The SAARC Power Grid Nepal s Perspective

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The SAARC Power Grid Nepal s Perspective Anil Rajbhandary Director, Power Trade Department, NEA Medium Term Vision for Energy Connectivity in the SAARC Region 10 March, 2015; Islamabad

Energy Resources of the SAARC Region India Oil - significant Coal - significant but of low quality high ash content & low calorific value Natural gas significant Hydropower potential - significant Inadequate to meet rapidly growing energy requirement Pakistan Oil significant Coal significant Natural gas significant Hydropower potential - significant Inadequate to meet rapidly growing energy requirement

Nepal Coal negligible Energy Resources of the SAARC Region Hydropower potential significant Bhutan far exceeds the likely demand due to smaller power system and economy Hydropower potential significant far exceeds the likely demand due to smaller power system and economy Bangladesh Oil insignificant Coal insignificant Natural gas significant Hydropower potential insignificant

Prospect for Grid Connectivity in the SAARC Region Region endowed with coal, gas and water resources Seasonal characteristics of supply from hydro dominated power system: Reduced generation capability during the winter (dry) season Increased generation capability during the summer (wet) season Seasonal characteristics of power demand : System Peak during winter and lower demand during summer in Nepal System Peak during summer and lower demand during winter in India Geographical proximity of the load centers

Benefits of Grid Connectivity in the SAARC Region Diversity in energy resources and seasonality in power supply/demand could complement the power system of one country by the other Improve reliability of the power system Lower reserve margin and therefore lower capital investment Lower operating cost by operating the power system in the most optimum way Capture economy of scale by constructing large hydropower projects for the larger integrated power system The end result is the supply of electricity to the consumer that is adequate, reliable and affordable

Nepal Power System Installed Capacity: 794.5 MW 1700 Micro HP, 15 MW On Grid 790.0 MW Off Grid 4.5 MW Hydro 736.6 MW Thermal 53.4 MW ROR 644.6 MW Storage 92 MW IPP 263.6 NEA 381 Import from India 248 MW

NEA Power System Status On Grid Installed Capacity 790.0 MW Transmission Line 132 kv 2,130 Circuit Km NEA Power System Status Substation 132 kv : 28 1,722 MVA Transmission line 66 kv 511 Circuit Km Substation 66 kv : 13 438 MVA Number of consumers 2.7 Million

Total Energy Available and Peak Demand Particulars FY 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14* Peak Demand (MW) 885.28 946.10 1,026.65 1,094.62 1,200.98 NEA Hydro Generation 2,108.65 2,122.08 2,357.43 2,273.11 2,290.78 NEA Thermal Generation 13.01 3.40 1.56 18.85 9.56 NEA Generation Total (GWh) 2,121.66 2,125.48 2,358.99 2,291.96 2,300.34 Power Purchase from India 638.68 694.05 746.07 790.14 1,072.23 Power Purchase from IPPs 591.43 1,038.84 1,073.57 1,175.98 1,258.94 Power Purchase Total (GWh) 1,230.11 1,732.89 1,819.64 1,966.12 2,331.17 Available Energy (GWh) 3,351.77 3,858.37 4,178.63 4,258.08 4,631.51

MW 1225 1200 1175 1150 1125 1100 1075 1050 1025 1000 975 950 925 900 875 850 825 800 775 750 725 700 675 650 625 600 575 550 525 500 475 450 425 400 375 350 325 300 275 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 24 23 22 System Load Curve of Peak Load Day Kartik 17, 2070 (Nov 3, 2013) Sunday Total IMPORT Total IPP Total NEA (ROR) Hrs Total DIESEL Peak Load 1200.98 MW at 18:25 hr LOAD SHEDDING Total NEA STORGE

Breakdown of Supply Option in Meeting the System Peak Supply Option Contribution (MW) NEA Hydro 436.4 NEA Diesel Plants 22 IPP - Hydro 216.4 Import 116.2 Total 791 Peak System Demand 1201 Deficit 410

Percentage Energy Share of Different Supply Options Fiscal Year - 2013/2014 (Total : 5,910.0 GWh) ENERGY SHEDDED 1,278.4 GWh 21.63% IMPORT (WITH TANAKPUR) 1,072.2 GWh 18.15% NEA HYDRO 2,290.78 GWh 38.76% IPP 1,258.94 GWh 21. 3% NEA THERMAL 9.6 GWh 0.16%

Market for Electricity Peak Electricity Demand of Nepal has crossed 1200 MW Prolonged Load Shedding has been enforced to cope with Supply Demand Imbalance since last few years Being a Developing Country and with more than half of the population still without access to electricity, electricity demand is projected to grow on an average by 8.5 percent annually based on target GDP growth rate of 6 percent India, Nepal s immediate neighbour to the south, has presently a power shortfall in excess of 12,000 MW

Energy (GWh) Peak Load (MW) Load Forecast 5,622 30,000 4,493 26,544 6,000 25,000 3,109 21,097 5,000 20,000 2,209 14,462 4,000 15,000 1,426 10,177 3,000 10,000 6,510 2,000 5,000 1,000 - - Energy Fiscal Year Peakload

