Flexibility - New challenges in time and space

Transcription

1 Flexibility - New challenges in time and space DSM Day 16 March 2016 Lars Nordström, KTH larsno@kth.se

2 Outline of the talk A bright future ahead What can we learn from the past? A closer look at flexibility Which is the most important problem

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4 At the Transmission level Increased market coupling leads to larger variations in power flow. Source: Tintazul, Maix, J JMesserly; Large amounts of renewables not in close proximity to load centers, new grids? Source: Gunnar Asplund, Elways AB E.On Netz (2004), Wind Report Inherent variability of supply increases stress to the system

5 At the Distribution level Prosumers as market participants Voltage control in active feeders Source: Giles Parkinson RE Economy Protection settings under varying load & production New types of load ancillary services?

6 Demand response & Flexibility Flexibility among end-user load activated in Demand Response schemes is often brought forward as a possible way to adress these challenges. Is this a new idea?

7 Energiwende Swedish style

8 Smart building services BEA Systems, Inc. (Nasdaq: BEAS), the E-Commerce Transactions Company(TM), announced that XXXXX, one of the largest energy companies in Europe, is using BEA's WebLogic product family of industry --leading e-commerce transaction servers, along with BEA components, to build an integrated network A network that supports both data and voice and/or different networking protocols for providing 'smart building' subscription services throughout Sweden. The services let customers remotely monitor their refrigerators, ovens, electricity consumption and power mains status, and control their burglar alarms and heating and air conditioning air conditioning, mechanical process for controlling the humidity, temperature, cleanliness, and circulation of air in buildings and rooms.. XXXXX estimates that, before the end of next year, 150,000 Swedish households will be using the new services, and hopes to add 200,000 new customers a year en route to a customer base of one million households within five years.

9 What can we learn from the past?

10 Rational plans vs Chaotic markets Eric S. Raymond

11 Irrational Infrastructures

12 What we should learn from the past Flexibility depends on devices & appliances and a user willingness to participate. Large scale roll-out is cost effective only if helped by consumer pull Rational planning vs. pushing for installation of devices and appliances Consumer pull is stronger today we should use it!

13 A closer look at Flexibility

14 Flexibility can help in many ways Distribution system operator Congestion management Voltage profile management Retailer/Balance Responsible Party Portfolio Balancing Demand Flexibility System Operator Day-Ahead Optimisation Hour-Ahead Optimisation Primary control Real Time (Frequency) Control Reserve Power Tertiary control The End-user Savings Lifestyle

15 Time and Space Challenges P G < P L f < f nom V 1 > V nom P 1 > P lim

16 So what problems can we expect? Imbalances in real-time operation Imbalances in day-ahead and hour-ahead markets Time only challenge Demand response competes with production Voltage profile management Line and transformer congestion Distribution grid tariff management Time and Space challenge End-user group large enough to create a market?

17 Which problems have priority? A balance responsible party activates demand response among its consumers to reduce imbalance An end-user optimises its heating/ac comfort level and cost using intelligent heat-pump with online price information An aggregator activates end-users with intelligent heatpumps to reduce load in a grid segment avoiding congestion

18 Market Overlap - Interference Controlling load to manage grid problem creates imbalances for BRP. Can be managed via Market status were grid problems have priority and set the rules. Or is it really such a big problem? Proportional to ratio of BRP portfolio to number of consumers controlled Having built the Demand response bottoms up the End-user has the right to chose not to buy

19 The challenges to sum up Demand response should be built bottoms up, starting from end-user preferences & lifestyle. Costs for equipment shared and user acceptance implicit Demand Response that solve challenges with only a time component compete with price only. Very challenging in presence of Hydro/CHP Demand Response that can compete also with a space component have a competitive advantage Too small group to form market Market interference between space and time problems Priority for grid operations or laissez fare?

20 Questions? Lars Nordström, KTH