SRF No. 10482 To: From: Jeff Holstein, P.E., City of Brooklyn Park Steve Wilson, Principal Tim Babich, Associate Krista Anderson, Engineer Date: May 16, 2018 Subject: City of Brooklyn Park Year 2040 Forecasts Introduction This memorandum describes the modeling process used to develop the City of Brooklyn Park 2040 traffic forecasts. In addition, this memorandum summarizes the existing and future forecast volumes and roadway capacity deficiencies for the City in the context of system functional classification, connectivity, and other issues. Travel demand forecasts developed for Brooklyn Park were based on the Metropolitan Council s Activity Based Model (ABM) and Thrive MSP 2040 demographic forecasts. The ABM is a model developed by the Metropolitan Council to forecast travel changes based on demographic, transportation system, and travel behavior. It includes the following features: It encompasses the 19-county area considered the Twin Cities region to reflect the full set of travel markets using Brooklyn Park roadways. It includes both highway and transit system elements (including the METRO Blue Line Extension). It models the estimated effects of future conditions on travel, travel patterns and transportation facilities. Assumptions Year 2014 and year 2040 socioeconomic and roadway system assumptions consistent with the regional development assumptions (Thrive MSP 2040) and regional transportation policy plan are incorporated into the travel model, as described below. Zonal Data and Socioeconomic Update The Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ) structure of the ABM was expanded from a total of 45 regional model zones in Brooklyn Park to 179 zones. The updated Brooklyn Park TAZ structure and the forecast development totals for both are included in Appendix A.
Metropolitan Council year 2014 and forecast year 2040, consistent with the Thrive MSP 2040 plan, socioeconomic data was allocated to the Brooklyn Park TAZ; socioeconomic data was systematically allocated using aerial imagery, land use assumptions, and feedback provided by the City of Brooklyn Park. Existing and future year municipal socioeconomic totals are depicted in Table 1. The Brooklyn Park forecasts (2040) were used in our analysis and are consistent with the Metropolitan Council s regional control totals, within a matter of minor rounding. Table 1: Existing and Year 2040 Municipal Totals Population Households Employment 2014 2040 2014 2040 2014 2040 Brooklyn Park Expected 78,591 97,901 26,843 34,300 26,747 40,197 Metropolitan Council Thrive MSP 78,362 97,900 26,877 34,300 26,747 40,197 Roadway Network Update Baseline roadway system forecasts assume both the existing as well as the planned and programmed roadway system. For modeling at this level, the improvements would assume changes that affect the capacity and performance, such as new roadways, changes in the number of lanes or speed, or the addition/removal of channelization on a segment. The following projects were identified as meeting the above conditions, based on the Brooklyn Park 2030 Comprehensive Plan, Metropolitan Council 2040 Transportation Policy Plan Current Revenue Scenario (dated January 2015), MnDOT wide Transportation Improvement Plan (STIP), and were included in the travel demand model 2040 roadway network: 109th Avenue reconstruction to four-lane lanes (Jefferson Highway to CSAH 103) Candlewood Drive connection (West Broadway Avenue to 79th Avenue) 101st Avenue - interchange and reconstruction Xylon Avenue construction (Oxbow Creek Drive to 109th Avenue and north of Rush Creek Trail to CSAH 103/TH 610 Westbound Ramps) CSAH 103 expansion to four lanes (75th Avenue to 101st Avenue) Bottineau Boulevard expansion to six lanes (71st Avenue to 83rd Avenue) CSAH 30 expansion to four lanes ( to Zane Avenue) TH 252 Freeway conversion* * The TH 252 freeway conversion is currently under study. The final option to be implemented has not been finalized and may affect forecast volumes near the project area The model also includes the Blue Line METRO Extension to Brooklyn Park.
