Major Changes in Supply and Demand Estimates and Projections

INTERNATIONAL COTTON ADVISORY COMMITTEE 1629 K Street NW, Suite 702, Washington, DC 20006 USA Telephone (202) 463-6660 Fax (202) 463-6950 email secretariat@icac.org COTTON THIS MONTH February 1, 2016 Major Changes in Supply and Demand Estimates and Projections China 2015/16: production 5.2 million tons (-96,000 tons from last month) 2015/16: consumption 7.1 million tons (-224,000 tons) 2015/16: imports 1.1 million tons (-106,000 tons) India 2015/16: production 6.2 million tons (-85,000 tons) 2015/16: consumption 5.5 million tons (-70,000 tons) Pakistan 2015/16: production 1.6 million tons (-64,000 tons) 2015/16: imports 418,000 tons (+170,000 tons) Turkey 2014/15: production 737,000 tons (-110,000 tons) 2014/15: consumption 1.5 million tons (+114,000 tons) 2015/16: production 682,000 tons (-102,000 tons) 2015/16: consumption 1.5 million tons (+59,000 tons) United States 2015/16: production 2.8 million tons (-78,000 tons) World Cotton Supply and Demand 2014/15 Million Tons Change/Month Million Tons Change/Month Million Tons Change/Month BEGINNING STOCKS 20.45 0.33 22.16 0.13 20.54 PRODUCTION 26.13-0.10 22.46-0.43 23.08 SUPPLY 46.58 0.23 44.62-0.30 43.61 CONSUMPTION 24.31 0.09 24.08-0.24 24.13 EXPORTS 7.70 0.00 7.37 0.06 7.68 ENDING STOCKS 22.16 0.13 20.54-0.06 19.48 ICAC Price Projections Season-average Cotlook A Index (U.S. cents per pound). 2015/16 2016/17 Projection Previous Month Projection This Month Range Midpoint Range Midpoint 2015/16* 63-81 71 65-81 71 *The price projection for 2015/16 is based on the ending stocks/consumption ratio in the world-less-china in 2013/14 (estimate), in 2014/15 (estimate) and in 2015/16 (projection), on the ratio of Chinese net imports to world imports in 2014/15 (estimate) and 2015/16 (projection). The price projection is the mid-point of the 95% confidence interval: 63 cts/lb to 81 cts/lb.

INTERNATIONAL COTTON ADVISORY COMMITTEE 1629 K Street NW, Suite 702, Washington, DC 20006 USA Telephone: (202) 463-6660 Fax: (202) 463-6950 E-mail: secretariat@icac.org Internet: http://www.icac.org COTTON THIS MONTH Polyester Prices Hurting Cotton s Market Share From the Secretariat of the ICAC February 1, 2016 When cotton prices dropped at the start of 2014/15, the gap between international cotton prices, as represented by the Cotlook A index, and polyester prices in China, which accounts for 72% of world polyester production, narrowed significantly and greatly improved the competitiveness of cotton. However, this only lasted for a few months as polyester prices continued to drop while cotton prices stabilized. In 2015/16, that gap has continued to widen, with polyester prices falling from 52 cts/lb in August 2015 to 43 cts/lb in January 2016, averaging 48 cents/lb during the first half of 2015/16. During the same period, the Cotlook A Index has averaged 70 cents/lb, ranging from a high of 74 cents/lb to a low of 66 cents/lb. The ongoing drop in polyester prices cuts into cotton s market share, particularly in China where polyester has been favored over cotton in recent seasons. Cotton consumption in China is forecast down 5% to 7.1 million tons in 2015/16, which is the sixth season of decline. Despite the drop in consumption, it still remains the world s largest consumer of cotton. World cotton consumption in 2015/16 is projected down 1% to 24.1 million tons. India s cotton consumption is slowly catching up to China s due to increases in demand for cotton yarn by its domestic industry and by China. India s consumption has grown by a cumulative 27% in each of the past three seasons and is expected to increase by 2% to nearly 5.5 million tons in 2015/16. Mill use in Pakistan, the third largest consumer, is forecast to fall by 12% to 2.2 million tons. Consumption in Turkey, the fourth largest, will likely remain stable at 1.5 million tons, while consumption in Vietnam and Bangladesh are expected to grow by 22% to 1.1 million tons and 13% to 1.1 million tons, respectively. Daily Prices: August 2013 to January 2016 Current Cotlook A Index China Polyester - Cotlook 100 U.S. cents per pound 85 70 55 40 Aug-13 Dec-13 Apr-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Apr-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Given the fall in consumption and lower domestic cotton prices, China s imports are expected to fall by 40% to 1.08 million tons. However, if the pace of its imports remains steady, then Vietnam may overtake China as the largest importer of cotton in 2015/16. Cotton imports by Vietnam for the first four months of 2015/16 totaled 327,000 tons, while those by China totaled 247,000 tons. 2015/16 cotton imports by Vietnam are projected up 17% to 1.1 million tons to feed its growing demand. Imports by Bangladesh are forecast to be Published at the start of each month by the Secretariat of the International Cotton Advisory Committee, 1629 K Street NW, Suite 702, Washington, DC 20006. Copyright ICAC 2016. Telephone: 202-463-6660; Fax: 202-463-6950; email: secretariat@icac.org. No reproduction is permitted in whole or part without the express consent of the Secretariat.

