Light Duty Vehicle Test Cycle Generation. Based on Real-World Data

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Light Duty Vehicle Test Cycle Generation Based on Real-World Data Alexandr Rosca Department of Mechanical Engineering, at Instituto Superior Técnico, of University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal e-mail: alexandr.rosca@ist.utl.pt Abstract: In order to launch a new car model, a vehicle manufacturer has to ensure that it follows the applicable regulations and standards. With concern for the welfare of the environment, emission standards impose maximum allowable amount of pollutants a car can emit. In order to assess the pollutant emission rate of the certifiable vehicle, it has to perform a type-approval test cycle on a chassis dynamometer, while tailpipe gases are collected and analyzed. Currently used test cycles for vehicle certification are not representative of real-world drive, showing lower fuel consumption and pollutant emission. This issue has been discussed by various investigators, and is currently being addressed by Agencies and Commissions of the leading motorization countries. This research work attempts to implement a methodology capable of generating test cycles with limited duration, suitable for car certification process, which would closer represent the real-world data. To validate and apply the test cycle generation methodology, a tool was developed that uses real-world data as input, to generate test cycles with similar characteristics. The generated cycles are composed of segments of commonly used test cycles. Generated Test Cycles were validated using vehicle simulation software, ADVISOR, as well as through the deviation of the test cycle design criteria (average speed and Vehicle Specific Power modes distribution). On average, with the test cycle limited to ~2100 seconds, the deviation between the real-world driving data and the test cycle that was generated based on it, is lower than 1% for average speed, 2% for specific power, 2.5% for fuel consumption and 7% for pollutant emissions. Keywords: Driving cycle; Real-World Data; Vehicle Specific Power (VSP); Fuel Consumption; Pollutant Emissions. 1

1. Introduction: The automobile is by far the favorite type of transport on short to medium range and excluding underdeveloped countries, it is heavily used in day by day routine. The main environmental problems created by automotive sector can be grouped in three major areas: resource depletion, greenhouse gas emissions and local pollution. To address these issues, emission standards were created that set the maximum allowable values for pollutant emissions from light duty vehicles. [1] For each new car or new engine, a test procedure must be performed, which consists of executing a driving test cycle on a chassis dynamometer while collecting and measuring tailpipe emissions in order to assess the car s performance regarding the fulfillment of the requirements imposed by the emission standards. A Test Driving Cycle is a speed vs. time dataset that is supposed to represent a real world driving style, thus allowing to simulate real world conditions in an enclosed and fully controlled laboratorial environment. In Europe, the currently used Test Cycle is New European Driving Cycle (NEDC). Taking into account the evolution of automotive industry technology, and driving style over more than 30 years since the implementation of NEDC test cycle, it is not surprising that the results obtained by performing the cycle don t match and do not represent real world average European emissions/fuel consumption, or in other words, under laboratorial certification tests the car respects the standard homologation requirements, while on the road in many cases it does not [2]. It has been recognized for some time that the NEDC does not adequately capture actual real-world driving patterns. [3] [4] [5] [6] The United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) and United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) recognize the inaccuracies of current in-use test cycles and test environments. They are currently involved in development of new methods for a more accurate and reliable technique of type-approval tests for vehicle certification. [7] [8] The main objectives within this work are: Analyze the current state of certification test cycles Develop a methodology that allows generation of test cycles based on real world data Create Test cycles which better represent the real world driving conditions Validate the accuracy of test cycle generating methodology and apply it to specific cases The targeted goal is to create and test a methodology that would allow the creation/generation of test driving cycles that would perform and represent accurately certain given real world driving (Vehicle Specific Power data or Speed and Altitude data). By accurate representation of the desired real-world data, it is envisioned to have a test cycle that presents fuel consumption and pollutant emissions (NOx, CO, HC and PM), per kilometer, comparable to the real-world values. The test cycle duration is around 30-40 minutes mark, while the real-world data used can have from hours to months worth of data. 2

