Greenwich Public Schools Enrollment Projections RISE Committee Presentation March 13, 2007 Enrollment Information Ten Year District Enrollment Projection Five Year Enrollment Projection by School Migration Ratios by Grade Public and Private School Enrollment BOE Planning Limitations GPS Preschool Description Accuracy of Enrollment Projections Consultant Enrollment Projections 1
Questions to consider What demographic factors affect school enrollment? How is enrollment projected? What is the projected enrollment for the next ten years? What is the relationship between public and private school enrollment in Greenwich? How accurate is the enrollment projection? Enrollment projections are variable by nature. While it is generally possible to predict District enrollment in the short term with reasonable confidence, it is difficult to project enrollment during periods of transition. Given the fact that small changes in enrollment can have a dramatic impact when compounded over time, ten-year or school based enrollment projections are most useful for identifying possible trends or patterns. 2
What demographic factors affect school enrollment? Demographic Factors Town population trend Age of the population Changes in available housing stock Birth rate Holding students out of Kindergarten Migration in and out of town Migration to and from private school Who are we teaching? 3
How is enrollment projected? Projecting Enrollment Cohort Survival Most of the students in the system this year will remain in the system next year Migration rate tracks the changes in the size of cohorts as they move from grade to grade Kindergarten vs Graduating Seniors Ten year projection is based on the Kindergarten enrollment of students who will not be born for another five years 4
What is the projected enrollment for the next ten years? 12,000 11,000 10,000 High 1970-71 11,110 Greenwich Public Schools Actual and Projected Enrollment Grades PreK - 12 1962-2016 High 2003-04 9,113 Current 2006-07 8,954 5 year Projection 2011-12 8,438 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1962-1963 1964-1965 1966-1967 1968-1969 1970-1971 1972-1973 1974-1975 1976-1977 1978-1979 1980-1981 1982-1983 1984-1985 1986-1987 1988-1989 1990-1991 1992-1993 1994-1995 1996-1997 1998-1999 2000-2001 2002-2003 2004-2005 2006-2007 2008-2009 Low 1988-89 6,453 2010-2011 2012-2013 2014-2015 2016-2017 5
Greenwich Public Schools Enrollment History and Projected Enrollment 1997-2016 6000 5500 5000 Elementary enrollment peaks at 4,432 Actual Projection 4500 4000 3500 High School enrollment peaks at 2,777 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 Middle School enrollment peaks at 2,051 500 0 1997-1998 1998-1999- 2000-2001- 2002-2003- 2004-2005- 2006-2007- 2008-2009- 2010-2011- 2012-2013- 2014-2015- 2016-1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Elementary 4195 4350 4432 4418 4405 4383 4320 4242 4140 4107 4060 4050 3998 3963 3956 3904 3851 3805 3770 3730 Middle School 1466 1570 1687 1866 2006 2047 2051 2033 1962 1951 1924 1895 1877 1854 1818 1790 1782 1804 1779 1751 High School 1842 1976 2080 2166 2271 2414 2610 2695 2777 2767 2713 2655 2627 2588 2534 2534 2490 2428 2426 2396 Greenwich Public Schools Net Change in Enrollment 1997-2016 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 Actual Projected 0-50 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016-100 -150-200 -250 K vs Gr 12 Migration Net Change in Enrollment 6
What is the relationship between public and private school enrollment in Greenwich? Town of Greenwich Residents Public and Private School Enrollment Kindergarten through Grade 12 14000 12000 10000 8000 1820 1755 1835 1928 2032 2093 2211 2296 2424 2541 2670 2770 2764 2871 2944 2899 6000 4000 6361 6566 6681 6656 7061 7103 7529 7679 7901 8225 8467 8701 8844 8961 8970 8861 2000 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Public School Enrollment Private School Enrollment 7
Greenwich Residents Attending Public School Grades K-12 77.8% 78.9% 78.5% 77.5% 77.7% 77.2% 77.3% 77.0% 76.5% 76.4% 76.0% 75.9% 76.2% 75.7% 75.3% 75.3% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Greenwich Public Schools Student Migration Previous Year Gr K-11 to Current Year Gr 2-12 200 150 100 50 0-50 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006-100 -150-200 Private School Migration Out of Town Migration Migration 8
How accurate is the enrollment projection? Greenwich Public Schools Accuracy of Projection by Year of Projection 2000-01 to 2006-2007 +/- 6.2% +/- 4.4% +/- 3.1% +/- 1.8% +/-.7% 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 year 9
Bonus Question: How many residency investigations does the District conduct each year? GPS Residency Investigations 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 Full Investigations 28 39 51 43 38 Vehicle Registration Checks* 41 28 34 43 35 Sponsorships Reviewed* 12 15 13 18 17 Students Investigated 45 64 81 59 62 Student Residency Verified 30 30 50 38 41 Student Withdrawals 6 19 23 16 14 Student Investigation Pending 9 15 8 5 7 Cost of Investigations $5,200 $10,600 $12,500 $11,960 $8,905 Note: Vehicle registration checks or sponsorship review may result in full investigations. 10
Summary Public school elementary enrollment peaked in 1999 at 4,432 students and has trended downward over the last seven years by 325 students. Over the next five years, elementary enrollment is projected to decline another 151 students. Over the last two years, the number of students entering kindergarten and the number of students graduating from GHS have been roughly equal. The primary factor driving declines in actual enrollment for the last three years and projected enrollment for the next ten years is migration. Discussion Questions What enrollment information is important to the work of the RISE committee? What additional enrollment information does the RISE committee need? 11
Greenwich Public Schools Enrollment Projections 2007-2016 Prepared by the Office of Research and Evaluation Revised October 2, 2006
