Aluminum Use in the Auto Industry - Update. November 3, 2016

Similar documents
AUTOMOTIVE ALUMINUM GROWTH SURGE : ALUMINUM CONTENT IN NORTH AMERICAN LIGHT VEHICLES

MARKET. contents AMERICAN SALES

2012 SAE Government and Industry Meeting January 26, 2012 EPA & NHTSA

Model Year 2017: Alternative Fuel and Advanced Technology Vehicles (updated: 4/4/2017) Biodiesel (B20)

Market Report for 3/5/2018

BrandWatch 2014Q4 Topline Report

northisland.ccu.com/carsale Year Make Model/Description Mileage KBB Value Sale Price

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

PART NUMBER MAKE MODEL START YEAR END YEAR SUBMODEL SS025-4 ACURA MDX SS027-1 ACURA RDX SS025-5 ACURA RL (ALL MODELS)

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

Midterm Evaluation of the Light-Duty Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Standards

California Auto Outlook Comprehensive information on the California vehicle market Volume 14, Number 2 Released May 2018 Covering First Quarter 2018

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

BrandWatch 2015 Q2 Topline Report

ALABAMA January 2019

STOCK # YEAR MAKE MODEL MILEAGE

NEW ITEMS Chrysler/Ford

2015 J.D. Power Vehicle Dependability Study (VDS)

2018 SUV & Truck Buyer s Guide

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18* Years Historical data source: IHS Markit

Released: January 2019 Covering data thru December % Change In New Retail Market: 2018* vs Annual Trends in Area New Vehicle Market

Lubrication Needs for Next Generation Gasoline Passenger Car Engine Technology

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18* Years Historical data source: IHS Markit

Kurt Faller

PRODUCT RANK SC# - % SALES TOTAL GENERAL DESCRIPTION

Analysis of American University s Latest Made in America Index

NORTH AMERICA POLICY & POLITICS

PRESS RELEASE 04:30 EDT, 12 th October 2017 Troy, MI, USA

A3 Wagon ALL SMALL A4 ALL SMALL A6 ALL SMALL A7 ALL SMALL A8 ALL SMALL S4 ALL SMALL S7 ALL SMALL S8 ALL SMALL Q5 ALL MEDIUM Q7 ALL MEDIUM

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

INVENTORY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM

NEW YORK January 2019

DOT s CAFE Rulemaking Analysis. Kevin Green Chief, CAFE Program Office Volpe National Transportation Systems Center.

PRODUCT RANK SC# - % SALES TOTAL GENERAL DESCRIPTION

STOCK # YEAR MAKE MODEL MILEAGE

Fuel Efficiencies - A Supplier Perspective. June 4th, 2009

PRESS RELEASE 04:30 EDT, 7 th April 2017 Troy, MI, USA

ATTACHMENT 2 (p.1 of 5) 2004 PASSENGER VEHICLE MODELS WITH SIDE AIRBAGS

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

comscore Automotive Targets for Tier C

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

2012 SAE Government and Industry Meeting January 26, 2012 EPA & NHTSA

North Carolina Green Vehicle Guide

Driver Death Rate Table* (model years )

Jett Auction August 2018

2012 MODEL YEAR VEHICLES

ATTACHMENT 4 (p.1 of 5) 2003 PASSENGER VEHICLE MODELS WITH SIDE AIRBAGS

11% FINISHING THE YEAR STRONG TOP SEGMENT GAINERS. All. Mainstream segments experience increased traffic in Q4

20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 13.6% % chgange vs. year earlier 5.0% 0.0% -5.0% -10.0% 1Q '15 vs. 1Q '14. Source: IHS Markit

Vehicle Towing Guide. Can Your Car Tow the Opus? Check out our comprehensive towing guide below. Make Model Engine Towing Capacity

San Diego Auto Outlook

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

Outlook for North American Production

Educating Donald: The Integrated North American Automotive Industry. APRC Research Workshop, Kingbridge Centre, Toronto March 16, 2017

San Diego Auto Outlook

Aluminium penetration in cars

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

Automobile Body Sheet /Casting Growth Impact On Scrap. All Raw Materials Consulting 1

