April 2017 Anne Kleczka; BMW Group Hannover Fair 2017
BMW TECHNOLOGY FOCUS AREAS. BMW Group Technology Focus Areas. Powertrain Digitalization Efficient Dynamics NEXT E-Drive Hydrogen Connectivity Artificial Intelligence Autonomous Driving Page 2
UN CONFERENCE IN PARIS 2015/COP21. Global warming threshold well below 2 C, even aiming for 1.5 C compared to pre-industrial levels! Climate Protection Plan : -40% GHG in Transportation @ 2030 All sectors must substantially reduce GHG emissions including transportation. Page 3
GHG emissions (Mt. CO2eq) NEW ENERGY -4- MOBILITY 2050. WHAT ENERGY WILL BE LEFT FOR OUR CUSTOMERS MOBILITY? Germany s Greenhouse Gas Reduction Targets. others energy related GHG emissions GHG reduction targets. Source: Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE, 2016. Consumers need alternative energy as the use of fossil energy becomes more and more restricted. Page 4
GHG emissions (Mt. CO2eq) BMW FUEL CELL VEHICLES AND HYDROGEN TECHNOLOGY. FUTURE ENERGY SYSTEM. German Federal Government Emissions Reduction Targets. Increasing Renewable Energy Generation. others energy related GHG emissions 2015 2050 Change Photovoltaics 39 GW 239 GW 6.1-x Wind Onshore 45 GW 207 GW 4.6-x Wind Offshore 2 GW 40 GW 20-x GHG reduction targets. Source: Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE, 2016. Source: Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE, 2017. A significant build up of renewable energy generation is required. Page 5
Power (GW) Power (GW) Energy storage capacity (TWh) BMW FUEL CELL VEHICLES AND HYDROGEN TECHNOLOGY. ENERGY STORAGE NEEDED. Hour-by-hour simulation (summer 2050). Required energy storage capacity 2050. 300 200 100 0 300 200 PV Wind onshore Wind offshore Curtailment Power-to-Heat CHP Gas Turbine Electrolysis + Methanization Electrolysis Power supply Batteries Power consumption 15.304 100 0-100 -200 Base load Residual load Transportation 0.044 0.069 0.040-300 Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Day 7 Batteries stationary Batteries electric cars Pumped Hydro Hydrogen Source: Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE, 2017. Source: Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE, 2017. Fluctuating energy generation and consumption require short- and long term storage systems. Page 6
ENERGY SCENARIO 2050. Systematic reduction of energy related emissions. Source: Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE, 2017. Greenhouse gas reduction targets can be achieved: Reduction of energy demand by increasing efficiency. Decarbonize electricity: Build up of renewable energy generation. Change from coal to gas power plants (back-up). Build out increased electricity grid capacity. Demand side management. Coupling of sectors: Power-to-Heat and e-mobility. Build up energy storage capacity (short and long term). Page 7
ENERGY SCENARIO 2050. High fossil energy share in transportation: High cost to substitute liquid fuels. Long lead time to replace the entire fleet of passenger vehicles. Heavy duty trucks. Maritime transport. Aviation. New technologies are required for high energy transportation consumers. Page 8
PARTNERS OF THE INITIATIVE AT HANNOVER FAIR 2017. NEW ENERGY-4- MOBILITY 2050. Visit our partners to learn more about energy related technologies and new business opportunities. Page 9
BMW GROUP ZERO-EMISSION VEHICLE STRATEGY. By 2025 up to 25 percent of our annual new car sales will be pure electric vehicles. This is more than half a million vehicles. Klaus Fröhlich, Member of the Board of Management Development. Page 10
BMW GROUP ZERO-EMISSION VEHICLE STRATEGY. BEV FCEV BMW will contribute to transportation decarbonization by developing zero emission vehicles and promoting BMW s vision. Page 11
KEY SUCCESS FACTORS OF ZERO EMISSION MOBILITY. BEV: Home/work charger for each car. Grid upgrades in residential areas. Fast chargers at highways. Controlled charging. Customer benefits over ICE cars. TCO advantage over ICE cars. FCEV: Conversion of fuel stations to H 2. Build up of a green H 2 supply chain. Customer benefits over ICE cars. TCO advantage over ICE cars. From a customer s point of view, zero emission vehicles must have recognizable advantages over conventional cars. Page 12
BMW FUEL CELL VEHICLES AND HYDROGEN TECHNOLOGY. CONCLUSION. BMW is committed to supporting transportation decarbonization. Electricity and hydrogen will become the main energy carriers for transportation in the long term. Hydrogen allows to stabilize the grid, to store surplus electricity and to provide fuel for mobility while maintaining today`s customer habits and infrastructure business models. Energy utilities and industry are encouraged to invest in renewables and implement innovative ways to supply transportation energy for customers at a reasonable price. Policymakers must set a framework that encourages customers to go zero emission. The way forward: Launch regional zero emission mobility public/private projects that include: customers, vehicles, infrastructure and renewable energy supply. Page 13
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