Model Validation and 2040 Application These forecasts use the Metropolitan Council s Activity-based travel demand model (ABM). The model, released in late 2016, simulates individual and household transportation decisions that compose their daily travel itinerary. Future year development and behavioral conditions are modeled as trips and routed between model zones on the above-described roadway system used in the model. Validation of Existing Model The model roadway network was updated with current MnDOT Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT) data to facilitate the model validation process. Daily traffic volumes were validated based on the degree to which the model replicates known ground counts. The validation checks are based on the Federal Highway Administration s Model Validation and Reasonableness Checking Manual. The validation was compared to additional 2017 counts collected by the City of Brooklyn Park to ensure more recent growth is be reflected in the projected 2040 values. The final step in model development was to establish a process for adjusting the future modeled volumes to account for the error in the base model. The National Cooperative Highway Research Program Special Report 255 suggests methods (Table 2) of adjusting models based on: a) the difference between model and count; b) the ratio of the model to count; and c) the magnitude of growth between existing and future. Table 2: Model Adjustment Process Condition Implications of Condition Method Used 3 1.5 1.5 All Other Cases High model growth may cause the ratio method to result in unreasonably high adjusted volumes. A large underestimation by the model in the base year may cause the ratio method to result in unreasonably high adjusted volumes. A large overestimation by the model in the base year may cause the ratio method to result in unreasonably low adjusted volumes. Difference Method (adjustment based on numeric count-model difference) Difference Method Difference Method Average Method (adjustment using average of difference and percent difference)
Year 2040 Daily Forecasts Year 2040 forecasts are included in Appendix B. They reflect the anticipated travel behavior, development and roadway network effects on traffic in the City of Brooklyn Park and are the basis of the deficiency analysis presented below. These forecasts do not assume the completion of the CSAH 610 extension of Highway 610 west of I-94, nor do they include connecting TH 610 to/from the east approach of I-94. Those movements are all available indirectly by the current roadway system, and a sensitivity test of those connections did not indicate a major difference in volumes on Brooklyn Park roadway system. Roadway Capacity Deficiencies This section summarizes both the existing and 2040 roadway capacity deficiencies for the City of Brooklyn Park. The method used to determine road capacity deficiency divides the existing or forecast 2040 average annual daily traffic (AADT) by the acceptable daily capacity for the specific roadway type, a measure known as the volume to capacity ratio (v/c ratio). The acceptable design capacity is estimated based on number of lanes, roadway type, functional classification and traffic peaking characteristics (Table 3). Table 3: Brooklyn Park Typical Daily Roadway Capacities by Facility Type Daily Capacity (vehicles per day) Facility Type (Level of Service E) Two-lane gravel road 1,000 Two-lane collector/local 10,000 Two-lane arterial 12,000 Three-lane (two-way left-turn lane) collector/arterial 18,000 Four-lane collector 20,000 Four-lane undivided arterial 27,000 Five-lane collector 28,000 Five-lane arterial 34,000 Four-lane divided (expressway) 36,000 Six-lane divided (expressway) 54,000 Four-lane unmetered freeway 74,000 Four-lane metered freeway 85,000 Six-lane unmetered freeway 111,000 Six-lane metered freeway 127,000 Eight-lane unmetered freeway 150,000 Eight-lane metered freeway 184,000 The existing AADT data for, City and County roads are from 2014 to depending on the location of the count. A complete mapping of traffic volumes is shown in Appendix B for collectors and higher level roadways.
The deficiency analysis defines capacity deficiency roadway segments as those with a v/c ratio above 1.0, which signifies that a segment of road has observed volumes or forecasts which exceed its design capacity. These segments are shown in Figure 1 (existing) and Figure 2 (2040) as bold, red lines and listed in Table 4 (existing) and Table 5 (2040). Roadway segments with a v/c ratio between 0.9 and 1.0 are designated near capacity and are shown as bold, yellow lines. A roadway with a v/c ratio of 0.90 means that on an average day, 90 percent of the road s design capacity is utilized during peak conditions. It is noteworthy that all of the existing and a majority of the forecast 2040 capacity-deficient and near capacity-deficient road segments are on Hennepin County and the state trunk highway systems. The City should review the adequacy of these road segments in partnership with the County and to provide the necessary capacity to meet current and future demand, which is further discussed in subsequent sections of this document. Assuming the 2040 base roadway network is implemented, the future Brooklyn Park roadway network will experience congestion. Additional roadway improvements will be needed to address capacity deficiencies. It is important to note the forecast model and volume-to-capacity analysis conducted to determine volumes and assess congestion use average daily traffic volumes consistent with the requirements of the Metropolitan Council s Local Planning Handbook. Delays or perceived congestion may occur for short periods during the a.m. and p.m. peak hours in certain areas, particularly at signalized intersections, which may not be identified through this analysis. More detailed traffic study and operational analysis would be necessary to further analyze congestion issues in more depth.
