The Future of Die Casting Buehler Networking Days, April 2018 Lothar Schneider I April 25th, 2018
Which changes happen to our society? Science Health Gender Shift Silver Society Globalization New Mobility Security Avatar Urbanization Neo-Oecology New Work Env. AI/ Connectivity Quelle: Zukunftsinstitut GmbH 2
Which changes happen to our society? In such a rapidly changing world..., is there still space for a die caster? Quelle: Zukunftsinstitut GmbH 3
Plan for the future because that s where are you going to spend the rest of your life Mark Twain http://az616578.vo.msecnd.net/files/2016/01/01/635872216106950472-1324437628_past.jpg Quelle: Zukunftsinstitut GmbH 4
Agenda 1 2 3 4 Who we are Our main market: The car industry Opportunities for the aluminum casting industry Summary 6
The China Future April of 2018 Die Casting - Buehler Networking Days Rheinmetall Automotive Brands Business Units Bearings Actuators Aftermarket Business Castings Large Bore Pistons Small Bore Pistons Automotive Emission Systems Commercial Diesel Systems Pump Technology Solenoid Valves 7
Agenda 1 2 3 4 Who we are Our main market: The car industry Opportunities for the aluminum casting industry Summary 8
Production of light vehicles worldwide [in Mio.] 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2010 109,71 3,84 94,81 3,56 0,77 28,62 71,28 60,93 19,20 16,32 2017e 2020e 2025e Light Vehicles market continues to grow. ICE looses market share, but in total quantities will grow furtheron until year 2025. Pure Electric Hybrid Otto Diesel Quelle: IHS Automotive (April 2017) 9
Production of battery driven vehicles worldwide [in Mio.] 4 3,84 3 2 1 0,77 BEV with significant growth! Alert for ICE related companies. 0 2010 Rein Elektrisch 2017e 2020e 2025e Quelle: IHS Automotive (April 2017) 10
CO 2 New and stricter legislation! Reduction of CO 2 Emissions is a target of all major countries 2021 95 gco 2 /km 2025 68-78 gco 2 /km [ ] Quelle: ICCT 11
Agenda 1 2 3 4 Who we are Our main market: The car industry Opportunities for the aluminum casting industry Summary 12
What requests the market? 13
Internal combustion engine (ICE)/ Engine block 2005: more than 25 LPDC machines in use for production of 500,000 engine blocks per year (low pressure) 2017: more than 25 HPDC machines in use for production of 6,000,000 engine blocks per year (high pressure) 14
Body applications Example Audi A8 (2017) Multimaterial Audi Space Frame Hybrid-Structure out of steel, aluminum, magnesium and growing share of aluminum components 15
Structural body parts/ Components Made out of one part/ casting, no more additional complexity Substitution of complex multilayer designs High pressure die casting for achieving cost advantages competitve Weight: 5,7 kg Weight: 2,8 kg Weight: 4,0 kg 16
Chassis parts Highly complex components: Made in one casting (LPDC) no more steel assemblies Up to 50% weight savings compared to ealier designs Corrosion resistant alloys Highest design flexibility Weight: 18,5 kg Weight: 3,6 kg 17
E-Motor housings Highly Complex Castings in LPDC, strong trend towards HPDC visible Highly complex castings in LPDC, strong trend towards HPDC visible 18
Battery package High pressure die casting Clamping forces of 4000T and higher Integrated cooling 19
Castings in a heat exchanger pump Quelle: WIRED; 07.04.2017 20
Agenda 1 2 3 4 Who we are Our main market: The car industry Opportunities for the aluminum casting industry Summary 21
Summary The trend towards light weight cars in order to reduce the CO 2 emissions offer additional business potential for aluminum castings suppliers. Body and Chassis applications offer significant growth potential for the casting industry, substituting welded and assembled steel constructions. E-mobilty is not a thread for the casting industry, it is just another opportunity for additional growth. 22
Plan for the future because that s where are you going to spend the rest of your life Forecasting is very difficult, especially for the future... Mark Twain. http://az616578.vo.msecnd.net/files/2016/01/01/635872216106950472-1324437628_past.jpg Quelle: Zukunftsinstitut GmbH 23
Thanks for listening! Quelle Basisfahrzeug: FIAT Mio 24
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Disclaimer 26