Power Exchange between Nepal & India Started with the signing of Koshi River Treaty in 1954. Nepal s entitlement 10 MW Power Exchange Agreement concluded in 1971 for a 5 MW power exchange at present it stands at 50 MW level. Other River Treaties: Gandak Treaty: 15 MW Gandak Power Station Built Mahakali Treaty: 12 16 MW (70 GWh per annum) being drawn from the Tanakpur Power Station Import beyond the 50 MW level under commercial terms with PTC India Import of power by India from Nepal is lately on decline Extension of Indian Grid to rural areas adjoining Nepal Border

Existing Import Interconnections Interconnections Voltage Level (kv) Import Power (MW) Kataiya - Kusaha 132 125 Kataiya - Rajbiraj 33 10 Sitamadi-Jaleshwor 33 12 Kataiya-Inaruwa 33 5 Raxaul-Birgunj 33 12 Ramnagar-Gandak 132 25 Jaynagar-Siraha 33 7 Nanpara-Nepalgunj 33 12 Tanakpur-Mahendranagar 132 40 Total 248

New Interconnections Kataiya - Kusaha 132 kv single circuit 15 km 50 MW Raxaul - Parwanipur 132 kv single circuit 17 km 50 MW Both transmission lines are being implemented under Government of India Grant Assistance and are expected to be completed by August, 2015 Dhalkebar Muzzaffarpur 400 kv double circuit crossborder transmission line being implemented under PPP Model

D M 400 kv Cross Border Line Implemented under commercial mode i.e. PPP Model A Joint Venture (JV) company in Nepal called Power Transmission Company Nepal (PTCN) was formed with following share structure: NEA: 50% Power Grid India: 26% HIDC: 14% IEDCL India: 10% A JV company in India called Cross Border Power Transmission Company India (CPTC) was formed with following share structure: IL&FS India: 38% Power Grid India: 26% SJVNL: 26% NEA: 10%

D M 400 kv Cross Border Line.. The JV companies will develop, own, operate and maintain the transmission line in their respective territory. Share Holder s Agreement of both companies were signed on 9 July, 2012 Implementation & Transmission Service Agreements (ITSA) were signed on 13 December, 2011 between NEA & PTCN and between NEA & CPTC whole transmission capacity allocated to NEA NEA to pay Transmission Service Charge (TSC) to PTCN & CPTC PTC India signed Power Sales Agreement (PSA) with NEA on 12 December, 2011 for the bulk sale of 150 MW of power to NEA With the commissioning of mega hydro projects in Nepal, this high capacity interconnection will facilitate in exporting surplus power from Nepal to India

D M Line Project Features Voltage: 400 kv (initially charged at 220 kv) and will be operated in synchronous mode with the Indian grid Line length: 40 Km in Nepal and 86 km in India Transmission Capacity: ~ 1,000 MW The Project is expected to be commissioned by December, 2015

Issues in Cross Border Interconnections NEA to bear all major risks as an off-taker and developer Synchronization between Nepal and India power systems Loop flows Grid code harmonization Security standards and operational protocols Adequacy of load dispatch and communication facilities to handle commercial trade of power

PTA Between Nepal and India On 21 October, 2014; Nepal and India signed an Agreement on Electric Power Trade, Cross-border Transmission Interconnection and Grid Connectivity non-discriminatory access to the cross-border interconnections speed up interconnection planning and construction policy harmonization for the realization of cross-border interconnections, grid connectivity and power trade Joint Working Group Set Up planning and identification of cross-border interconnections preparation and finalization of operation and maintenance guidelines

PTA Between Nepal and India. The Joint Working Group convened a meeting on 20 November, 2014 in New Delhi and decided on: preparation of long term integrated transmission plan by May, 2015 power evacuation from planned hydro power projects in Nepal requirement of related cross border interconnections time frame till 2035 with detailed action plan up to 2025 For the synchronized operation of the Nepal and India Power Systems, a Joint Operation Committee was formed: identify operational issues necessary actions to be taken for smooth operation of the Grid when the Nepal and India power systems are Integrated

SAARC Framework Agreement The SAARC member states, on 27 November, 2014; signed the SAARC Framework Agreement for Energy Cooperation (Electricity): enable cross-border trade of electricity on voluntary basis plan cross-border grid interconnections non-discriminatory access to the respective transmission grids

Concluding Remarks The cumulative excess power available in NEA grid in FY 2019/20 during the off peak period on the basis of number of small to medium sized IPP projects seeking access to NEA Grid has crossed 2000 MW. Arun III (900 MW), Tamakoshi 3 (650 MW), Upper Marsyangdi 2 (600 MW) and Upper Karnali (900 MW) are being developed for the purpose of bulk sale of power to India Project Development Agreements (PDA) for Arun III (900 MW) & Upper Karnali (900 MW) have already been concluded PDA negotiations for Tamakoshi 3 (650 MW) & Upper Marsyangdi 2 (600 MW) are on-going

Concluding Remarks Need for additional Cross Border Interconnections is therefore imminent. Power Trade Agreement between Nepal and India is already in place SAARC Framework Agreement for Energy Cooperation (Electricity) is also already in place

In Conclusion, Realization of the SAARC Power Grid from Nepal s Perspective is not that far. anil_rajbhandary@hotmail.com