Future mobility in a dynamic environment Dr. Rolf Bulander 02.03.2017
Bosch results 2016 Highlights of the business year 2
What s new in the Bosch world? International highlights 3
Global growth Not much tailwind high risks % py Index 1 Real GDP Business sentiment 6 56 5 54 4 52 3 50 2 48 1 46 0 44 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Advanced countries Emerging countries 1 Purchasing Manager Index: 50 = neutral Outlook for 2017 modest only with global GDP growth of only 2.3% 4
Future Mobility Electrified, Automated and Connected hybrid costs e-motor ebike power electronics electrified plug-in escooter battery charging infrastructure fun-to-drive range legislation driver assistance emergency braking autopilot automated highway-pilot redundancy valet parking sensors electric steering electronic horizon smartphone integration connected cloud ecall services fleet management car2car augmented reality 5 G4 29.11.2016
The role of electrification Diversified powertrain concepts et/c cegr WI CEI Electric motor Optimized T/C DI@350 bar eclutch DRS CRP/HF Boost recuperation system VVT-E Adv. PFI Power electronics LP-EGR VCR 2000 Lithium-ion battery 20.. 6
Markets and conditions are changing faster than ever before. This presents opportunities for Bosch and our suppliers. New mobility concepts and regulations are shifting demand; electric mobility is a major future field Customer demands are becoming more complex and diverse We want to make the most of our opportunities and grow No matter what powertrain technology customers need, we want to provide it from a single source 7
Driving ahead. GS and DS become Powertrain Solutions. All powertrain technologies from a single source. Electric vehicles Passenger cars Commercial vehicles / OH* Powertrain Solutions 8 We are combining our strengths and expertise to deliver better solutions and more value for our customers We are positioning ourselves better than competitors and are creating new opportunities for Bosch and our suppliers We aim to be the overall number one in the powertrain market *OH = off-highway
Further development of the Diesel ICE Contributions to meet RDE compliant PC emissions ECU & SW functions I_Inj [A] 20 10 0 DRS -30-25 -20-15 -10-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 cranke angle [deg] FIE 100 80 60 40 20 0 cylinder pressure [bar] Exhaust gas after treatment DOC AdBlue SCR DPF lpegr SCR+ CuC Warm-up management 9 HEV e.g. BRS CO 2 reduction Emission reduction BMEP [bar] 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 40 20 15 10 5 80 60 150 100 200 250 300 350 400 500 600 700 Engine calibration 15 20 10 5 1000 1400 1800 2200 2600 3000 3400 3800 4200 engine speed [rpm] 40 60 800 900 800 700 600 500 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 80 60 40 20 15 10 5 0
Electrified The electrification is speeding up E-mobility with Electrified vehicles worldwide 18,5 million vehicles 1,8 EV PHEV Hybrid 2,6 0.1 1.6 0.1 1.9 11,3 6,9 2.2 3.9 7,1 0.3 0.4 5.2 4,5 2012 2015 2020 2025 10
E-Mobility China driving the market Electric cars (BEV & Hybrids) sold in 2016: k cars 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Source: Center for Automotive Management, 2017 Suppliers will have to respond to market needs and local demands 11
E-Mobility is making progress eaxle offering several advantages Customer Benefits Technical Concept 1 2 3 Broadest range of performance classes in eaxle market Cost leadership due to integrated, modular and scalable approach Loss reduction in total system efficiency as compared to stand alone components cost efficient scalable Inverter 4 Reduced packaging & light weight. Fully tested drive unit with minimized interfaces for reduced complexity in vehicle assembly top performance Rotor & Stator NVH optimized transmission & housing 12
Battery cells Pursuing a clear roadmap Battery campus pooling all German development and prototyping activities for lithium-ion cells and batteries agile collaboration crucial 13
Automated Mobility Core activities map electronic horizon 13 14 sensors sense perception data fusion redundancy radar lidar data analytics localization prediction vehicle computer think safety security planner decision actuator management steering driverless act braking fail operational motion control
Automated Mobility Roadmap Automated valet parking 2018 Remote park assist 2015 Urban Pilot planning 2025 Highway Pilot 2020 Highway Assist 2018 Int. Cruise Assist 2017 Traffic jam assist 2015 15 12
Connected Mobility Innovative Human-Car-Interface Car will become 3 rd living space New display concepts, individually adaptable by self-learning algorithms Access to real-time data for traffic and weather from the cloud, to social media and communication applications Step-wise introduction of autonomous driving Connected to the whole world: Open your apartment door for any delivery via fingerprint in the car 16
USE CASE CES SHOWCAR
Importance of software is growing In the car and in the supply chain Software in a new car (2013) 100 Mac OS X 10.4 86 Facebook (w/o backend) 62 Windows 2000 29 Boeing 787 14 Windows NT (1993) F-22 Raptor Space shuttle ios simple game 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.01 Sources: NASA, quora.com, wired.com 0 20 40 60 80 100 million lines of code 18
Supplier quality as crucial factor Project Management Quality (PMQ) ensures early Q focus Components Preventive Quality in one hand: responsible for planning, execution & release PMQ is in charge of all preventive quality activities at CP Defining of PQ-content (jointly with PPx and SE-team partners if useful) Planning and execution of PQ activities Checking supplier documents for completeness and content Process PPA / PPAP release Works project oriented closely with PPx project manager Active and continuous partner in SE team for PQ-topics Works across different material fields Q-contact for supplier during project phase until QG5 and for ECRs until RB SOP +6 months Follows up quality related issues at supplier during ramp up phase Ensures lessons learned across projects and suppliers 19
Summary Supplier performance in a dynamic environment In spite of turbulent boundary conditions, Bosch is on the track of further growth and profitability. Strategic focus fields in mobility: Transforming the powertrain sector» Increase efficiency in combustion engines, further reduce emissions» electric vehicle: complete eaxle available Automated driving & connectivity:» software is a growing part of the car» car will develop into the 3 rd living space Adjust to regional focus points, e.g. e-mobility in China Early involvement of suppliers into the product development process to ensure operational performance on behalf of quality, cost and delivery 20
QUESTIONS?