2. Background: The currently used Testing Driving Cycle in Europe is the New European Driving Cycle (NEDC). It consists of 4 ECE (or UDC) driving cycles (1970) and one EUDC driving cycle. ECE driving cycle is intended to simulate an urban oriented driving style while the EUDC driving cycle represents a more high-way like driving style. As can be seen in the Figure 1, the driving cycle is very simplistic, and as a consequence vehicle and engine manufacturers found a way to explore the limited number of conditions in the cycle by programming their engine management systems to control emissions to regulated levels at the specific test points contained in the cycle (at 35, 50, 55, 70 km/h etc. steady states ), but they still create a great deal more pollution under conditions experienced in real operation and not captured within the execution of the test cycle. [9] Putting it by another words, car manufacturers found a way to manipulate the engine management during the testing procedure in order to show lower emission values than otherwise encountered afterwards in real world driving. As a result, the real emissions are higher than the standards allow, thus undermining the regulations and public health. Figure 1 - NEDC Driving Cycle (4x UDC + 1x EUDC) [1] While the developed methodology in current work, for generating test cycle, aims at simulating the driving conditions of the real-world, the fuel consumption and pollutant emissions also depend on other factors not considered here, as: gearbox and engine management, aging and maintenance, fuel type, cold start, etc. 3. Methodology: The methodology adopted for the test cycle generation process is based on the approaching of 2 parameters to the ones observed in the real-world data used as input for the methodology: average speed and Vehicle Specific Power distribution. 3

By adjusting the average vehicle speed, the fuel consumption can be quite representative of reality. Since the pollutants are far more sensible to acceleration rates, the method of creating a test cycle based solely on the average speed, is not sufficient, still, matching the average speed parameter is a very good way of developing the test cycle. Vehicle Specific Power (VSP) is the instantaneous power required for the car to perform a certain speed, on a road with a certain slope and with certain acceleration. The equation used to calculate VSP is: VSP = v (1.1 a + g + sin(φ) + 0.132) + 0.000302 v 3 where: v - instantaneous speed of the vehicle [m/s]; a - acceleration of the vehicle [m/s 2 ]; φ - inclination of the road [rad]; 0.132 - rolling resistance term coefficient [m/s 2 ]; 0.000302 - aerodynamic drag term coefficient [m -1 ]. In order to easier characterize a trip, drive cycle or driving style/pattern, VSP values are grouped in 14 classes (14 VSP modes) as shown in the Table 1: VSP Mode VSP value range [kw/ton] VSP Mode VSP value range [kw/ton] 1 VSP < -2 8 13 VSP < 16 2-2 VSP < 0 9 16 VSP < 19 3 0 VSP < 1 10 19 VSP < 23 4 1 VSP < 4 11 23 VSP < 28 5 4 VSP < 7 12 28 VSP < 33 6 7 VSP < 10 13 33 VSP < 39 7 10 VSP < 13 14 39 VSP Table 1 - VSP mode values [10] VSP distribution allows for a compact yet accurate method of describing a trip or driving cycle. The idea behind using the VSP mode distribution as a matching criteria for test cycle generation methodology is based on the observed fact that for the same VSP values (or same VSP modes) the fuel consumption and pollutant emissions of a vehicle do not diverge too much. From a large-scale perspective, the test cycle generating methodology consists of combining several blocks from existing test/driving cycles in order to achieve the desired criteria. The concept of blocks introduced here, refers to sections of existent test cycles, applicable for vehicles certification or not, that usually have a short duration of 60 to 200 seconds. To achieve the desired criteria, of matching VSP mode distribution and average speed, the generating method picks, removes and modifies, in an iterative way, pre-existent blocks, from an established block database. After each iteration step, a comparison between current and previous state of the 2 desired criteria mentioned above (VSP distribution and average speed) is made, and only in the case of an improvement on the deviation from the currently generated and the desired VSP mode distribution and average speed, the method accepts the new modifications (block added, removed or modified) and continues the generating process. The concept behind the generating method is 4