Executive Summary From a peak of 11,110 students in 1970, enrollment trended down over the next eighteen years to 6,453 students in 1988. Over the next fifteen years, enrollment increased to 9,113 students in 2003. Enrollment for the current school year is 8,954, a decline of 49 students from 2005 and 159 students from the recent peak. Over the next year, enrollment is projected to decrease an additional 127 students to 8,827 students in 2007. Due to the anticipated decrease in the size of cohorts entering kindergarten and increased migration out of the public school system, it is projected that enrollment will decline 947 students over the next ten years. The factors precipitating this decrease will be discussed in further detail in the body of the report. Actual and projected enrollment trends from 1962 to 2016 are summarized in the chart below: 12,000 1970-71 11,110 Greenwich Public Schools Actual and Projected Enrollment Grades PreK - 12 1962-2016 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1962-1963 1964-1965 Introduction to Enrollment Projection Actual 1988-89 6,453 2003-04 9,113 1966-1967 1968-1969 1970-1971 1972-1973 1974-1975 1976-1977 1978-1979 1980-1981 1982-1983 1984-1985 1986-1987 1988-1989 1990-1991 1992-1993 1994-1995 1996-1997 1998-1999 2000-2001 2002-2003 2004-2005 2006-2007 2008-2009 Projected 2016-17 8,007 2010-2011 2012-2013 2014-2015 2016-2017 The reader is reminded that enrollment projections are variable by nature. While it is generally possible to predict District enrollment in the short term (one or two years) with reasonable confidence, it is difficult to project enrollment during the periods of transition from increase to decrease or decrease to increase. Given the fact that small changes in enrollment patterns in a single school or grade can have a dramatic effect when compounded over time, ten-year or school-based enrollment projections are most useful for identifying possible trends or patterns. However, long-term enrollment projections should not be the sole basis of decisions. - 2 -
Methodology Used to Project Enrollment Past practice has been to compare the District enrollment projection with independent enrollment projections produced by the Connecticut State Department of Education (SDE) and a consulting firm, Education Services, Inc. (consultant). While the final enrollment projection is determined using a model developed within the District, the independent projections are used to verify and fine tune the District projection. School enrollment has a stable characteristic that makes it possible to project future enrollments with relative accuracy; most of the students who will be in school next year are already in school this year. A base enrollment projection can be determined by moving each grade to the next higher grade each year. This technique is known as cohort survival. Using cohort survival, uncertainty is reduced to two elements: migration patterns and the projection of kindergarten enrollment. Migration is the influx of students (either positive or negative) as a cohort moves from school year to school year. Historical averages are commonly used to project migration ratios. In this report, a weighted three-year average is used to determine migration ratios. This represents a change from previous years where a five-year average was used. The shorter time period was selected given the recent volatility of migration patterns and should serve to make the projections more sensitive to shifts in enrollment. SDE and the consultant use similar algorithms to determine migration ratios. Kindergarten enrollment usually represents the most challenging element in an enrollment projection. A ten year projection is based on the Kindergarten enrollment of students who will not be born for another five years. There are two schools of thought as to how to approach projecting Kindergarten enrollment. One approach is to use a purely mathematical model and rely on well established demographic trends to produce an accurate projection. This works particularly well in a community with a stable population such as Greenwich and is the primary method utilized in both the consultant and District projection models. Kindergarten enrollment is projected by the Connecticut State Department of Education using a model that incorporates births to Greenwich residents, the age of students entering Kindergarten and retention rates. Discussion of Enrollment Trends A major factor affecting enrollment is the net migration of students into or out of the public school system after Kindergarten. This migration can be attributed to two variables: the movement of resident students to and from private school and the movement of students into and out of Greenwich. Private school migration of resident students has moved in a range of +39 students to -53 students over the last nine years with the highest gain from private school in 2002 and the largest loss to private school in 2004. During this time period, the percentage of resident students enrolled in the public school system has decreased from 77.3% in 1996 to 75.3% in 2005. Migration of students enrolled in the public school system into and out of town has ranged from a gain - 3 -