4,150 8,800 5,400 1,700 W Broadway Ave 11,500 17,100 8,700 8,400 1,650 4,100 Noble Ave 12,200 8,700 7,800 101st Ave 32,500 TH 610 6,900 6,000 77th Ave 74,000 8,900 5,500 Jefferson Hwy 5,100 93rd Ave 1,600 18,600 14,100 68,000 15,900 Northland Dr 6 8,000 10,300 18,500 Boone Ave 42,500 62,000 22,900 42,500 59,000 570 3,000 1,500 79th Ave 3,200 1,450 Xylon Ave 15,700 6,700 3,800 2,000 73rdAve 109th Ave N 7,700 Winnetka Ave N 4,100 23,900 6,900 6,900 18,900 11,6 00 61,000 1,350 12,500 89thAve 18,900 3,650 Jolly Lane 1,250 Oxbow Creek Dr 8,900 12,500 4,700 2,100 2,650 1,850 12,100 43,500 4,700 Setzler Pkwy 1,750 1,550 Candlewood Dr 8,100 Douglas Dr Oak Grove Pkwy HampshireAve 4,600 4,700 1,900 18,900 3,300 13,900 2,350 14,100 5,900 4,800 Brooklyn Blvd 19,900 17,700 22,100 Zane Ave 3,200 3,050 2,050 15,100 2,100 5,200 2,650 R e gent Pkwy 2,300 2,200 6,200 3,700 2,450 101st Ave 56,000 Prestwick Pkw 2,25 8,400 3,700 2,500 12,900 4,350 11,300 y 0 24,000 17,000 5,900 2,150 7,600 10,200 30,000 6,800 Noble Pkwy 17,500 WRiverRd 2,750 Fallgold Pkwy 83rdAve TH 610 5,900 4,950 97thAve 1,650 79,000 3,400 8,100 5,400 4,150 Edinbrook Pkwy Xerxes Ave 74th Ave 6,700 West River Rd TH 252 56,000 17,500 7,600 Brookdale Dr Humboldt Ave 102,000 2,600 2,700 6,200 1,950 56,000 7,100 3,750 81st Ave 4,550 60,000 3,500 88,000 110,000 Modern Rd 10,200 8,000 6,100 30,000 CSAH81 28,000 5,600 68th Ave N 118,000 10,800 69th Ave I 94 5,300 6,400 8,200 Winnetka Ave 1,450 6,900 7,600 62nd Ave 11,100 7,200 Q:\Projects\10482\GIS\MXD\Brooklyn Park New Map 105.mxd 0 1.25 2.5 Miles XXX AverageDailyTraficVolu me NearCapacity(Volu me 0.9ofCapacity) CapacityDeficiency(Volu me Capacity) Existing Roadway Capacity Deficiencies Brooklyn Park Comp Plan Forecasts City of Brooklyn Park Figure 1
W Broadway Ave Noble Ave 109th Ave N WRiver Rd 101st Ave Winnetka Ave N Oxbow Creek Dr Douglas Dr 101st Ave FallgoldPkwy TH 610 Jefferson Hwy 93rd Ave Xylon Ave 89thAve Setzler Pkwy Oak Grove Pkwy HampshireAve Zane Ave R e gent Pkwy Prestwick Pkw y Noble Pkwy TH 610 97thAve Edinbrook Pkwy West River Rd TH 252 79th Ave Candlewood Dr 83rdAve Xerxes Ave 81st Ave 77th Ave Jolly Lane Brooklyn Blvd Brookdale Dr Northland Dr Boone Ave 73rdAve 74th Ave Humboldt Ave Modern Rd CSAH81 68th Ave N 69th Ave I 94 Q:\Projects\10482\GIS\MXD\Brooklyn Park New Map 105.mxd Winnetka Ave 62nd Ave 0 1.25 2.5 Miles XXX AverageDailyTraficVolu me NearCapacity(Volu me 0.9ofCapacity) CapacityDeficiency(Volu me Capacity) Year 2040 Roadway Capacity Deficiencies Brooklyn Park Comp Plan Forecasts City of Brooklyn Park Figure 2
Table 4: Existing Capacity Deficiencies LOS Route Segment Approaching Capacity (Volumes Meet or Exceed 90% of Design Capacity) I-694 CSAH 81 to Brooklyn Blvd CSAH 81 to East City Limit Functional Class Principal Arterial Principal Arterial Jurisdiction Facility Type 4-lane unmetered freeway 6-lane metered freeway Volume (Vehicles per Day [V]) Roadway Design Capacity (Vehicles per Day [C]) V/C Ratio 68,000 74,000 0.92 118,000 127,000 0.92 Over Capacity (Volumes Meet or Exceed Design Capacity) TH 252 I-694 to 62nd Ave 101st Ave to 109th Ave 73rd Ave to Principal Arterial Principal Arterial Principal Arterial 4-lane unmetered freeway 4-lane divided expressway 4-6 lane divided expressway 88,000 85,000 1.04 42,500 36,000 1.18 56,000 to 60,000 36,000 to 54,000 1.24 to 1.67
Table 5: 2040 Capacity Deficiencies LOS Route Segment Functional Class Jurisdiction Facility Type Approaching Capacity (Volumes Meet or Exceed 90% of Design Capacity) Over Capacity (Volumes Meet or Exceed Design Capacity) TH 610 CSAH 8 CSAH 152 Noble Ave Noble Ave I-694 TH 610 Xerxes Ave Noble Pkwy CSAH 81 to TH 610 Winnetka Ave to CSAH 103 69th Ave to 71st Ave Regent Ave to Noble Ave TH 252 to West River Rd 76th Ave to Brookdale Dr 83rd Ave to CSAH 81 to Brooklyn Blvd 62nd Ave to I-694 101st Ave to 109th Ave to East City Limits CSAH 103 to Noble Pkwy 81st Ave to 101st Ave to Oxbow Creek Dr Principal Arterial Principal Arterial 4-lane unmetered freeway 4-lane metered freeway Volume (Vehicles per Day [V]) Roadway Design Capacity (Vehicles per Day [C]) V/C Ratio 69,000 74,000 0.93 82,000 127,000 0.96 A-Minor Arterial Hennepin County 2-lane collector 9,200 10,000 0.92 A-Minor Arterial Major (Class-I) Collector Hennepin County 4-lane divided arterial 34,000 36,000 0.94 Brooklyn Park 2-lane arterial 11,100 12,000 0.93 A-Minor Arterial Brooklyn Park 2-lane arterial 10,800 12,000 0.90 A-Minor Arterial Brooklyn Park 2-lane arterial 11,600 12,000 0.97 Principal Arterial 4-lane unmetered freeway 78,000 74,000 1.05 Principal Arterial 4-lane freeway 96,000 85,000 1.13 Principal Arterial Principal Arterial Principal Arterial Major (Class-I) Collector 4-lane divided expressway 6-lane metered freeway 4-lane metered freeway 52,000 36,000 1.44 127,000 to 137,000 86,000 to 100,000 127,000 1.0 to 1.08 85,000 1.01 to 1.18 Brooklyn Park 2-lane collector 10,800 10,000 1.08 A-Minor Arterial Brooklyn Park 2-lane arterial 12,100 12,000 1.01