Driving Automotive Innovation Cylinder Deactivation

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

MARCA MODELO AÑOS Observacion Del Izquierda Del Derecha

Silicon Valley Auto Outlook

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

On the Role of Body-in-White Weight Reduction in the Attainment of the US EPA/NHTSA Fuel Economy Mandate

2006 North Carolina Green Vehicle Guide

Arthritic hands; diminished fine motor skills. Thick steering wheel. Keyless ignition Power mirrors Power seats. Keyless entry

Important Usage Information

AirAware App Guide # DD April OEM Replaced By. Make Model Year OEM Part #

JA Auctioneering Sales by Product/Service Detail

9595 LYNN BUFF COURT LAUREL, MD 20723

Thomas Hirchak Company Market Report for 9/9/ /12/2017. Page: 1 07:11:19

Global Automotive DowAksa current focus

RETAIL FORUM: NADA BRAND PROFILES

New Vehicle Registrations Remained Above 2 million Units in

Thomas Hirchak Company Market Report for 7/1/2016-8/3/2016. Page: 1 15:19:20

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

Horizon Global Carryovers (1/23/2018 to 2/26/2018) Part No Description Year / Make / Model Brand Way U.S. Car End Connector (See Application

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

Chaverim of Rockland Emergency Services

Thomas Hirchak Company Market Report for 10/22/ /27/2016. Page: 1 15:37:43

Vehicles Subject to the Gas Guzzler Tax for Model Year 2010

2011 MARKET DATA NORTH AMERICA SALES. Contents

Pretzel Power (Teacher Instructions)

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

'08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18* Years Historical data source: IHS

THANK YOU FOR COMING TO PREMIER PUBLIC AUTO AUCTION

Minnesota New Vehicle Market Posts Big Gain So Far in 2012

** View our inventory every week at ** Join our mailing list to get our inventory every week! Text PremierPAA to 22828

90APPENDIX A.1: NOTES

November Crain Communications. All rights reserved. MARKET DATA NORTH AMERICA SALES

Proactive Positioning Seeking Opportunity in a Low Growth Environment

NORTH AMERICAN AUTOMOTIVE METALS CONFERENCE SEPTEMBER 2-3, 2015

Consumers Ask, Automakers Deliver: APEAL Shows Biggest Improvement in Study s History, J.D. Power Finds

SGIC Insurance Car Security Scores August Small. Immobiliser (/50) Vehicle ID (/40) Make Model Entry (/10)

Noncrash fire losses. Insurance Report. Prepared by HLDI for NHTSA Passenger Cars, Pickups, SUVs, and Vans. December 2018

INVENTORY MANAGEMENT PROGRAM

U.S. Fuel Economy and Fuels Regulations and Outlook

Higher CAFE Standards Is America Ready? Paul Lacy Technical Research Manager, Americas

Transcription:

Aluminum Use in the Auto Industry - Update November 3, 2016

Agenda Aluminum is used in most cars and trucks (where and what extent) Fuel economy legislation (NA and Global) Technologies available to reach fuel economy improvements What has changed in the last 3 years Impact of aluminum use Questions 2

Historic Aluminum use in NA Auto (and future projections) 3

Universal Aluminum Use (or at least very common) 4

Closures and Body in WhiteW) 5

Current Applications Produced Using Arconic Material Ford GM FCA Honda Subaru F150 BIW and closures F250, F350, F450 BIW and closures Navigator Expedition Mustang hood and fenders Toyota Lexus RX, hood and liftgate Chevy Malibu Cadillac CTS, CTS- V hood and doors Cadillac XTS Cadillac ATS Cadillac CT6, doors, BIW parts Buick LaCrosse Camaro 300 200 Charger Challenger SRT-8 Charger Liberty SRT-8 Grand Cherokee Cherokee Pacifica Hood and Doors Acura MDX Altima Maxima Nissan Infiniti JX Pathfinder Rogue Murano Tesla BIW and closure panels Tribeca Legacy Outback hood, liftgate Daimler Truck Cab outer inner panels, reinforcements PACCAR Truck Cab outer, inner panels, reinforcements 6

