Matthew Richwine Derek Stenclik GE Energy Consulting Schenectady, NY USA CIGRE Grid of the Future Symposium Cleveland, OH October 24, 2017

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Analysis of Grid trength for Inverter- Based Generation Resources on Oahu Matthew Richwine Derek tenclik chenectady, NY UA CIGRE Grid of the Future ymposium Cleveland, OH October 24, 2017

What is Grid trength? Grid strength is like a stiffness of a power system It is specifically for voltage (not frequency) Unlike frequency stability, location matters trong Grid

What is Grid trength? Grid strength is like a stiffness of a power system It is specifically for voltage (not frequency) Unlike frequency stability, location matters trong Grid Weak Grid

What is Grid trength? Grid strength is like a stiffness of a power system It is specifically for voltage (not frequency) Unlike frequency stability, location matters In a strong grid, bus voltages do not change much when the system is whacked by a disturbance like a fault In a weak grid, bus voltages change a lot during disturbances like faults trong Grid Weak Grid Impending Fault

What Contributes to Grid trength? ynchronous machines (generators, condensers) And what does not? Most of today s power electronicbased generation (PV, Wind, HVDC) Battery storage Loads

Weighted hort Circuit Ratio (WCR) What: This is a method developed by ERCOT* in 2014 for evaluating the collective grid strength of the CREZ (Western Texas) region, which is considered a weak grid region due to the high penetration of utility-scale wind turbines It was benchmarked by EMT simulations to set a threshold of 1.5 for West Texas. This number is specific to the network, amount, and type of power electronic equipment (controls) installed. Application to Oahu: The approach has been applied to the Oahu system, but the threshold cannot be applied as this is specific to the network & equipment. It is an indicator of stability for an aggregated region of the grid that is suitable for looking at the whole grid hour-by-hour, but not bus-by-bus (We have another method for that). *Panhandle Renewable Energy Zone tudy Report, Prepared by ERCOT ystem Planning, April 2014 http://www.ercot.com/content/news/presentations/2014/panhandle%20renewable%20energy%20zone%20tudy%20report.pdf

What s Happening in Hawaii Hawaii s Renewable Portfolio tandard 30% by 2020 40% by 2030 70% by 2040 100% by 2045 Rapid Growth of Distributed PV 5x growth in 5-years >30% of single family homes Oahu Only Hawaii is at a nexus for renewable energy development, the industry is moving quickly Highlighting a need for technical independent engineering and economic studies

New Methodology & Analytical Process Production Cost imulations (GE MAP) electing ystem Dispatch Conditions hort-circuit Calculations (GE PLF) Estimating WCR Over a Year Production Cost Modeling Economic dispatch of all generation over entire year Includes detailed model of generators, operating rules, load and fuel price forecasts hort-circuit trength Analysis imulations used to determine the WCR of the grid given a dispatch condition tatistical Analysis Novel approach to estimating stability across a full year of operations Tight coupling of economic models with stability models

Introducing the Power Electronic Ratio P. E. R. = Power Electronic MVA Total Online Capacity MVA Measures the amount of nonsynchronous generation online If the unit is online, the full unit capacity (MVA) is counted towards the Power Electronic Ratio Dispatch and load (MW) do not factor into the equation Does NOT equal instantaneous wind and solar penetration of load Assumes a power factor rating of 0.95 for wind and solar units 21 July 2016

Map Power Electronic Ratio to WCR Nighttime Hours, No PV 21 July 2016

Estimating WCR across the year WCR Histograms (All Hours) ee insert to right WCR Histograms (Daytime Hours) 21 July 2016

Grid trength Evaluation by Bus Location Matters! Amount of synchronous generation Amount of power electronic equipment Amount of transmission network connectivity The most affected buses are those with a combination of the lowest CMVA and the highest penetration of power electronic sources in the local area. For each bus, this is determined by taking the ratio of CMVA (synchronous generator contribution at the bus) to impedance-weighted power rating of renewables at that bus. Completed for the 38 validation cases and the buses were ranked according to their median value across all 38 hours.

Grid tability: hort Circuit trength Map created with ABB Velocity uite North Utility-scale W& location West Central East December 2016

Options for Dealing with Low Grid trength ynchronous Machine upport By Operational Dispatch Immediately-available option keep more sync units online to support grid strength Expensive to run and can lead to renewables curtailment By ynchronous Condenser Conversions of existing equipment New equipment is a significant expense, consumes some power Inverter Technology Development Advanced controls exists for utility-scale wind Has enabled high penetration in ERCOT No laws of physics prevent operation of a 100% inverter-based power system Challenges Many individual inverters and many OEMs of inverters Weak grid / controls stability challenge is generally not on DPV OEMs radar ynchronous Machine upport ome synchronous machines are likely a part of the 100% renewable energy grid Inverter Technology Development No instantaneous penetration 100% instantaneous penetration

Establishing a Threshold ERCOT established a threshold based on a model like: this Dozens of wind plants A few varieties High-fidelity models readily available Relatively small transmission network affected To transmission network W W W W W W To the rest of the system and feeders In Oahu, a similar approach quickly becomes intractable Hundreds/thousands of inverters Dozens of varieties, controller vintages High-fidelity models not readily available Complex transmission and distribution network affected W W

Key Findings This is an emerging issue in the industry and not an exact science Trends are clear - increasing inverter penetration significantly reduces WCR Industry has reasonably good understanding of weak system performance for utilityscale wind and solar PV power plants. In ERCOT, WCR of 2 or 1.5 is often ok with appropriate control design and tuning but this is system specific Much less is known about performance of DPV, and performance may be less predictable. There are no standards for this issue yet.

17 Questions? Matt Richwine Matthew.Richwine@ge.com