Towards a new Electricity Market of Ukraine: legislative, organizational, financial and technological basis for implementation

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Towards a new Electricity Market of Ukraine: legislative, organizational, financial and technological basis for implementation Stanislav Masevyh, World Bank electricity market specialist at the Ministry of energy and coal industry of Ukraine 2 March, 2017

Preconditions of electricity market reform in Ukraine I. INEFFICIENT WORK OF EXISTING SINGLE BUYER MODEL: Cross-subsidies from industry to population; Lack of competition on wholesale and retail markets; Big debts in the whole chain at the market (generation- SC Energorynok - oblenergos consumers) Absence incentives to invest in networks and generation; Problems with justification of last regulatory decisions in the electricity sector. II. INTERNATIONAL OBLIGATIONS IN FRONT OF THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION AND EUROPEAN ENERGY COMMUNITY: Obligations to fully implement requirements of EUThird Energy Package. III. STRATEGIC ECONOMIC REASONS FOR UKRAINE TO FOLLOW THE MODERN AND EFFECTIVE ELECTRICITY MARKET MODEL: Most EU states use the classic liberalized electricity market design with stock exchange, bilateral contracts, balancing and ancillary services markets; In EU only Greece is still using the single buyer model.

Brief overview of problems in the existing electricity market of Ukraine (1/1) KEY REGULATORY DECISIONS ON THE UKRAINE ELECTRICITY MARKET FOR 2017 - The Ministry of energy and coal industry of Ukraine approved the forecasting electricity balance of UES of Ukraine for 2017 with consumption increase level 1,3% in 2017 comparing to 2016; - The amount of dotation certificates on January 2017 is 4 609,6 million UAH (without VAT); - The Wholesale Electricity Price for 2017 approved in the amount: I quarter 1 341,57 UAH/MWh (without VAT), decreased in 10% comparing to IV quarter 2016; II, III, IV quarters 1 263,76 UAH/MWh (without VAT), decreased in 5,8%; - The Budget of SC Energorynok decreased in 41,5%; - The average annual tariff of NEC Ukrenergo for 2017 decreased from 6,316 kop/kwh to 6,054 kop/kwh (decreased in 4,2%); - The tariff for SC Energoatom for 2017 decreased in 8.9% (from 51,2 kop/kwh to 46,6 kop/kwh); - The tariff for SC Ukrhidroenergo for 2017 decreased in 21,7% (from 85 kop/kwh to 66 kop/kwh);

Brief overview of problems in the existing electricity market of Ukraine (1/2) DEBTS DYNAMICS ON ELECTRICITY MARKET OF UKRAINE FOR 12М 2016* Debts of consumers Debts of suppliers Debts of SC Energorynok Debts increase for 12 m: 5,7 billion UAH Debts increase for 12 m: 3,3 billion UAH Debts increase for 12 m: 3,6 billion UAH Debts of consumers on 01.01.17 26,9 billion UAH** Debts of suppliers on 01.01.17 29,8 billion UAH Debts of SC Energorynok on 01.01.17 28,7 billion UAH Coal industry 9,5 2,2 REN 8,3 1,6 NPP 10,9 1,2 Water service companies 4,4 1,2 5,6 Donetskoblener go 5,5 0,1 5,6 TPP 7,2 1,5 8,6 Population 3,4 1,1 4,4 LEO 2,8 0,0 2,8 CHPP 4,1 0,3 4,4 Housing utilities 1,4 0,3 1,8 Energovugilla 1,4 0,8 2,2 NEC Ukrenergo 1,3 0,3 1,6 Chemistry industry 0,7 1,1 1,8 Luganskoblener go 1,6 0,0 1,6 HPP 0,6 0,2 0,9 Other industry Zaporizhaoblene 1,3-1,0 0,3 1,6-0,4 rgo 1,2 RES 0,7-0,1 0,6 Budget 0,5 0,7 1,3 Production tubing 0,7 1,4 2,1 Duty 0,3 0,2 0,5 Agriculture 0,1 0,1 beginning of 2016 Increase for 12m 2016 Other 4,7 Other 0,04 **-without advance payment *Source: All-Ukrainian Energy Assembly

Brief overview of problems in the existing electricity market of Ukraine (1/3) ELECTRICITY GENERATION PRICES FOR 12М 2016р* *All-Ukrainian Energy Association Biomas PP HPP ("green tariff") Prices in 2016, UAH/MWh NPP 472 Solar PP HPP 696 TPP 1 242 CHPP 1 527 Wind PP 859 + 171 UAH/Wh to 2015 Average generation price 3 326 3 514 3 633 8 299 Electricity outputs 2016, mln. KWh NPP HPP TPP CHPP Wind PP Biomas PP HPP ("green tariff') Solar PP 924 1% 169 0,1% 189 0,1% 492 8 550 6% 9 911 7% 0,3% 141 301-2 761 mln KWh to 2015 Amount of electricity outputs 44 904 32% 76 162 54% 6

