Electrical Products Group Conference, May 21, 2013, Longboat Key, Florida Executing on our strategy to drive higher returns through the cycle Eric

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Transcription:

Electrical Products Group Conference, May 21, 2013, Longboat Key, Florida Executing on our strategy to drive higher returns through the cycle Eric Elzvik, CFO

Safe-harbor statement This presentation includes forward-looking information and statements including statements concerning the outlook for our businesses. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the factors that may affect our future performance, including global economic conditions, and the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for ABB Ltd. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as expects, believes, estimates, targets, plans, outlook or similar expressions. There are numerous risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking information and statements made in this presentation and which could affect our ability to achieve any or all of our stated targets. The important factors that could cause such differences include, among others: business risks associated with the with the volatile global economic environment and political conditions costs associated with compliance activities raw materials availability and prices market acceptance of new products and services changes in governmental regulations and currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in ABB Ltd s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Reports on Form 20-F. Although ABB Ltd believes that its expectations reflected in any such forward-looking statement are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved. Chart 2

ABB: A global leader in automation and power Helping our customers become more competitive Discrete Automation and Motion Low Voltage Products Process Automation Power Products Power Systems $9.4 billion 29,000 employees $6.6 billion 31,000 employees $8.2 billion 28,000 employees $10.7 billion 36,000 employees $7.9 billion 20,000 employees ABB s helps its industrial and utility customers increase productivity, improve quality and reliability, and lower environmental impacts with solutions that include: 2012 revenues Automation and control systems Motors and drives Robots and robot systems Intelligent building systems Instrumentation and analytics Power transmission and distribution equipment and systems Operational and asset management software Lifecycle services Chart 3

Global leadership in power grids Market position, footprint, technology and profitability Sector-leading profitability through the cycle Widest and deepest view of the total market based on Product, system, solution and software portfolio Geographic footprint Balanced utility-industry exposures Standardized and globalized design and manufacturing Proven track record over generations Automating and enabling the smart grid of the future Local service capability in all markets Acknowledged technology and quality leadership Management team consistently ahead of the curve Footprint Cost De-risking Chart 4

Power focus in 2013 Consistent and sustainable profitability Power Products sustain margins* in the 14.5-15% range Drive cost savings Selectivity: Continue to target most attractive markets Further innovations on technology and product design Focus on services Power Systems margins* to enter new target range of 9%- 12% by Q4 2013 Increase higher value-added ABB pull-through Improve risk management Higher project selectivity Healthy backlog to support revenues Focus on software and services * On an operational EBITDA basis see Appendix for definitions Chart 5

ABB serves a broad automation market With products, systems, packaged solutions, services and software Discrete manufacturing Construction Mining and minerals Hybrid manufacturing Utilities Oil and gas Process manufacturing A $300-bn global market Chart 6

Executing ABB s strategy Applying our five drivers to the automation portfolio 1 Drive competitiveness Balanced footprint to play in all key markets Optimized cost structure (in-country, for-country) 2 Capitalize on megatrends Continued to differentiate in emerging markets with deep presence, full value chain Energy efficiency, productivity, renewables integration continued to drive growth 3 Expand core business Service revenues continued to grow faster than total revenues Region-for-region strategy, Net Promoter Score to grow with existing customers 4 Disciplined M&A Strengthening position in North America, gaps filled in UPS, e-mobility T&B delivering on expectations, Baldor synergies gaining traction 5 Exploit disruptive opportunities DC and power electronics applications in marine, data centers Solar photovoltaic at grid parity 14 February 2013 Slide 7 Chart 7

Among the broadest automation offerings in the sector Service potential from industry s largest installed base Control ( Brain ) DCS, PLC, drives operator interface, automation software Sensing ( Eyes ) Sensors, instruments, analytics, electrification Motion ( Arms ) Motors, drives, mechanical power transmission Putting it all together with a unique offering for discrete automation Example: Robotics, PLCs, motors & drives, gearboxes, software Chart 8