simple, easy to understand, yet not easy to implement, as approaching one of the 2 criteria to the desired value, can worsen the approximation of the other criteria. In order to use the heavy computational requirements of this methodology, the Test Cycle Generating Tool was created, based on MatLab language. The Test Cycle Generating Tool (TCGT) allows generation of test cycles with durations of around half an hour that are representative, of input driving data. The input data can have duration of many hours or even in the case of big vehicles fleets, years of driving data. Read and analyze the input data Read the inpud data fle of real world driving, and pick the corresponding "blocks" database to start the generation process. Pick, Drop, Modificate and Substitute "Blocks" From the available "blocks" in the database, the created methodology picks iteratively blocks one by one, modifies them (increase duration or reduce amplitude) verifies if current test cycle improves, and in case it does, repeats the process until the stopping criteria is met. On each step of iteration, beside picking new blocks and their modifications, it also tests if dropping or substituting previously picked blocks improves the test cycle. Compile the final Test Cycle From all the blocks that were picked so far, compile the final test cycle that represents as close as possible the input data from average speed and VSP mode distribution points of view. Figure 2 - Simplistic representation of methodology algorithm 4. Test Cycle Generating Tool: Test Cycle Generating Tool (TCGT) allows the user to easily generate a test cycle, with good kinematic similarities to the input real-world data. The input data can be either a VSP mode distribution and average speed or a speed and altitude data of a measured trip. TCGT also allows the user to set the maximum desired duration of the generated test cycle, as well as to fine tune the approaching criteria on matching the VSP mode distributions (real-world <-> generated cycles). The resulting test cycle, all it s relevant parameter as well as the comparison with the original, selected for the generating process, real-world data are presented in a user friendly graphical interface. Relevant generated data is also stored in an excel file called output.xlsx. For detailed description of how TCGT works, as well as its requirements, consult the full version of current work. In Figure 3 is presented the graphical user interface of the TCGT after generating a test cycle. 5

Figure 3 - TCGT Graphical User Interface 5. Validation: The first step of the validation consists of verifying the similarities in the kinematic behavior of the original and generated cycles and specifically take into account how well matched are the 2 criteria picked for the generating methodology (average speed and VSP mode distribution). From Figure 3, it is easy to observe the similarities between the input data and output test cycle. Average speed deviation is below 1% and the VSP mode distribution curves (red and blue) have a close to indistinguishable shape. Being the TCGT database of blocks limited to 41 elements, it is expected that in dependence of the characteristics of the input data, the generated test cycle does not always have the same low average speed and VSP distribution deviations as in Figure 3 (although they usually are). In case the generated test cycle deviates too much from the desired parameters, the user can attempt an increase in the duration of the test cycle or to pick another Fine Tuning weighting vector for VSP mode distribution matching conditions. Second step of the validation process consists of using the original driving cycle and the corresponding generated test cycle in the automobile simulator ADVISOR, in order to confirm if the fuel consumption and pollutant emission rates are similar. Five driving cycles (and five corresponding test cycles) were used in combinations with five vehicles from ADVISOR database to perform this validation. The resulting data is presented in the Table 2: 6