of 59 students in 1999 to a loss of 127 students in 2002. The addition of private school migration and out of town migration yields the net change in the size of the cohort from year to year. The student migration pattern over the last ten years is summarized in the chart below: Greenwich Public Schools Student Migration Previous Year Gr K-11 to Current Year Gr 2-12 200 150 100 50 0-50 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006-100 -150-200 Private School Migration Out of Town Migration Migration In 1999, the net change of students moving in and out of town was +59 students. This increase was partially offset by the net loss of 13 students to private school. migration from 1998 to 1999 was +46 students. In 2002, the variables reversed as the net change out of town of -127 students was offset by the net gain 39 students from private school. migration from 2001 to 2002 was -88 students. In 2003 and 2004, the net change for both private school and out of town was negative resulting in the loss of -62 and -105 students. In 2005, the migration of students out of town reached a ten year high of 157 students and was slightly offset by the net migration of 7 students from private to public school. Disaggregated migration data for 2006 will not be available until private schools report their official enrollment to the State Department of Education later in the fall. However, total migration out of the school system between the 2005 and 2006 was 105 students. For the last six years, total migration has been negative and the rate of migration out of the school system has been increasing. The historical change in total migration is used to establish the migration ratio used to project future enrollment and is incorporated into the enrollment projections. - 4 -
A second factor affecting enrollment is the difference between the size of the group of students entering Kindergarten and the number of high school graduates. From 1994 to 2003, Kindergarten enrollment was relatively stable in a range from 715 students to 760 students. Over the past three years, Kindergarten enrollment vacillated from 695 students in 2004 to 652 students in 2005 to 706 students in 2006. Given the fact that average enrollment for the past three years is less than average enrollment for the ten year period from 1004 to 2003 and evidence that the total cohort of Kindergarten age students in Greenwich is declining, Kindergarten enrollment is projected to gradually decline over the next ten years from 690 students in 2007 to 623 students in 2016. The size of the graduating class at Greenwich High School has been steadily increasing from a low of 472 students in 2001 to a high of 695 students in 2006. When the number of students entering Kindergarten exceeds the number of students who graduated the previous school year, the net effect on enrollment is positive. This has been the case for the last ten years and has been the primary factor driving recent increases in enrollment. From 1996 to 2003, the net difference between the size of the entering Kindergarten and graduating high school class averaged +235 students. However, the net difference declined to 49 students in 2005 as the larger cohorts that entered Kindergarten in the early 1990 s moved through the high school. Due to offsetting declines in the size of cohorts due to migration, the net difference between the size of entering Kindergartens and graduating classes is projected to be relatively stable through 2016. The combined impact of migration and Kindergarten size on actual and projected enrollment is summarized in the chart below: Greenwich Public Schools Net Change in Enrollment 1997-2016 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 Actual Projected 0-50 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016-100 -150-200 -250 K vs Gr 12 Migration Net Change in Enrollment - 5 -
It is important to note that the recent increase in public school enrollment in Greenwich was primarily driven by the size of Kindergarten cohorts relative to the graduating high school class. The decrease in enrollment that began in 2004 and is projected to continue for the next ten years is largely driven by migration out of town and to private school. The reader is once again reminded that enrollment projections are best guess estimates of what will happen in the future and are subject to change. Factors that could affect the accuracy of the projection include the size of the entering Kindergarten cohort, migration of resident students to or from private school, and migration of students in or out of Greenwich. Accuracy of the One Year Enrollment Projection Due to changes in the rate of migration out of the school system and unanticipated decreases in the size of Kindergarten cohorts, enrollment projections for 2004 and 2005 were less accurate than in previous years. In 2006, actual enrollment exceeded the projection for the first time in seven years. 2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 Actual Enrollment 8558 8800 8981 9113 9083 9003 8954 1 Year Projection 8570 8832 9016 9121 9238 9151 8905 Over/Under Projection -12-32 -35-8 -155-148 49 % Projection 99.9% 99.6% 99.6% 99.9% 98.3% 98.4% 100.6% Strategic Implications of Projected Enrollment While the purpose of this report is to discuss recent trends in enrollment and provide an estimate of future enrollment, declining enrollment has strategic implications for the community and the operation of the public school system. The questions below serve to frame the discussion: It is likely that cost of living increases in future operating budgets will be offset by decreases in enrollment. How will the money that was used in previous years to fund increases in enrollment be allocated? How will the District meet the challenge of continuing to provide the same level of programming and services as enrollment declines? Given the uncertainty of projected trends in enrollment, how can the district allocate resources to account for variances between projected and actual enrollment? How will the district respond to racial imbalance at New Lebanon elementary school? What limitations should guide staff planning for the impact of declining enrollment on facility utilization and racial imbalance? - 6 -
List of Attached Charts and Tables 2006 2007 Enrollment Projection Actual and Projected Enrollments by Grade 1982 2016 Five Year Enrollment Projection by School Migration Ratios by Grade 1985 2006 Public and Private School Enrollment 1996 to 2005 Planning Limitations for Declining Enrollment - 7 -