2 at the same level of China, increasing by 12% to 1.08 million tons. Consumption in both Vietnam and Bangladesh is increasing steadily, due to lower production costs, particularly labor. However, unlike the top three cotton consuming countries, Vietnam and Bangladesh produce very little cotton, and instead must rely on imports to meet demand. The reduction in stocks this season is attributed to the sharp drop in world cotton production rather than gains in consumption. 2015/16 world cotton production is forecast down 14% to 22.5 million tons, which is 5.4 million tons less than the record achieved in 2011/12. In 2015/16, world cotton area contracted by 9%, to 31.1 million hectares, in response to relatively low cotton prices. Adverse weather and increased pest pressure contributed to a decrease in world average yield of 6%, to 723 kg/ha. Of the top 10 producing countries, China, the United States and Pakistan saw the largest decreases in volume. China s production is estimated down 20% to 5.2 million tons, the United States down 21% to 2.8 million tons, and Pakistan down 30% to 1.6 million tons. Production in India, the world s largest cotton producer, is estimated down 5% to 6.2 million tons. World ending stocks are projected to decrease by 7% to 20.5 million tons, which represents about 81% of world cotton consumption in 2015/16. China s ending stocks are forecast to decrease by 7% to 12 million tons, the majority of which is held by the Chinese government in its reserves. Ending stocks for the rest of the world are also expected to decline by 7% to 8.7 million tons.

ICAC SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION OF COTTON February 1, 2016 Seasons begin on August 1 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 Est. Est. Proj. Proj. Million Metric Tons BEGINNING STOCKS WORLD TOTAL 10.319 15.349 18.316 20.445 22.16 20.54 CHINA 2.087 6.181 9.607 12.088 12.89 12.02 USA 0.566 0.729 0.903 0.651 0.98 0.82 PRODUCTION WORLD TOTAL 27.838 26.724 26.279 26.130 22.46 23.08 INDIA 6.239 6.205 6.770 6.507 6.15 6.45 CHINA 7.400 7.300 6.929 6.480 5.17 4.57 USA 3.391 3.770 2.811 3.553 2.82 3.16 PAKISTAN 2.311 2.002 2.076 2.305 1.61 2.07 BRAZIL 1.877 1.310 1.734 1.551 1.50 1.45 UZBEKISTAN 0.880 1.000 0.940 0.885 0.86 0.88 OTHERS 5.740 5.137 5.020 4.849 4.36 4.49 CONSUMPTION WORLD TOTAL 22.784 23.563 23.878 24.314 24.08 24.13 CHINA 8.635 8.290 7.517 7.479 7.11 6.75 INDIA 4.231 4.762 5.186 5.359 5.45 5.61 PAKISTAN 2.121 2.216 2.470 2.506 2.22 2.24 EUROPE & TURKEY 1.498 1.564 1.615 1.698 1.71 1.73 VIETNAM 0.410 0.492 0.694 0.903 1.10 1.27 BANGLADESH 0.700 0.765 0.880 0.937 1.05 1.16 USA 0.718 0.762 0.773 0.778 0.78 0.79 BRAZIL 0.897 0.910 0.862 0.797 0.80 0.75 OTHERS 3.574 3.802 3.881 3.857 3.87 3.83 EXPORTS WORLD TOTAL 9.825 9.984 8.992 7.704 7.37 7.68 USA 2.526 2.836 2.293 2.449 2.20 2.27 INDIA 2.159 1.685 2.014 0.914 1.01 1.08 CFA ZONE 0.597 0.829 0.974 0.885 1.02 1.12 BRAZIL 1.043 0.938 0.485 0.851 0.82 0.70 UZBEKISTAN 0.550 0.653 0.650 0.594 0.53 0.52 