Fuel Cons.[l/100km] HC [g/km] CO [g/km] NOx [g/km] PM [g/km] Car: Cycle Original Generated Original Generated Original Generated Original Generated Original Generated Gasoline 1 Diesel 1 Diesel 2 Gasoline 2 Hybrid Calm Urban 6,7 6,5 0,114 0,111 0,563 0,44 0,118 0,115 0 0 Urban 6,5 6,1 0,101 0,096 0,808 0,552 0,123 0,129 0 0 Rural 6,2 6 0,102 0,099 0,542 0,385 0,121 0,121 0 0 Aggressive Rural 5,9 5,8 0,093 0,09 0,617 0,565 0,125 0,122 0 0 Highway 6,3 5,8 0,093 0,087 1,002 0,599 0,121 0,137 0 0 Calm Urban 9,9 9,6 0,058 0,058 0,136 0,151 1,271 1,081 0,051 0,048 Urban 10,6 10,1 0,051 0,049 0,118 0,107 2,047 1,72 0,087 0,08 Rural 9,7 9,7 0,039 0,042 0,072 0,08 1,394 1,26 0,058 0,062 Aggressive Rural 10,3 10,1 0,042 0,036 0,07 0,062 1,912 1,842 0,086 0,085 Highway 10,6 10,4 0,035 0,034 0,048 0,052 2,377 2,118 0,099 0,097 Calm Urban 6,2 5,9 0,14 0,138 0,692 0,676 0,713 0,646 0,001 0,001 Urban 5,7 5,4 0,117 0,108 0,397 0,361 0,723 0,594 0,001 0,001 Rural 5,6 5,5 0,1 0,099 0,478 0,456 0,664 0,594 0,001 0,001 Aggressive Rural 5,3 5,1 0,092 0,097 0,305 0,292 0,6 0,565 0,001 0,001 Highway 5,4 5,1 0,086 0,083 0,196 0,193 0,78 0,581 0,001 0,001 Calm Urban 15,3 14,9 0,311 0,309 0,779 0,758 0,55 0,528 0 0 Urban 13,5 12,8 0,243 0,239 0,711 0,577 0,557 0,544 0 0 Rural 13,5 13,3 0,263 0,26 0,587 0,633 0,519 0,5 0 0 Aggressive Rural 12,3 12 0,22 0,218 0,561 0,576 0,528 0,51 0 0 Highway 12,2 11,5 0,205 0,197 0,712 0,541 0,549 0,53 0 0 Calm Urban 8 6,4 0,169 0,152 0,171 0,165 0,046 0,045 0 0 Urban 7,8 6,4 0,14 0,124 0,16 0,143 0,053 0,045 0 0 Rural 7,3 6 0,138 0,122 0,146 0,134 0,044 0,039 0 0 Aggressive Rural 7,4 6,8 0,127 0,12 0,149 0,141 0,051 0,047 0 0 Highway 6,4 7,6 0,104 0,119 0,121 0,149 0,043 0,055 0 0 Correlation*: 0.984 0.996 0.946 0.997 0.982** * Correlation between original and generated cycle data, as calculated by =correl() command in MS Excel **Only Diesel 1 vehicle was considered for PM correlation computation Table 2 - Comparison between original and generated cycles (using ADVISOR) The data from Table 2 suggests a strong relation between the original and generated cycles. A more in depth analysis of the results can be found in the main text of current work, where are also explained the main causes behind some of the deviations found in the table. For a visual representation of the results the Figure 5 presents them in an easier to read form. For a perfect test cycle generating method, the interpolating line in the graph would have the equation: y=x+0. The data suggests that the generated test cycles underestimate the fuel consumption of the input real-world data by approximately 2.2%. Same analysis, is done in the main text of the work, for the pollutant emissions. On average, the test cycles generated by TCGT present a much lower deviation from the real-world data compared to NEDC test cycle. An analysis was performed on the variation of the test cycle accuracy as a function of the test cycle duration. A longer allowed duration for the test cycle will usually yield resulting driving cycles with closer matching average speed and VSP mode distribution curves. 7

Uniform Low-VSP Low-Med VSP Med VSP Med-High VSP High VSP Highway Urban Mixed Generated VSP MODE DEVIATION 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Fuel Consumption [l/100 km] y = 0,9787x - 0,2095 R² = 0,9687 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Original phi 2 phi 5 phi 6 phi 9 Figure 5 - Fuel Consumption Comparison Figure 4 - VSP mode distribution deviation as function of weighting vector and "phi" parameter. The fine-tuning of the weighting vector used for VSP mode distribution comparison during the generating process is recommended to be made as in the Figure 4. Mainly the real-world driving profiles are in the phi modes 2,5,6 and 9, as defined in Figure 6. That is, if the test cycle tried to be generated, has to be representative of the input, real-world data, that has average speed of 48 km/h and percentage of time in VSP modes 10 to 14 between 5 to 10%, that means that the phi class of the cycle is 6, and the weighting vector picked from the drop-down menu of TCGT should be Uniform or High VSP, as they yield the lower VSP mode distribution deviations. 6. Applications: The created methodology and corresponding tool for test cycle generation allow fast and easy application for different real-world driving scenarios. In the main text of current work are presented the results of test cycle generations both from driving cycles (speed and altitude data) as well as from vehicles populations (data of 50 Portuguese drivers combined in a VSP mode distribution profile). None of the VSP mode curves are similar to the one NEDC test cycle yields, thus highlighting the inaccuracy of the currently used type-approval certification cycle. The TCGT proves in this applications, over extensive real-world data of typical drivers, that even using blocks (extractions from existing test cycles and driving cycles) it is possible to achieve and create test cycles with much better and closer results, regarding the similarity of fuel consumption and pollutant emissions. Figure 6 - "phi" parameter for driving cycle classification 8