Functional Classification As the City is becoming fully urbanized and experiencing higher density development, the spacing of arterials and collectors should be reviewed. For example, it would be appropriate for minor arterials to be spaced one-fourth to three-fourths mile apart and collectors at one-eighth to one-half mile spacing near the Target corporate campus, as this area becomes a regional business center. The Principal Arterials within the City of Brooklyn Park (I-94, TH 610, TH 252, and ) are owned, operated and maintained by MnDOT and spaced near the suggested Metropolitan Council Transportation Policy Plan guidelines. The vast majority of minor arterials are operated by Hennepin County and spaced at one mile also consistent with Metropolitan Council guidelines. The vast majority of collector roadways and all local roadways are City owned. Access, Alignment and Connectivity As forecasted volumes are expected to intensify with the level of development in the northwest sector of the city, it is essential to ensure that the future roadway network provides adequate access and connectivity from local streets to collectors to arterials. A majority of the capacity- and near capacity-deficient road segments in the various scenarios are on the County and trunk highway system. The City should review the adequacy of these road segments in partnership with the County and to determine how best to preserve future right of way and provide the necessary capacity, access and connectivity to meet future demands. The connection and expansion of 101st Avenue and Oak Grove Parkway makes this east-west route function as a reliever, delivering traffic to and from TH 610 and. This east-west route would serve as the parallel minor arterial on the north of TH 610, with CSAH 30 (93rd Avenue) serving as the parallel minor arterial to the south of TH 610. With 93rd Avenue and 101st Avenue connected with the north-south minor arterial routes of Jefferson Highway to the west and West Broadway Avenue to the east, they would function as a circular system of A minor arterials in the northwest sector of the City. Right of Way Preservation When future expansion or realignment of a roadway is proposed, but not immediately programmed, public agencies should consider right-of-way preservation strategies to reduce costs and maintain the feasibility of the proposed improvement. Several different strategies can be used to preserve right-ofway for future construction, including advanced purchase, zoning and subdivision techniques, official mapping and corridor signing. Before implementing any right-of-way preservation programs, the City of Brooklyn Park should weigh the risks of proceeding without environmental documentation. (Note: Mn/DOT policy requires environmental documentation prior to purchase.) If environmental documentation has not been completed, agencies risk preserving a corridor or parcel that has associated environmental issues.
Table 6 shows Hennepin County s recommended planning right-of-way widths for roadways based on functional classification. These guidelines should be used as the City plans to build new roadways or upgrade existing transportation facilities, such as Xylon Avenue and 101st Avenue. Table 6: Hennepin County Recommended Planning Right-of-Way Widths Functional Classification A-Minor Arterial (reliever, expander and augmenter types) Description Section: 4-lane divided or undivided Future Volume: > 15,000 ADT Speed: 40 plus mph design Access: Limited direct access General Right-of-Way Width 80-130 feet A-Minor Arterial (collector type) Section: 2-lane rural Future Volume: > 10,000 ADT Speed: 45 plus mph design Access: Limited direct access 100-120 feet B-Minor Arterial Section: 2-lane rural, suburban, or urban or 4-lane undivided Future Volume: < 15,000 ADT Speed: 35-55 mph design Access: Limited direct access 80-120 feet Major/Minor Collector Streets Section: 2-lane rural or suburban Future Volume: < 10,000 ADT Speed: 35 mph design Access: Balance access and mobility 80-120 feet Notes: Actual roadway typical section will be determined during design element review. For purposes of right-of-way dedication, the right-of-way can be a combination of actual land dedication and/or roadway easement. Direct Purchase One of the best ways to preserve right-of-way is to purchase it. Unfortunately, agencies rarely have the necessary funds to purchase right-of-way in advance, and the public benefit of purchasing rightof-way is not realized until a roadway or transportation facility is built. Most typically, local jurisdictions use various corridor preservation methods prior to roadway construction and then purchase the right-of-way, if it is not dedicated, at the time of design and construction.