AUSTRALIA 1.010 1.305 1.037 0.521 0.55 0.61 IMPORTS WORLD TOTAL 9.784 9.790 8.720 7.602 7.37 7.68 CHINA 5.342 4.426 3.075 1.804 1.08 1.02 VIETNAM 0.379 0.517 0.691 0.941 1.10 1.36 BANGLADESH 0.680 0.631 0.967 0.964 1.08 1.13 INDONESIA 0.540 0.686 0.651 0.728 0.78 0.77 TURKEY 0.519 0.803 0.924 0.800 0.76 0.90 TRADE IMBALANCE 1/ -0.041-0.194-0.272-0.102 0.00 0.00 STOCKS ADJUSTMENT 2/ 0.018 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.00 0.00 ENDING STOCKS WORLD TOTAL 15.349 18.316 20.445 22.160 20.54 19.48 CHINA 6.181 9.607 12.088 12.888 12.02 10.85 USA 0.729 0.903 0.651 0.980 0.82 0.93 ENDING STOCKS/MILL USE (%) WORLD-LESS-CHINA 3/ 65 57 51 55 50 50 CHINA 4/ 72 116 161 172 169 161 COTLOOK A INDEX 5/ 100 88 91 71 0 1/ The inclusion of linters and waste, changes in weight during transit, differences in reporting periods and measurement error account for differences between world imports and exports. 2/ Difference between calculated stocks and actual; amounts for forward seasons are anticipated. 3/ World-less-China's ending stocks divided by World-less-China's mill use, multiplied by 100. 4/ China's ending stocks divided by China's mill use, multiplied by 100. 5/ U.S. cents per pound.

2014/15 SUPPLY AND USE OF COTTON BY COUNTRY February 1, 2016 CANADA 0 1 1 0 0.14 0.14 CUBA 4 272 1 1 2 3 1 0.19 0.19 DOM. REP. 1 1 0 0.47 0.47 MEXICO 181 1,668 302 138 211 405 36 209 0.47 0.52 USA 3,783 939 3,553 651 3 778 2,449 980 0.30 1.26 N. America 3,972 971 3,857 791 217 1,189 2,485 1,190 0.32 1.00 EL SALVADOR 8 29 27 10 0.35 0.35 GUATEMALA 7 24 24 8 0.33 0.33 HONDURAS 0 319 0 0 0 C. America 2 514 1 16 53 52 0 18 0.35 0.35 ARGENTINA 456 537 245 285 2 142 84 306 1.36 2.16 BOLIVIA 4 625 3 3 1 4 2 0.59 0.59 BRAZIL 976 1,589 1,551 1,239 5 797 851 1,147 0.70 1.44 CHILE 0 0 0 0 0.15 0.15 COLOMBIA 32 836 27 30 20 52 2 23 0.42 0.44 ECUADOR 1 440 1 2 12 13 1 0.10 0.10 PARAGUAY 12 567 7 9 1 8 3 6 0.53 0.70 PERU 36 792 29 17 54 82 1 15 0.18 0.19 URUGUAY 0 0 0 0 0.59 0.59 VENEZUELA 15 395 6 1 7 11 4 0.34 0.34 S. America 1,533 1,218 1,868 1,586 103 1,110 942 1,505 0.73 1.36 ALGERIA 1 6 5 2 0.31 0.31 EGYPT 158 694 109 69 68 133 55 58 0.31 0.44 MOROCCO 4 37 36 5 0.14 0.14 SUDAN 89 516 46 18 9 3 52 4.39 5.95 TUNISIA 3 13 13 3 0.21 0.21 N. Africa 247 630 155 95 124 196 58 120 0.47 0.61 BENIN 379 443 168 15 4 112 67 0.57 16.66 BURKINA FASO 661 450 298 76 4 213 157 0.72 39.15 CAMEROON 227 535 121 39 2 89 69 0.76 36.34 CENT. AFR. REP. 36 230 8 3 8 3 0.40 CHAD 256 225 58 12 1 47 23 0.48 45.00 COTE D'IVOIRE 415 466 193 35 2 188 39 0.20 18.95 GUINEA 12 272 3 1 4 1 0.36 MADAGASCAR 3 3 MALI 570 408 233 69 3 175 124 0.70 41.36 NIGER 5 448 2 0 1 1 0 0.11 0.25 SENEGAL 31 375 12 4 1 11 4 0.34 5.16 TOGO 122 394 48 7 42 13 0.32 F. Africa 2,713 422 1,144 265 17 888 503 0.56 29.28 ANGOLA 3 302 1 0 1 0 0 0.25 0.41 ETHIOPIA 99 478 47 3 15 48 0 17 0.34 0.34 GHANA 16 366 6 2 1 1 6 2 0.25 1.31 KENYA 38 184 7 1 0 7 2 0.24 0.24 MALAWI 146 271 39 26 3 39 24 0.56 7.90 MOZAMBIQUE 120 222 27 20 31 16 0.52 NIGERIA 298 205 