Lithuanian wind energy development trends

Transcription

1 Lithuanian wind energy development trends Stasys Paulauskas, Dr. Assoc. Prof. Innovations Company Eksponente June 04,

2 Energy future trends June 04,

3 The Future for Responsible energy June 04,

4 Lithuanian and EU people for energy of sky Eurobarometras, 2006 Pritariate ar ne šių skirtingų energijos išteklių panaudojimui Lietuvoje? Vox populi vox Dei! Democracy power of people June 04,

5 Energy trust, EU25 Eurobarometer, 2006 June 04,

6 Ignalina NPP should be closed at end of 2009 June 04,

7 The forecast of dynamics of needs for electricity capacity (MW) New NPP Consumption Ignalina NPP Offshore wind power Burning of gas On shore wind power June 04,

8 Lithuanian wind power in Europe June 04,

9 Transition of attitude to wind power R(t)=A(t)+B(t)+C(t) A(t) scenario of centralized energy, B(t) quantifiable scenario of regionality, C(t) qualitative scenario of decentralised development June 04,

10 As higher as more of wind Vėjo greitis H m V m/sek sr=.001 m sr=.03 m sr=.1 m sr=.4 m sr=.8 m June 04,

11 At 100 m there enough of wind in overall Lithuania Vėjo jėgainės aukštis 75 m (sr=.1 m ) S14 S13 S12 S11 S10 S9 Vėjo jėgainės aukštis 25 m (sr=.1 m ) Vėjo jėgainės aukštis 50 m (sr=.1 m ) S8 S14 S13 S14 S13 S7 S6 S12 S12 S5 S11 S11 S4 S10 S10 S3 S9 S8 S7 S6 S5 S4 S3 S2 S S9 S8 S7 S6 S5 S4 S3 S2 S S2 S Vėjo jėgainės aukštis 100 m (sr=.1 m ) S14 S13 S12 S11 S10 S9 S8 S7 S6 S5 S4 S3 S S June 04,

12 To create a wind economy branch Scenarijus Matavimo vnt Kriterijai Sukurtas sektoriaus BVP Mln.Lt Sektoriaus dalis šalies BVP % 7,0 Įdiegta galia MW 3059 Įdiegtos galios ekvivalentas* MW 918 Investicijos į vėjo elektrinių statybą Mln.Lt Pagamintos energijos kiekis GWh 4798 Dalis nuo bendro pagamintos energijos kiekio % 35 Užimtųjų skaičius žmonių Ekologinis indikatorius CO 2 dujų ekvivalentas, tūkst. t June 04,

13 What to do on shore To prepare new wind energy support program To remove 250 kw limit for development of wind power To remove requirements to change site purpose under WPS from agricultural to commercial To turn EU structural founds for support of installation of WPS for consumers June 04,

14 - Perspectives of Offshore Wind Energy development in marine areas of Lithuania, Poland and Russia INTERREG IIIa RUSSIA, Kaliningrad district Atlantic Branch, Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences PROJECT DURATION: LITHUANIA, Klaipeda county Klaipeda University, Coastal Research and Planning Institute Strategic Self-management Institute Klaipeda County Governor's Administration Poland, Pamorskie voivodeship Maritime Institute in Gdańsk ; Maritime Office in Gdynia ; Polish Wind Energy Society June 04,

15 11 plots in 3 countries Country/ Nordex, 2.5 MW Vestas, 3 MW GE, 3.6 MW RePower, 5 MW WP name FID Area, km 2 turbines MW M turbines MW M turbines MW M turbines MW M Poland P P P P Russia R R Lithuania L L L L L Total June 04,

16 POWER: Location of wind parks Poland, Russia (Kaliningrad region), Lithuania P1 P2 P3 P4 R1 R2 L1 L2 L3 L4 L5 dept, m wind speed, m/s 9,8 9,7 9,2 9,3 8,5 9,2 9,5 8,4 8,9 8,1 9, June 04,

17 Made in Lithuania June 04,

18 Troubles for offshore wind power development No grids onshore grids are weak and conservative asks investments to grid renewing; Not enough of WPS producing capacities producers don t want to spread factories (it s necessary to wait for supply of equipment 3-4 years.) Lack of Environment legislation and maritime administration experience National governments don t looks serious to offshore wind power, etc. EU legislation still with holes June 04,

19 Pan European Super grid Capacity factor of OWP: Stand alone à40% Super grid à 70% Power market integration: Now - 10% With Super grid à 100% June 04,

20 To avoid disintegration The biggest problem disintegrated facilities of businessmen, policymakers and scientists. Necessary tools for decision: Policy EU strategic and financial support Organization BOSEC establishing Environment scientific support June 04,

21 Baltic memorandum on responsible energy, Oslo, 2006 June 04,

22 Synergy of business, science and policy for responsible Baltic offshore Energy! June 04,

23 June 04,

24 What shows a telescope of future at 2020? No any nuclear power stations No gas burning Lot of wind, solar, etc. on windows, roofs, Low voltage home electricity net and equipment Intelligent home June 04,

25 Problems to be decided Transition from centralized electricity supply and pricing to decentralized Consumer market To avoid 82% of price for service of electricity grid To have possibility to use own generated electricity in home, to sell surplus and buy a lack Autonomous hybrid electricity generation using different kinds of energy Take part in Intelligent house June 04,

26 Thanks for your attention! June 04,