GREENWICH PUBLIC SCHOOLS 2007-2008 Enrollment Projection K 1 2 3 4 5 Project Project Project Project Project Project Cos Cob 64 69 59 60 62 75 389 Dundee 57 58 63 61 62 61 362 Glenville 63 60 51 65 61 50 350 Hamilton Avenue 47 52 44 47 56 46 292 Julian Curtiss 58 57 54 60 61 56 346 New Lebanon 37 37 29 32 42 32 209 North Mianus 71 73 70 68 77 69 428 North Street 77 81 71 74 77 86 466 Old Greenwich 75 75 60 79 60 60 409 Parkway 58 51 57 54 51 50 321 Riverside 83 84 83 80 94 64 488 690 697 641 680 703 649 4060 6 7 8 Project Project Project Central Middle 221 246 216 683 Eastern Middle 250 229 236 715 Western Middle 174 180 172 526 645 655 624 1924 9 10 11 12 Project Project Project Project High School 672 696 673 672 2713 Pre-School Project 130 (Does not include HA Magnet Preschool) District 8827 Projected Classroom Staffing Enroll Ratio Staff Elementary 4060 19.7 206.0 (Includes staffing contingency) Middle School 1924 14.7 130.9 High School 2713 15.6 173.9 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Greenwich Public Schools Actual and Projected Enrollment by Grade School Year K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 K-6 K-5 7-9 6-8 10-12 9-12 Spec Pre-K District 1982-1983 399 408 413 482 446 523 566 627 640 689 710 775 823 3237 1956 2308 200 7,701 1983-1984 380 451 415 419 485 430 515 562 634 663 748 702 789 3095 1859 2239 178 7,371 1984-1985 424 450 449 421 424 494 437 503 585 637 724 771 718 3099 1725 2213 172 7,209 1985-1986 472 456 442 454 422 426 477 426 530 594 707 741 764 3149 1550 2212 182 7,093 1986-1987 426 470 441 455 448 422 423 476 446 534 615 703 704 3085 1456 2022 195 6,758 1987-1988 485 435 453 450 460 456 411 428 478 444 568 642 699 3150 1350 1909 195 6,604 1988-1989 426 496 454 454 443 469 446 417 428 491 482 601 640 3188 1336 1723 206 6,453 1989-1990 508 442 491 466 464 452 480 456 426 456 540 513 607 2823 1362 2116 203 6,504 1990-1991 501 521 455 480 461 453 468 486 463 454 490 537 502 2871 1417 1983 185 6,456 1991-1992 505 521 526 465 481 461 423 462 486 492 501 496 542 2959 1371 2031 217 6,578 1992-1993 577 520 525 524 459 484 417 439 462 522 527 515 498 3089 1318 2062 212 6,681 1993-1994 658 602 519 544 529 458 465 425 429 506 525 518 498 3310 1319 2047 193 6,869 1994-1995 715 666 590 516 555 507 438 458 416 468 515 529 501 3549 1312 2013 235 34 7,143 1995-1996 748 713 657 605 532 533 488 430 455 448 484 512 501 3788 1373 1945 250 85 7,441 1996-1997 717 756 708 672 582 546 501 472 424 474 431 477 503 3981 1397 1885 273 86 7,622 1997-1998 748 751 747 711 673 565 507 490 469 476 463 430 473 4195 1466 1842 263 94 7,860 1998-1999 717 762 736 754 719 662 535 527 508 508 473 504 491 4350 1570 1976 35 86 8,017 1999-2000 731 729 769 727 751 725 627 546 514 551 538 485 506 4432 1687 2080 18 94 8,311 2000-2001 752 747 719 754 724 722 687 631 548 587 580 527 472 4418 1866 2166 21 87 8,558 2001-2002 729 753 722 732 760 709 694 690 622 577 611 570 513 4405 2006 2271 19 99 8,800 2002-2003 744 717 745 724 718 735 685 676 686 655 596 602 561 4383 2047 2414 137 8,981 2003-2004 760 716 705 741 708 690 686 683 682 736 681 592 601 4320 2051 2610 132 9,113 2004-2005 695 725 694 702 737 689 677 689 667 707 733 662 593 4242 2033 2695 113 9,083 2005-2006 652 706 712 678 697 695 643 655 664 691 721 712 653 4140 1962 2777 124 9,003 2006-2007 702 656 690 707 675 677 665 637 649 687 702 683 695 4107 1951 2767 129 8,954 2007-2008 690 697 641 680 703 649 645 655 624 672 696 673 672 4060 1924 2713 130 8,827 2008-2009 684 692 683 634 678 679 618 634 643 646 682 666 661 4050 1895 2655 130 8,730 2009-2010 672 685 678 674 636 653 646 608 623 666 655 652 654 3998 1877 2627 130 8,632 2010-2011 663 673 671 668 675 613 621 636 597 645 675 627 641 3963 1854 2588 130 8,535 2011-2012 653 664 659 661 669 650 583 611 624 618 654 646 616 3956 1818 2534 130 8,438 2012-2013 645 654 650 649 662 644 618 573 599 646 627 626 635 3904 1790 2534 130 8,358 2013-2014 638 646 640 640 650 637 612 608 562 620 655 600 615 3851 1782 2490 130 8,253 2014-2015 638 639 632 630 641 625 605 602 597 582 629 627 590 3805 1804 2428 130 8,167 2015-2016 637 639 625 622 631 616 593 595 591 618 590 602 616 3770 1779 2426 130 8,105 2016-2017 623 638 625 615 623 606 584 583 584 612 627 565 592 3730 1751 2396 130 8,007 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Cos Cob Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 48 50 55 42 35 44 274 Actuals 1993-1994 109 63 59 79 51 40 401 1994-1995 100 107 64 62 76 52 461 1995-1996 87 89 98 64 60 76 474 1996-1997 92 84 84 92 62 62 476 1997-1998 81 91 70 80 84 67 473 1998-1999 81 82 89 72 83 83 490 1999-2000 72 76 83 81 68 84 464 2000-2001 72 83 70 77 83 65 450 2001-2002 79 71 82 70 84 86 472 2002-2003 83 67 69 81 69 82 451 2003-2004 72 77 65 70 72 72 428 2004-2005 60 68 79 67 67 74 415 2005-2006 58 61 63 74 67 68 391 2006-2007 68 60 62 62 74 67 393 2007-2008 64 69 59 60 62 75 389 Project 2008-2009 64 65 68 57 60 63 377 2009-2010 63 65 64 66 57 61 376 2010-2011 62 64 64 62 66 58 376 2011-2012 61 63 63 62 62 67 378 550 Actual Projection 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Dundee Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 Actuals 1993-1994 1994-1995 1995-1996 1996-1997 1997-1998 1998-1999 1999-2000 2000-2001 57 58 61 41 42 24 283 2001-2002 57 60 58 61 42 40 318 2002-2003 37 57 54 62 58 42 310 2003-2004 39 56 60 55 63 58 331 2004-2005 55 56 55 62 58 59 345 2005-2006 57 58 55 58 64 57 349 2006-2007 56 64 58 59 62 64 363 2007-2008 57 58 63 61 62 61 362 Project 2008-2009 57 61 57 67 64 61 367 2009-2010 57 61 60 60 71 63 372 2010-2011 57 61 60 63 63 70 374 2011-2012 57 61 60 63 66 62 369 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 Actual Projection 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Glenville Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 86 81 68 82 85 71 473 Actuals 1993-1994 61 65 63 55 65 73 382 1994-1995 89 60 65 64 58 62 398 1995-1996 79 84 58 70 65 52 408 1996-1997 93 76 83 55 68 61 436 1997-1998 77 92 80 85 63 72 469 1998-1999 57 80 77 77 80 73 444 1999-2000 80 58 88 80 85 84 475 2000-2001 83 89 67 87 87 82 495 2001-2002 75 83 80 66 90 85 479 2002-2003 68 80 79 79 64 83 453 2003-2004 77 65 71 75 81 61 430 2004-2005 74 70 61 74 70 80 429 2005-2006 56 73 70 56 66 64 385 2006-2007 63 53 68 67 51 67 369 2007-2008 63 60 51 65 61 50 350 Project 2008-2009 62 60 57 48 59 60 346 2009-2010 61 59 57 54 44 58 333 2010-2011 60 58 56 54 49 43 320 