Brief overview of problems in the existing electricity market of Ukraine (1/4) STRUCTURE OF TARIFF FOR THERMAL GENERATION 2016* Average TPP tariff during 2016 was: 124,2 kop./kwh, that is in 41% more than in 2015 Structure of TPP tariff during 2016, kop./kwh (calculated) Marginal system price 74,9 Dynamic of TPP tariff during 2016, kop./kwh I Tarff for 2015 180,2 Tariff for 2016 169,7 167,0 For operating power 32,0 93,6 93,0 106,2 119,8 107,9 99,2 105,6 126,4 116,5 For balancing 13,2 86 74 79 85 77 86 92 97 97 97 91 98 *Source: All-Ukrainian Energy Assembly For unit running For imbalances For reconstruction All income For loans Another payments 2,3 1,3 4,1 2,0 1,7 127,8 3,9 143,4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June TPP tariff and payment, 12 months 2016 Good, billion UAH Tariff, kop./kwh 10,6 13,9 DTEK 16,1 119,5 119,1 120,2 July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 11,3 136,8 TPP Tariff comparison 2015-2016, kop./kwh +36,2 +41% 124,2 88,0 Total 124,2 Donbass Center Dnipro West East 2015 2016 7

New electricity market law of Ukraine No. 4493: the current status and key features Current status The draft law was voted at the first reading at the Parliament of Ukraine on September 22, 2016; The draft law is under finalization and will be ready soon to be submitted for support at the Energy Committee and then, to the Parliament of Ukraine; The draft law is supported in its adoption by the international stakeholders: EU Commission, European Energy Community, World Bank, EBRD, USAID and others. Key features Implements EU Third Energy Package; Involves many incentives for investments in generation and networks; Provides gradual movement from the current single buyer model to the new liberalized electricity market model of Ukraine Prescribes conditions for competition in retail level though unbundling of exisiting oblenergos Sets up preconditions for further full synchronization with ENTSO-E

The electricity market of Ukraine after adoption of the draft Law of Ukraine On electricity market Existing Single Buyer model will be functioning till the start of operation of the new electricity market of Ukraine (till 01.07.2019) The key preparation steps during 2 years after adoption of the Law: Adoption by the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine the Plan for implementation of electricity market reform based on the new Law On electricity market ; Adoption of the law on settlement of debts at the existing electricity market of Ukraine and exercising based on this the relevant settlement; Adoption of resolution by NEURC on gradual liquidation of cross-subsidies for population and dotation certificates and its implementation; Adoption of secondary legislation for the new electricity market; Unbundling of existing oblenergos and setting up distribution system operators and suppliers; Buying new software for NEC Ukrenergo (balancing and ancillary services markets) and SC Energorynok (day-ahead and intraday markets); Corporatization and certification of NEC Ukrenergo, reorganization of SC Energorynok into state enterprises Market Operator and Guaranteed Buyer.

Functioning of the new electricity market of Ukraine during transitional period (01.07.2019 01.07.2020) under the draft Law of Ukraine On electricity market Traders Import Distribution System Operators Combined heat and power plants RES (under green tariff ) Nuclear power plants Hydro power plants Thermal power plants Guaranteed Buyer DAY-AHEAD MARKET AND INTRADAY MARKET (administrated by Market Operator) BILATERAL CONTRACT MARKET BALANCING MARKET AND ANCILLARY SERVICES MARKET (administrated by TSO) CONSUMERS Suppliers: Suppliers Suppliers of universal service Suppliers of last resort During transitional period, the compensation for buying electricity under green tariff (difference between green tariff and price at Day-Ahead Market) is exercised by Nuclear Generation Company through the mechanism of buying service for support RES from Guaranteed Buyer

Functioning of the new electricity market of Ukraine after transitional period (after 01.07.2020) under the draft Law of Ukraine On electricity market Traders Import Distribution System Operators Combined heat and power plants RES (under green tariff ) Nuclear power plants Hydro power plants Thermal power plants Guaranteed Buyer DAY-AHEAD MARKET AND INTRADAY MARKET (administrated by Market Operator) BILATERAL CONTRACT MARKET BALANCING MARKET AND ANCILLARY SERVICES MARKET (administrated by TSO) CONSUMERS Suppliers: Suppliers Suppliers of universal service Suppliers of last resort TSO TSO by transmission tariff compensate for Guaranteed Buyer purchase of electricity under the green tariff