Product packages and solutions Life-cycle services World-class operations Discrete Automation and Motion division Five strategic planks addressing customer needs Discrete automation ($72 bn) 1 Products and integrated automation solutions, incl. PLC, robots, drives and motors for discrete automation in industry, and infrastructure Industrial motion ($53 bn) 1 Renewables ($14 bn) 1 Movement and control in industrial applications. Motors, drives, generators, and mechanical power transmission for industry, utilities, infrastructure and transport Generators, converters, inverters, drives, motors, controls, packages, and applications for renewable power generation Power control and quality ($12 bn) 1 Transport ($8 bn) 1 Control of power supply and ensuring power quality for industrial, utility, and infrastructure applications Fast charging of electric vehicles, components for rail rolling stock and rail infrastructure, drives and motors for heavy electric vehicles 1: Estimate size of the automation market in 2015 Chart 9

Significant growth opportunities in discrete automation ABB with the right product and geographic scope Examples of growth drivers Industrialization in China: Product and process quality, energy and resource efficiency, wage inflation, changing attitudes to quality and nature of work Re-industrialization in US, Europe and other traditional economies: Upgrade and greenfield industry automation for global competitiveness Speed and flexibility: Fast-moving customers, mass customization, short lead times and life cycles, low inventories Energy efficiency: Cutting industrial electricity consumption to continue in all markets Food safety: Increasing demands around quality & safety, processing, packaging Elevating the nature of work replace hazardous and unhealthy jobs Automotive: More platforms to produce traditional and electric vehicles Chart 10

Baldor: Improved global balance in DM Geographical focus on profitable growth Discrete Automation and Motion orders received by region Change in local currencies Americas Europe Asia+MEA Total 2009 13% 49% 38% $4.7 bn CAGR +74% +15% +14% + 25 % 2012 34% 37% 29% $9.6 bn Note: Bubble size reflects orders received volume Chart 11

Low Voltage Products strategy to 2015 Expand market access, broaden the offering 2011 2015 Europe-centric Traditional electrical Product focus Globally balanced North America (T&B) Emerging markets (organic) Targeted European penetration Scope increase through existing channels Conduits, switches, boxes, & sockets Comfort/ lifestyle Software Solutions Renewables Data centers Building Automation Chart 12

Thomas & Betts: Rebalancing LP s geographic scope Better reflects global importance of N American market Share of LP revenues by region 2012 vs 2011 US$ Asia, Middle 36% East & Africa 31% 9% Americas 26% 55% Europe 43% 2011 2012 Unlocking the world s largest low-voltage products market for ABB New market channels both in North America and globally Broadest product scope in the industry Integration on track Integration costs and cost synergies in line with plan Regional revenue synergy plans being implemented EPS accretive in Year 1 Chart 13

Process Automation: Total ABB portfolio advantage Project benefits Reduced Capex (15-20%) Faster project startups Reduced engineering Less equipment required Process electrification Intelligent field instruments Safety Motors Drives Substation Operational benefits Reduced Opex (15-20%) Energy management Operator efficiency/productivity Increased safety LV products Reduced life cycle costs (training, spare parts, personnel, maintenance) Domain specific industry knowledge Chart 14 Control system and software Consulting and engineering expertise; Domain knowledge

ABB in mining: Leaders in automating the value chain Delivering across the whole ABB portfolio Underground mining Material handling Grinding Electrification, control, and instrumentation Power Distribution Motion control Automation Infrastructure Services Customer challenges Deeper mines Higher energy costs Lower quality ores Volatile commodity prices Environment & safety Growing need for IT solutions ABB well positioned Global footprint Power-to-automation offering Gearless mill drives Mine hoists Common IT platform across multiple locations Customers continue to invest to improve efficiency and productivity Chart 15

Increasing ABB s focus on oil and gas Tapping the growing need for resource efficiency FPSOs* Offshore power links Petrochemicals Integrated safety and control Instrumentation Integrated operations Power management Telecom systems Electrification and drives Propulsion systems Subsea control system Complete safety and automation system Low/medium voltage products Telecom: fiber, network, radio, phone and TV Instrumentation Integrated operations Subsea cables and power delivery from onshore grid Extended automation Front End Engineering and Design (FEED) Instrumentation Electrical balance of plant Motors and drives Process analytics Delivering a broad offering across automation and power *Floating Production Storage and Offloading vessels Chart 16