2011-2012 59 57 55 53 49 48 321 550 Actual Projection 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Hamilton Avenue Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 64 48 48 39 38 51 288 Actuals 1993-1994 53 66 51 48 41 39 298 1994-1995 60 51 56 48 52 41 308 1995-1996 51 55 48 59 46 51 310 1996-1997 48 49 54 49 51 48 299 1997-1998 51 49 58 53 47 45 303 1998-1999 39 53 53 55 49 51 300 1999-2000 43 34 51 54 52 51 285 2000-2001 42 41 32 51 53 48 267 2001-2002 55 40 35 33 50 58 271 2002-2003 47 53 43 43 39 49 274 2003-2004 58 41 48 47 43 42 279 2004-2005 43 52 33 36 45 46 255 2005-2006 41 44 52 37 42 46 262 2006-2007 52 43 49 49 44 45 282 2007-2008 47 52 44 47 56 46 292 Project 2008-2009 47 48 55 43 54 59 306 2009-2010 47 48 51 53 50 57 306 2010-2011 46 48 51 49 61 53 308 2011-2012 45 47 51 49 57 64 313 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 Actual Projection 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evalution 10/2/2006 JPC
Julian Curtiss Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 51 44 40 47 37 47 266 Actuals 1993-1994 62 54 40 37 53 37 283 1994-1995 56 56 57 38 36 51 294 1995-1996 67 57 61 54 46 41 326 1996-1997 66 60 56 67 51 48 348 1997-1998 53 76 63 55 63 46 356 1998-1999 51 55 80 60 57 62 365 1999-2000 56 59 62 80 66 58 381 2000-2001 60 54 54 59 76 64 367 2001-2002 53 67 52 55 62 71 360 2002-2003 62 55 57 54 51 53 332 2003-2004 64 65 54 63 56 45 347 2004-2005 61 55 56 61 66 52 351 2005-2006 55 59 55 58 65 65 357 2006-2007 58 57 55 61 55 70 356 2007-2008 58 57 54 60 61 56 346 Project 2008-2009 57 58 54 59 60 63 351 2009-2010 56 57 55 59 59 62 348 2010-2011 55 56 54 60 59 61 345 2011-2012 54 55 53 59 60 61 342 450 Actual Projection 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
New Lebanon Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 30 30 29 36 22 22 169 Actuals 1993-1994 48 32 32 27 33 20 192 1994-1995 44 48 34 31 33 32 222 1995-1996 38 48 48 37 33 31 235 1996-1997 41 42 49 46 33 33 244 1997-1998 37 40 38 47 48 35 245 1998-1999 45 40 38 38 48 49 258 1999-2000 30 51 45 45 40 48 259 2000-2001 48 34 52 49 46 43 272 2001-2002 45 40 32 49 50 43 259 2002-2003 42 48 35 29 51 50 255 2003-2004 45 35 48 35 36 51 250 2004-2005 36 46 36 50 39 30 237 2005-2006 35 36 45 36 44 38 234 2006-2007 39 31 31 46 32 46 225 2007-2008 37 37 29 32 42 32 209 Project 2008-2009 37 35 34 30 29 43 208 2009-2010 36 35 32 35 27 30 195 2010-2011 36 34 32 33 32 28 195 2011-2012 35 34 31 33 30 33 196 300 250 200 150 100 50 Actual Projection 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
North Mianus Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 69 69 67 68 58 60 391 Actuals 1993-1994 62 68 61 59 59 54 363 1994-1995 78 59 69 58 56 54 374 1995-1996 68 87 64 72 57 55 403 1996-1997 68 72 78 69 69 58 414 1997-1998 84 74 76 78 71 69 452 1998-1999 73 84 76 70 86 66 455 1999-2000 85 79 84 73 72 84 477 2000-2001 70 80 71 74 74 70 439 Dundee 2001-2002 65 71 79 70 68 73 426 2002-2003 87 68 76 75 66 65 437 2003-2004 93 74 73 72 77 62 451 2004-2005 64 87 72 71 69 73 436 2005-2006 71 67 78 74 73 66 429 2006-2007 72 73 68 78 71 72 434 2007-2008 71 73 70 68 77 69 428 Project 2008-2009 71 73 70 70 67 75 426 2009-2010 69 73 71 70 69 65 417 2010-2011 68 71 71 71 69 67 417 2011-2012 67 70 69 71 70 67 414 500 Actual Projection 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
North Street Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 76 64 83 75 75 68 441 Actuals 1993-1994 72 52 38 66 59 51 338 1994-1995 62 72 47 39 60 53 333 1995-1996 80 65 72 46 43 53 359 1996-1997 77 91 66 84 42 44 404 1997-1998 85 81 88 77 86 44 461 1998-1999 98 83 80 105 85 78 529 1999-2000 93 96 81 85 87 86 528 2000-2001 87 85 90 76 73 74 485 2001-2002 72 90 84 91 81 70 488 2002-2003 95 75 96 84 91 83 524 2003-2004 81 91 70 88 77 83 490 2004-2005 73 73 95 67 91 75 474 2005-2006 71 78 78 94 68 80 469 2006-2007 81 70 76 76 95 62 460 2007-2008 77 81 71 74 77 86 466 Project 2008-2009 77 78 82 69 75 69 450 2009-2010 76 77 79 80 70 68 450 2010-2011 74 76 78 77 81 63 449 2011-2012 73 74 77 76 78 73 451 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 Actual 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 Projection 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Old Greenwich Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 72 65 61 69 39 61 367 Actuals 1993-1994 60 77 67 67 66 45 382 1994-1995 85 72 78 66 72 57 430 1995-1996 95 87 67 83 68 65 465 1996-1997 98 99 92 70 77 72 508 1997-1998 101 112 90 92 65 75 535 1998-1999 110 96 105 96 92 60 559 1999-2000 95 105 92 98 92 85 567 2000-2001 74 67 82 66 64 75 428 Dundee 2001-2002 61 78 70 83 64 60 416 2002-2003 80 57 76 72 77 59 421 2003-2004 72 74 58 79 61 73 417 2004-2005 82 61 76 54 78 62 413 2005-2006 63 82 60 67 57 69 398 2006-2007 79 59 84 59 67 50 398 2007-2008 75 75 60 79 60 60 409 Project 2008-2009 74 72 76 57 80 53 412 2009-2010 73 71 73 72 58 71 418 2010-2011 72 70 72 69 73 51 407 2011-2012 71 69 71 68 70 64 413 Actual Projection 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Parkway Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 Actuals 1993-1994 45 54 40 38 43 32 252 1994-1995 60 52 52 40 39 46 289 1995-1996 83 66 50 54 44 42 339 1996-1997 62 88 70 51 59 52 382 1997-1998 81 67 89 70 61 48 416 1998-1999 61 90 63 88 67 59 428 1999-2000 72 68 85 57 95 72 449 2000-2001 85 72 69 86 69 94 475 2001-2002 78 78 71 82 83 67 459 2002-2003 66 78 83 77 83 87 474 2003-2004 59 65 81 83 78 73 439 2004-2005 62 55 61 79 86 73 416 2005-2006 64 65 52 53 71 82 387 2006-2007 51 63 57 52 56 58 337 2007-2008 58 51 57 54 51 50 321 Project 2008-2009 56 58 46 54 53 45 312 2009-2010 54 56 52 44 54 46 306 2010-2011 54 54 50 49 44 47 298 2011-2012 53 54 48 47 49 38 289 Actual Projection 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Riverside Enrollment K 1 2 3 4 5 1992-1993 81 69 74 66 70 60 420 Actuals 1993-1994 86 71 68 68 59 67 419 1994-1995 81 89 68 70 73 59 440 1995-1996 100 75 91 66 70 67 469 1996-1997 72 95 76 89 70 68 470 1997-1998 98 69 95 74 85 64 485 1998-1999 102 99 75 93 72 81 522 