Planning and Zoning Authority Local agencies have the authority to regulate existing and future land use. Under this authority, the City has a number of tools for preserving right-of-way for transportation projects. These tools include: Zoning. If the property is in a very low-density area (e.g., agricultural district), local agencies should try to maintain the existing zoning classification. Lower zoning classification limits the risk for significant development until funding becomes available for roadway construction. Platting and Subdivision Regulations. Local platting and subdivision regulations give agencies authority to consider future roadway alignments during the platting process, because most land must be platted before it is developed. Cities and counties can use their authority to regulate land development to influence plat configuration and the location of proposed roadways. In most instances, planning and engineering staffs work with developers to develop a plat that accommodates the landowners/developers and conforms to a long-term community vision and/or plans. Local agencies can require right-of-way dedication as part of the platting and subdivision process. Transfer of Development Rights. In addition to the above strategies, some agencies negotiate with property owners by allowing increased development densities on portions of the parcel if the developer will transfer right-of-way to the jurisdiction for the future roadways needed by the development. This enables the developer to get the same number of lots or units and also enables the agency to obtain the needed right-of-way. Official Mapping. A final strategy to preserve right-of-way is to adopt an official map. An official map is developed by the City and identifies the centerline and right-of-way needed for a future roadway. The City then holds a public hearing showing the location of the future roadway and incorporates the official map into its thoroughfare or community facilities plan. The official mapping process allows agencies to control proposed development within an identified area and to influence development on adjacent parcels. However, if a directly affected property owner requests to develop their property, agencies have six months to initiate acquisition of the property to prevent its development. If the property is not purchased, the owner is allowed to develop it in conformance with current zoning and subdivision regulations. As a result, the official mapping process should only be used for preserving key corridors in areas with significant growth pressures, such as the northwest sector of Brooklyn Park. In some cases, official mapping key parcels or corridors may increase the agency s ability to find sources of funds to purchase at-risk parcels. H:\Projects\10000\10482\TS\Brooklyn_Park_Forecast_Documentation_20180201 mkc.docx
Appendix A Transportation Analysis Zones Socioeconomic Assumptions
Existing (Brooklyn Park - Expected) Year 2040 (Brooklyn Park - Expected) Brooklyn Park Met Council TAZ Retail Non-Retail Total Non-Retail TAZ Population Households Population Households Retail Employment Total Employment Employment Employment Employment Employment 1 828 150 51 0 0 0 174 50 0 0 0 2 828 149 51 0 0 0 149 50 0 0 0 3 829 889 275 0 21 21 878 283 0 19 19 4 830 450 152 36 69 105 709 181 44 64 108 5 830 701 239 21 30 51 764 284 40 29 69 6 831 850 327 0 179 179 921 332 0 166 166 7 831 834 321 0 0 0 886 325 0 0 0 8 831 270 104 0 0 0 340 106 0 0 0 9 831 625 240 173 177 350 698 243 130 165 295 10 831 442 170 0 0 0 449 173 0 0 0 11 831 1,084 417 46 467 513 1,094 423 43 443 486 12 831 834 321 24 150 174 849 326 22 146 168 13 832 475 131 0 0 0 511 172 0 0 0 14 832 145 40 66 42 108 160 92 28 102 130 15 832 1,200 332 0 0 0 1,385 375 0 0 0 16 832 505 139 0 0 0 518 180 0 0 0 17 833 593 161 