List of necessary measures for implementation of the draft Law of Ukraine On electricity market Legislative measures Organizational measures Technological measures Financial measures Adoption of the Law On electricity market ; Adoption of Market Rules, Dayahead and Intraday Market Rules; Adoption of Transmission Network Code and Distribution Network Code; Adoption of Retail market Rules and regulations for unbundling of oblenergos; Adoption of Certification Procedure for TSO; Adoption of typical agreements at the electricity market; Needed amendments to the existing legislation. Launching activity of the Coordination Centre on electricity market reform at CMU, together with creation the operational Project Office on electricity market reform; Corporatization of NEC Ukrenergo and exercising certification procedure; Reorganization of SC Energorynok and setting up separate legal entities market operator and guaranteed buyer; Unbundling of oblenergos by dividing distribution activity from supply. Ensuring development and implementation of software needed for the new segments of electricity market of Ukraine; Exercising electricity market functioning in the test regime. Adoption of the law on cancellation of debts at the existing electricity market of Ukraine; Preparation and adoption of the mechanism on settlement of debts of consumers with ecological protection; Gradual liquidation of crosssubsidies for population and dotation certificates.

Legislative readiness for implementation of the draft Law of Ukraine On electricity market The work on drafting the secondary legislation for the new electricity market of Ukraine has been started based on the Action Plan on electricity market reform approved by NEURC on 29.10.2015. As of March 1, 2017: The Concept design of the new electricity market of Ukraine was approved by NEURC on 03.04.2016; The draft of key secondary acts are under finalization (including Market Rules, Day-Ahead Market Rules, Transmission Network Code, Distribution Network Code, Commercial Metering Code, Retail Market Rules, Certification Procedure for TSO, Compliance Program for DSO, Licensing conditions for all market players); Other part of secondary acts are under development with support of EU Commission, European Energy Community, World Bank (including Rules for Guaranteed Buyer, Security of Electricity Supply Rules, Procedure of support for CHPPs, Procedure for selection of universal service supplier, Procedure for selection of supplier of last resort, Procedure for imposing of public service obligations, Procedure for tendering of new generating capacity, Compliance Program for TSO).

Organizational readiness for implementation of the draft Law of Ukraine On electricity market There is the valid Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine dated 23.09.2014 (with last amendments from 05.08.2015) on creation of Coordination Centre on launching the new electricity market of Ukraine The Coordination Centre is chaired by the Prime-Minister of Ukraine, and consists of heads from all state beneficiaries: Ministry of energy and coal industry, NEURC, The Energy Committee at the Parliament, Ministry of economic development, Ministry of regional development, Ministry of finance, State Agency on energy efficiency, State Fiscal Agency, NEC Ukrenergo, SC Energorynok. The Coordination Centre is the advisory body at the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine with the following key functions: - coordination of work of state bodies, state organizations and commercial entities on launching the new electricity market of Ukraine; - Preparation of proposals and recommendations for measures related to launching the new electricity market of Ukraine; - Control over fulfilment of measures related to launching the new electricity market of Ukraine; As of this time, there is under active discussion creation of the Project Office on electricity market reform as the work place which will prepare all work basis for the Coordination Centre.

Technological readiness for implementation of the draft Law of Ukraine On electricity market As of March 1, 2017, the draft tender documentation of NEC Ukrenergo for buying of software for balancing market and ancillary services market has been prepared and totally correlates with principles and rules of organization and functioning of balancing and ancillary services markets prescribed by the draft Law On electricity market and Concept design of the new electricity market of Ukraine; As of March 1, 2017, the technical task for preparation of feasibility study on day-ahead and intraday markets has been prepared by SC Energorynok in line with the provisions of the draft Law On electricity market and Concept design of the new electricity market of Ukraine. In feasibility study it shall be further developed the full technical and economical assessment of possible ways of buying and exploitation of software for day-ahead and intraday markets a) development our own IT platform or b) outsource of existing IT platform (for example, Nord Pool Spot, EPEX).

Financial readiness for implementation of the draft Law of Ukraine On electricity market The NEURC shall exercise appropriate economic assessment and adopt the resolution on retail tariffs till 01.07.2017 where: a) the retail tariffs shall reach the economically-justified prices for electricity, and b) the cross-subsidies between different categories will be terminated. Such decision is under discussion at NEURC. The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine shall during 12 months after adoption of the draft Law On electricity market submit the draft law on settlement of debts on the existing electricity market of Ukraine. Such draft law was prepared by NEURC together with SC Energorynok. The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine shall prepare and adopt the mechanism on settlement of existing debts of consumers with ecological protection (coal plants, heat water plants, chemistry plants and etc.). Such mechanism is under discussion.

THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION! Stanislav Masevych World Bank electricity market specialist at the Ministry of energy and coal industry of Ukraine