1999-2000 105 103 98 74 94 73 547 2000-2001 74 84 71 88 57 83 457 Dundee 2001-2002 89 75 79 72 86 56 457 2002-2003 77 79 77 68 69 82 452 2003-2004 100 73 77 74 64 70 458 2004-2005 85 102 70 81 68 65 471 2005-2006 81 83 104 71 80 60 479 2006-2007 83 83 82 98 68 76 490 2007-2008 83 84 83 80 94 64 488 Project 2008-2009 82 84 84 80 77 88 495 2009-2010 80 83 84 81 77 72 477 2010-2011 79 81 83 81 78 72 474 2011-2012 78 80 81 80 78 73 470 550 Actual Projection 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Central Middle School Enrollment Gr 5 Feeder 6 7 8 Gr 6-8 1992-1993 159 141 139 159 439 Actuals 1993-1994 144 157 145 143 445 1994-1995 179 131 162 144 437 1995-1996 191 162 128 162 452 1996-1997 180 170 165 130 465 1997-1998 181 165 164 167 496 1998-1999 253 166 169 171 506 1999-2000 264 234 171 165 570 2000-2001 250 245 228 179 652 2001-2002 261 247 245 226 718 2002-2003 262 249 239 244 732 2003-2004 237 247 244 239 730 2004-2005 238 235 250 245 730 2005-2006 254 219 219 243 681 2006-2007 228 252 218 218 688 2007-2008 242 221 246 216 683 Project 2008-2009 218 235 215 243 693 2009-2010 214 212 230 213 655 2010-2011 206 208 207 228 643 2011-2012 220 200 203 205 608 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Actual Projection 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Eastern Middle School Enrollment Gr 5 Feeder 6 7 8 Gr 6-8 1992-1993 181 151 177 179 507 Actuals 1993-1994 166 163 142 164 469 1994-1995 170 162 161 139 462 1995-1996 187 170 159 157 486 1996-1997 198 178 158 158 494 1997-1998 208 183 169 160 512 1998-1999 207 193 181 180 554 1999-2000 242 198 192 169 559 2000-2001 252 234 201 187 622 2001-2002 229 237 234 194 665 2002-2003 248 228 227 230 685 2003-2004 263 237 227 232 696 2004-2005 259 258 238 213 709 2005-2006 252 255 255 223 733 2006-2007 262 233 247 247 727 2007-2008 254 250 229 236 715 Project 2008-2009 277 241 245 219 705 2009-2010 271 262 236 235 733 2010-2011 260 257 257 226 740 2011-2012 266 246 252 246 744 Actual Projection 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Western Middle School Enrollment Gr 5 Feeder 6 7 8 Gr 6-8 1992-1993 144 125 123 124 372 Actuals 1993-1994 148 145 138 122 405 1994-1995 158 145 135 133 413 1995-1996 155 156 143 136 435 1996-1997 168 153 149 136 438 1997-1998 176 159 157 142 458 1998-1999 203 176 177 157 510 1999-2000 219 195 183 180 558 2000-2001 220 208 202 182 592 2001-2002 220 210 211 202 623 2002-2003 226 208 210 212 630 2003-2004 191 202 212 211 625 2004-2005 193 184 201 209 594 2005-2006 189 169 181 198 548 2006-2007 187 180 172 184 536 2007-2008 153 174 180 172 526 Project 2008-2009 185 142 174 181 497 2009-2010 168 172 142 175 489 2010-2011 148 156 172 143 471 2011-2012 164 137 156 173 466 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Actual Projection 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Greenwich High School Enrollment Gr 8 Feeder 9 10 11 12 Gr 9-12 1992-1993 462 522 527 515 498 2062 Actuals 1993-1994 429 506 525 518 498 2047 1994-1995 416 468 515 529 501 2013 1995-1996 455 448 484 512 501 1945 1996-1997 424 474 431 477 503 1885 1997-1998 469 476 463 430 473 1842 1998-1999 508 508 473 504 491 1976 1999-2000 514 551 538 485 506 2080 2000-2001 548 587 580 527 472 2166 2001-2002 622 577 611 570 513 2271 2002-2003 686 655 596 602 561 2414 2003-2004 682 736 681 592 601 2610 2004-2005 667 707 733 662 593 2695 2005-2006 664 691 721 712 653 2777 2006-2007 649 687 702 683 695 2767 2007-2008 624 672 696 673 672 2713 Project 2008-2009 643 646 682 666 661 2655 2009-2010 623 666 655 652 654 2627 2010-2011 597 645 675 627 641 2588 2011-2012 624 618 654 646 616 2534 3300 3000 Actual Projection 2700 2400 2100 1800 1500 1200 900 600 300 0 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Greenwich Public Schools Migration Ratios School Year K-1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 7-8 8-9 9-10 10-11 11-12 K-12 Migration Ratio 1985-1986 108% 98% 101% 100% 100% 97% 97% 105% 102% 111% 102% 99% 101.9% 1986-1987 100% 97% 103% 99% 100% 99% 100% 105% 101% 104% 99% 95% 99.8% 1987-1988 102% 96% 102% 101% 102% 97% 101% 100% 100% 106% 104% 99% 101.1% 1988-1989 102% 104% 100% 98% 102% 98% 101% 100% 103% 109% 106% 100% 101.9% 1989-1990 104% 99% 103% 102% 102% 102% 102% 102% 107% 110% 106% 101% 103.3% 1990-1991 103% 103% 98% 99% 98% 104% 101% 102% 107% 107% 99% 98% 101.3% 1991-1992 104% 101% 102% 100% 100% 93% 99% 100% 106% 110% 101% 101% 101.5% 1992-1993 103% 101% 100% 99% 101% 90% 104% 100% 107% 107% 103% 100% 101.3% 1993-1994 104% 100% 104% 101% 100% 96% 102% 98% 110% 101% 98% 97% 100.8% 1994-1995 101% 98% 99% 102% 96% 96% 98% 98% 109% 102% 101% 97% 99.7% 1995-1996 100% 99% 103% 103% 96% 96% 98% 99% 108% 103% 99% 95% 99.8% 1996-1997 101% 99% 102% 96% 103% 94% 97% 99% 104% 96% 99% 98% 99.1% 1997-1998 105% 99% 100% 100% 97% 93% 98% 99% 112% 98% 100% 99% 99.9% 1998-1999 102% 98% 101% 101% 98% 95% 104% 104% 108% 99% 109% 114% 102.1% 1999-2000 102% 101% 99% 100% 101% 95% 102% 98% 108% 106% 103% 100% 100.9% 2000-2001 102% 99% 98% 100% 96% 95% 101% 100% 114% 105% 98% 97% 100.1% 2001-2002 100% 97% 102% 101% 98% 96% 100% 99% 105% 104% 98% 97% 99.7% 2002-2003 98% 99% 100% 98% 97% 97% 97% 99% 105% 103% 99% 98% 99.2% 2003-2004 96% 98% 99% 98% 96% 93% 100% 101% 107% 104% 99% 100% 99.3% 2004-2005 95% 97% 100% 99% 97% 98% 100% 98% 104% 100% 97% 100% 98.7% 2005-2006 102% 98% 98% 99% 94% 93% 97% 96% 104% 102% 97% 99% 98.2% 2006-2007 101% 98% 99% 100% 97% 96% 99% 99% 103% 102% 95% 98% 98.7% Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Public and Non-Public School Enrollment Greenwich Residents 1996-2005 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Brunswick Academy 427 425 437 463 513 523 531 553 574 579 Convent of the Sacred Heart 161 170 187 188 193 208 199 221 221 223 Greenwich Academy 451 471 473 501 496 487 481 495 515 522 Greenwich Country Day School 574 608 632 634 641 648 642 657 656 643 Eagle Hill 26 44 44 53 55 66 59 61 61 0 Greenwich Catholic 165 170 171 183 179 189 189 195 194 187 Japanese School 66 76 69 70 80 88 84 77 73 71 Whitby School 74 73 82 90 106 103 91 79 64 0 Stanwich School 54 96 150 194 227 260 281 287 Mead School Daycroft School St. Mary's Other (Out-of-town CT) 267 259 275 263 257 264 261 273 305 387 Non Public 2211 2296 2424 2541 2670 2770 2764 2871 2944 2899 Greenwich Public Schools 7529 7679 7901 8225 8467 8701 8844 8961 8970 8861 School Population 9740 9975 10325 10766 11137 11471 11608 11832 11914 11760 % Attending GPS 77.3% 77.0% 76.5% 76.4% 76.0% 75.9% 76.2% 75.7% 75.3% 75.3% % Attending GPS K - 5 79.0% 78.8% 77.8% 77.3% 76.1% 75.4% 75.6% 75.0% 74.9% 75.1% % Attending GPS 6-8 70.5% 71.5% 72.4% 72.8% 73.5% 74.3% 73.8% 73.4% 72.2% 71.2% % Attending GPS 9-12 80.2% 79.2% 78.5% 79.2% 79.7% 80.0% 81.0% 80.6% 79.9% 79.0% Research and Evaluation 10/2/2006 JPC
