tonnes Weightedaverages by volume of production per MS Ongoing adjustments on weights by variety group 000 tonnes D G A G R I D A S H B O A R D : T O M A T O E S Last update: 20.04.2018 EU AVG PRICES MS PRICES /100 kg EUROPEAN UNION - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100 kg ) 160 144 139 140 128 126 118 120 116 114 5 year avg 106 110 107 102 100 100 97 92 94 89 93 88 88 93 86 83 88 89 87 78 80 80 77 72 2018 EU prices 63 66 60 2017 EU prices 64 62 Monthly 5 year Max 58 Monthly 5 year Min 53 51 5 year average 40 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec /100 kg SPAIN - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100kg ) /100 kg FRANCE - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100kg ) 130 253 122 2018 EU prices 2017 EU prices 250 120 Monthly 5 year Max Monthly 5 year Min 2018 EU prices 2017 EU prices 228 236 110 5 year average 105 225 Monthly 5 year Max Monthly 5 year Min 102 103 210 213 212 221 5 year average 100 94 200 202 90 197 90 86 5 year avg 84 84 85 175 180 82 169 5 year avg 159 80 80 156 72 72 150 70 72 68 127 128 128 137 61 58 60 59 64 64 125 135 63 113 115 60 56 53 55 59 58 108 111 50 49 100 102 46 48 48 49 95 103 95 87 87 40 45 40 75 38 82 73 30 71 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 62 50 /100 kg ITALY - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100kg ) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 194 190 /100 kg 2018 EU prices 2017 EU prices Netherlands - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100kg ) 186 194 185 Monthly 5 year Max Monthly 5 year Min 178 174 200 191 5 year average 161 2018 EU prices 2017 EU prices 1 180 155 154 161 Monthly 5 year Max Monthly 5 year Min 5 year avg 145 160 145 153 148 5 year average 140 131 135 140 128 127 129 127 125 118 123 119 121 120 118 115 5 year avg 120 113 108 110 104 105 105 100 88 91 102 100 87 79 95 93 75 76 80 88 95 69 78 66 85 90 91 85 88 72 77 83 68 76 60 59 68 74 55 56 63 44 58 74 67 75 50 58 71 40 47 62 38 36 59 21 20 45 49 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 3 000 8 000 Total tomato production (fresh+processing) by Member State (000 tonnes) 12 000 Tomato production in the EU: fresh and for processing Production of tomatoes for the fresh market (000 tonnes) 7 000 11 000 Tomatoes for processing 2 500 6 000 10 000 Fresh tomatoes 2 000 5 000 9 000 SPAIN ITALY GREECE NETHERLANDS FRANCE 4 000 8 000 1 500 3 000 ITALY SPAIN 7 000 1 000 2 000 GREECE FRANCE PORTUGAL ROMANIA 6 000 500 5 000 1 000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 4 000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20172018 (estimation) 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 605 000 Extra-EU trade of fresh tomatoes 505 000 405 000 Extra-EU imports 305 000 Extra-EU exports Export ban 205 000 105 000 5 000 Tomatoes Key market balance indicators for the follow up of the fresh tomato market (tonnes) TOP WORLD IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS Mois Extra-EU Imports Extra-EU exports EU commercialisation** EUR consumption estimates * 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 1 67.051 59.637 66.411 25.995 15.428 14.804 269.551 301.800 317.694 310.606 346.009 369.301 2.911 60.493 66.970 22.411 16.329 15.720 262.084 293.440 308.894 305.583 337.604 360.144 3 92.348 70.374 92.645 25.140 19.237 15.167 378.181 423.427 445.727 445.389 474.564 523.205 4 57.528 49.612 49.605 39.782 27.199 23.219 519.940 582.147 612.806 537.686 604.560 639.192 5 23.877 30.589 33.146 53.592 32.201 18.934 786.180 880.240 926.598 756.466 878.629 940.810 6 11.184 10.968 13.423 40.508 21.741 24.660 979.530 1.096.723 1.154.481 950.206 1.085.949 1.143.245 7 7.579 7.103 10.6 30.099 14.300 4.9 1.593.760 1.784.442 1.878.418 1.571.240 1.777.244 1.884.109 8 3.777 5.462 10.399 10.089 4.420 4.111 2.060.026 2.306.492 2.427.962 2.053.714 2.307.534 2.434.251 9 7.682 13.954 10.172 5.3 4.717 4.303 5.315.161 5.951.079 6.264.490 5.317.478 5.960.315 6.270.359 10 28.251 45.693 27.126 13.564 10.917 9.138 2.759.605 3.089.770 3.252.491 2.774.292 3.124.546 3.270.480 11 61.171 60.936 59.819 16.075 14.759 12.339 452.127 506.221 532.881 497.224 552.398 580.361 12 61.270.938 84.675 18.871 20.591 11.750 361.025 404.219 425.507 403.424 449.566 498.432 Total 487.628 480.760 525.046 301.490 201.840 159.108 15.737.170 17.620.000 18.547.950 15.923.307 17.898.920 18.913.888 01.10-31.05 457.406 443.274 480.395 215.430 156.662 121.069 5.788.693 6.481.2 6.822.598 6.030.670 6.767.877 7.181.924 01.06-30.09 30.221 37.487 44.1 86.061 45.178 38.039 9.948.477 11.138.735 11.725.352 9.892.638 11.131.043 11.731.964 (*) Provisional figures being updated with input from the MSs and the tomato sector. (**) Base: production Market access (imports/consumption %) 3,1 2,7 2,8 Exports/production % 1,9 1,1 0,9 Apparent consumption, kg per capita 31,4 35,2 37,2 Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, DG Taxud, Eurostat, Comext, Comtrade, ITC, Expert groups...
