Technology Overview. Mary Gustanski. Glen De Vos. Vice President Engineering & Program Management. Vice President of Services, Delphi

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Transcription:

Technology Overview Mary Gustanski Vice President Engineering & Program Management Glen De Vos Vice President of Services, Delphi 1

Automotive computing: More than Moore s Law DMIPS 1,000,000 Automotive performance trend and Moore s law Self-Driving Transistors/cm 2 10 14 Automotive computing requirements are Outpacing Moore s Law 100,000 Partially automated 10 12 10,000 1,000 100 Electromechanical safety 2000 Advanced Driver Assist 2010 2020 Moore s Law 10 10 10 8 10 6 * Charts provided by Intel new car has 100M lines of code ADAS and AD processing requirements are skyrocketing 2

Accelerating macro trends create new challenges Regulated Active Safety growing with increased consumer awareness Best-value electrification required to meet step function change in regulation IoT driving connected car to new levels & creating new challenges More safe More green More connected CO 2 g/km 250 IoT 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Passive Active Active regulated and incentivized 200 150 100 CH 117 US 90 EU 95 50 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Connectivity Validating 5.9GHz standard for Dedicated Short-Range Radio Communication (DSRC) Cybersecurity Auto Information Sharing and Analysis Center (ISAC) developing process to share & fix vulnerabilities Big Data OEMs enabled to collect but not personalize information Providing integrated intelligent solutions for our customers 3

Building blocks of Intelligent Driving Optimized Vehicle Architecture Multi-Domain Controller High speed electrical architecture Engine management system Manage complexity & performance Connected Infotainment Integrated Cockpit Controller BYOD Cloud computing Features & functionality Active Safety Sensor Fusion Suite of sensors Redundancy & reliability Enabling Automated Driving Massive amounts of Software Coded by Delphi and partners Automated algorithms, learning as you drive Delphi responding to opportunities with end-to-end solutions 4

Future solutions enabled by industry-leading architectures 2015 2020+ Moves information at less than 65 Mbps using a language created in the 1980s Distributes decision-making across 100 microprocessors and 50 electronic control units Data speeds will increase 2200% to 1.5 Gbps using high speed Ethernet Centralized multi-domain controllers will make decisions 34,000 times faster than a human Exchanges ~15,000 different pieces of data in the blink of an eye Primarily 12V power with 1.5 miles of cabling, 280 connections & 300 diagnostic parameters Will exchange ~100,000 different pieces of data in the blink of an eye Up to 600V with 2.5 miles of cabling, 350 connections & 1000 diagnostic parameters High speed data enables tomorrow s technology today 5

Safety benefit Active safety as the foundation of automated driving 100% 10x 80% Cost 20% Safety benefit Cost 1x Level 0 No automation Driver is in complete control of vehicle Level 1 Function-specific automation Automation of one or more control functions Level 2 Combined function automation Automation of two or more control functions Level 3 Limited self-driving automation Driver able to cede full control of all safetycritical functions under certain conditions Level 4 High self-driving automation Driver able to cede full control of all safetycritical functions for an entire trip Level 5 Full self-driving automation No driver required Level 2 automation delivers 80% of the benefit for 20% of the cost of full automation 6 Note: Levels of vehicle automation as defined by NHTSA

Evolution of computing platform architecture Individual component controllers Separate ECUs with individual custom microprocessors Primarily low and mid speed data busses with conventional power distribution network BA T PD U PD U PD U Multi domain system controllers Integrated ECUs with multi-purpose processors High speed busses (ETH, LVDS) with fault tolerant power distribution network supporting redundancy PD U BA PD T U PD U PD U PD U PD U PD U BA T Autosar and one operating system per ECU Scalable by removing or adding processors Cybersecurity risks Adaptive Autosar and multi-os (Hypervisor) Scalable computing platform processing power Cybersecurity built-in with intrusion detection & OTA High end performance processors with scalability and hardware abstraction 7

Computing platform: Multi Domain Controller (MDC) Active Safety Multi-Domain Controller (MDC) ADAS Centralized Sensor Fusion/Control Scalable software platform Reduced architecture complexity Faster communication/interconnection Multi-processor configurations Production launch in 2017 Front Radar Controller Camera Controller Airbag Controller Multi-Domain Controller ESC Controller Rear and Side Radar LiDAR Controller Controller Enables future system SW optimization / upgradability 8

Automated Mobility on Demand (AMoD) Key accelerators driving early adoption of commercial Automated Mobility solutions Level 4/5 Level 3 Level 2 Level 1 Level 0 Market driver Motivated by economics rather than just safety or convenience Governance Simplified regulatory and legal environment at the local level vs. federal/state Mobility profile 2016 2020 2025 2030 2035 Commercial AMoD Consumer ADAS/AD Limited use cases in commercial applications in contrast with the consumer market AMoD also creates opportunities for a more connected car 9

Delphi and Mobileye CSLP level 4/5 platform Mobileye s real-time mapping and vehicle location (REM TM ) Performs detailed interpretations of camera images to map the area around the vehicle and plots a drivable path. Mobileye s best-in-class vision (camera) systems and real-time mapping and vehicle location Delphi s Ottomatika Automated Driving software, sensor suite, and computing platform Delphi s Sensor Suite Radars: Radio waves sent out and bounce off objects, like this pedestrian. The speed and distance of these objects is calculated in any weather, day or night. LiDAR: Light pulses sent out and reflect off objects like this pedestrian. LiDAR identifies the object as a person and her distance from the car, day or night. RACam: Combines a midrange radar and a forwardfacing camera that can see and identify the pedestrian, plus sense objects further down the road. Mobileye Vision System Cameras take a 360-degree image around the car and send it to the Multi-Domain Controller. The images are processed and objects are identified. Mobileye s Policy and Reinforcement Learning Systems Helps negotiate with other human drivers and pedestrians in complex urban scenes. Delphi s Multi-Domain Controller Information from the sensing systems as well as mapping and navigation data is fused to make driving decisions such as when to stop or go. Offering a fully autonomous solution to OEMs by 2019 10