61 26 1 19 43 26 0.42 1.35 SOUTH AFRICA 15 1,218 19 8 19 21 7 18 0.64 0.86 TANZANIA 350 243 85 105 34 37 120 1.71 3.57 UGANDA 61 284 17 21 1 17 21 1.24 40.79 CONGO, DR 2 8 8 2 0.27 0.27 ZAMBIA 305 158 48 57 2 39 64 1.54 ZIMBABWE 230 178 41 34 4 47 24 0.47 6.35 S. Africa 1,703 236 403 312 65 172 268 340 0.77 1.98 KAZAKHSTAN 129 679 55 45 0 11 44 45 0.82 4.00 KYRGYZSTAN 23 822 19 4 3 1 21 4 0.18 4.24 TAJIKISTAN 175 539 94 33 9 87 30 0.31 3.18 TURKMENISTAN 545 478 330 164 149 307 39 0.09 0.26 UZBEKISTAN 1,298 682 885 305 1 345 594 253 0.27 0.73 C. Asia 2,170 637 1,383 551 4 515 1,052 371 1.67 0.72

2014/15 SUPPLY & USE OF COTTON BY COUNTRY (cont'd) February 1, 2016 AUSTRIA 1 4 4 0 0 0.11 0.12 AZERBAIJAN 24 574 14 9 16 1 6 0.38 0.39 BELARUS 4 11 11 4 0.34 0.34 BELGIUM 2 13 8 5 2 0.16 0.26 BULGARIA 0 324 0 1 5 5 0 1 0.12 0.12 CZECH REP. 0 3 3 0 0 0.13 0.13 DENMARK 0 0 ESTONIA FINLAND FRANCE 3 17 13 3 3 0.20 0.24 GERMANY 16 48 48 6 11 0.20 0.22 GREECE 271 1,007 273 49 3 19 254 52 0.19 2.74 HUNGARY 0 1 1 0 0.57 0.57 IRELAND 0 0 0 0 0.06 0.06 ITALY 6 53 48 2 8 0.16 0.16 LATVIA 0 0 0 0 0 0.52 1.00 LITHUANIA 0 0 MOLDOVA 1 2 2 1 0.34 0.34 NETHERLANDS 0 5 5 0 0.10 NORWAY POLAND 0 8 7 2 0.25 0.25 PORTUGAL 8 34 33 10 0.29 0.29 ROMANIA 0 1 1 0 0.05 0.05 RUSSIA 1 521 1 17 55 54 1 18 0.32 0.32 SLOVAK REP. SPAIN 80 918 73 19 3 5 70 20 0.27 3.70 SWEDEN 0 0 SWITZERLAND 0 3 3 0 0 0.11 0.12 UKRAINE 0 2 2 0 0.19 0.19 UNITED KINGDOM 0 0 0 0 0.21 0.21 FORMER YUGOSLAVIA 1 6 6 1 0.23 0.23 Europe 378 956 361 139 280 297 342 141 0.22 0.47 Including EU-28 352 986 347 106 199 201 340 110 0.20 0.55 CHINA 4,310 1,503 6,480 12,088 1,804 7,479 4 12,888 1.72 1.72 TAIWAN 42 184 183 43 0.23 0.23 HONG KONG 35 1 3 33 12.65 Sub total 4,310 1,503 6,480 12,164 1,989 7,662 7 12,963 1.69 1.69 AUSTRALIA 197 2,563 505 244 0 7 521 221 0.42 30.78 INDONESIA 9 603 5 86 728 711 1 107 0.15 0.15 JAPAN 16 66 65 17 0.26 0.26 KOREA, D.R. 1 5 5 1 0.24 0.24 KOREA, REP. 72 288 290 2 68 0.24 0.24 MALAYSIA 33 73 16 37 54 1.02 3.41 PHILIPPINES 0 569 0 2 18 16 4 0.26 0.26 SINGAPORE 0 0 0 0 0.20 THAILAND 2 518 1 53 320 330 45 0.14 0.14 VIETNAM 12 465 6 83 941 903 127 0.14 0.14 E. Asia 239 2,190 525 594 2,439 2,350 561 647 0.22 0.28 AFGHANISTAN 45 414 19 16 4 16 14 0.66 3.15 BANGLADESH 40 675 27 194 964 937 248 0.26 0.26 INDIA 12,750 510 6,507 1,623 267 5,359 914 2,124 0.34 0.40 MYANMAR 299 650 195 99 11 201 104 0.52 0.52 PAKISTAN 2,958 779 2,305 870 198 2,506 102 766 0.29 0.31 SRI LANKA 0 2 2 0 0.11 0.11 S. Asia 16,095 563 9,054 2,804 1,442 9,011 1,032 3,256 0.32 0.36 IRAN 91 720 66 33 69 131 36 0.28 0.28 IRAQ 19 362 7 1 6 13 1 0.09 0.09 ISRAEL 8 1,742 14 1 14 1 0.10 SYRIA 72 981 70 182 95 3 155 1.59 1.63 TURKEY 468 1,575 737 907 800 1,486 51 907 0.59 0.61 Sub total 697 1,305 909 1,131 886 1,750 68 1,107 1.61 0.63 WORLD TOTAL 34,039 768 26,130 20,445 7,602 24,314 7,704 22,160 0.91 0.91 */ Ending stocks divided by consumption plus exports. Subtotals and total include countries not shown. **/ Ending stocks divided by consumption.

