Analysis of WLTP Utility Factor Distributions

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WLTP-06-08e Analysis of WLTP Utility Factor Distributions ACEA EV Group IG WLTP Meeting, Vienna Contact: Andreas.EA.Eder@bmw.de 26.3.2014

Basics and usage of the Utility Factor in WLTP according to GTR 1A. UF 100 % phase emission [g/km] weight [%] weighted emission [g/km] CS 150 35 53 2-4 140 5 7 2-3 124 5 6 2-2 100 4 4 2-1 0 3 0 1-4 0 10 0 1-3 0 14 0 1-2 0 11 0 1-1 0 13 0 distance[km] 3.1 4.8 7.2 8.2 3.1 4.8 7.2 8.2 phase 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 WLTC 1 2 cd-range [km] total: 70 A sequential UF weights the CO 2 of each CD-cycle phase with the CO 2 of the CS-cycle. page2 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

Seite 3 11.12.2012 Autor/Abt.: Stephan Hartmann

impact of long distance vehicles 2 customer with average daily traveled miles of 150 km UF 12 customers with average daily traveled miles of 30 km 100 80 60 40 20 UF for 12 city customers (30 km) UF for the fleet UF for 2 long distance customers (150 km) 0 0 50 100 150 electric range [km] page4 13.11.2013 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

percentage percentage ACEA WLTP E-Lab group Main database influences on the utility factor average daily traveled miles distribution of average daily traveled miles UF UF average daily traveled miles WLTP charge depleting range [km] With a constant digression of daily traveled miles the utility factor increases with a decreasing average of daily traveled miles. average daily traveled miles WLTP charge depleting range [km] With a constant average of daily traveled miles the utility factor increases with a decreasing standard digression of the daily traveled miles. page5 13.11.2013 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

charging events ACEA WLTP E-Lab group Main database influences on the utility factor charging behavior UF 1 / day 2/ day cd range per day WLTP charge depleting range [km] An increasing charging frequency increases the daily miles traveled in charge depleting mode. That s the reason for an increasing UF. Up to now it is not possible to validate the future OVC-HEV customers charging behavior. According to SAE J2841 the assumption of one charging event per day (overnight charge) is used for the following analysis. Chevrolet Volt data in the EV project currently show a charging frequency 1.4 in US. page6 13.11.2013 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

Available Databases for Europe In addition to WLTP database (EU-only), the FIAT ECODRIVE database was analysed. WLTP database 158 of 158 vehicles individual daily traveled miles: 58 km fleet daily traveled miles: 49 km milage: ~0,38 Mio. km driving days: 7811 exclude N1- class vehicles (not representative for OVH-HEV customers to be confirmed by COM) delete drives with implausible dates recalculation of driving days 132 of 158 vehicles individual daily traveled miles: 46 km fleet daily traveled miles: 47 km milage: ~0,34 Mio. km driving days: 7343 FIAT ECODRIVE database 1275 of 1275 vehicles individual daily traveled miles: 40 km fleet daily traveled miles: 37 km milage: ~1,8 Mio. km driving days: 49043 delete drives with implausible dates recalculation of driving days 1275 of 1275 vehicles individual daily traveled miles: 39 km fleet daily traveled miles: 36 km milage: ~1,8 Mio. km driving days: 49769 page7 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

Distribution of daily traveled miles (European Data) page8 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

Different kinds of Utility Factors according to SAE J2841 max. assumed electric range of the vehicle (40 km) calculation Individual UF database Fleet UF vehicle daily miles traveled elec. range cs range IUF_i IUF FUF 50 40 10 1 30 30 0 gasoline 60 40 20 83% 2 diesel 35 35 0 80 40 40 90 40 50 80 40 40 120 40 80 43% 63% 56% First a distance weighted Individual UF for each vehicle is calculated (IUF i ). The arithmetic average that includes all vehicles IUF i ends up in the IUF. Each vehicle IUF i has the same weight. The ratio of the totalized electric ranges and the totalized daily miles traveled. No arithmetic average means, that high daily traveled distances have a higher weight. The Fleet UF can only be used if the database represents a vehicle fleet of customers of plug-in hybrid vehicles. If the database consists of conventional vehicles of various kind, the Individual UF method should be applied. page9 13.11.2013 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

2 Step Approach for Europe: 2014 Determination of Utility Factor from heterogeneous database; charging frequency 1.0 Number of sold PHEV vehicles e.g. 2020 Update of Utility Factor by customer study with respective charging frequency

Additional German statistics used for robustness check: page11 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

ACEA WLTP E-Lab group 1,0 NEDC corrected to WLTP Use Case 1 (16T km/a) 0,9 commute to/from work 220 x 40 km 0,8 weekend 1 40 x 100 km weekend 2 50 x 30 km vacation 4 Utility Factor [-] 0,7 FIAT (w/o 10% extreme customers) FIAT (w/o 5% extreme customers) x 400 km FIAT (all vehicles) 0,6 WLTP (w/o N1 and w/o 10% extreme customers) Use Case 2 (17T km/a) 0,5 0,4 0,3 commute to/from work 220 x 45 km WLTP (w/o N1 and w/o 5% extreme customers) weekend 1 52 x 80 km WLTP (w/o N1) weekend 2 52 x 20 km vacation 4 0,2 FIAT + WLTP (w/o WLTP N1 and w/o 10% extreme customers) 0,1 FIAT + WLTP (w/o WLTP N1 and w/o 5% extreme customers) x 500 km 12-15T km/a FIAT + WLTP (w/o WLTP N1) 0,0 0 10 page12 20 30 40 50 charge depleting range (WLTP) [km] 60 70 80 50% FIAT (w/o 5% extr. cust.) and 50% WLTP (w/o N1 and w/o 5% extr. cust.) Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

ACEA WLTP E-Lab group 1,0 Use Case 1 (16T km/a) 0,9 commute to/from work 220 x 40 km 0,8 weekend 1 40 x 100 km weekend 2 50 x 30 km vacation 4 Utility Factor [-] 0,7 NEDC corrected to WLTP FIAT + WLTP (w/o WLTP N1) x 400 km EU-WLTP (1712/2013): 0,6 Use Case 2 (17T km/a) 0,5 0,4 0,3 commute to/from work 220 x 45 km weekend 1 52 x 80 km weekend 2 52 x 20 km vacation 4 Fiat+WLTP Curve suggested as new UF Factor Curve for Europe x 500 km 0,2 0,1 12-15T km/a 0,0 0 10 page13 20 30 40 50 charge depleting range (WLTP) [km] 60 70 80 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group

WLTP phase 1B Utility Factor Recommendations - Each contracting party shall develop its own Utility Factor based on regional driving data. - Method for the determination of Utility Factor (based on SAE J2841) could be specified in GTR 1B, depending on the available data base. - In case data for OVC HEV customers exist, ACEA E-Lab proposes to include the recharging behavior in the methodology to determine the Utility Factor function by considering recharging at non operation times. - ACEA E-Lab proposes to investigate real world statistical driving and recharging behavior data for OVC HEV. page14 Autor/Abt.: ACEA WLTP E-Lab group