SUMMARY OVERVIEW, MARKET UPDATE RECENT DEVELOPMENTS 1. EU average tomato prices in March were 19% below the reference period average (5 preceding years). That indicator is very different among Member States: 27% above average in IT, 23% below average in ES, 6% under average in the NL and 5% below average in FR. 2. There is, therefore, a dual situation at MS level: price levels are very low in ES and IT and moderately under average in FR and NL. Southern MS face increasing competition from early productions in Central Europe thanks to technological advance. Imports from Morocco in the 1st quater of 2018 were at relatively high levels when compared to the reference period. 3. When looking backwards, EU average tomato prices were at about the maximum level of the reference period in November 2017; between December 2017 and January/February 2018 prices registered gradual reductions until stabilizing in February and March at around the minimum level price of the reference period. Provisional April prices show additional price reductions in ES and IT. 4. In January 2018 the volume of exports from Morocco to the EU was significantly higher than the average of the reference period. Background 2
BACKGROUND 1. EU average prices have been at historically high levels during most of the year 2017 (with a relative low figure in May). 2. As an exception to the generally good market situation in 2017, the month of May was a difficult month (the period between May to Aug in the case of NL) due to the importance of exports during that month before the loss of the Russian market. 3. A specific feature of the tomato market is that the level of prices can change very quickly in a matter of 2 or 3 months from very high to very low or vice-versa. 3
Market summary /100 kg 160 EUROPEAN UNION - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100 kg ) 144 Weighted averages by volume of production per MS Ongoing adjustments on weights by variety group 140 139 126 128 120 100 80 60 40 102 94 80 118 97 89 88 107 88 86 2018 EU prices 2017 EU prices Monthly 5 year Max Monthly 5 year Min 5 year average 100 87 77 78 62 63 58 5 year avg Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 83 53 92 72 51 106 88 64 116 93 66 114 89 110 93 Further detail 4
Market summary Tomatoes prices /100kg and % changes Mar. 2018 EU CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE Mar. 2018, Price, /100 kg 86 Mar. 2018, comparison to 5 year avg, base =100 81 CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO 5 year avg price '13-'17, changes from Feb. to Mar. % +10 % 2018, changes from Feb. to Mar. % -2 % ES-Spain 61 77 +11 % +3 % FR-France * * No data in Feb 18 202 95 0% - % IT-Italy 77 73 +3 % -35 % NL-Netherlands 108 94-25 % -15 % 5
3 year avg 6
/100 kg 130 120 122 SPAIN - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100kg ) 2018 EU prices 2017 EU prices Monthly 5 year Max Monthly 5 year Min 110 5 year average 105 102 103 100 90 80 84 90 80 94 5 year avg 84 82 86 85 70 60 50 40 30 72 72 72 68 61 58 59 64 64 63 60 56 53 55 59 58 49 46 48 48 49 45 40 38 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 7
/100 kg 185 1 190 ITALY - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100kg ) 2018 EU prices 2017 EU prices Monthly 5 year Max Monthly 5 year Min 5 year average 161 155 154 174 178 186 194 194 145 5 year avg 145 125 105 85 45 128 119 85 118 102 74 105 77 83 110 90 67 118 93 71 104 74 62 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 8 76 49 100 59 113 75 121 95 123 91 127 88
/100 kg 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 FRANCE - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100kg ) 228 213 212 197 202 180 210 169 156 135 127 108 95 2018 EU prices 2017 EU prices Monthly 5 year Max 5 year average 95 82 5 year avg 113 115 87 87 128 128 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 9 73 Monthly 5 year Min 102 71 111 62 159 137 103 253 236 221