Fuel Economy Legislation 7

Size and Weight Change in North America Over time 8

MPG (CAFE Test Cycle Normalized) G-CO 2 /km (NEDC Test Cycle Normalized) Fuel Economy Regulations Regulations only get tougher moving forward 80 Passenger Vehicle Fuel Economy Fleet Average 270 Passenger Vehicle GHG Emissions Fleet Average 70 250 230 60 50 40 EU Japan South Korea China US 210 190 170 150 130 30 20 Solid Lines = Actual Std. Dotted Lines = Estimated Std. 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 110 90 70 Solid Lines = Actual Std. Dotted Lines = Estimated Std. 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Conversion factor between fuel economy and CO 2 emissions: 8887 g CO 2 per gallon of gasoline 10180 g CO 2 per gallon of diesel 9 9

US Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFÉ) standards are size based, so each vehicle has a fuel economy target based upon its wheelbase and track 65.0 CAFÉ Targets for Passenger Cars 60.0 55.0 T a r g e t m p g 50.0 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 2012 Car target 2016 Car target 2017 Car target 2018 Car target 2019 car target 2020 Car target 2025 Café Target 25.0 Fiesta Cruze Malibu Chrysler 300 20.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 Footprint (square feet) 10

Truck Targets What is a truck? 55.0 Truck CAFE targets 50.0 T a r g e t m p g 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 2012 Truck target 2016 truck target 2017 Truck target 2018 Truck Target 2019 truck target 2020 truck target 2025 truck target 25.0 20.0 Durang o Grand Cherokee 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 Footprint (sq ft) F150 11

Example: Chrysler 300 Chrysler 300 Model Introduced in 2011 Wheelbase: 120.2 inches Ave. track: 63.6 inches Footprint = wheelbase x track/144 = 53 sq ft. Target (mpg) 2012 29.2 2016 32.6 2020 37.6 2025 46.8 Engine transmission Café mpg 5.7 L (8 cyl) Auto 5 speed 24.1 3.6 L (6 cyl) Auto 5 speed 27.2 3.6 L (6 cyl) Auto 8 speed 30 11 % improvement by reducing engine size 21% improvement by adding 8 speed transmission Next launch --- 2018!!! 12

Drivetrain Alone Cannot Provide the Fuel Savings Required by 2020 Aero Drag Reduction Low Drag Brakes Low Rolling Resistance Tires Mass Reduction (3.5 to 8.5% of Curb Weight) Mass Reduction (1.5% of Curb Weight) Belt mounted Integrated Starter Generator Improved Accessories Electric Power Steering Dual Clutch or Automated Manual Transmission 6/7/8-Speed Auto. Trans with Improved Internals Exhaust Gas Recirculation (EGR) Boost Turbocharging and Downsizing Combustion Restart Stoichiometric Gasoline Direct Injection (GDI) Discrete Variable Valve Lift (DVVL) on OHV VVT - Dual Cam Phasing (DCP) Engine Friction Reduction Low Friction Lubricants 3.5 6% 5.5 9.5% 14 25% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Ref: Corporate Average Fuel Economy for MY2012-MY2016 Passenger Cars % Improvement in Fuel Economy and Light Trucks Final Regulatory Impact Analysis, NHTSA, March 2010 13

Dramatic Weight Reduction Across All Applications Potential Weight savings with aluminum D-class vehicle Steel (1) (kg) Aluminum (kg) Typical Wt. Saving (kg) % saving Hood 16 8 8 50 50 kg saved Fenders 7 3.5 3.5 50 Decklid 17 9 8 47 Source: Alcoa Technical Center (1) Current BIW using AHSS Doors 73 43 30 41 BIW 328 209 119 36 Total 441 273 169 38 14

Primary and Secondary Weight Savings Primary weight savings is the actual savings associated with changes to the Body and closures via material changes, design optimization and thickness reductions. In all cases, a primary weight savings leads to a secondary weight savings: A lighter vehicle allows for smaller suspension components, brakes, engine, etc. with comparable performance of the base vehicle Typically, 30% of the primary savings can be obtained as secondary savings in cars 1. In light trucks, 10-15% of the primary savings is achievable (because of towing and cargo requirements). At the specification stage, the weight target for the secondary systems must be reduced to reflect the primary weight savings. A 10% REDUCTION IN CURB WEIGHT RESULTS IN A 6 TO 7% FUEL ECONOMY IMPROVEMENT (INCLUDING ENGINE DOWNSIZING) 1. AZT reference 15