ABB well positioned in automation & power offering Balance & scope to drive higher through-cycle returns Among the market leaders in most sectors A comprehensive offering across a wide range of industries and end markets Unparalleled geographic presence (breadth and depth) Well positioned to benefit from megatrends energy efficiency/productivity, emerging market growth/ urbanization, renewable energies, digitization Power businesses delivering best-in-class and stable earnings with attractive long-term growth prospects Automation businesses positioned for profitable growth with unique offering geared to attractive end markets Growth ambitions supported by one of the strongest balance sheets in the sector Chart 17

Demand expectations for the coming quarters Short term unclear, long term remains supportive Americas Europe Continued uncertainty from fiscal debate Industrial demand softer but still positive Grid upgrades continue Power distribution spending subject to macro recovery Power Utility spending remains low Industrial demand stable Eastern Europe outgrowing total Europe Power Automation Asia Continues to outgrow world GDP >2x Soft landing in China, H2 demand environment expected to improve Short-term uncertainties in India Automation MEA Political and security risks remain Economic diversification to continue Power Automation Power Automation Chart 19

Performance against our targets In-line on most indicators as we near the halfway mark Group targets Progress report end 2012 Organic 1 revenue growth (CAGR 4 ) 7-10% 2 9% 3 Strong order backlog compensates early-cycle weakness Op EBITDA margin corridor 13-19% 14.2% FY 11 at 15.8% FY 12 at 14.8% (excl. PS reset) 1 Organic incl. acquisitions closed as of end Oct 2011. 2 If Baldor, Ventyx and Mincom are excl. the targeted revenue growth CAGR is 5.5-8.5%. 3 If Thomas & Betts, Baldor, Ventyx and Mincom are excl., the 2011-12 CAGR is 6% 4 CAGR = Compound annual growth rate, base year 2010 5 2012 EPS before PS reset after tax (at 2012 full-year Group tax rate of 27%) Organic 1 EPS growth (CAGR 4 ) Free cash flow conversion Cash return on invested capital 10-15% Annual avg. >90% >20% by 2015 3% 8% excl. PS reset 5 88% 94% in FY 2012 12% Capital build-up from recent M&A 22 May 2013 Slide 20 Chart 20

Balanced business and geographic portfolio Revenues by division Q1 2013 Non-consolidated Revenues by region Q1 2013 Power Systems 19 % 22 % Discrete Automation and Motion Middle East & Africa 10 % Power Products 23 % 17 % Low Voltage Products Asia 26 % 35 % Europe 19 % 29 % Process Automation Americas Chart 21

Q1 2013 divisional growth overview Order backlog provides a buffer vs softer early cycle US$ millions unless otherwise indicated Orders Change in local currencies Revenues Change in local currencies Discrete Automation and Motion 2'485-7% 2'327 4% Low Voltage Products (organic) 1'934 1'342 47% 1% 1'777 1'185 51% 0% Process Automation 2'500-1% 1'978 1% Power Products 2'859-8% 2'489 0% Power Systems 1'637-15% 2'051 15% DM: Revenues reflect execution of strong order backlog, esp. in robotics; service revenues up 5% LP: Steady (organic) as early-cycle demand remained near year-earlier lows PA: Higher mining and marine orders offset weakness in other sectors; higher marine and service revenues PP: Order selectivity in a challenging market; higher share of distribution and industry-related sales PS: Timing and selectivity impacts orders; revenues up across all businesses Chart 22

Q1 2013 divisional earnings and cash overview Higher margins in 4 out of 5 divisions US$ millions unless otherwise indicated Op EBITDA Change in US$ Op EBITDA margin Change in percentage points Discrete Automation and Motion 416 0% 17.8% -0.8 Low Voltage Products (organic) 320 222 62% 18.0% 18.7% +1.4 +2.1 Process Automation 259 7% 13.1% +0.7 Power Products 372 2% 14.9% +0.4 Power Systems 169 44% 8.3% +1.7 DM: Higher revenues, less favorable mix, and R&D and selling costs up vs same quarter in 2012 LP: Margin up organically on improved cost control and better capacity utilization PA: Improved project execution and higher full-service service margins PP: Favorable business mix, price pressure mostly offset by cost savings PS: Better project execution and project mix executed out of the backlog; margin up in all businesses Chart 23