/100 kg 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 191 161 153 148 131 135 129 127 115 108 88 72 Netherlands - Tomato prices, weighted avg ( /100kg ) 2018 EU prices 2017 EU prices Monthly 5 year Max Monthly 5 year Min 5 year average 140 5 year avg 120 88 91 87 79 95 75 76 69 78 66 68 59 68 55 56 63 50 44 58 58 47 38 36 21 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 10
8 000 Total tomato production (fresh+processing) by Member State (000 tonnes) 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 ITALY GREECE FRANCE SPAIN PORTUGAL ROMANIA 1 000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 11
000 tonnes 12 000 Tomato production in the EU: fresh and for processing 11 000 Tomatoes for processing 10 000 Fresh tomatoes 9 000 8 000 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20172018 (estimation) 12
3 000 Production of tomatoes for the fresh market (000 tonnes) 2 500 2 000 SPAIN ITALY GREECE NETHERLANDS FRANCE 1 500 1 000 500 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 13
Further detail 14
15
EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE 30 DAY PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS OF ANOMALIES 18 Mar to 17 April 2018 (30 days) - % of normal 16
tonnes 605 000 Extra-EU trade of fresh tomatoes 505 000 405 000 Extra-EU imports 305 000 Extra-EU exports Export ban 205 000 105 000 5 000 17
18
SUMMARY OF TOMATO ExtraEU EXPORTS Campaign 2017/18 (TAXUD data) 19
Tomatoes Key market balance indicators for the follow up of the fresh tomato market (tonnes) Mois Extra-EU Imports Extra-EU exports EU commercialisation** EUR consumption estimates * 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 1 67.051 59.637 66.411 25.995 15.428 14.804 269.551 301.800 317.694 310.606 346.009 369.301 2.911 60.493 66.970 22.411 16.329 15.720 262.084 293.440 308.894 305.583 337.604 360.144 3 92.348 70.374 92.645 25.140 19.237 15.167 378.181 423.427 445.727 445.389 474.564 523.205 4 57.528 49.612 49.605 39.782 27.199 23.219 519.940 582.147 612.806 537.686 604.560 639.192 5 23.877 30.589 33.146 53.592 32.201 18.934 786.180 880.240 926.598 756.466 878.629 940.810 6 11.184 10.968 13.423 40.508 21.741 24.660 979.530 1.096.723 1.154.481 950.206 1.085.949 1.143.245 7 7.579 7.103 10.6 30.099 14.300 4.9 1.593.760 1.784.442 1.878.418 1.571.240 1.777.244 1.884.109 8 3.777 5.462 10.399 10.089 4.420 4.111 2.060.026 2.306.492 2.427.962 2.053.714 2.307.534 2.434.251 9 7.682 13.954 10.172 5.3 4.717 4.303 5.315.161 5.951.079 6.264.490 5.317.478 5.960.315 6.270.359 10 28.251 45.693 27.126 13.564 10.917 9.138 2.759.605 3.089.770 3.252.491 2.774.292 3.124.546 3.270.480 11 61.171 60.936 59.819 16.075 14.759 12.339 452.127 506.221 532.881 497.224 552.398 580.361 12 61.270.938 84.675 18.871 20.591 11.750 361.025 404.219 425.507 403.424 449.566 498.432 Total 487.628 480.760 525.046 301.490 201.840 159.108 15.737.170 17.620.000 18.547.950 15.923.307 17.898.920 18.913.888 01.10-31.05 457.406 443.274 480.395 215.430 156.662 121.069 5.788.693 6.481.2 6.822.598 6.030.670 6.767.877 7.181.924 01.06-30.09 30.221 37.487 44.1 86.061 45.178 38.039 9.948.477 11.138.735 11.725.352 9.892.638 11.131.043 11.731.964 (*) Provisional figures being updated with input from the MSs and the tomato sector. (**) Base: production Market access (imports/consumption %) 3,1 2,7 2,8 Exports/production % 1,9 1,1 0,9 Apparent consumption, kg per capita 31,4 35,2 37,2 20
TOP WORLD TOMATO IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS - 2016 Further detail 21
TOP WORLD TOMATO IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS and % growth in value 2012-16 Further detail 22
TOP WORLD TOMATO IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS and % growth in value 2012-16 Further detail 23
TOP WORLD TOMATO IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS 24
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