 24.42 38.53 4.03 52.16 213.92 349.28 Minnesota 0 8.23 15.88 8.78 16.33 92.94 142.16 MPO Study Area 16.22 32.65 54.41 12.81 68.49 306.86 491.44 Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Functional Classification Summary Compared to FHWA Guidelines Facility Type MPO Study Area FHWA Urban Guidance Principal Arterials (including interstates) 10% 5 to 10% Principal Arterials plus Minor Arterials 21% 15 to 25% Collectors 17% 5 to 10% Local Streets 62% 65 to 80% Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Pavement Conditions Note: GF 2013 EGF 2015 NDOT and MnDOT missing data. Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Pavement Trends by Pavement Condition Index Year Grand Forks Average PCI East Grand Forks Average PCI Grand Forks Weighted Average PCI East Grand Forks Weighted Average PCI 1999 63.9 67.2 n/a n/a 2003 86.3 87.0 78.1 74.9 2008 76.7 76.8 82.0 79.9 Current 72.7 (2013) 79.18 (2015) 69.9 (2013) 82.0 (2015) Note: NDDOT and MnDOT roads missing data. Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Pavement Conditions Comparison Pavement Condition GF/EGF MPO Area MN-Side ND-Side Local Roads State Roads Local Roads State Roads Local Roads State Roads Good 35% 7% 24% 9% 40% 1% Satisfactory 21% 7% 7% 4% 27% 13% Fair 17% 21% 2% 0% 24% 72% Poor 7% 0% 2% 0% 9% 0% Very Poor 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% No Data 21% 66% 64% 87% 0% 14% Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Traffic Volumes Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Intersection LOS LOS F Control Delay per Vehicle (sec.) 80 55 35 20 10 LOS E LOS D LOS C LOS B LOS A Not Congested Congested Control Delay per Vehicle (sec.) 50 35 25 15 10 LOS F LOS E LOS D LOS C LOS B LOS A Not Congested Congested Source: Highway Capacity Manual Signalized Intersection Un-signalized Intersection
Existing Conditions: Intersection Level of Service (LOS)
Existing Conditions: Crash Rates (2012-2015) Source: NDDOT and MnDOT
Existing Conditions: Crash Type (2012-2015) Key Locations* Intersection Angle/Turn Head On Rear End Side Swipe Other 31st St. S. & 32nd Ave. S. 45 0 6 0 1 24th Ave. S. & Columbia Rd. 28 0 7 3 0 10th Ave. N. & Columbia Rd. 16 0 3 0 0 Columbia Rd. & 32nd Ave. S. 11 0 21 9 1 17th Ave. S. & 17th St. S. 13 0 3 0 0 17th Ave. S. & 20th St. S. 9 1 2 0 0 17th Ave. S. & Washington St. 17 1 16 2 4 17th Ave. S. & Columbia Rd. 12 3 10 4 3 17th St. S. & 24th Ave. S. 8 0 4 0 1 20th St. S. & 32nd Ave. S. 38 0 4 0 2 27th Ave. S. & Columbia Rd. 14 1 5 1 3 Interstate 29 & US Highway 2/Gateway Dr. 7 0 8 1 0 Interstate 29 & 32nd Av. S. 11 0 2 2 0 US Highway 297/Demers Ave. & 42nd St. N. 33 1 17 3 6 US Highway 297/Demers Ave. & Columbia Rd. 6 0 20 0 0 US Highway 2/Gateway Dr. & Mill Rd. 12 0 10 1 3 US Highway 2/Gateway Dr. & Columbia Rd. 18 0 15 2 4 30th Ave. S. & 34th St. S. 10 0 1 1 1 32nd Ave. S. & Washington St. 9 1 31 1 4 34th St. S. & 32nd Ave. S. 38 1 19 4 2 38th St. S. & 32nd Ave. S. 23 1 9 1 1 42nd St. N. & University Ave. 7 1 6 1 2 4th Ave. S. & Belmont Rd. 9 0 3 0 0 6th Ave. N. & Columbia Rd. 3 0 6 3 0 Washington St. & University Ave. 19 2 9 0 1 US Highway 2/Gateway Dr. & Central Ave./TH 220 11 2 18 4 1 Source: NDDOT and MnDOT * Above expected crash rate
Existing Conditions: Crash Rate/Severity (2012-2015) Key Locations* Intersection Actual Crash Rate Expected Crash Rate Total Crashes Fatal Crashes Injury Crashes 31st St. S. & 32nd Ave. S. 1.54 0.71 52 0 22 24th Ave. S. & Columbia Rd. 0.97 0.71 38 0 8 10th Ave. N. & Columbia Rd. 1.24 0.52 19 0 8 Columbia Rd. & 32nd Ave. S. 0.88 0.71 42 0 16 17th Ave. S. & 17th St. S. 0.97 0.52 16 0 7 17th Ave. S. & 20th St. S. 0.69 0.52 12 0 2 17th Ave. S. & Washington St. 0.88 0.71 40 0 16 17th Ave. S. & Columbia Rd. 0.76 0.71 32 0 10 17th St. S. & 24th Ave. S. 0.88 0.52 13 0 4 20th St. S. & 32nd Ave. S. 1.17 0.71 44 0 22 27th Ave. S. & Columbia Rd. 0.76 0.71 24 0 8 Interstate 29 & US Highway 2/Gateway Dr. 0.82 0.52 16 0 4 Interstate 29 & 32nd Av. S. 0.91 0.52 15 0 2 US Highway 297/Demers Ave. & 42nd St. N. 1.48 0.71 60 0 16 US Highway 297/Demers Ave. & Columbia Rd. 0.97 0.71 26 0 11 US Highway 2/Gateway Dr. & Mill Rd. 0.77 0.71 26 0 7 US Highway 2/Gateway Dr. & Columbia Rd. 0.98 0.71 39 0 12 30th Ave. S. & 34th St. S. 0.92 0.52 13 0 3 32nd Ave. S. & Washington St. 1.38 0.71 46 0 8 34th St. S. & 32nd Ave. S. 1.37 0.71 64 0 24 38th St. S. & 32nd Ave. S. 1.02 0.71 35 0 11 42nd St. N. & University Ave. 0.75 0.71 17 0 4 4th Ave. S. & Belmont Rd. 1.00 0.52 12 0 5 6th Ave. N. & Columbia Rd. 0.84 0.52 12 0 0 Washington St. & University Ave. 0.87 0.71 31 0 9 US Highway 2/Gateway Dr. & Central Ave./TH 220 1.14 0.71 36 0 9 Source: NDDOT and MnDOT * Above expected crash rate
