Preliminary Analysis of LED Enhanced Signs at a Passive Rural Level Crossing

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Preliminary Analysis of LED Enhanced Signs at a Passive Rural Level Crossing Adrian Hellman Systems Safety and Engineering Division August 6, 2014 Volpe The National Transportation Systems Center Advancing transportation innovation for the public good U.S. Department of Transportation Office of the Secretary of Transportation John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center 1

Introduction Research sponsored by the US DOT Federal Railroad Administration Office of Research and Development Research Objective: Measure the effect of flashing LED signs on motor vehicle speed profiles at a level crossing approach 2

Background Almost one-half of public level crossings in the US are passive Approximately 35%-40% of all incidents, injuries, and fatalities occur at these crossings However 90% of rail-highway traffic is found at active level crossings Public Level Crossing Incident and Casualty Statistics 2008-2012 Number of Crossings Incidents Injuries Fatalities Active 67,036 969 500 85 Passive 62,527 596 277 59 Totals 129,563 1,565 777 144 3

Level Crossing Incidents Passive Level Crossing Crash Mechanisms Why are drivers not stopping at passive level crossings when trains arrive? Would enhanced signage at these crossing reduce the number? 3000 2500 2000 Public Passive Level Crossing Crash Mechanisms 2008-2012 2647 1500 1000 913 500 0 422 Stopped and Proceeded Did not Stop Stopped on Crossing 113 Other 4

LED Sign Technology Study Research Objective: Measure the effect of flashing LED signs on motor vehicle speeds at a level crossing approach R15-1 W10-1 Location Criteria: Passive level crossing No STOP sign control No nearby highway intersection Approach: Before/After analysis Phase 1 - Baseline Phase 2 - LED Crossbuck Phase 3 - LED Crossbuck and Advance Warning 5

Study Location: Swanton, Vermont Lake Champlain Lakewood Drive Level Crossing Volpe Center Missisqoui National Wildlife Refuge NECR Swanton Subdivision 6

Distance from Xing (ft.) Level Crossing Vicinity Sign Crossbuck YIELD Advance Warning Northbound Approach 14.5 53.5 564 Southbound Approach 17 85.5 238 Aerial View of Crossing Locale Northbound Approach Prior to Sign Installation 7

Test Schedule Phase 1 (Baseline) Start Date End Date Total Days Novelty Period 6/24/2013 7/26/2013 33 Data Collection 7/27/2013 8/28/2013 33 Phase 2 (Crossbuck) Start Date End Date Total Days Novelty Period 8/29/2013 9/25/2013 28 Data Collection 9/26/2013 10/8/2013 13 Phase 3 (Crossbuck and AWS) Start Date End Date Total Days * Novelty Period 10/9/2013 10/15/2013 7 Data Collection 10/16/2013 10/28/2013 13 * Novelty period less than 4 weeks 8

FRA Mobile Driver Feedback Device MDFD Deployment 82.5 ft. North of Railroad Centerline 15 ft. from the Edge of Lakewood Drive View from Northbound Approach to Crossing FRA MDFD as Deployed 9

Detector Configuration Vehicle Speed Profiles of Northbound Traffic Were Measured 10

Sign Installation Crossbuck Signs Activated on 8/29/13 Advance Warning Signs Activated on 10/9/13 Views From Northbound Approach to Level Crossing 11

Results for LED Crossbuck Signs Detector Name Baseline (n=1486) and LED Crossubck (n=527) Comparison - Daytime Distance from Crossing (feet) Baseline Mean Speed (mph) LED XBuck Mean Speed (mph) x BL x CB t-value p-value Significant* Detector 1 202.5 31.45 31.92-0.47-1.596 > 0.10 NO Detector 2 137.5 28.45 28.87-0.42-1.390 > 0.15 NO Detector 3 72.5 25.42 25.32 0.10 0.285 > 0.40 NO Detector 4 12.5 23.05 22.64 0.41 1.202 > 0.20 NO *Significant at 95% Confidence Level Detector Name Baseline (n=282) and LED Crossbuck (n=132) Comparison - Nighttime Distance from Crossing (feet) Baseline Mean Speed (mph) Phase LED Xbuck Mean Speed (mph) x BL x CB t-value p-value Significant* Detector 1 202.5 32.97 30.02 2.95 3.651 < 0.001 YES Detector 2 137.5 30.55 27.46 3.09 4.003 < 0.001 YES Detector 3 72.5 27.56 24.24 3.32 4.242 < 0.001 YES Detector 4 12.5 24.92 22.03 2.89 3.786 < 0.001 YES *Significant at 95% Confidence Level 12

Rate of Mean Speed Decrease Across Detection Zone Daytime Nighttime Nighttime Steeper Rate of Decrease for Phases 2 and 3 13

Vehicle Class Speed Study Used to normalize for seasonal changes in the vehicle composition Baseline: 7/27/13 8/28/13 LED Crossbuck: 9/26/13-9/30/13 One Saturday, Sunday, and Monday were selected from each phase Class A (%) B (%) C (%) D (%) E (%) F (%) G (%) H (%) Baseline (n = 701) LED Crossbuck (n = 501) 90.73 6.42 0.57 0.57 0.29 0.14 1.14 0.14 89.22 8.38 0.80 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.20 A Light Vehicle B Light Vehicle with Trailer C Commercial Vehicle D Commercial Vehicle with Trailer E Bus F Recreational Vehicles G Motorcycles H Other 14

Challenges Changes to Experimental Conditions October 1, 2013 Swanton Highway Department Painted a Double Yellow Line on Lakewood Drive July 18, 2013 October 9, 2013 15

Significant Effect at Night of 2.13-2.79 MPH! 16

Major Findings A statistically significant decrease in mean vehicle speed of 1.5-2 mph was observed between Phases 1 and 2 nighttime data samples. Little change in mean vehicle speed was observed between the other data samples Phases 1 and 2 daytime (slight decrease in speed) Phases 1 and 3 daytime and nighttime (slight increase in speed during the day) There was a statistically significant increase in the number of vehicles moving < 12 mph within ~75 ft. of the level crossing Rate of mean vehicle speed decrease across detection zone increased for Phases 2 and 3 The addition of the highway centerline lane markings may have resulted in an increase in mean vehicle speeds. 17

Adrian Hellman Electronics Engineer US DOT OST-R Volpe Center Technical Center for Infrastructure Systems and Engineering Systems Safety and Engineering Division, RVT-62 55 Broadway, Kendall Square Cambridge, MA 02142 Office: 617-494-2171 Fax: 617-494-2596 Email: adrian.hellman@dot.gov 18