0 11 11 719 222 0 9 9 18 833 1,023 280 0 0 0 1,118 353 0 9 9 19 834 395 135 0 0 0 675 169 0 0 0 20 834 570 195 0 0 0 578 207 0 0 0 21 834 230 77 0 0 0 326 104 0 0 0 22 834 160 55 12 34 46 328 86 0 56 56 23 834 950 323 0 0 0 1,090 353 0 0 0 24 835 0 0 26 144 170 0 0 0 195 195 25 835 993 285 0 9 9 971 306 0 5 5 26 835 258 74 0 0 0 260 86 0 0 0 27 835 937 269 0 5 5 904 272 0 5 5 28 835 523 150 0 1 1 528 162 0 0 0 29 835 533 153 0 0 0 529 155 0 0 0 30 835 167 48 0 0 0 169 61 0 0 0 31 836 185 70 3 174 177 379 129 69 162 231 32 836 652 250 0 0 0 910 361 0 0 0 33 836 612 235 0 255 255 1,344 348 24 238 262 34 837 0 0 10 51 61 360 115 19 0 19 35 837 237 116 0 1 1 790 248 0 0 0 36 837 0 0 10 37 47 0 0 9 158 167 37 838 0 0 27 161 188 350 101 36 150 186 38 838 172 50 0 0 0 395 114 30 0 30 39 838 862 258 0 0 0 972 281 0 0 0 40 838 862 257 0 0 0 968 280 0 0 0 41 838 765 230 0 0 0 874 252 0 0 0 42 838 612 182 0 0 0 689 199 0 0 0 43 838 0 0 16 835 851 52 15 18 715 733 44 839 756 226 8 0 8 798 248 0 0 0 45 839 884 265 0 16 16 990 293 0 15 15 46 839 622 186 0 0 0 758 208 0 0 0 47 839 545 163 0 108 108 642 180 0 116 116 48 839 508 152 0 19 19 527 212 5 27 32 49 839 622 186 10 45 55 675 263 5 46 51 50 840 0 0 0 334 334 0 0 23 297 320 51 840 0 0 0 612 612 0 0 46 590 637 52 840 0 0 0 685 685 0 0 42 526 568 53 840 0 0 0 410 410 0 0 27 341 368 54 840 0 0 33 598 631 0 0 44 554 598 55 840 852 434 0 38 38 1,050 465 3 33 35 56 840 0 0 162 588 750 0 0 47 588 635 57 841 2 1 0 285 285 0 0 0 544 544 58 841 2 1 17 291 308 0 0 9 544 553 59 842 0 0 0 76 76 0 0 19 279 298 60 842 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 279 298 61 843 0 0 0 0 0 430 171 186 325 511 62 843 0 0 0 308 308 369 146 16 381 397 63 843 0 0 48 0 48 372 147 108 325 433 64 844 345 119 0 742 742 222 88 56 932 987 65 844 255 94 0 0 0 511 202 0 0 0 66 844 260 92 0 0 0 232 92 56 0 56 67 844 42 15 0 0 0 222 88 0 0 0 68 844 115 41 0 0 0 130 52 58 0 58 69 844 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 67 1,395 1,461 70 844 0 0 0 0 0 1,208 478 67 465 532 71 844 0 0 0 1,663 1,663 0 0 0 4,648 4,648 72 844 415 147 77 37 114 1,146 453 169 46 216 73 845 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 23 1,397 1,421 74 845 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 23 1,397 1,421 75 845 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 279 279 76 845 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 279 279 77 845 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 93 93 78 845 0 0 0 0 0 693 267 43 0 43 79 845 0 0 0 0 0 388 149 31 93 124 80 845 0 0 0 0 0 575 221 42 93 135 81 845 0 0 0 0 0 795 306 57 93 150 82 845 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 186 186 83 845 0 0 0 0 0 724 279 31 93 124 84 846 4 2 0 0 0 232 105 2 270 271 85 846 4 2 0 2 2 631 303 2 0 2 86 846 2 1 0 0 0 91 41 2 223 225 87 846 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 17 223 240 88 846 0 0 0 0 0 151 70 2 186 188 89 846 0 0 0 0 0 115 53 2 186 188 90 846 2 1 0 0 0 121 55 2 186 188 91 850 6 2 0 0 0 988 388 7 186 192
Brooklyn Park TAZ Met Council TAZ Population Existing (Brooklyn Park - Expected) Retail Non-Retail Households Employment Employment Total Employment Year 2040 (Brooklyn Park - Expected) Non-Retail Population Households Retail Employment Employment Total Employment 92 850 4 1 0 0 0 131 52 7 558 564 93 850 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 71 186 257 94 851 0 0 94 0 94 0 0 93 46 139 95 854 0 0 14 881 895 0 0 130 539 669 96 1070 0 0 0 878 878 0 0 52 920 972 97 1070 7 3 0 1,003 1,003 0 0 58 1,051 1,109 98 1070 0 0 0 642 642 0 0 38 672 710 99 1070 0 0 696 768 1,464 0 0 47 805 853 100 1071 272 108 75 470 545 353 131 0 502 502 101 1072 37 15 0 642 642 50 14 0 651 651 102 1072 0 0 34 347 381 0 0 0 397 397 103 1072 0 0 16 397 413 0 0 0 392 392 104 1072 0 0 0 300 300 0 0 