Promoting Electric Mobility in Low and Middle Income Countries David Rubia Programme Officer, Transport Unit, UN Environment 17 th IUAPPA World Clean Air Congress & 9th CAA Better Air Quality Conference Enabling and Scaling-Up Electro-mobility Session Busan, South Korea September 1, 2016
The transport sector accounts for at least 22% of all global energy related CO2 emissions (ICCT) Source: ICCT
Light duty vehicles contribute majority of transport emissions and are set to more than double from today to 2050 (IEA). Predicted Growth of Light Duty Vehicles 1975-2050 (in 1000s)
Electric cars in the vehicle stock (millions) To meet 2 scenario, 20% of all road vehicles must be electric-powered by 2030 (IEA). 140 million 160 140 120 100 Historical IEA 2DS Paris Declaration 80 60 40 20 1.26 million 13 million 20 million 100 million 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 IEA 4DS EVI 2020 target Cumulative country targets Projections indicate that a MAJOR disruption is needed to increase electric mobility uptake
UNEP is supporting developing & transitional countries to introduce electric mobility city/national/global work in 4 streams: (A) Introducing electric 2&3 wheelers (B) Introducing electric buses (C) Developing national policies for electric cars (D) Global Outreach
ICE 2&3 wheelers are a great gateway intervention
(A) Integrating Electric 2&3 Wheelers into Existing Urban Transport Modes in Developing and Transitional Countries Project Overview: In development 4 year project (~Jan 2017 Dec 2020) 6 country projects in Southeast Asia (Philippines, Viet Nam, Thailand) and Eastern Africa (Kenya, Uganda and Ethiopia) Planning and project baseline setting Piloting and policy development Knowledge management, outreach and replication
(A) Integrating Electric 2&3 Wheelers into Existing Urban Transport Modes in Developing and Transitional Countries Planning and project baseline setting: Characterization of 2&3 wheeler fleets Review of national electricity generation mix of renewables, current consumption and projected capacity demand with and without electric 2&3 wheelers, emissions Evaluation of local manufacturing potential 2&3 wheelers as well as their components, capacity issues, incentives Assessment of barriers Infrastructure Access to financing Policy review
(A) Integrating Electric 2&3 Wheelers into Existing Urban Transport Modes in Developing and Transitional Countries Piloting and policy development : Facilitate city/national working groups Conduct relevant technical studies fleets and policy piloting Fleet deployments (council services, mail delivery, private sector captured fleets) Exclusion zones, parking waivers for electric 2&3 wheelers, integration into NMT facilities Support policy development
(A) Integrating Electric 2&3 Wheelers into Existing Urban Transport Modes in Developing and Transitional Countries Knowledge management, outreach and replication: Develop knowledge management & comms framework Electric mobility global studies Road safety, NMT integration, best practices etc. Develop capacity building and training tools Expert training, regional replication workshops Awareness raising
Project Overview: (B) Introducing Electric Buses Funded by CCAC, co-implemented with ICCT Support soot-free technologies in 20 major cities Asia, LAC & Africa, with targeted support to 6 UNEP lead in: Nairobi, Accra, Lima and Santiago Activity 1 - Secure and implement clean bus commitments in Activity 2 Establish clean bus industry partnership Activity 3 - Report on outcomes
(C) Supporting the development of national policies for electric cars (LDVs) Doubling the efficiency of the global fleet by 2050 2005 2008 2011 2013 2030 OECD average Non- OECD average Global average average fuel economy (Lge/100km) 8.6 7.9 7.3 6.9 annual improvement rate (% per year) -2.7% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% average fuel economy (Lge/100km) 7.3 7.4 7.3 7.2 annual improvement rate (% per year) 0.5% -0.4% -0.9% -0.2% average fuel economy (Lge/100km) 8.3 7.7 7.3 7.1 annual improvement rate (% per year) -2.3% -1.9% -1.8% -2.0% GFEI target average fuel economy (Lge/100km) required annual improvement rate (% per year) 2005 base year 2014 base year 8.3 4.2-2.7% -3.1%
2009-2015 Countries 1 Chile GEF + EU 2 Ethiopia GEF + EU 3 Indonesia GEF + EU 4 Kenya GEF + EU 5 Georgia - EU 6 Ivory Coast GEF + EU 7 Mauritius GEF + EU 8 Jamaica GEF 9 Montenegro GEF + EU 10 Macedonia GEF + EU 11 Costa Rica US 12 Vietnam EU 13 Morocco EU 14 Bahrain EU 15 Tunisia EU 16 Thailand EU 17 Peru EU 18 Russia EU 19 Benin EU 20 Algeria EU 21 Uruguay EU 22 Nepal EU 23 Paraguay EU 24 Sri Lanka EU 25 Philippines EU 26 Uganda EU 27 Egypt EU +FIA Foundation New countries by end 2016 28 Panama FIA F 29 Malaysia EU 30 Bangladesh EU 31 Kazakhstan EU 32 Mali EU 33 Nigeria EU 34 Togo EU 35 Tanzania EU 36 Rwanda EU 37 Bolivia EU 38 Argentina EU 39 Ecuador EU 40 Ukraine EU 41 Jordan EU 42 Colombia FIA Foundation 43 Djibouti FIA Foundation 44 Dominican Rep. FIA Foundation 45 Guatemala FIA Foundation 46 Moldova FIA Foundation 47 Belize FIA Foundation 48 St. Lucia GEF 49 Iran FIA Foundation 50 Zambia FIA Foundation 51 Ghana FIA Foundation 52 Malawi FIA Foundation 53 Zimbabwe FIA Foundation 54 Honduras FIA Foundation 55 Nicaragua FIA Foundation 56 El Salvador FIA Foundation 57 Botswana FIA Foundation 58 Mozambique FIA Foundation 59 Myanmar FIA Foundation 60 Liberia FIA Foundation 33 new country projects, 7 follow-up country projects, regional work ECOWAS, ASEAN
(C) Supporting the development of national policies for electric light duty vehicles EV national commitments Support devt. of fiscal policies for EV s EV data collection to track emissions for MRV
(D) Global outreach Urban Electric Mobility Initiative IEA Electric Vehicles Initiative Paris Declaration on Electro- Mobility and Climate Change & Call to Action INDCs, COP, SDGs The International Zero-Emission Vehicle Alliance UN Environment, GIZ, World Bank, etc.
Thank You! david.rubia@unep.org