Summary of the Future Emission Reduction Measures for Motorcycles from The Future Policy for Motor Vehicle Emission Reduction (The 11th Report)

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Summary of the Future Emission Reduction Measures for Motorcycles from The Future Policy for Motor Vehicle Emission Reduction (The 11th Report) Ministry of the Environment, JAPAN

The Future Emission Reduction Measures for Motorcycles (1) Viewpoints on Reviewing Motorcycle Emission Reduction Measures FY FY2010 FY2020 (Est.) Background Although the emission regulation of the 2006 Standard is applied, the amount of HC and CO emissions per distance travelled is still much higher than those of four-wheeled vehicles. Although the tailpipe emission standard has been implemented for the first time in 1998 and then reinforced in 2006, the relative contribution of evaporative gas within the emission has been higher. It is important to control the amount of emission through monitoring the in-use malfunction of emission reduction systems. Vehicle Types Driving Distance (Million km/year) NOx HC CO CO 2 NOx HC CO CO 2 Motorcycle 15,189 1,790 8,155 62,039 806,796 0.118 0.537 4.084 53.117 Kei-PV 116,086 4,027 3,055 74,610 18,084,031 0.035 0.026 0.643 155.781 PV 391,102 12,644 6,280 196,021 67,447,833 0.032 0.016 0.501 172.456 PV total 507,188 16,671 9,335 270,631 85,531,863 0.033 0.018 0.534 168.639 Motorcycle 15,189 1,047 1,394 21,506 844,040 0.069 0.092 1.416 55.569 Kei-PV 114,908 835 1,821 51,025 13,771,441 0.007 0.016 0.444 119.847 PV 392,463 2,834 2,986 105,909 63,480,689 0.007 0.008 0.270 161.750 PV total 507,371 3,669 4,807 156,934 77,252,131 0.007 0.009 0.309 152.260 Note) For Kei-PV and PV, gasoline vehicle only Total Emission Amounts of Motorcycles and Passenger Vehicles (PVs) Emission Amount (t/year) Average Emission Amount (g/km)

Motorcycle Emission Regulation of UN, EU and Asia In EU, Worldwide-Harmonized Motorcycle Test Cycle (WMTC) was introduced in 2007. The regulation will be reinforced in 2016 as in new EURO 4. Many Asian countries where the motorcycle markets are expanding now have implemented the regulations modeled after EU, although may not be the latest. It is expected that these countries will introduce EU standards with WMTC in the near future. Prospect of Motorcycle Emission Regulation of Each Country or Area region country test cycle 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 JAPAN motorcycle mode 2nd(~oct) WMTC 2nd(oct~) 3rd TAIWAN ECE40+EUDC EURO-3 WMTC EURO-4 STUDY CHINA ECE40+EUDC kuni-3 WMTC kuni-4(euro-4 STUDY) KOREA ECE40+EUDC EURO-3 PHILIPPINE ECE40 EURO-2(Sep~) EURO-3(Sep~) VIETNAM ECE40 EURO-2 EURO-3 WMTC sutdy THAILAND ECE40+EUDC EURO-3 WMTC EURO-4 STUDY MALAYSIA ECE40 EURO-2 EURO-3 SINGAPORE ECE40 EURO-1 EURO-3 STUDY INDONESIA ECE40 EURO-2 EURO-3(Aug~) WMTC EURO-3(Aug~)(select) INDIA ARAI BS-3 WMTC BS-4 STUDY(ex-EURO-4 level) PAKISTAN ECE40 EURO-2 IRAN ECE40 EURO-2 TURKEY ECE40+EUDC EURO-3 EU EU ECE40+EUDC EURO-3 WMTC EURO-3(select) EURO-4 EURO-5 US LA-4 Tier2 US BRASIL ECE40+EUDC EURO-3 WMTC PROMOT4(1st.)EURO-3.5 PROMOT4(2nd.) limit value:ex-euro-4 level COLONBIA LA-4 Tier1 SOUTH ECE40 EURO-2 AMERICA CHILE LA-4 Tier2 EURO-3 STUDY ECE40+EUDC EURO-3 WMTC EURO-3 JAPAN 2nd 3rd CHINA kuni-3 kuni-4 INDIA BS-3 BS-4 EU EURO-3 (ex- EURO-4) EURO-4 US Tier2 BRASIL PROMOT4(2nd) In addition to reinforcing the motorcycle regulation to ensure the emission reduction according to the actual air condition and the motorcycle riding pattern in Japan, it is also important to consider harmonization with international standards that may contribute to reducing the development costs and time. ASIA EURO-5