Solid investment grade balance sheet Strong support for organic and inorganic growth Net cash (debt) position 2005-Q1 2013 US$ billions Total debt at $9.1 bn 5,2 5,4 7,2 6,4 Net debt/ebitda at 0.4x Uses of cash in 2013 1,3 1,8 Annual dividend >$1.5 bn ~$900 mill bond repayment in June Capex ~$1.1 bn -0,6-1,6-2,1 Further selected M&A opportunities 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q1 2013 Chart 24

Power-One: The sweet spot in the PV value chain The interface between automation and power Key functions Converts DC to AC from PV panels Controls the PV system Maximizes energy harvest from panels Manages grid stabilization through monitoring and communication Critical to integrate solar into the grid of the future Utility Inverters Transformers MV Switchgear Unique requirements Technology, i.e. power electronics, communication Distinct application needs Country-specific grid and safety codes Reliability and service Residential and Commercial Combiner Box PV Panels EV battery charger Inverter Energy storage Global solar PV to outgrow total new electricity capacity by 5x over next 20 yrs Chart 25

Reconciliation of non-gaap measures ($ in millions) Net (Debt), Net Cash Mar. 31, = Cash and equivalents plus Marketable securities and short-term investments, less Total debt 2013 Cash and equivalents 5,455 Marketable securities and short-term investments 1,591 Cash and Marketable securities 7,046 Short-term debt and current maturities of long-term debt 1,683 Long-term debt 7,430 Total debt 9,113 Net (Debt), Net Cash (2,067) Net Debt to EBITDA Mar. 31, = Net Debt / EBITDA for the trailing 12 months 2013 Net Debt (as defined above) (2,067) Earnings before interest and taxes for the three months ended: March 31, 2013 1,052 December 31, 2012 863 September 30, 2012 1,146 June 30, 2012 1,001 Depreciation and amortization for the three months ended: March 31, 2013 321 December 31, 2012 341 September 30, 2012 307 June 30, 2012 281 Total EBITDA for the trailing 12 months 5,312 Net Debt to EBITDA 0.4 Chart 26

Appendix: Definitions Acquisition-related amortization: amortization expense on intangibles arising on acquisitions and the cost of sales impact from fair valuing inventory in an acquisition. FX/commodity timing differences on EBIT: the sum of i) unrealized gains and losses on derivatives (foreign exchange, commodities, embedded derivatives), ii) realized gains and losses on derivatives where the underlying hedged transaction has not yet been realized, and iii) unrealized foreign exchange movements on receivables/payables (and related assets/liabilities). Operational EBITDA: Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) excluding depreciation and amortization, adjusted for i) unrealized gains and losses on derivatives (FX, commodities, embedded derivatives), ii) realized gains and losses on derivatives where the underlying hedged transaction has not yet been realized, iii) unrealized foreign exchange movements on receivables/payables (and related assets/liabilities), iv) restructuring and restructuring-related expenses, and v) acquisition-related expenses and certain non-operational items. Operational EBITDA margin: Operational EBITDA as a percentage of Operational revenues. Operational revenues: Revenues adjusted for i) unrealized gains and losses on derivatives, ii) realized gains and losses on derivatives where the underlying hedged transaction has not yet been realized, and iii) unrealized foreign exchange movements on receivables (and related assets). Chart 27

For more information, call ABB Investor Relations Or visit our website at www.abb.com/investorrelations Name Telephone E-mail Alanna Abrahamson Head of Investor Relations (Zurich) +41 43 317 3804 alanna.abrahamson@ch.abb.com John Fox +41 43 317 3812 john.fox@ch.abb.com Binit Sanghvi +41 43 317 3832 binit.sanghvi@ch.abb.com Tatyana Dubina +41 43 317 3816 tatyana.dubina@ch.abb.com Annatina Tunkelo +41 43 317 3820 annatina.tunkelo@ch.abb.com Ruth Jaeger +41 43 317 3808 ruth.jaeger@ch.abb.com Chart 28