Greenwich Public Schools Planning Limitations for Declining Enrollment Facility planning shall not fail to consider: 1. The best interests of students as expressed through the District s mission, vision and strategic direction. 2. The District s commitment to providing equivalent programs and services, class sizes, and teacher/student ratios for all schools at a given grade level. 3. The District s facility standards. 4. The relationship between and among a school s capacity, space utilization, and class size. Capacity is defined as the number of regular K-5 classrooms multiplied by the weighted mid-point average of the Board s elementary class size guidelines (currently 22) Utilization is defined as the ratio, expressed as a percent, of enrollment to capacity. Class size is defined as the optimum number of students, expressed as a range, for a given grade; used as the basis for staff deployment and may be subject to collective bargaining. 5. Five year enrollment projections at the elementary level which project space utilization for the K-5 network of schools below 70% or exceeding 85%; under which conditions the Board may consider space utilization options including rental of space for non-educational use, closing off sections of the building, internal redesign of space, temporary or auxiliary space, scheduling options, the addition of space, redistricting or school closings. 6. If the network of elementary schools utilization is within an acceptable range (70% - 85%) but an individual school varies +/- 10% from the District average the Board shall consider alternatives for utilization. 7. Implementation and operation costs including but not limited to relocation, personnel, maintenance, energy conservation, capital improvements, and student transportation requirements. 8. Annual room inventories to determine the amount of space required for delivery of core programs and services in addition to regular classrooms. 9. The potential impact of future programmatic changes (e.g., magnet school, pre-k choice, etc.) on school utilization. 10. The District s desire to retain and maintain all current school facilities for future space contingency. 11. The impact on racial balance and accessibility for students with disabilities. 12. The benefits of continuity for students and their families based on the goal of finding permanent or at least semi-permanent locations to minimize disruption to programs and services and costs associated with relocation. Greenwich Public Schools March 2006
GPS Preschool Program The Greenwich Public Schools Preschool Program serves special needs and typically developing students in the same classrooms. Through a structured, play-based program, each child participates in instructional activities/experiences which address the areas of communication, cognition, self-help, fine/gross motor and social emotional development. Ten typically developing students and 5-6 special needs students are served in each Preschool class. During the 2006-2007 school year, the Program served ninety (90) typical students and forty-seven (47) special needs students in nine classrooms, located as follows: two classes at Cos Cob, two classes at Hamilton Avenue, two classes at North Street, two classes at Old Greenwich and one class at New Lebanon School. Each class is staffed by a teacher certified in special education/early childhood and three paraprofessionals. Support staff include speech therapists, an occupational therapist, a physical therapist, a psychologist and a special educator who serves as a liaison to families. The program runs from 8:30 a.m. 1:30 p.m. daily. The Preschool Program utilizes the Connecticut Preschool Curriculum Framework. The Framework is organized into four developmental domains personal and social, physical, cognitive and creative expression/aesthetic development. To accomplish the performance standards in the cognitive area and to bring the Preschool in line with the rest of the District, the Program began using the Everyday Math curriculum (PreK component) during the 2005-2006 school year. In the literacy area, after reviewing a variety of curriculum materials, the Preschool staff decided to utilize the Hampton Brown materials beginning in the 2006-2007 school year. Children with special needs enter the Preschool Program in one of three ways: transitioning from the CT Birth-to-Three system, relocating to Greenwich with a current IEP (Individualized Education Program) or via referral from community preschool and/or parent. An IEP is developed for every child who is found to have special needs. During the time that the special education student is in the Preschool Program, regularly scheduled team meetings take place in order to monitor the individual student s progress toward mastery of IEP goals/objectives. The number of total spots available for typical children varies from year to year, depending on how many classes are planned, how many children will be returning, and how many siblings of current/former students wish to attend. Children of GPS teachers have received priority for placement as have children of town employees. The remaining spots have been filled by lottery. The tuition rate for typical students is set yearly by the Board of Education. There is no fee for identified special education students.