2015/16 SUPPLY AND USE OF COTTON BY COUNTRY February 1, 2016 CANADA 0 0 1 0 0.13 0.13 CUBA 4 272 1 1 2 3 1 0.19 0.19 DOM. REP. 1 1 0 0.47 0.47 MEXICO 130 1,449 188 209 213 409 47 155 0.34 0.38 USA 3,268 862 2,817 980 2 784 2,199 816 0.27 1.04 N. America 3,407 883 3,008 1,190 219 1,199 2,246 972 0.28 0.81 EL SALVADOR 10 27 27 10 0.35 0.35 GUATEMALA 8 24 24 8 0.33 0.33 HONDURAS 0 319 0 0 0 C. America 2 514 1 18 51 52 0 18 0.34 0.35 ARGENTINA 447 537 240 306 2 144 115 289 1.12 2.01 BOLIVIA 4 625 3 2 2 4 1 2 0.51 0.59 BRAZIL 957 1,568 1,500 1,147 5 797 825 1,030 0.64 1.29 CHILE 0 0 0 0 0.15 0.15 COLOMBIA 29 849 25 23 23 55 1 15 0.26 0.26 ECUADOR 1 440 1 1 13 13 1 0.10 0.10 PARAGUAY 12 567 7 6 0 7 2 5 0.56 0.70 PERU 27 673 18 15 66 82 1 15 0.18 0.19 URUGUAY 0 0 0 0 0.59 0.59 VENEZUELA 15 414 6 4 4 11 3 0.26 0.26 S. America 1,493 1,206 1,800 1,505 115 1,114 944 1,361 0.66 1.22 ALGERIA 2 5 5 2 0.31 0.31 EGYPT 105 817 85 58 57 126 35 39 0.24 0.31 MOROCCO 5 36 36 5 0.14 0.14 SUDAN 50 516 28 52 9 2 69 6.34 7.77 TUNISIA 3 13 13 3 0.21 0.21 N. Africa 155 734 113 120 111 190 37 118 0.52 0.62 BENIN 330 397 131 67 4 128 65 0.50 16.37 BURKINA FASO 663 409 271 157 4 275 149 0.54 37.26 CAMEROON 222 513 114 69 2 113 69 0.60 36.05 CENT. AFR. REP. 35 230 8 3 8 3 0.40 CHAD 320 227 73 23 1 66 29 0.43 57.08 COTE D'IVOIRE 401 445 179 39 2 153 63 0.40 30.50 GUINEA 12 273 3 1 3 1 0.41 MADAGASCAR 3 3 MALI 573 440 252 124 3 231 142 0.61 47.49 NIGER 5 448 2 0 1 1 0 0.11 0.25 SENEGAL 32 390 13 4 1 10 5 0.48 6.91 TOGO 110 369 41 13 39 15 0.40 F. Africa 2,704 402 1,086 503 17 1,026 545 0.52 31.73 ANGOLA 3 302 1 0 1 0 0 0.35 0.48 ETHIOPIA 66 642 42 17 25 51 0 33 0.64 0.65 GHANA 16 366 6 2 1 1 6 2 0.25 1.31 KENYA 21 184 4 2 2 7 0 1 0.16 0.16 MALAWI 150 230 35 24 3 35 21 0.54 6.84 MOZAMBIQUE 110 222 20 16 24 12 0.50 NIGERIA 253 205 52 26 1 19 37 22 0.39 1.14 SOUTH AFRICA 15 1,218 18 18 17 22 10 21 0.65 0.93 TANZANIA 315 217 68 120 34 54 100 1.14 2.93 UGANDA 61 284 17 21 1 22 16 0.74 31.64 CONGO, DR 2 8 8 2 0.27 0.27 ZAMBIA 298 143 43 64 2 40 65 1.58 ZIMBABWE 207 119 25 24 4 32 12 0.34 3.30 S. Africa 1,537 217 334 340 75 176 260 313 0.72 1.78 KAZAKHSTAN 103 441 45 45 0 11 48 32 0.53 2.77 KYRGYZSTAN 23 822 19 4 4 1 20 5 0.24 5.39 TAJIKISTAN 154 533 82 30 9 75 27 0.32 2.88 TURKMENISTAN 534 515 300 39 152 120 66 0.24 0.44 UZBEKISTAN 1,220 701 855 253 1 338 526 245 0.28 0.73 C. Asia 2,034 640 1,302 371 5 512 790 375 1.62 0.73

