Use of Big Data for Vehicle Kilometres. Noreen Dorgan CSO Ireland April 2018

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Use of Big Data for Vehicle Kilometres Noreen Dorgan CSO Ireland April 2018

Using Administrative Data to estimate Vehicle kms for the national vehicle fleet Voluntary Data Collection agreed at 2007 EU Transport Co-ordination meeting Drivers - Why data on Vehicle kilometres travelled is needed? Transport Policy and Planning Fuel Consumption Emissions from Road Transport Road Safety Policy Eurostat objective harmonised data collection across the EU

Methods used for calculation of VKms described in UNECE Handbook Main Methods used internationally for calculation of VKms Traffic Counts automatic and manual Household Surveys Fuel Consumption Odometer Readings (Method adopted by Ireland) Method adopted by Ireland - Odometer Readings Reading taken at vehicle inspection These readings provide the distance travelled by a tested vehicle in a specific period which is converted into kilometres travelled

Estimation methodology based on Vehicle monthly population totals - NVDF Odometer data NCT, HGV, LGV Traffic counter data - TII Assumptions New private cars Motorcycles Machines and contrivances

Commercial Vehicle Test (CVT) Data Traffic Count data National Car Testing (NCT) Data National Vehicle File (Dept. of Transport) Motorcycle UK report Average Vehicle Kilometres by: * Vehicle type * Fuel type * Vehicle size * Gender of owner * County of owner * Age of vehicle * Engine size

CSO Vehicle kilometres Number of vehicles from NVDF for reference year. Calcluation of VKM Odometer readings from NCT and CVRT (National Car Test and Commercial Vehicle Roadworthiness Testing Services). Distance travelled easily seen in odometer readings. Private cars over 4 years old NCT every 2 years. Goods vehicles and public service vehicle annual data available. Distance is distributed across intervening months weighted according to traffic index (traffic counter data collected by TII) Once kilometres of sample vehicles available, then apply to fleet which is divided into motor taxation classes, fuel types, engine sizes etc. The VK travelled by the sample is taken as a representative of the whole. No. of vehicles in the estimate are based on continuous activity throughout the reference year. If a vehicle only active for 6 months, then it gets a population weight of 0.5 etc.

CSO Vehicle kilometres Issues with calcluation of VKM Kilometres by Irish vehicles in other countries are included Kilometres by Foreign vehicles on Irish roads are outside the scope of the survey Vehicle kilometre estimates and average kilometre estimates for motor cycles, tractors and machinery are unreliable (minimal odometer data is available for these categories of vehicles) Vehicle kilometre estimates and average kilometre estimates for private cars less than four years old are based on the extrapolated trends of older private cars Eurostat want data by age by fuel and by type. For 0-2 and 2-4 year old cars (assumptions made) Fuel types electric/hybrid are insignificant at present. Data by vehicle by age by these fuel types insignificant at the moment.

Eurostat Questionnaire: Vehicle Type Passenger cars Mini buses, Buses and coaches Goods vehicles (<=3.5t, 3.5-12t, 12+t) Mopeds, motorcycles etc. Tractors, special purpose vehicles Age Groups 0-2yrs, 2-4yrs, 4-6yrs, 6-8yrs, 8-10yrs, 10-15yrs, 15-20yrs, 20+yrs Fuel Type Petrol, Diesel, Bi-Fuel Petrol/LPG or CNG, Electric

50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 Road Traffic Volumes 2005-2016 Private cars Goods vehicles Motorcycles Tractors and machinery Small PSVs Large PSVs 10,000 5,000,0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Exempt vehicles Other vehicles

Table 5.1 Road traffic volumes of national fleet by vehicle type, 2014-2016 Year Private cars Goods vehicles Motorcycles Tractors and machinery Small PSVs Vehicle population 1 Large PSVs Exempt vehicles Other vehicles 2014 1,950,080 316,687 36,429 95,593 22,890 8,637 26,211 64,906 2,521,433 2015 1,992,819 326,277 36,755 92,367 22,428 9,019 27,019 67,278 2,573,961 2016 2,038,268 338,431 37,461 89,237 21,935 9,539 27,742 68,479 2,631,093 Vehicle kilometres (million) 2014 31,457 6,999 103 1,647 867 375 463 536 42,447 2015 34,609 7,290 102 1,598 891 396 491 573 45,950 2016 36,689 7,750 104 1,577 886 437 500 576 48,519 Average vehicle kilometres 2014 16,131 22,100 2,835 17,228 37,874 43,446 17,677 8,254 16,834 2015 17,367 22,344 2,774 17,298 39,740 43,921 18,165 8,518 17,852 2016 18,000 22,899 2,769 17,677 40,409 45,864 18,009 8,407 18,441 Source: CSO 1 Vehicle population represents annual average for each year Total

Eurostat project on VKMs To obtain reliable statistics on vehicle-kilometres for the monitoring of EU transport policies. The data available now is from Pilot Questionnaire attached to Common Questionnaire. Future data source- odometer reading data ( data recorded during compulsory roadworthiness tests, Roadworthiness Package,- Directive 2014/45/EU) Eurostat will continue to publish road traffic data collected through the Pilot questionnaire but not yet the data based on odometer readings collected on a voluntary basis (the MSs which responded to the questionnaire in 2015 and MSs that obtained grants in 2016 and 2017)

Current tables on the CSO StatBank THA10 Road Traffic Volumes by Type of Vehicle, Year and Statistic gives annual figures on number of vehicles, kilometres travelled, average kilometre travelled by all types of vehicles from 2000 to date - http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/statire/selectvarval/define.asp?maintable=tha10&planguage=0 THA17 Road Traffic Volumes by County of Ownership, Year of Registration, Type of Vehicle, Year, Statistic and Fuel Type previously THA12 http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/statire/selectvarval/define.asp?maintable=tha17&planguage=0 THA18 Road Traffic Volumes of Private Cars by Type of Ownership, Engine Capacity cc, County of Ownership, Year of Registration, Year, Statistic and Fuel Type previously THA13 http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/statire/selectvarval/define.asp?maintable=tha18&planguage=0 THA19 Road Traffic Volumes of Goods Vehicles by County of Ownership, Unladen Weight, Year of Registration, Year and Statistic previously THA14 http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/statire/selectvarval/define.asp?maintable=tha19&planguage=0 THA20 Road Traffic Volumes of Small Public Service Vehicles by Type of Public Service Vehicles, Engine Capacity cc, Year of Registration, Type of Ownership, Year, Statistic and Fuel Type previously THA15 http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/statire/selectvarval/define.asp?maintable=tha20&planguage=0

Current tables in Eurobase

Thank you for your attention