Transportation 2040: Plan Performance Transportation Policy Board September 14, 2017
Today Background Plan Performance
Today s Meeting Background
Board and Committee Direction 2016-2017 Transportation Policy Board Engagement Sessions/Workshop Topics: Climate Change Financial Strategy Health & Equity Maintenance and Preservation Regional Transit Network, Access & Parking Regional Outcomes Technology
Schedule
Purpose Transportation 2040 is the functional transportation plan that implements VISION 2040, the long range environmental, growth management, economic development, and transportation strategy for the central Puget Sound Region. It responds to Washington s Growth Management Act and conforms to federal transportation planning requirements.
Transportation 2040 Supports the Regional Growth Strategy Provides transportation choices Improves access to jobs, opportunity, destinations Improves reliability of the system Improves air quality, reduces greenhouse gases, supports improved water quality New financial strategy to deliver investments
Why do we plan? Source: PSRC Transportation 2040 Update
Programs included in T2040 Counties Cities Local Transit Sound Transit State Ferries State Highways Other Regional
Transportation 2040 investments $107 billion Investments by Type $92 billion Over 54% of the Investments in T2040 are for Preservation and Maintenance of the System Investments by Program < 1% 7% 17% 19% 4% 31% 22% Maintenance, Preservation & Operations System Expansion Counties Cities Local Transit Sound Transit State Ferries State Highways Other Regional Note: All Costs are expressed in constant 2018 $ s
Transportation 2040 revenue New or Current Law Revenue Revenue by Type $157 billion $64 billion Over 70% of the Revenue in T2040 is from Current Revenue Sources User Fees make up 65% of the total New Revenue $42 billion $1 billion $7 billion $15 billion $157 billion Current Law Revenue New Revenue HOT Lanes, Facility Tolls, User Fees New Fuel Taxes, State Fees New Transit/Ferry Specific Sources New Local Sources Current Law Revenues Note: All Costs are expressed in constant 2018 $ s
User fees in T2040 update Current T2040 Completion of Express Lanes, transition to Limited Access Highway System Tolling Updated T2040 Completion of Express Lanes, and Road Usage Charges (VMT mileage fees)
Travel costs vary by household How much do households pay in travel costs each year (gas, fees, tolls, parking, fares)? $3,400 $4,300 $3,100 $3,900 $2,800 $3,100 Region Minority Households Lower Income Households Today 2040 Plan
Today s Meeting Plan Performance
Transportation 2040 Regional Outcomes Regional Outcome Maintain Air Quality and Reduce Climate Change Emissions Support Centers Improve Freight Mobility Increase Health Activity Improve access to Jobs Maintain and Preserve the System Provide Multimodal Choices Preserve Puget Sound Land and Water Provide a Safe and Secure Transportation System Improve Social Equity in Access to Opportunity Improve Travel Time and Reliability for People
T2040 provides travel choices for people to get around How many people have access to a bus or train that operates every 15 minutes or less? +620,000 +54% 1,152,000 1,772,000 Over 620,000 more people and 690,000 more jobs will be within a short walk of transit by 2040 +690,000 +50% 1,366,000 2,056,000 Today 2040 Plan People who live within a ½ mile from frequent transit Today 2040 Plan Jobs within a ¼ mile of transit
More low income and minority households have access to frequent transit service with T2040 What percentage of people have access to a bus or train that operates every 15 minutes or less? T2040 increases the accessibility of transit to people throughout the region 31% 37% Today 48% 58% 58% 2040 Plan 45% Region Minority Households Lower Income Households A larger share of low income households have access to frequent transit today and with the Plan A larger share of minority households have access to frequent transit today and with the Plan
Transit use is forecasted to grow with T2040 How many boardings are occurring every year on the region s fixed route transit system? 600m 500m Fixed Route Transit Annual Boardings Average Annual Growth Rate 2005 to 2014: 2.8% About 215 million annual boardings occurred on the regional system in 2016 400m 300m 200m Average Annual Growth Rate 2014 to 2040: 3.6% By 2040, almost 510 million annual transit boardings are forecasted to occur 100m 0m forecast 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Transit use differs based on where you live in the region Today