Aluminum Auto Applications Current and Previous 16

MPG Requirements High volume auto body evolution Evolution of auto design scenarios Multi-Material Aluminum Intensive Vehicle (Strength & ductility for safety, Robust joining) Tailoring Products Aluminum Closures (Increased formability for design/styling) Steel & Aluminum Hybrid (High scrap utilization, Steel to aluminum joining) 17

Review of 3 Production Aluminum Doors Audi A8 (same Concept as A6) Infiniti M56 BMW 7 Series (same Concept as 5 Series) Front Driver door (DIW) Wt = 25 lb (11.4 kg) Max Depth = 145 mm Joining methods-laser, SPR Number of parts = 14 (incl 1 extrusion) Alum extruded door guard beam Front Driver door (DIW) Wt = 25 lb (11.4 kg) Max Depth = 130 mm Joining methods-mig, SPR Number of parts = 16 (incl 5 extrusions) Front Driver door (DIW) Wt = 25 lb (11.4 kg) Max Depth = 156 mm Joining methods-laser, SPR, clinch Steel door guard beam Number of parts = 11 Vehicle production volume: A8-23,000 A6 220,000 Alum extruded door guard beam Vehicle production volume = 15,000 Vehicle production volume: 7 series - 65,000 5 series 210,000 18

Audi Aluminum Vehicles 2013 Audi A8 Aluminum since 1994 2016 Audi Q7 2006 Audi TT Aluminum since 2008 (hybrid steel/alum) 2013 Audi R8 Aluminum since 2006 19 19

Jaguar/Land Rover Aluminum Vehicles 2013 Jaguar XJ Aluminum since 2003 2013 Range Rover 2016 Jaguar XF 2013 Jaguar XE 2013 Jaguar F Type 2017 Jaguar F Pace 20

Ferrari/Lamborghini Aluminum Vehicles Lamborghini Gallardo Ferrari 430 Aluminum since 1998 Ferrari 599 Aluminum since 2003 21 21

Corvette GM Aluminum Vehicles Corvette Z06 Aluminum Frame since 2006 New Model C07 and Z07 launched in 2013 All models will have an aluminum frame 22

Mercedes Benz Aluminum Vehicles 2013 Mercedes Benz SL Roadster 110 kg lighter than steel body 2011 Mercedes Benz AMG SLS Coupe 23

Mercedes Benz Steel/Aluminum Hybrid Vehicles 2014 Mercedes Benz S Class Aluminum roof, doors, hood, decklid, rear package shelf, frontend, front subframe Saved 50 kg using aluminum over the steel body 24

2015 F150 Introduction 2014 Detroit Auto Show 25

2015 F150 26

Ford F-150 facts Best in class gasoline fuel economy (19/26 mpg) Best in class towing performance 700-890 lb lighter than 2014 steel model America s best selling vehicle for over 30 years Contributes to CAFE improvement for the first time 28

Aluminum improves fuel economy across Ford s entire vehicle line THE NEXT GENERATION 2.7L ECOBOOST 2.7 L EcoBoost engine has higher cargo capacity than steel truck with 5L and 6.2L V8 engines Vehicle weight savings enabled engine downsizing THE NEW 3.5L V6 3.5L ECOBOOST 5.0L V8 FFV 29

Curb Weight Comparison between steel and aluminum F150 Curb weight comparison Regular Cab 5.5-ft. Styleside 6.5-ft. Styleside 8.0-ft. Styleside Steel Ford F150-2014 engine 4x2 4x4 4x2 4x4 4x2 4x4 Aluminum Ford F150-2015 Engine 3.5L V 6 E coboost 905 950 678 720 2.7L E coboost V 6 3.5L V 6 E coboost - - 516 552 3.5L E coboost V 6 Base Curb W eight - 3.7L V 6 635 616 610 608 3.5L T i-v CT V 6 5.0L V 8 (lbs) 568 546 557 534 5.0L T i-v CT V 8 6.2L V 8 5.0L T i-v CT V 8 SuperCab 5.5-ft. Styleside 6.5-ft. Styleside 8.0-ft. Styleside Steel Ford F150-2014 engine 4x2 4x4 4x2 4x4 4x2 4x4 Aluminum Ford F150-2015 Engine 3.5L V 6 E coboost 740 773 778-2.7L E coboost V 6 3.5L V 6 E coboost 632 654 614 640 3.5L E coboost V 6 Base Curb W eight - 3.7L V 6 798 874 - - 3.5L T i-v CT V 6 5.0L V 8 (lbs) 648 691 691 733 5.0L T i-v CT V 8 6.2L V 8 913 919 - - 5.0L T i-v CT V 8 30