(2) Tailpipe Emission Reduction Measures Current Technology and Challenges Current measures for tailpipe emission reduction is based on the feedback control for theoretical air-fuel ratio, using Electronically Controlled Gasoline Injection + Three-way Catalyst + O2 Sensor. Compared to four-wheeled vehicles, motorcycle emission reduction technology is constrained not only by the smaller body size, but also by consideration of contact with roads surface when inclined, as well as damages on parts and human body from release of exhaust heat and vibration. Each part of emission reduction devices is subject to pursuit of downsizing and lightening, as well as systemic simplification and part communization for cost reduction. O2 Sensors for Motorcycles (with and without heater) and for PVs Resource: JAMA

The Forthcoming Permissible Limits of Motorcycle Tailpipe Emission Considering the new EURO 4 becoming effective from 2016 and allowing adequate time for due technological development by motorcycle manufacturers, it is considered appropriate that application of new regulation in Japan occurs by the end of 2016. Emission reduction technologies expected to be developed by 2016: Optimization of fuel injection control Introduction of variable valve actuation mechanism Increase in catalyst volume Quick activation of catalyst by ascending exhaust gas temperature quickly High efficiency of catalyst [Recommendation] The new permissible emission limits are set based on WMTC classes and will begin by the end of 2016. Category Class 1 Class 2 Class 3 Unit [g/km] Pollutants THC CO NOx THC CO NOx THC CO NOx Next Limit 0.30 1.14 0.07 0.20 1.14 0.07 0.17 1.14 0.09 Current Equivalent Limit 0.45 2.2 0.16 0.27 2.62 0.21 0.27 2.62 0.21 Reduction Rate 33.3% 48.2% 56.3% 25.9% 56.5% 66.7% 37.0% 56.5% 57.1% (Ref) EURO 4 0.38 1.14 0.07 0.38 1.14 0.07 0.17 1.14 0.09

Estimated Amount of Reduction in Tailpipe Emission in 2020 The new regulation is expected to bring additional effect of 20% reduction of HC in 2020. In the future, further reduction is expected, owing to further diffusion of new types of motorcycles. Pollutants THC CO NOx Tailpipe Emission Without New Regulation With New Regulation Without New Regulation With New Regulation Without New Regulation With New Regulation Class 1 Class 2 Class 3 Total Unit [t/year] 947 245 202 1,394 724 23.5% 216 11.8% 170 15.8% 1,110 20.4% 11,561 6,839 3,107 21,506 7,245 37.3% 5,083 25.7% 2,362 24.0% 14,690 31.7% 606 201 240 1,047 355 41.4% 142 29.3% 171 28.8% 669 36.1%

(3) Measures for Reduction of Fuel Evaporative Emission Test Method California State (CA) Evaporative Emission Test for Motorcycles is used by several other and will be adopted to EU regulation from EURO 4. CA Evaporative Emission Test should be introduced for the following reasons: The test is regarded as an alternative of Passenger Vehicles (PVs) evaporative emission test, which consists of 24 hour Diurnal Breathing Loss (DBL) and Hot Soak Loss (HSL) tests. One-heating DBL test is adequate because 60 to 80% motorcycles are parked only once during the daytime in Japan. Driving Pre-Conditioning Soak DBL Driving HSL SHED AC unit Analyzer CA Evaporative Emission Test Process

Discussion Concerning the Introduction of CA Evaporative Emission Test 1. Duration of Test Time: 1 hour for CA DBL, 24 hours for DBL on PVs The following formula is for calculation of evaporative emission and does not include the duration of test time. (THC emission factor per tank air space volume in the tank [g/gal]) =0.00817 EXP(0.2357 Rvp) {EXP(0.0409 T2)-EXP(0.0409 T1)} Rvp: Reid Vapor Pressure of Gasoline (PSI) T1: Fuel Temperature at Start (F) T2: Fuel Temperature at Finish (F) The motorcycle test results by CA Evaporative Emission Test (EET) method is in correlation with those of the PVs test method. [Conclusion] CA EET is thus regarded as an alternative of PVs EET, constituting 24 hour DBL and HSL tests. Evaporative Evapo 排出量 Emissions (g) [g] 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 DBL+HSL y = 0.0456x 2-0.1385x + 3.8226 R 2 = 0.7919 HSL y = 0.0168x 2-0.1005x + 0.6271 R 2 = 0.7082 HSL( 新 4 輪エバポ法 ) DBL+HSL( 新 4 輪エバポ法 ) 0 5 10 15 20 25 Tank タンク容量 Volume (L) [L] Motorcycle Evaporative Emissions

2. Is the CA DBL Test Enough? According to Motorcycle Market Survey by Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Inc. (JAMA), 56% answered as using motorcycles 5 days or more per week, 4.3 days per week on average. Based on the distribution of the number of days of use per week, we estimated how many days motorcycles are parked continuously : 63.5% for 1 day and 16.4% for 2 days. Considering the fact that most people use for commuting, most of those parked for 2 days are regarded as parked only once during a daytime (e.g. parking from Saturday evening through Monday morning). Number of Days Per Week Used for Parking (FY2011) 7 日 6 日 5 日 4 日 3 日 2 日 1 日 1,9% 2,5% 3,4% 5,0% 7,4% 16,4% 63,5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% [Conclusion] One-heating DBL Test is adequate, as 60 to 80% motorcycles are parked only during the daytime.