7. Conclusions and Future Work The methodology for generating test cycles, created, validated and applied in this work proved to be accurate and representative of desired input data. It proves to be possible, using segments from existing driving cycles (many of which are already used for vehicle certification) combine and create new test cycles, with limited duration, whose characteristics are very similar to the real-world data used as input. Driving cycles with similar average speed and VSP mode distribution have a similar fuel consumption and pollutant emission when simulated in the vehicle simulation environment (ADVISOR). Validation of the methodology and the Test Cycle Generating Tool (TCGT) was made on two levels. Firstly, it was verified that the TCGT can generate test cycles with very similar VSP mode distributions, while maintaining the same average speed as the source data. Even with the reduced database of available test cycle segments ( blocks ), the amount of possible combinations being achieved is overwhelming, allowing from good, to perfect overlap VSP mode distribution matches (in some cases, it is required to fine tune the comparison weighting vector or increase the test cycle duration, to achieve the desired results). Secondly, it was simulated in ADVISOR and was revealed that both, original and generated cycles, show very similar fuel consumption and pollutant emissions per distance of travel. The ability to generate driving cycles, based on real-world data, with reduced duration, yet with very similar kinematic behavior, that yields similar fuel consumption and emissions, is one of the main achievements of the developed methodology. On average, the deviation between the real-world driving data and the test cycle that was generated based on it, is lower than: 1% for mean speed, 2% for specific power, 2.5% for fuel consumption and 7% for pollutant emissions. This deviations are much lower compared to the deviations between realworld data and the, current in use, NEDC test cycle. [11] [12] [13] 9

Bibliography [1] "Diesel Net - Emission Standards," ECOpoint Inc, November 2012. [Online]. Available: www.dieselnet.com/standards. [Accessed 16 August 2013]. [2] R. Joumard, M. André, R. Vidon, P. Tassel and C. Pruvost, "Influence of driving cycles on unit emissions from passenger cars," PERGAMON, p. 8, 2000. [3] M. Williams and D. Carslaw, "Newdirections: science and policyeout of step on NOx and NO2?," Atmospheric Environment, no. 45, 2011. [4] M. Rexeis and S. Hausberger, "Trend of vehicle emission levels until 2020- Prognosis based on current vehicle measurements and future emission legislation.," in 6th International Conference on Urban Air Quality, Nicosia, Cyprus, 2007. [5] L. Pelkmans and P. Debal, "Comparison of on-road emissions with emissions measured on chassis dynamometer test cycles," Transportation Research Part D - Elsevier, no. 11, pp. 233-241, 2006. [6] M. Weiss, P. Bonnel, R. Hummel and N. Steininger, "A complementary emissions test for light-duty vehicles: Assessing the technical feasibility of candidate procedures," JRC Scientific and Policy Reports - Report EUR 25572 EN, 2013. [7] "World harmonized Light vehicle Test Procedure (WLTP)," UNECE - United Nation Economic Comission for Europe, 13 June 2012. [Online]. Available: https://www2.unece.org/wiki/pages/viewpage.action?pageid=2523179. [Accessed 21 April 2013]. [8] Environmental Protection Agency, "Development of Emission Rates for Light-Duty Vehicles in the Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES2010)," EPA - United States Environmental Protection Agency, 2011. [9] D. Carslaw, S. Beevers, J. Tate, E. Westmoreland and M. Williams, "Recent evidence concerning higher NOx emissions from passenger cars and light duty vehicles," ELSEVIER - Atmospheric Environment, no. 45, pp. 11 (7053-7063), 2011. [10] G. N. A. Gonçalves, "Energy and Environmental Monitoring of Alternative Fuel Vehicles," UNIVERSIDADE TÉCNICA DE LISBOA - Instituto Superior Técnico (IST), Lisboa, 2009. [11] P. Mock, J. German, A. Bandivadekar and I. Riemersa, "Discrepancies between type-approval and "real-world" fuel consumption and CO2 values," icct - the International Council on Clean transportation, no. 2012-02, p. 13, 2012. [12] M. Weiss, P. Bonnel, R. Hummel, A. Provenza and U. Manfredi, "On-Road Emissions of light-duty Vehicles in Europe," Environmental - Science & Technology, no. 45, p. 8575 8581, 2011. [13] L. Tiezhu, C. Xudong and Y. Zhenxing, "Comparison of fine particles emissions of light-duty gasoline vehicles from chassis dynamometer tests and on-road measurements," Atmospheric Evironment - ELSEVIER, no. 68, pp. 82-91, 2013. All the digital content, as well as the program and more screen captures of the TCGT results can be checked on the Data Disc Attached or on: https://www.dropbox.com/sh/umd9146tbsialhn/yhyw0nkypf 10