2015/16 SUPPLY & USE OF COTTON BY COUNTRY (cont'd) February 1, 2016 AUSTRIA 0 6 5 0 1 0.15 0.17 AZERBAIJAN 19 656 12 6 15 3 0.20 0.20 BELARUS 4 11 11 4 0.34 0.34 BELGIUM 2 12 5 8 1 0.11 0.26 BULGARIA 0 324 0 1 5 5 0 1 0.11 0.12 CZECH REP. 0 4 3 0 1 0.54 0.54 DENMARK 0 0 ESTONIA FINLAND FRANCE 3 16 13 3 3 0.16 0.19 GERMANY 11 53 48 5 11 0.20 0.22 GREECE 260 838 218 52 3 19 202 52 0.24 2.75 HUNGARY 0 0 0 0 0.38 0.38 IRELAND 0 0 0 0 0.06 0.06 ITALY 8 50 48 4 6 0.11 0.12 LATVIA 0 0 0 0 0 0.52 1.00 LITHUANIA 0 0 MOLDOVA 1 2 2 1 0.34 0.34 NETHERLANDS 0 4 4 0 0.10 NORWAY POLAND 2 7 7 2 0.26 0.26 PORTUGAL 10 29 32 6 0.20 0.20 ROMANIA 0 1 1 0 0.06 0.06 RUSSIA 1 521 1 18 52 52 1 17 0.32 0.33 SLOVAK REP. SPAIN 76 775 59 20 3 5 57 20 0.32 3.77 SWEDEN 0 0 SWITZERLAND 0 3 3 0 0 0.12 0.12 UKRAINE 0 2 2 0 0.20 0.20 UNITED KINGDOM 0 0 0 0 0.20 0.20 FORMER YUGOSLAVIA 1 6 6 1 0.23 0.23 Europe 358 811 290 141 273 292 280 132 0.23 0.45 Including EU-28 336 824 277 110 195 198 280 104 0.22 0.53 CHINA 3,470 1,489 5,166 12,888 1,078 7,105 4 12,021 1.69 1.69 TAIWAN 43 168 174 36 0.21 0.21 HONG KONG 33 1 3 32 12.03 Sub total 3,470 1,489 5,166 12,963 1,246 7,279 7 12,089 1.66 1.66 AUSTRALIA 300 1,867 560 221 0 7 545 229 0.41 32.51 INDONESIA 8 603 5 107 782 753 141 0.19 0.19 JAPAN 17 64 65 16 0.24 0.24 KOREA, D.R. 1 5 5 1 0.24 0.24 KOREA, REP. 68 270 284 55 0.19 0.19 MALAYSIA 54 73 16 58 54 0.73 3.41 PHILIPPINES 0 569 0 4 16 16 4 0.26 0.26 SINGAPORE 0 0 0 0 2.17 THAILAND 2 518 1 45 312 313 45 0.14 0.14 VIETNAM 9 465 4 127 1,098 1,101 128 0.12 0.12 E. Asia 339 1,706 578 647 2,622 2,569 603 674 0.21 0.26 AFGHANISTAN 45 414 19 14 4 14 14 0.74 3.15 BANGLADESH 40 675 27 248 1,078 1,054 299 0.28 0.28 INDIA 11,763 523 6,150 2,124 267 5,450 1,013 2,078 0.32 0.38 MYANMAR 239 653 156 104 51 207 104 0.50 0.50 PAKISTAN 2,869 561 1,611 766 418 2,217 81 496 0.22 0.22 SRI LANKA 0 2 2 1 0.36 0.36 S. Asia 14,959 532 7,965 3,256 1,816 8,937 1,108 2,992 0.30 0.33 IRAN 91 720 66 36 66 131 36 0.28 0.28 IRAQ 19 362 7 1 7 13 2 0.18 0.18 ISRAEL 10 1,732 18 1 17 2 0.11 SYRIA 44 883 39 155 86 5 103 1.13 1.20 TURKEY 431 1,583 682 907 755 1,500 46 798 0.52 0.53 Sub total 634 1,303 826 1,107 839 1,754 70 949 1.36 0.54 WORLD TOTAL 31,070 723 22,461 22,160 7,373 24,084 7,373 20,537 0.85 0.85 */ Ending stocks divided by consumption plus exports. Subtotals and total include countries not shown. **/ Ending stocks divided by consumption.