0 302 302 105 1072 113 46 14 244 258 111 46 28 275 303 106 1073 7 4 529 264 793 222 91 390 344 734 107 1074 0 0 244 0 244 0 0 233 0 233 108 1074 1,277 409 47 0 47 1,184 213 50 0 50 109 1074 0 0 127 0 127 0 0 126 0 126 110 1074 0 0 326 0 326 0 0 303 0 303 111 1074 0 0 174 318 492 461 352 162 260 422 112 1075 1,770 613 0 72 72 1,786 631 0 67 67 113 1075 700 242 0 92 92 715 244 0 86 86 114 1075 0 0 0 1,543 1,543 0 0 0 1,335 1,335 115 1075 1,488 515 2 15 17 1,504 520 23 19 42 116 1075 1,236 428 3 184 187 1,253 432 33 186 218 117 1076 1,430 483 2 302 304 1,429 509 0 282 282 118 1076 1,017 343 2 23 25 1,015 368 0 21 21 119 1076 630 212 14 14 28 623 214 93 13 106 120 1076 503 170 0 178 178 482 193 0 176 176 121 1076 480 162 0 0 0 469 185 0 0 0 122 1076 910 307 3 38 41 909 344 0 46 46 123 1076 542 183 0 0 0 511 206 0 0 0 124 1076 0 0 19 0 19 0 0 121 0 121 125 1076 770 260 0 46 46 768 284 0 58 58 126 1077 161 70 226 80 306 268 109 102 74 177 127 1077 955 415 0 134 134 1,385 564 0 125 125 128 1077 1,934 840 0 90 90 2,467 1,004 0 182 182 129 1078 436 170 0 0 0 440 172 0 0 0 130 1078 783 250 3 0 3 790 252 0 0 0 131 1078 483 155 45 4 49 475 157 19 4 22 132 1078 103 34 6 275 281 92 35 0 842 842 133 1079 877 328 1 0 1 880 333 0 0 0 134 1079 302 112 0 30 30 321 114 0 0 0 135 1079 1,765 662 0 84 84 1,801 672 0 112 112 136 1079 1,250 468 0 9 9 1,256 477 0 0 0 137 1080 0 0 22 244 266 0 0 28 227 255 138 1080 0 0 29 539 568 0 0 0 508 508 139 1080 1,790 500 13 4 17 1,945 687 0 4 4 140 1080 1,414 395 0 129 129 1,434 434 0 126 126 141 1081 646 197 10 0 10 649 203 28 0 28 142 1081 900 275 0 51 51 911 280 0 54 54 143 1081 1,415 433 5 49 54 1,443 441 0 27 27 144 1081 1,000 306 0 0 0 1,008 312 0 0 0 145 1081 895 273 7 43 50 984 279 19 21 40 146 1082 664 196 14 59 73 666 202 19 46 65 147 1083 532 170 0 0 0 542 173 0 0 0 148 1083 582 186 0 19 19 590 190 0 6 6 149 1083 622 198 9 4 13 625 201 28 0 28 150 1083 131 41 0 13 13 150 42 0 4 4 151 1084 830 330 0 0 0 840 335 0 0 0 152 1084 307 122 0 29 29 525 123 74 27 101 153 1084 444 176 0 0 0 624 178 0 1 1 154 1085 480 144 0 59 59 511 196 19 65 84 155 1085 641 193 0 0 0 721 208 0 0 0 156 1086 400 143 5 63 68 566 232 19 65 84 157 1086 1,300 464 0 0 0 1,745 535 0 0 0 158 1087 745 257 0 0 0 750 265 0 0 0 159 1087 878 303 0 0 0 885 306 0 0 0 160 1087 985 340 0 115 115 1,009 348 0 102 102 161 1090 411 186 0 77 77 749 293 93 37 130 163 1111 2,146 716 3 0 3 2,116 808 0 0 0 164 1111 2,850 950 6 0 6 2,942 1,123 6 0 6 165 1111 0 0 18 598 616 26 10 0 576 576 166 1111 145 48 0 202 202 153 59 32 139 171 167 1112 504 209 0 106 106 744 232 0 93 93 168 1112 250 105 0 0 0 429 117 0 0 0 169 1112 345 144 0 222 222 486 191 93 43 136 170 1112 1,065 442 0 0 0 1,075 541 0 0 0 171 1112 260 107 0 0 0 415 119 0 0 0 172 1112 305 126 3 41 44 335 148 0 33 33 173 1112 250 104 64 0 64 485 121 130 0 130 174 1112 655 272 0 65 65 663 358 0 64 64 175 1113 472 163 20 122 142 488 166 149 28 177 176 1113 311 107 0 0 0 314 110 0 0 0 177 1113 60 20 0 0 0 82 21 0 0 0 178 1113 185 63 0 0 0 188 65 0 0 0 179 1113 380 131 0 48 48 381 133 0 0 0 Total (Brooklyn Park - Expected) 78,591 26,843 3,769 22,978 26,747 97,900 34,300 4,778 35,419 40,197
Detailed 2040 Roadway Forecasts
Winnetka Ave N W Broadway Ave X,XXX - Existing Volume* (X,XXX) - Year 2040 Forecast [+/- X,XXX] - Existing to 2040 Growth *Year 2014 MnDOT and Year 2015-2016 Hennepin County Counts 8,900 (9,400) [500] 8,900 (10,400) [1,500] 10,300 (16,200) [5,900] 109th Ave N 7,700 (10,800) [3,100] 8,100 (10,000) [1,900] 3,700 (4,500) [800] W River Rd (4,100) 6,900 (8,100) [1,200] 1,550 (3,800) [3,250] 3,300 (5,000) [1,700] 6,800 (8,900) [2,100] 42,500 (52,000) [9,500] 3,800 Oxbow Creek Dr 1,250 (3,500) [2,250] Douglas Dr 2,450 (3,100) [650] 2,500 (3,100) [600] 5,500 (10,000) [4,500] (16,000) 10,200 (12,100) [1,900] Fallgold Pkwy 101st