Existing Conditions: Truck Routes Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Truck Traffic Volumes Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Truck Crashes Source: NDDOT and MnDOT
Existing Conditions: Truck Crashes Truck Type 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total Double Axle 6 1 6 2 15 Triple Axle or greater 7 8 7 9 31 Truck Tractor with 0-3 Trailers 17 22 10 15 64 Unknown Heavy Truck 1 1 0 4 6 Total 31 32 23 30 116 Death 0 0 1 0 1 Injury 3 5 2 6 16 Property Damage Only 27 28 20 24 99 Source: NDDOT and MnDOT
Existing Conditions: BNSF Trackage Source: GF-EGF MPO
Existing Conditions: Railroad Crossings Source: GF-EGF MPO
Goals, Objectives, and Performance Measures
Goals, Objectives, and Performance Measures: Process Review 2040 MTP performance measures Update goals and performance measures per updated FAST Act guidelines and requirements, drawn from: TAC feedback New priorities within the area New perspectives Effectiveness of old performance measures Best practices from other MPOs Ease of adoption by NDDOT and MnDOT Others
Performance Measurement: Goals 2040 Plan Goals FAST Act: Required Goals Goal 1: Economic Vitality Goal 2: Security Goal 3: Accessibility and Mobility Goal 4: Environmental/Energy/ Quality of Life Goal 5: Integration and Connectivity Goal 6: Efficient System Management Goal 7: System Preservation Goal 8: Safety Goal 1: Safety Goal 2: Infrastructure Condition Goal 3: Congestion Reduction Goal 4: System Reliability Goal 5: Freight Movement and Economic Vitality Goal 6: Environmental Sustainability Goal 7: Project Delivery
MPO 2045 Draft Vision Statement The Grand Forks-East Grand Forks Long Range Transportation Plan envisions a community that provides a variety of complementary transportation choices for people and goods that is fiscally constrained.
MPO 2045 Draft Goals Goal 1: Economic Vitality Goal 2: Security Goal 3: Accessibility and Mobility Goal 4: Environmental/Energy/ Quality of Life Goal 5: Integration and Connectivity Goal 6: Efficient System Management Goal 7: System Preservation Goal 8: Safety Goal 9: Resiliency Goal 10: Tourism
Goals, Objectives, and Performance Measures Matrix Existing/ Proposed Goal Objective Performance Measure Data Source Federal Req t? State Req t? Local Issue Addressed Existing Safety Reduce the number, severity, and rate of crashes compared to previous years by type of vehicle and transportation facility. Number of traffic fatalities and serious crashes. NDDOT/ MnDOT Yes ND/MN
Schedule & Public Participation Process
Project Overview: Schedule
Wrap Up: Next Steps Actively working on Task 2: Goals/Objectives/Performance Measures Report Task 3: Existing Conditions Report Task 4: Existing Plus Future Conditions Report Followed by Task 5: Identification of Issues Report Task 9: Prep for TAC #2 and Open House #2
Online Engagement: WikiMapping
In Person Engagement Open House Date Purpose Open House 1 August 10, 2017 Present existing conditions Introduce performance based planning including goals, objectives, and performance measures Open House 2 November 2017 Present existing plus future conditions Present issues identified Present goals, objectives, performance measures Open House 3 April 2018 Present issues identified Present range of alternatives Present financial plan Open House 4 July 2018 Present recommended future network and implementation report Present Street and Highway Plan
Open House #1: August 10, 2017 Details Time: TBD Location: TBD Outline Sign-In Station Formal Presentation & Open House Format Major Topics Addressed Existing conditions Public engagement process Planning process Display Boards Existing Conditions Vision, Goals, and Performance Objectives Schedule and participation process Activity interactive map to identify issue areas Website and WikiMapping Overview Comment box
In-Person Engagement
Wrap Up Questions? Next TAC Meeting: November 8, 2017 Kimley-Horn Brandon Bourdon, P.E. 651-643-0421 brandon.bourdon@kimley-horn.com WSB Scott Mareck, AICP 320-534-5948 smareck@wsbeng.com