2016/17 SUPPLY AND USE OF COTTON BY COUNTRY February 1, 2016 CANADA 0 0 0 0 0.13 0.13 CUBA 4 271 1 1 2 3 1 0.19 0.19 DOM. REP. 1 1 0 0.47 0.47 MEXICO 130 1,563 203 155 252 417 48 144 0.31 0.34 USA 3,399 930 3,162 816 2 788 2,267 925 0.30 1.17 N. America 3,537 952 3,367 972 258 1,211 2,316 1,070 0.30 0.88 EL SALVADOR 10 26 28 8 0.30 0.30 GUATEMALA 8 24 24 8 0.32 0.32 HONDURAS 0 318 0 0 0 C. America 2 513 1 18 50 52 0 17 0.32 0.32 ARGENTINA 447 526 235 289 2 141 154 232 0.78 1.64 BOLIVIA 4 639 3 2 2 4 0 2 0.56 0.59 BRAZIL 938 1,542 1,446 1,030 5 749 702 1,030 0.71 1.38 CHILE 0 0 0 0 0.15 0.15 COLOMBIA 29 821 24 15 32 55 1 15 0.26 0.26 ECUADOR 1 439 1 1 13 13 1 0.10 0.10 PARAGUAY 11 484 5 5 6 7 4 5 0.41 0.64 PERU 27 795 21 15 61 81 1 15 0.19 0.19 URUGUAY 0 0 0 0 0.59 0.59 VENEZUELA 15 394 6 3 5 11 3 0.26 0.26 S. America 1,472 1,183 1,741 1,361 126 1,062 862 1,303 0.68 1.23 ALGERIA 2 5 5 2 0.32 0.32 EGYPT 105 821 86 39 86 125 43 44 0.26 0.35 MOROCCO 5 36 36 5 0.14 0.14 SUDAN 50 487 24 69 9 16 69 2.82 7.77 TUNISIA 3 12 12 3 0.22 0.22 N. Africa 155 713 111 118 140 187 59 122 0.50 0.65 BENIN 332 404 134 65 4 142 54 0.37 13.40 BURKINA FASO 666 431 287 149 4 303 129 0.42 32.31 CAMEROON 224 513 115 69 2 130 52 0.39 27.18 CENT. AFR. REP. 35 231 8 3 8 3 0.40 CHAD 321 184 59 29 1 58 29 0.50 58.06 COTE D'IVOIRE 403 460 185 63 2 168 78 0.46 37.79 GUINEA 12 276 3 1 3 1 0.40 MADAGASCAR 3 3 MALI 576 395 228 142 3 258 109 0.42 36.42 NIGER 5 447 2 0 1 1 0 0.11 0.25 SENEGAL 32 390 13 5 1 12 5 0.39 6.50 TOGO 111 350 39 15 39 15 0.40 F. Africa 2,717 395 1,073 545 17 1,122 479 0.42 27.86 ANGOLA 3 302 1 0 1 0 0 0.33 0.48 ETHIOPIA 66 423 28 33 25 52 0 33 0.63 0.63 GHANA 16 365 6 2 1 1 6 2 0.25 1.31 KENYA 21 181 4 1 2 5 0 1 0.23 0.23 MALAWI 151 240 36 21 3 32 22 0.61 7.20 MOZAMBIQUE 110 223 25 12 22 15 0.68 NIGERIA 253 202 51 22 1 19 39 16 0.28 0.84 SOUTH AFRICA 15 1,202 18 21 14 23 10 21 0.64 0.93 TANZANIA 315 217 68 100 34 57 77 0.84 2.24 UGANDA 61 275 17 16 1 24 9 0.37 17.18 CONGO, DR 2 8 8 2 0.27 0.27 ZAMBIA 298 143 43 65 2 59 47 0.78 ZIMBABWE 217 199 43 12 4 26 25 0.84 6.75 S. Africa 1,549 222 344 313 71 176 276 276 0.61 1.56 KAZAKHSTAN 103 582 60 32 0 11 48 32 0.53 2.75 KYRGYZSTAN 23 837 19 5 4 1 22 5 0.22 5.39 TAJIKISTAN 154 566 87 27 9 78 27 0.31 2.88 TURKMENISTAN 534 535 286 66 155 130 66 0.23 0.43 UZBEKISTAN 1,220 725 884 245 1 339 524 267 0.31 0.79 C. Asia 2,034 657 1,336 375 5 517 802 397 1.61 0.77