CSLP platform leveraging partnerships Mobileye: Vision Systems & Fusion Reference Learning / AI Localization using REM Intel: Automated Driving SoC OS and support Software Connectivity Data Centers / Management Intel / Delphi / Partners Middleware and Tools Functional Safety Key partners create the CSLP Platform 11

Increasing content per vehicle Automated Driving Additional architecture +$100 CPV Vision sensors +$220 CPV Actuation & other sensing +$285 CPV Radar sensors +$330 CPV Lidar sensors +$2000 CPV Embedded controls, algorithms +$2,300 CPV +$5,000 - $5,500 CPV when moving to a Level 4/5 vehicle in 2020 12 Note: assumes 2020 volumes; and four lidar sensors, five radar sensors and six vision sensors

Redefining connected Infotainment: Integrated Cockpit Creating a configurable, rich and touch-free user experience Eye glance Gesture control Voice recognition 3D Displays Customized Information in 3D: full-color, high-resolution, re-configurable 13 13

Consumer demand is driving connected car capability World-class connectivity helps address safe & green challenges Security Big Data BYOD 10110001100000 10110001111010100000 OTA The IoT is disrupting traditional automotive 14

Computing platform: Integrated Cockpit Controller (ICC) Integrated Cockpit Controller (ICC) Infotainment & User Experience Centralized Control Scalable software platform Reduced architecture complexity Gesture Controller Cluster Controller HeadUnit Controller Radio V2X Connectivity Controller Gateway Faster communication/interconnection Multi-processor configurations Integrated Cockpit Controller Enables future system SW upgradability and a rich user experience 15

IDI computing platform and software architecture System Integration by Delphi Vehicle Embedded Micro Server Audio Video Processing Multi Domain SoC Audio Tuner Router Middleware Operating System Board Support Package (BSP) Micro (e.g., TI Jacinto SoC) Drivers Health Monitoring & Services Layer Hypervisor Board Support Package (BSP) Micro (e.g., NVIDiA or Intel SoC) Drivers Vehicle Interface & Security Controller OME / Other Delphi 3 rd Party SoC Provider Vehicle Control Autosar Middleware Microprocessor (e.g., M4, V850, K0R, ) Other Vehicle Interfaces Goal: Become the industry standard for IDI platforms 16

Electrification expected to grow Hybrids increase in the next 10 years: ~24M by 2025 120 100 Mild hybrids (primarily 48V) Alternative fuels Full hybrids Electric vehicles 24M 9M 15M 80 Diesel 17M 60 40 GDi gasoline 38M 62M 20 PFI gasoline 24M 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 >95% of all light-duty will have an internal combustion engine in 2025 17 Source: IHS October 2016

Electrification provides more power & closes regulation gap Stringent regulatory fleet targets cannot be achieved with engine systems alone US Fuel economy: 54.5 mpg 2025 EU Emissions: 95 CO 2 g/km 2021 China Emissions: 117 CO 2 g/km 2020 An enjoyable ride Best-value electrification: 48V mild hybrid Provides more power for features & functions Incorporates an e-charger for launch assist Enables premium safety, entertainment & convenience Baseline: 4-cyl. turbo GDi with dual cam phasing Stringent regulations A greener choice Electrification enables a downsized engine Maximizing the use of the e-motor Best value hybrid solution 4x the voltage, 4x the power, think of the possibilities 18

The Delphi solution Creating intelligent electrification with Delphi s 48V solution 48V electrification Optimized electrical architecture is the foundation Builds on electrical solution competency Enabling intelligent electrification Improved functionality, better performance, greater efficiency Software, software, software Includes electrical architecture, power electronics and management Designs a custom vehicle architecture Maximizes the use of power, moving high load components to 48V & incorporating all desired comfort, convenience & functional features Incorporates Delphi s suite of products Optimized electrification architecture Fuel injection systems DC/DC converter Engine control Connected Infotainment Valve Train & engine sensors Active Safety Customized vehicle architectures for all applications 19

Electrification growth forecast by region 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 Americas Europe Asia 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Significant growth in Asia and Europe 20 Source: IHS October 2016

Mild hybrid production volumes January & October 2016 IHS update Vehicle units China & Europe markets dominate 48V mild hybrid projection: ~12M in 2025 21 Source: IHS January & October 2016

Electrification increases Delphi content per vehicle (CPV) Powertrain Management Electrical System Battery Management Supervisory controller Supervisory software Inverter Combined inverter/converter 48V Driver module 48V fusing & distribution High power & voltage connectors High voltage shielded cable DC/DC converter Charging inlets and cables Internal battery connections 12V battery monitor Battery pack controller On-board charger E/EA Powertrain Gasoline ICE 48V Mild Hybrid (Components and Full System) Full Hybrid (HEV) 5x CPV$ Plug-in Hybrid (PHEV) 7-8x CPV$ Electric Vehicle (EV) 7-8x CPV$ 1x CPV$ 2-4x CPV$ Comprehensive portfolio enables vehicle electrification 22

Macro trends and disruptors create new growth opportunities Market challenge Delphi portfolio expansion Delphi solution A safer ride Increasing regulation Active Safety Automated Driving Power for functions More stringent regulations Engine systems 48V hybrid electrification Demand for IoT Leveraging BYOD Onboard navigation Connected car Intelligent Driving Safe, green & connected converge with intelligent software solutions 23

24 Making it possible.