The EurObserv ER barometer Contract N EIE/O9/737/SI Project supported by :

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The EurObserv ER barometer Contract N EIE/O9/737/SI2.558317 Project supported by :

Data comparison between Eurostat and EurObserv ER February 2013

Comparison EurObserv ER /Eurostat The purpose of this work is to compare two kinds of surveys: - Eurostat statistics: aggregated data from national statistical offices - EurObserv ER indicators: very reactive survey of the most updated trends in RES sectors This comparison was carried out in February 2013. The following slides compare the most updated figures provided by Eurostat on RES at that time (for year 2011) and the data for the same year published in the 2012 by EurObserv ER (on thematic and overview barometers). An exception : for the % of RES share in the final energy consumption, the most up-to-date figures on Eurostat database were for 2010

For electricity production: below a discrepancy of 5 % (for capacity installed and electricity generated), accuracy will be considered high. For heat and primary energy production: below a discrepancy of 10 % (for capacity installed and/or energy generated), accuracy will be considered high. Beyond these thresholds, the differences will be analysed by the consortium in order to find out the explanations of the gap

Capacity installed Windpower PV Small hydropower plants Geothermal for electricity generation Ocean energy

Windpower capacity installed (in MW) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 94 099 94 097 0,1 % EU 25 92 570 92 503 EU 15 89 671 89 810 EU 10 2 899 2 693 For wind power and PV, one point is worth noting : data collected by Eurostat at the end of a year is about the net capacity connected whereas those collected by EurObserv'ER earlier in a year concern nominal capacity, which explains some of the differences.

Details of the comparison Windpower capacity installed 35 000 30 000 25 000 EurObserv'ER Data (MW) 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 Eurostat Data (MW)

PV capacity installed (in MW) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 50 936 51 427 1 % EU 25 50 781 51 221 EU 15 48 591 48 654 EU 10 2 190 2 566

Details of the comparison PV capacity installed 30 000 25 000 EurObserv'ER Data (MW) 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 Eurostat Data (MW)

Small hydropower plants capacity installed (in MW) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 13 553 13 612 0,4 % EU 25 12 891 12 729 EU 15 11 997 11 823 EU 10 894 906 For Germany, provisional estimates from AGEE-Stat were used for the thematic barometer. Some consolidations were made in the final Eurostat questionnaire. For Bulgaria, EurObserv ER is collecting data from APEE (Association of Producers of Ecological Energy) which do not give the same figures as the Ministry.

Details of the comparison Small hydropower plants capacity installed 3000 2500 2000 EurObserv'ER Data (MW) 1500 1000 500 Bulgaria Germany 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 Eurostat Data (MW)

Geothermal installed capacity for electricity generation (in MW) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 770 776 0,8 % EU 25 770 776 EU 15 770 776 EU 10 0 0 One difference is that data for France in overseas departments are not taken into account by Eurostat.

Ocean energy capacity installed (in MW) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 241 242,9 0,7 % EU 25 241 242,9 EU 15 241 242,9 EU 10 0 0

Energy production Primary energy from biomass From solid biomass From renewable municipal wastes From biogas Biofuels production Electricity generation from PV Electricity generation from windpower RES-E in gross electricity consumption RES in gross inland energy consumption

Primary energy from solid biomass (ktoe) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 78 397 78 875 0,7% EU 25 73 890 73 975 EU 15 58 764 58 768 EU 10 15 126 15 206

Details of the comparison Primary energy from solid biomass 14 000 12 000 10 000 EurObserv'ER Data (MW) 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 Romania 0 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 Eurostat Data (MW)

Primary energy from waste (ktoe) in 2011 Eurostat (only renewable municipal waste) EurObserv ER (only renewable municipal waste) EU 27 8 456 8 487 0,4 % EU 25 8 238 5 697 EU 15 5 666 5 697 EU 10 2 572 2 543

Details of the comparison Primary energy from renewable municipal wastes 2 500 2 000 EurObserv'ER Data (MW) 1 500 1 000 500 0 0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 Eurostat Data (MW)

Primary energy from biogas (ktoe) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 10 225 10 153 0,7 % EU 25 10 209 10 150 EU 15 9 639 9 616 EU 10 570 533

Details of the comparison Primary energy from biogas 6 000 5 000 Eurostat Data (KTOE) 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 EurObserv'ER Data (KTOE)

Biofuels consumption (in ktoe) in 2011 Eurostat Cons. for transport EurObserv ER EU 27 13 951 13 976 0,2 % EU 25 13 739 13 777 EU 15 12 031 11 965 EU 10 1 708 1 811 Since 2010 EurObserv ER is using the methodology indicated in the European Directive to convert tons of biofuels into toe. This methodology is not always used by all statistical offices in Europe.

Details of the comparison Biofuels consumption 3 000 2 500 Eurostat Data (KTOE) 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 EurObserv'ER Data (KTOE)

Electricity generation from PV (GWh) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 44 972 44 832 0,3 % EU 25 44 870 44 710 EU 15 42 212 42 097 EU 10 2 658 2 612

Details of the comparison Electricity generation from PV 20 000 18 000 EurObserv'ER data (GWH) 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 Eurostat data (GWh)

Electricity generation from windpower (GWh) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 179 015 172 124 3,8 % EU 25 168 993 161 892 EU 15 160 452 153 594 EU 10 8 541 8 083 Data for electricity production from windpower in Germany was not available when EurObserv ER published its figures. EurObserv ER estimated the production.

Details of the comparison Electricity generation from windpower 50 000 45 000 Germany 40 000 EurObserv'ER data (GWH) 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 40 000 45 000 50 000 Eurostat data (GWh)

RES-E in gross electricity consumption (in %) in 2011 Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 20,4 % 20,6 % 0,8 %

Details of the comparison RES-E in gross electricity consumption (in %) in 2011 70,00 60,00 EurObserv'ER (in %) 50,00 40,00 30,00 20,00 Romania 10,00 Bulgaria 0,00 0,00 10,00 20,00 30,00 40,00 50,00 60,00 70,00 Eurostat (in %) For Romania and Bulgaria EurObserv ER underestimated the gross electricity consumption in 2011

RES in gross final energy consumption in 2010 (in %) Eurostat EurObserv ER EU 27 12,5% 12,4 % 0,8 %

Details of the comparison Share of RES in gross final energy consumption in 2010 (in %) 50,0 Sweden 45,0 40,0 EurObserv'ER (in %) 35,0 30,0 25,0 20,0 15,0 Romania Latvia 10,0 5,0 0,0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Eurostat (in %) For Romania and Sweden EurObserv ER underestimated the gross final energy consumption in 2010 For Latvia overestimated the gross final energy consumption in 2010