Transit use increases across the region with T2040 2040 Plan
T2040 provides choices that help people get more active How many people walk and bike to get somewhere everyday? +510,000 +48% 1,066,000 1,574,000 Over 510,000 more people walk or bike for transportation everyday in 2040 Today 2040 Plan People who walk or bike for transportation
Walking and biking differs based on where you live? Today
Walking and biking increases with T2040 2040 Plan
T2040 Maintains Air Quality and Reduces Climate Change Emissions Regional Emissions Limit 2017-2025: 1,888 lbs/day Limit 2017-2025: 41,290 lbs/day Limit 2026-2040: 1,321 lbs/day Limit 2026-2040: 22,880 lbs/day PM 2.5 NOX CO2 Today 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Today 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Today 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 With the Plan, we continue to meet all air quality standards & greenhouse gas emissions continue to decline out to 2040
T2040 Reduces Miles Driven in Personal Vehicles How many miles do people travel in a car on an average day? 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 forecast 0.0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Today the average person travels about 22 miles per day in a car With the Plan, by 2040 the average person would drive about 330 miles less per year (a 5% decrease over today) This change saves about 1.6 billion vehicle miles per year in 2040
Lower Income and minority households drive less than region as a whole How far do people drive each day and does it vary by income or race? T2040 reduces the miles people drive throughout the region There are similar reductions in miles driven across all household types 20 19 17 16 15 14 Region Minority Households Lower Income Households Today 2040 Plan
Miles driven are highest for households furthest from employment centers Today
Miles driven decrease across the region with T2040 2040 Plan
T2040 lowers the time people sit in traffic in the 2040 baseline How many hours do people spend sitting in traffic each year? Today the average person spends over 36 hours per year sitting in traffic 49 42 36 Today 2040 Baseline 2040 Plan Without the Plan, by 2040 we would each spend about 49 hours ever year sitting in traffic (a 35% increase over today) With the Plan, by 2040 we would save about 7 hours per year for every person in the region (a 14% decrease compared to not having the Plan) Source: PSRC Transportation 2040 Update
Delay people experience differs based on where you live Today
Without the Plan and with 1 million more people, delay increases across the region in 2040 2040 Baseline
T2040 lessens the increase in delay across the region 2040 Plan
Drive time on key freeway corridors improve over the baseline How long does it take to drive between key destinations? 2040 Plan 95 2040 Plan 95 2040 Plan 41 2040 Plan 90 2040 Baseline 101 2040 Baseline 105 2040 Baseline 43 2040 Baseline 95 Today 89 Today 84 Today 41 Today 85 Everett to Seattle Everett to Bellevue Bellevue to Seattle Tacoma to Seattle Source: PSRC Transportation 2040 Update
T2040 improves transit travel time in many places How long does transit take to get you between some key destinations? 65% of the jobs in the region are within ½ mile of a funded high capacity transit station 27 of 29 Regional Growth Centers are served directly by High Capacity Transit stations 7 of 9 Manufacturing and Industrial Centers are served directly by High Capacity Transit Stations Corridor Lynnwood to Seattle Redmond to Bellevue Federal Way to Seattle Bremerton to Seattle Kingston to Seattle 2015 Peak Reliable Travel Time by Car 2040 Peak Reliable Travel Time by Transit 58 minutes 28 minutes 32 minutes 10 minutes 52 minutes 42 minutes 60 minutes 28 minutes 65 minutes 33 minutes Source: PSRC Transportation 2040 Update
Accessibility to People and Places varies across the region Today Lower Higher
T2040 improves Transportation Access for many places in the Region 2040 Plan Lower Higher
T2040 improves travel time for freight in 2040 How many hours does a truck spend sitting in traffic each year? 59 90 77 T2040 Projects reduce delay noticeably for trucks in 2040 but not below today s level of delay 102 183 155 Today 2040 Baseline 2040 Plan Today 2040 Baseline 2040 Plan Medium Trucks Heavy Trucks Source: PSRC Transportation 2040 Update
What s next for T2040?
thank you Ben Bakkenta bbakkenta@psrc.org Craig Helmann chelmann@psrc.org