2016/17 SUPPLY & USE OF COTTON BY COUNTRY (cont'd) February 1, 2016 AUSTRIA 1 5 5 1 0.17 0.17 AZERBAIJAN 19 656 12 3 14 2 0.11 0.11 BELARUS 4 11 11 4 0.34 0.34 BELGIUM 1 13 5 8 1 0.11 0.27 BULGARIA 0 324 0 1 5 5 0 1 0.11 0.11 CZECH REP. 1 3 3 0 1 0.56 0.56 DENMARK 0 0 ESTONIA FINLAND FRANCE 3 16 13 3 3 0.16 0.20 GERMANY 11 52 48 5 11 0.20 0.22 GREECE 260 991 258 52 3 19 242 52 0.20 2.81 HUNGARY 0 0 0 0 0.16 0.16 IRELAND 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.07 ITALY 6 51 48 3 6 0.11 0.12 LATVIA 0 0 0 0 0 0.52 1.00 LITHUANIA 0 0 MOLDOVA 1 2 2 1 0.34 0.34 NETHERLANDS 0 4 4 0 0.10 NORWAY POLAND 2 7 7 2 0.27 0.27 PORTUGAL 6 33 29 11 0.37 0.37 ROMANIA 0 1 1 0 0.06 0.06 RUSSIA 1 520 1 17 52 52 1 17 0.32 0.32 SLOVAK REP. SPAIN 75 850 64 20 3 5 63 19 0.28 3.65 SWEDEN 0 0 SWITZERLAND 0 3 3 0 0 0.12 0.12 UKRAINE 0 2 2 0 0.20 0.20 UNITED KINGDOM 0 0 0 0 0.20 0.20 FORMER YUGOSLAVIA 1 6 6 1 0.23 0.23 Europe 357 939 335 132 275 285 325 133 0.22 0.47 Including EU-28 336 959 322 104 197 192 324 107 0.21 0.56 CHINA 3,123 1,464 4,572 12,021 1,015 6,750 4 10,854 1.61 1.61 TAIWAN 36 165 165 36 0.22 0.22 HONG KONG 32 1 3 29 8.91 Sub total 3,123 1,464 4,572 12,089 1,181 6,915 8 10,919 1.58 1.58 AUSTRALIA 315 2,210 696 229 0 7 608 310 0.50 46.38 INDONESIA 8 615 5 141 769 780 135 0.17 0.17 JAPAN 16 63 63 15 0.24 0.24 KOREA, D.R. 1 5 5 1 0.24 0.24 KOREA, REP. 55 284 284 55 0.19 0.19 MALAYSIA 54 73 16 79 32 0.34 2.03 PHILIPPINES 0 567 0 4 16 16 4 0.24 0.24 SINGAPORE 0 0 0 0 2.17 THAILAND 2 517 1 45 315 317 45 0.14 0.14 VIETNAM 9 465 4 128 1,356 1,270 218 0.17 0.17 E. Asia 353 2,023 713 674 2,881 2,764 687 817 0.24 0.30 AFGHANISTAN 43 413 18 14 4 13 14 0.78 3.15 BANGLADESH 40 708 28 299 1,131 1,159 299 0.26 0.26 INDIA 12,116 532 6,447 2,078 267 5,614 1,085 2,094 0.31 0.37 MYANMAR 244 634 155 104 10 207 62 0.30 0.30 PAKISTAN 2,941 705 2,074 496 291 2,240 60 562 0.24 0.25 SRI LANKA 1 2 2 1 0.36 0.36 S. Asia 15,386 567 8,723 2,992 1,701 9,228 1,157 3,031 0.29 0.33 IRAN 82 666 55 36 77 132 36 0.27 0.27 IRAQ 14 361 5 2 7 12 2 0.19 0.19 ISRAEL 10 1,767 18 2 18 2 0.11 SYRIA 9 985 9 103 33 1 77 2.24 2.33 TURKEY 422 1,592 672 798 896 1,523 45 798 0.51 0.52 Sub total 560 1,371 767 949 990 1,719 65 922 1.40 0.54 WORLD TOTAL 31,226 739 23,075 20,537 7,678 24,128 7,678 19,484 0.81 0.81 */ Ending stocks divided by consumption plus exports. Subtotals and total include countries not shown. **/ Ending stocks divided by consumption.