EV - Smart Grid Integration. March 14, 2012

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Transcription:

EV - Smart Grid Integration March 14, 2012

If Thomas Edison were here today 1 Thomas Edison, circa 1910 with his Bailey Electric vehicle.

??? 2

EVs by the Numbers 3 10.6% of new vehicle sales expected to be electric-drive by 2015 (Deutche Bank, Sep 2011) Up to 11 million EVs on the road by 2020, 65 million by 2030 (EPRI, Dec. 2010) More than 20 electric-drive vehicle types available to consumers by end of 2012 (GoElectricDrive.com) Nearly 1.5 million estimated U.S. charging stations installed by 2017 (Pike Research) $1,400 average annual savings by switching to an electric vehicle, for the average American driving less than 40 miles daily (www.fueleconomy.gov) Nearly 54,000 U.S. jobs in the electric vehicle industry as of August, 2011 (NRDC, UAW, National Wildlife Federation, 2011) 36% reduction in GHG emissions from a plug-in hybrid vs. a conventional vehicle (Argonne National Labs) Courtesy of EDTA

The Electric Drive Spectrum 4 HEV: Hybrid Electric Vehicle No plug Battery charged from engine & regenerative brakes Battery and ICE share the driving work PHEV: Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle Battery and ICE share the work Battery charged from plug & regenerative brakes EREV: Extended Range Electric Vehicle Battery and ICE onboard All-electric drive. ICE acts as generator Battery charged from plug & regenerative brakes BEV: Battery Electric Vehicle All-electric drive No ICE Battery charged from plug & regenerative brakes

EV Drive Train Comparison 5 Chevrolet Volt EREV Battery Range Extender Ford Focus BEV Electric Motor

EV Charging Options 6 EVSE: Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment AC Charging: Governed by SAE Recommended Practice J1772 Level 1: 120v, up to 1.4kW Level 2: 208/240v, up to 19kW Most vehicles capable of 3kW 6kW today AC supplied to vehicle, converted onboard DC Charging: 440v DC and up, 55kW or higher Only ChAdEMO standard exists today Minimal vehicle capability SAE standard expected in summer of 2012 Concerns with battery life impacts J1772 Level 2 Connector Proposed J1772 AC / DC Combo Connector 6

Consumer EV Launches 7 Courtesy of EEI

Commercial (Fleet) EV Launches 8 Courtesy of EEI

U.S. EV Adoption Forecasts (vehicles on the road ) 9 70 Cumulative PEVs (million vehicles) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Low Medium High 2020: 3.14M to 11.84M EVs (1% to 3.9% of total vehicles) 2030: 14.9M to 65M EVs (4% to 17.7% of total vehicles) Courtesy of EPRI

Illinois EV Adoption Forecasts (vehicles on the road ) 10 2.5 Cumulative PEVs (million vehicles) 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Low Medium High 2020: 110k to 410k EVs (1% to 3.6% of total vehicles) 2030: 537k to 2.4M EVs (3.9% to 17% of total vehicles) Courtesy of EPRI

U.S. Annual Electricity Consumption from EVs 11 2020: 8.8 TWh to 33.3 TWh 2030: 33.1 TWh to 148.4 TWh Courtesy of EPRI

Illinois Annual Electricity Consumption from EVs 12 2020: 0.3 TWh to 1.2 TWh 2030: 1.2 TWh to 5.4 TWh Courtesy of EPRI

So what are we doing about it? 13

ComEd EV Readiness Focus Areas 14 Grid Impacts Local distribution System capacity Policy Legislation Advanced rates & metering Public charging Collaboration Policy makers Municipalities Businesses Consumers Car dealers EVSE providers Other stakeholders Market Research Early adopter preferences Local adoption rates Customer Experience In-home charging Workplace and public Opportunity charging