Curb Weight Comparison between steel and aluminum F150 SuperCrew 5.5-ft. Styleside 6.5-ft. Styleside 8.0-ft. Styleside Steel Ford F150-2014 engine 4x2 4x4 4x2 4x4 4x2 4x4 Aluminum Ford F150-2015 Engine 3.5L V 6 E coboost 733 809 778-2.7L E coboost V 6 3.5L V 6 E coboost 617 690 658 747 3.5L E coboost V 6 Base Curb W eight - 3.7L V 6 657 - - - 3.5L T i-v CT V 6 5.0L V 8 (lbs) 632 715 681 786 5.0L T i-v CT V 8 6.2L V 8 908 903 943 974 5.0L T i-v CT V 8 31

Target mpg CAFE comparison Smallest engine option available in 4WD 40.0 Truck CAFE targets 35.0 30.0 25.0 Ram Ford Chevy 2016 truck target 2020 truck target 2025 truck target 20.0 15.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 Footprint (sq ft) 32

Cargo Capacity Comparison 33

2017 Ford Super Duty Also all aluminum 34

CAFÉ standards for Trucks Why not go smaller? 2013 GMC Canyon, Chevy Colorado 2.5L I4 3.6 L V6 VVT 4x2 20/27 18/26 4x4 19/26 17/24 2015 F150 Fuel Economy Yellow Stickers 2.7L EcoBoost V6 3.5L Ti-VCT V6 4x2 19/26/22 18/25/20 4x4 18/23/20 17/23/19

CAFÉ standards for Trucks Why not go smaller? 55.0 Truck CAFE targets 50.0 GMC Canyon 2.5 L 2WD T 45.0 a r g e t m p g 40.0 35.0 30.0 GMC Canyon 2.5 L 4WD 2.7 L EcoBoost 2WD 2.7 L EcoBoost 4WD 2012 Truck target 2016 truck target 2017 Truck target 2018 Truck Target 2019 truck target 2020 truck target 2025 truck target 25.0 20.0 Durang o Grand Cherokee 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 Footprint (sq ft) F150 3.5L EcoBoost 2WD 3.5L EcoBoost 4WD 36

Conclusions Some technologies such as low friction lubes, aero improvements, electric power steering will be used in nearly all vehicles Engine and transmission improvements are critical to reaching Café targets, but can t do it all Weight reduction without significant vehicle downsizing allows for additional engine downsizing (along with turbos) to improve fuel economy without reducing performance. Aluminum hoods are common place and are continuing to grow, more closures will become aluminum. Body applications are the next area for aluminum implementation after closures typically only on the larger vehicles. Look for applications on the D, E class and pickup trucks. Some OEMs will focus on all aluminum and others will use a hybrid material (steel/aluminum) approach. 37

38

New Alloy Development Targeting Body Structure Applications Applications Closure panels Crash critical High form High strength Automotive growth projects 39

40

CAFÉ standards for Trucks Ford F150 55.0 Truck CAFE targets 50.0 T 45.0 a r g e t m p g 40.0 35.0 30.0 2.7 L EcoBoost 2WD 2.7 L EcoBoost 4WD 2012 Truck target 2016 truck target 2017 Truck target 2018 Truck Target 2019 truck target 2020 truck target 2025 truck target 25.0 20.0 Durang o Grand Cherokee 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 Footprint (sq ft) F150 3.5L EcoBoost 2WD 3.5L EcoBoost 4WD 41

CAFÉ standards for Trucks Ford F150 55.0 Truck CAFE targets 50.0 T 45.0 a r 40.0 2.7 L EcoBoost 2WD g e t 35.0 2.7 L EcoBoost 4WD 2016 truck target 2020 truck target m 30.0 2025 truck target p g 25.0 20.0 15.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 Footprint (sq ft) 42