Permissible Evaporative Emission Limit for Motorcycles In Japan, permissible evaporative emission limit from PVs is 2.0 g/test. Both the U.S. limit from motorcycles and EURO 4 limit are 2.0 g/test. Setting 2.0 g/test as the permissible evaporative emission limit will reduce 30% motorcycle evaporative emission in FY2020. Estimated Amount of Evaporative Emission from Motorcycles in FY2020 (t/year) Evaporative Emission Class 1 Class 2 Class 3 Total Without Regulation 953 1,476 1,847 4,275 With Regulation 953 946 1,086 2,985 Reduction Rate 0.0% 35.9% 41.2% 30.2% Estimated Tailpipe and Evaporative Emissions from Motorcycles in FY2020 (t/year) Tailpipe and Evaporative Emissions Class 1 Class 2 Class 3 Total Without New Regulation 1,900 1,721 2,049 5,670 With New Regulation 1,677 1,162 1,256 4,095 Reduction Rate 11.7% 32.5% 38.7% 27.7% [Recommendation] The motorcycle evaporative emission regulation is modeled after the CA Evaporative Emission Test, with the permissible limit of 2.0 g/test. The regulation will be implemented by the end of 2016.

(4) On-Board Diagnostics (OBD) System Current Motorcycle OBD System A motorcycle OBD system that monitors malfunctions caused by a short-circuit or open electric circuits and alerts the driver has been established in Japan. It takes several years to prepare additional measures, including monitoring system of fuel injection correction, ISO-conformed connectors for communication off-board, and modification of the malfunction warning lamp. For allowing due time for manufacturing and technical development, the application of new OBD equipment should be at the same as the forthcoming tailpipe emission regulation. Already Developed To be developed Items Open faults of sensors in malfunction, (incl. air pressure sensor, intake pressure sensor, intake air temperature sensor, water temperature sensor, throttle position sensor, cylinder sensor, crankshaft angle sensor, O2 sensor, O2 sensor heater, primary ignition system, air injection system, etc.), release of alert after recovery, malfunction information storage and functional confirmation at the start Monitors of malfunction by fuel injection adjuster, ISO connectors for communication off-board, change of the malfunction alert lamp Malfunction Alert

Regarding the OBD II that monitors malfunctions caused not only by a shortcircuit or open electric circuits but also by deterioration of systems, components or units, there remain technical difficulties in applying the OBD on PVs to motorcycles. <Examples of Technical Difficulties> Monitoring Catalyst Deterioration: While deterioration is detected by the behavior of O2 sensor signal for PVs, the motorcycle catalyst volume is much less than that of PVs and hence the signal behavior of a deteriorated catalyst is different from PVs. Monitoring Misfire: While the misfire is detected by fluctuation of per cycle rotation for PVs, the one for motorcycle is sensitive to the fluctuation of road surface due to the smaller size and volume. In addition, the engine speed of motorcycle in the actual driving is faster than PVs and thus difficult to detect the per cycle rotation. Leakage of Evaporative Emission: Due to the larger variation in driving behavior, motorcycle is more sensitive to fuel sloshing than PVs and thus difficult to detect the leakage of evaporative emission. [Recommendation] The OBD equipment that monitors malfunctions caused by a short-circuit or open electric circuits is now mandated. The implementation will occur by the end of 2016. Regarding the OBD II that monitors malfunctions caused by deterioration of systems, components or units, it is difficult to determine the validity at this point and will be considered once the technical prospect is confirmed in the future.

(5) E10 Gasoline Fuel for Motorcycles Current measures for tailpipe emission reduction is based on the feedback control for theoretical air-fuel ratio. The ratio of oxygen content within the fuel makes little difference on the emission. From the technical aspects, manufactures consider that there is no problem concerning emission reduction measures when using E10 gasoline fuel. Likewise in four wheelers, motorcycles shall be considered as conforming to the gasoline tailpipe emission regulations at the rate between E0 and E10, regardless of the type of fuel they use. As for the existing fuel evaporative emission regulations, setting E10 as test fuel shall be considered as conforming to the regulation in consideration of permeation of ethanol in the fuel tube. [Recommendation] E10-compatible gasoline motorcycle shall meet the forthcoming tailpipe regulation as well as the evaporative emission regulation. They shall also meet the gasoline tailpipe emission regulations at the rate between E0 and E10, regardless of the type of fuel they use. Further, they shall meet the existing fuel evaporative emission regulations with E10 regarding the permeation of ethanol in the fuel tube.

Thank you! Ministry of the Environment, JAPAN