ComEd-EPRI Distribution System Impacts Study 15 Studied two feeders on ComEd s system using actual system data Various EV battery sizes (4kWh 24kWh) Multiple levels of EV penetration (2% - 30%) Level 1 and Level 2 charging at various times of day, including: Peak Off-peak Diversified Analyzed impacts on various distribution system components Incorporated identified PEV and consumer charging characteristics

Analysis Methodology 16 Stochastic Analysis Assess likely impacts of PEV charging load, on the circuit considering both spatial and temporal diversity Randomly assigned PEV locations, types, and charge profiles Multiple test cases modeled over a simulated year System Deterministic Identifies the system response to forced system-wide PEV penetration/charging scenarios Scenarios are designed to show system sensitivity to PEV characteristics in addition to system impact boundaries under increasing penetration 24-hour peak-day simulations Penetration levels, charging levels, time of day Component Deterministic Identifies the available capacity to serve additional load for each circuit component The available capacity is the difference between the thermal rating and peak load Available capacity for each element is normalized based on number of customers served

Findings 17 Typical Feeder Peak Day Load 5pm Typical Home Arrival Time Local distribution equipment is most vulnerable, particularly at high penetration 240v, 30A (Level 2) charging at system peak, at higher penetration levels (30%) Impacts from 120v (Level 1) charging are negligible Clustered adoption increases potential for local impacts

Thermal Impacts Analysis 18 Peak Hour Available capacity for each asset at 240v, 30A EV charging load and 30% penetration Assets with fewer customers are more susceptible As number of customers increases, so does spatial diversity of EV charging Substation transformers and primary conductors are more likely to have ample capacity, even at higher penetration levels

ComEd s Foundational Principles of EV Integration 19 Utility must be notified of Level 2 or greater EV charging before it is installed. Time-variable rates for EV charging provide significant benefits to customers and the grid Such rates should be applied to the whole house Separate metering and rates for EV charging are not necessary EV charging equipment should be the integration point between the EV and the grid - not the vehicle EV charging equipment must be smart Capable of two-way communications with the grid ComEd s Smart Grid will enable greater EV benefits Real-time information for both consumers and ComEd More control over electricity use and costs Improved grid load management

Benefits of Time-Variable Rates for EV Charging 20 A residential customer served under Rate BESH in 2009 could potentially have saved up to 67% on their EV charging costs, compared with rate BES Time-variable rates for EV charging can help avoid increasing peak demand at significant EV penetration levels; and can reduce annual electric costs for EV owners Such time-variable rates offer financial incentives for that encourage load shifting or energy conservation by customers Encourages customers to lower their electric usage during high-cost periods or shift usage to lower-cost periods. Additionally, the correlation between market price and consumption tends to result in more efficient use of generation, transmission, and distribution systems.

Smart EVSE 21 The integration point between the EV and the grid should be the EVSE While EVs are mobile, EVSE represent stationary load at a known point on the distribution system Both residential and commercial EVSE need to be smart, meaning the charging station must support communications with the grid and remote management of EV charging by the utility EVSE should perform as a node on the smart grid Need to interact with other systems such as smart metering, in-home devices, and distribution automation to: Improve utility load management Increase customer choice and control Do these things in as automated a way as possible Communications must be via established, open protocols No proprietary networks!

Smart Grid Integration of EVSE 22

Conclusions 23 A modern electric grid, such as Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) with its two-way communications, facilitates the adoption and sustainability of electric vehicles Time variable rates coupled with AMI and in-home devices give consumers greater control over their electric usage, while minimizing grid impacts The two-way communications of an AMI network supports intelligent EVSE that allows consumers to automatically set EV charging based on electricity price signals Smart Grid Integration of EVs enables: Real-time information about loading on the electric distribution system Automatic notification to ComEd when the load on individual system components, such as transformers, reaches a level that requires attention Upgrade of overloaded equipment before it fails, benefitting both EV owners and their neighbors ComEd is investing $2.6B over the next 10 years to modernize the electric grid, including full AMI deployment to all of our nearly 4 million customers

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