Ave 1,600 (10,700) [9,100] 570 (15,000) [14,430] (7,000) 6,900 (8,600) [1,700] 3,200 (4,000) [800] 2,200 (3,100) [900] 101st Ave 2,750 (4,100) [1,350] 1,650 (2,000) [350] 6,900 (11,000) [4,100] (1,200) 42,500 (58,000) [15,500] (10,000) 4,700 (11,800) [7,100] (2,100) TH 610 Jefferson Hwy 6,000 (10,900) [4,900] 32,500 (50,000) [17,500] 93rd Ave (4,000) 5,100 (9,000) [3,900] 62,000 (69,000) [7,000] 6,700 (10,100) [3,400] 4,100 (4,700) [600] (6,100) 61,000 (82,000) [21,000] 11,600 (18,500) [6,900] 12,500 (20,400) [7,900] 4,700 (8,900) [4,200] Oak Grove Pkwy Hampshire Ave 1,650 (4,900) [3,250] 43,500 (86,000) [42,500] 4,600 (11,700) [7,100] 4,700 (8,700) [4,000] 22,100 (31,000) [8,900] 14,100 (22,000) [7,900] 4,800 (7,000) [2,200] 3,050 (8,400) [5,350] 56,000 (100,000) [44,000] 2,650 (6,300) [3,650] 2,100 (3,400) [1,300] 4,350 (6,900) [2,550] 12,900 (14,700) [1,800] 24,000 (28,000) [4,000] Noble Pkwy 17,000 (19,500) [2,500] 11,300 (14,700) [3,400] TH 610 97th Ave 79,000 (111,000) [32,000] 4,150 (4,900) [750] West River Rd 102,000 (132,000) [30,000] 2,600 (2,700) [100] 2,100 (2,300) [200] Setzler Pkwy 1,900 (2,400) [500] Regent Pkwy 2,250 (3,400) [1,150] Edinbrook 3,400 (3,900) [500] Pkwy 2,700 (3,900) [1,200] 1,350 (1,800) [450] 89th Ave Zane Ave 2,050 (2,200) [150] 5,900 (7,200) [1,300] 14,100 (19,400) [5,300] 18,600 (25,000) [6,400] 18,500 (19,600) [1,100] 59,000 (68,000) [9,000] 3,000 (3,500) [500] Xylon Ave 3,800 (4,700) [900] (5,100) 18,900 (19,500) [600] 8,900 (12,600) [3,700] 12,500 (16,700) [4,200] (2,400) 18,900 (23,000) [4,100] 13,900 (18,900) [5,000] 12,200 (13,900) [1,700] 15,100 (19,800) [4,700] 2,300 (2,600) [300] 4,100 (6,400) [2,300] Prestwick 2,150 (3,000) [850] Pk w y 8,700 (11,600) [2,900] 17,500 (22,000) [4,500] 8,100 (10,800) [2,700] 6,700 (8,500) [1,800] TH 252 17,500 (19,000) [1,500] 56,000 (69,000) [13,000] 6,200 (11,100) [4,900] 3,750 (6,100) [2,350] 68,000 (78,000) [10,000] 1,500 (2,000) [500] 22,900 (32,000) [9,100] 1,750 (2,400) [650] Candlewood Dr 2,350 (3,000) [650] 83rd Ave Xerxes Ave 56,000 (68,000) [12,000] 1,950 (1,000) [-950] 81st Ave 15,900 (17,000) [1,100] 77th Ave 4,150 (2,200) [-1,950] (4,300) 15,700 (16,900) [1,200] 2,000 (2,500) [500] 3,200 (5,100) [1,900] 5,400 (7,700) [2,300] 3,650 (5,000) [1,350] 3,200 (3,600) [400] 79th Ave 18,900 (21,000) [2,100] Jolly Lane 11,500 (14,500) [3,000] 2,650 (3,300) [650] Brooklyn Blvd 19,900 (23,000) [3,100] 17,100 (19,400) [2,300] 8,400 (27,000) [3,900] 5,900 (7,300) [1,400] 17,700 (21,000) [3,300] 3,700 (5,700) [2,000] 6,200 (8,200) [2,000] 7,600 (9,400) [1,800] 8,400 (10,800) [2,400] Noble Ave 5,900 (7,100) [1,200] 5,400 (7,500) [2,100] Brookdale Dr 7,600 (9,400) [1,800] 7,800 (2,500) [-5,300] 7,800 (5,700) [-2,100] 7,100 (9,600) [2,500] 60,000 (74,000) [14,000] 4,550 (8,600) [4,050] 3,500 (7,000) [3,500] 23,900 (30,000) [6,100] 74th Ave Northland Dr 1,450 (1,800) [350] 73rd Ave 1,850 (3,600) [1,750] 5,200 (7,300) [2,100] 30,000 (34,000) [4,000] 4,950 (6,800) [1,850] Humboldt Ave 8,800 (12,200) [3,400] 12,100 (14,900) [2,800] Q:\Projects\10482\GIS\MXD\Brooklyn Park New Map _ all posted105.mxd 88,000 (96,000) [8,000] 5,300 (6,000) [700] 110,000 (127,000) [17,000] Boone Ave 10,200 (14,500) [4,300] 8,200 (8,600) [400] Modern Rd 2,550 (3,300) [750] 6,400 (8,800) [2,400] Winnetka Ave 1,700 (1,900) [200] 1,450 (1,700) [250] 6,900 (8,300) [1,400] 2,600 (4,600) [2,000] 8,000 (9,200) [1,200] 6,100 (8,000) [1,900] 30,000 (38,000) [8,000] 1,450 (2,800) [1,350] 7,600 (8,900) [1,300] 62nd Ave 28,000 (33,000) [5,000] 68th Ave N 770 (1,100) [330] 11,100 (16,300) [5,200] CSAH 81 5,600 (8,200) [2,600] 118,000 (137,000) [19,000] 8,700 (12,700) [4,000] 10,800 (14,300) [3,500] (14,200) 7,200 (8,200) [1,000] 69th Ave I 94 Year 2040 Daily Traffic Forecasts Brooklyn Park Comp Plan Forecasts City of Brooklyn Park