Faculty of Transportation and Traffic Science Friedrich List, Institute of Transport Planning and Road Traffic Chair of Transport and Infrastructure Planning Prof. Dr.-Ing. Gerd-Axel Ahrens Rico Wittwer New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? Evidence of the 10th wave from the cross-sectional study Mobility in Cities SrV in Germany e-mail: rico.wittwer@tu-dresden.de) 25th Annual Polis Conference, November, 27th in Madrid (Spain)
Introduction Travel behavior surveys in Germany MID Various surveys with decades of tradition Within Europe in comparison extraordinarily good database Reporting date methods (Collection of activity patterns during a fixed day in MiD, SrV or a week in MOP) Cross-sectional and longitudinal questions under investigation Deutsches Mobilitätspanel (MOP) MOP Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 2
Introduction 10th wave of the crosssectional study SrV!New Record! Since 1998 steadily increasing of participation leads to a peak-sample in 2013 More than 120,000 people surveyed successfully 116 study areas Commissioned by 46 public authorities Scientific preparation, coordination and evaluation trough Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 3
Socio economic and demographic background Car ownership (cars per 1,000 people) Germany Large towns repeatedly surveyed in 2008 and 2013 cars/ 1,000 p. + 7.6 % + 4.5 % + 7.8 % 2013 Database: DESTATIS, Statistisches Bundesamt, Wiesbaden, 2014, Deutsches Mobilitätspanel (MOP), Mobility in Cities (SrV) Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 4
Socio economic and demographic background Driver licenses of young adults and seniors Germany Large towns repeatedly surveyed in 2008 and 2013 % % 71+ Database: Deutsches Mobilitätspanel (MOP), Mobility in Cities (SrV) Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 5
Socio economic and demographic background Car availability (driver licenses and car in household) Germany Large towns repeatedly surveyed in 2008 and 2013 % % 61+ Database: Deutsches Mobilitätspanel (MOP), Mobility in Cities (SrV) Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 6
Urban travel behavior in Germany What happens above the surface? Modal split on workdays Large East Germany towns (13 cities) Large West Germany towns (9 cities) Large towns repeatedly surveyed in 2008* and 2013 (25 cities) Walk Bicycle PT Car/Motorcycle 2008* 2013 2008* 2013 * Slightly revised data based on systematic underreporting of short trips and activity chaining by foot and car Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 7
Kilometres per capita and workday Urban travel behavior in Germany What happens above the surface? Kilometres per capita and workday (trips below 100 km) Large East Germany towns (13 cities) Large West Germany towns (9 cities) Large towns repeatedly surveyed in 2008* and 2013 (25 cities) Car/Motorc. PT Bicycle Walk 2008* 2013 2008* 2013 * Slightly revised data based on systematic underreporting of short trips and activity chaining by foot and car Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 8
Urban travel behavior in Germany What happens beneath the surface? Focus groups: Young Adults and Golden Age by car access 2013 2008 Young Adults (18 35) Golden Age (61 + ) 1,355,375 pop. 939,679 pop. 1,548,227 pop. 842,115 pop. + 2 % + 12 % + 12 % 20 % 1,324,809 pop. 839,872 pop. 1,385,354 pop. 1,045,528 pop. Kilometres per capita Walk Car access No car access Car access No car access Bicycle Large towns repeatedly surveyed in 2008* and 2013 * Slightly revised data based on systematic underreporting of short trips and activity chaining by foot and car Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 9
Urban travel behavior in Germany What happens beneath the surface? Focus groups: Young Adults and Golden Age by car access Kilometres per capita Change of population + 2 % + 12 % + 12 % 20 % Car/ Motorcycle Car access No car access Car access No car access Public Transport Young Adults (18 35) Golden Age (61 + ) Large towns repeatedly surveyed in 2008* and 2013 * Slightly revised data based on systematic underreporting of short trips and activity chaining by foot and car Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 10
Urban travel behavior in Germany What happens beneath the surface? Kilometres per capita and workday by car/motorcycle Large towns repeatedly surveyed in 2008* and 2013 Car/Motocy. 2008* Car/Motocy. 2013 CH, CY, FR * Slightly revised data based on systematic underreporting of short trips and activity chaining by foot and car Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 11
Urban mobility In which direction do we travel? Innovation push MARKET FOR MORE SUSTAINABLE INTEGRATED MOBILITY SERVICES LOVE AND AFFECTION FOR GREEN VEHICLES Multi modal Car oriented PROGRESS THROUGH ENFORCEMENT BUSINESS AS USUAL Constrained innovation Confer: Glockner, H., Rodenhauser, B.: Zukunft der Mobilität. z-punkt-the Foresight Company perspektiven, 02. February 2009 (www.z-punkt.de) Rico Wittwer: New mobility trends in urban travel behavior? 27.10.2014 Slide 12