Technology Deep Dive: Self-Driving Cars: Senior Living Applications and Implications Sunday, Oct, 29, 2017, 11-11:55 a.m.
Michael Marcus, Principal, Consultants for Community Resources Tommy Hayes, Policy Partnerships Manager, Lyft Peter Kress, CIO, ACTS Retirement Living Moderator: Robyn Stone, Senior Vice President for Research, LeadingAge
Technology, Transportation, and Aging Technology Deep Dive: Shaping the New Health Care Ecosystem October 29, 2017 Autonomous Vehicles in the Aging Space Michael Marcus Consultants for Community Resources mmarcus@communityresources.guru (847) 571-1802 (916) 594-7368
Who s behind the wheel? In 2015 40 million older adult drivers (over 65) in the United States. Almost double the number the CDC recorded in its prior census of adult drivers in 1999. There are many more to come. The highest birth rate in history between 1950 and 2010.
Everyone of these folks is trying to get somewhere at sometime. 55 million Silent Generation (1927 to 1945) 74.9 million Boomers (1946 to 1964) 65 million Generation X (1965 to 1976) 75.4 million Millennials (1977 to 1995) By 2030 there will be roughly 72 million older adults (over 65) in the U.S.
The Aging Challenge in an Aging Society It is estimated that 15.5 million older Americans live in communities where public transportation is poor or non-existent. True in many mid-size (under 250,000) to large (over 1,000,000) metropolitan areas. Hamilton-Middletown, OH (100%) to Dallas (67%). Even in NYC 41% of those over 65 are unable to access reliable public transportation. This goes for the people that are serving many older adults including home care workers, CAN s, etc.
Convergence of Mobility Issues for Older Adults and People with Disabilities This has led to the emergence of a global focus on technology-related solutions, particularly the rapid development of electric-powered autonomous vehicles, both in automobiles and shuttle vehicles.
Work on Self-Driving Vehicles is not New The first sizable developments with AVs occurred in the 1990s. The AV industry is now evolving beyond purely military uses into public transit applications and private vehicle development. In 2009 Google began its own self-driving car project. By 2012, more than 300,000 self-driven miles had been logged in Google s AVs.
Today In 2016 Google spun off Waymo following a high-profile road test in 2015. Today, nearly every car manufacturer has begun development on their own autonomous vehicle technology including General Motors, Ford, Mercedes-Benz, Audi, Volvo, Toyota, and Tesla Motors, and major shuttle vehicle developers Transdev and Navya.
Transdev s 12 person accessible shuttle
What do we mean by Autonomous Vehicles There are six levels of autonomy: Level 0 -- No Automation Level 1 -- Driver Assistance The vehicle may perform one aspect of dynamic driving without the driver s assistance, but the driver must perform all other tasks (e.g. automatic braking). Level 2: Partial Automation The vehicle performs multiple aspects of dynamic driving, but the driver must perform all other tasks (e.g. adaptive cruise control with lane centering).
More Levels Level 3: Conditional autonomy. The vehicle performs all aspects of dynamic driving, but the driver must maintain situational awareness and be ready to take over driving tasks. Level 4: High Automation The vehicle performs all aspects of dynamic driving without driver input for some driving scenarios (e.g. interstate driving). However, a driver or operator may be required to be active under some driving scenarios. Level 5: Full Automation - The vehicle performs all aspects of dynamic driving under all road conditions. No driver is needed.
Communities planning to or now Testing AV s A few much covered testing sites including Pittsburgh, San Francisco and Anne Arbor, MI. A more limited trial is underway in Las Vegas, The Villages Golf and Country Club in California, in partnership with a Udacity spin-out Voyage, launched a test this year. Babcock Village in Florida will be part of the first autonomous independent-living electric AV network in the country. Built to be fully solar-powered from the community s own massive solar farm. Sacramento hopes to begin using an AV shuttle to transport fans to Sacramento Kings (NBA) games this year; and in neighboring West Sacramento the City is testing a system to run an AV shuttle along its waterfront picking up fans for its minor league Rivercats Baseball team.
What about safety? Earlier this year Securing America s Future Energy (SAFE) created the Commission on Autonomous Vehicle Testing and Safety. The Commission is a group of noted military, business, and safety experts whose findings showed that autonomous vehicles will significantly and immediately improve motor vehicle safety. The potential impact for older drivers would be significant. As of 2015 of the 40 million licensed age 65+ drivers in the United States, 5,700 were killed in automobile accidents and 236,000 required hospitalization. AV s are programmed to operate lawfully. 94% of all accidents are caused by human error autonomous vehicles will help reduce crashes.
Assuring the Public Despite widespread positive experiences with demonstration vehicles, most on closed tracks, the Commission report also notes that the public has expressed instinctive and reasonable safety concerns. 4 of the Commission s 7 major recommendations address issues of assuring public confidence and safety. Among those approaches being tested in Anne Arbor, are a safety conductor to monitor both the technology, and passenger behavior.
This is an early stage of Federal, state and local legislative oversight. Federal-level decisions are being made on the subject. On September 6, 2017 the House of Representatives passed the SELF DRIVE Act. The Senate followed one month later, introducing the AV START Act. The bills include language requiring AVs undergo a stringent process in which developers have to prove they are at least as safe as other vehicles. 21 states have passed specific legislation relating to self-driving cars. 5 governors have signed executive orders for autonomous vehicles.
What is to be done? 1. Begin a wide-ranging discussion in the aging network regarding autonomous vehicles. 2. Lobby Government to undertake discussions regarding licensure and insurance liability which will determine who can and cannot use an AV. Requiring a license for riders in Level 4 or 5 vehicles defeats the purpose. Insurance should not rest with the individual passenger, but rather with the operating agency.
A Few More Recommendations 6. We encourage government and other entities to develop pilot programs focused on independence and enhanced mobility. 7. We encourage private industry to design Level 4 vehicles with access in mind. 8. Manufacturers should work closely with a coalition of older adults, service providers, and representatives of the disability community. 9. Finally, we are looking forward to government and industry undertaking on-the-road testing of vehicles as soon as possible.
Thanks For All You Do! Michael Marcus Consultants for Community Resources mmarcus@communityresources.guru (847) 571-1802 (916) 594-7368
Seniors & Self-Driving Mobility Presentation for LeadingAge 10-29-17
Agenda About Lyft Elder Mobility Now Future Elder Mobility The company The app The mission Why transportation is crucial Safety Increasing ridesharing adoption Role of Self-driving Approach: Partnerships Timeline 22
About Lyft We are a peer-to-peer ridesharing network Founded in 2012 Available 350+ American communities across all 50 states Connecting over 8 million rides / week 23
How Lyft Works Request a ride at the touch of a button Upfront pricing No cash required Tip your driver in the app 55% more affordable than a taxi 24
Improve People s Lives with The World s Best Transportation 25
Transportation Especially Crucial for Older Adults Without access to transportation, high risks of poor health outcomes, food insecurity, and social isolation. Studies show that Americans 65+ who no longer drive make*: 15% fewer trips to the doctor 59% fewer trips to shop and eat out 65% fewer trips to visit friends and family *Source: AARP 26
Road safety Older adults may lose ability to drive safely due to age-related declines in vision, cognitive functioning, and physical changes. In 2014*: 5,700 seniors were killed in vehicle crashes 236,000 seniors were injured in vehicle crashes *Source: National Highway Traffic Safety Association 27
Older adults increasingly use ridesharing On their own: Nearly a million Lyft passengers are 55+ From relatives and friends: 12% of Lyft passengers say they order rides for elderly friends or family* Senior living and healthcare partners Lyft partners with leading providers of senior living and healthcare using our Concierge tool *Source: Lyft Economic Impact Survey
Why the Self-Driving Future? Safe Eliminate the 94% of fatal crashes (40,000 in 2016) involving human error Efficient Cities are built around cars, which are currently parked 96% of the time Accessible Equalize transportation across ages and abilities Affordable Transportation as a service, not ownership 29
Lyft s current partners Ford, General Motors, Waymo (Google), nutonomy, Drive.ai, Jaguar/Land Rover 30
Timeline 31
Shameless Story 32
Thank you Tommy Hayes tommy@lyft.com
Autonomous Mobility A Provider Perspective Peter Kress Senior Vice President & CIO Acts Retirement-Life Communities, Inc.
The Aging Service Consumer
The Aging Services Workforce
Campus Design
Affordability
The Distributed Campus
Experiences in Transit
Questions & Moderated Discussion
For more about CAST s other Sessions and Events: http://www.leadingage.org/cast/ register-cast s-technologytrack-leadingage-annualmeeting
Thank You!