GPS Preschool Program 2006-2007 School Year (as of March 5, 2007) # Typical # Special ed. # free/reduced lunch Cos Cob 20 10 1 Ham Ave 20 11 7 New Leb 10 3 5 North St 20 11 6 Old Greenwich 20 12 0 TOTAL 90 47 19 2007-2008 school year 10 classes 6 classes (does not include Hamilton Avenue) Typicals Capacity 60 (10 in each class) # of returners 32 # of available spots 28 # of applicants 142 # of spots to be offered 28 # of people on wait list 114
4 classes - Hamilton Avenue Typicals Capacity 48 (12 in each class) Magnet School Applicants 54 Hamilton Avenue attendance zone students, teachers children, and siblings of current magnet students 34 # of magnet spots available 14 All 10 Preschool Classes Special needs students Hamilton Avenue capacity (3 in each class) 12 Projected Enrollment 12 6 classes capacity (6 in each class) 36 Projected Enrollment 36 48
Greenwich Public Schools Accuracy of District Projection Projections Year Actual 1 year % 1 year 2 year % 2 year 3 year % 3 year 4 year % 4 year 5 year % 5 year 2006 8954 8905 100.6% 9131 98.1% 9408 95.2% 9488 94.4% 9579 93.5% 2005 9003 9151 98.4% 9365 96.1% 9423 95.5% 9524 94.5% 9748 92.4% 2004 9083 9238 98.3% 9272 98.0% 9362 97.0% 9536 95.2% 9510 95.5% 2003 9113 9121 99.9% 9200 99.1% 9301 98.0% 9294 98.1% 2002 8981 9016 99.6% 9082 98.9% 9090 98.8% 2001 8800 8832 99.6% 8857 99.4% 2000 8558 8570 99.9% 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 year Mean 0.7% 1.8% 3.1% 4.4% 6.2% Research and Evaluation 3/9/2007 JPC
Greenwich Public Schools Enrollment by Grade School Year K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 K-6 K-5 7-9 6-8 10-12 9-12 Spec Pre-K District 1976-1977 550 687 675 741 672 770 823 872 921 802 953 973 929 4918 2595 2855 116 10,484 1977-1978 483 593 683 683 743 675 775 788 880 912 829 950 948 4635 2580 2727 136 10,078 1978-1979 450 538 593 676 690 739 681 722 767 855 901 829 915 4367 2344 2645 139 9,495 1979-1980 449 483 536 599 669 671 730 636 714 753 895 929 777 4137 2103 2601 139 8,980 1980-1981 387 485 475 536 593 662 644 699 635 713 806 917 877 3782 2047 2600 141 8,570 1981-1982 362 424 478 452 526 576 632 629 691 650 761 801 868 3450 1970 2430 158 8,008 1982-1983 399 408 413 482 446 523 566 627 640 689 710 775 823 3237 1956 2308 200 7,701 1983-1984 380 451 415 419 485 430 515 562 634 663 748 702 789 3095 1859 2239 178 7,371 1984-1985 424 450 449 421 424 494 437 503 585 637 724 771 718 3099 1725 2213 172 7,209 1985-1986 472 456 442 454 422 426 477 426 530 594 707 741 764 3149 1550 2212 182 7,093 1986-1987 426 470 441 455 448 422 423 476 446 534 615 703 704 3085 1456 2022 195 6,758 1987-1988 485 435 453 450 460 456 411 428 478 444 568 642 699 3150 1350 1909 195 6,604 1988-1989 426 496 454 454 443 469 446 417 428 491 482 601 640 3188 1336 1723 206 6,453 1989-1990 508 442 491 466 464 452 480 456 426 456 540 513 607 2823 1362 2116 203 6,504 1990-1991 501 521 455 480 461 453 468 486 463 454 490 537 502 2871 1417 1983 185 6,456 1991-1992 505 521 526 465 481 461 423 462 486 492 501 496 542 2959 1371 2031 217 6,578 1992-1993 577 520 525 524 459 484 417 439 462 522 527 515 498 3089 1318 2062 212 6,681 1993-1994 658 602 519 544 529 458 465 425 429 506 525 518 498 3310 1319 2047 193 6,869 1994-1995 715 666 590 516 555 507 438 458 416 468 515 529 501 3549 1312 2013 235 34 7,143 1995-1996 748 713 657 605 532 533 488 430 455 448 484 512 501 3788 1373 1945 250 85 7,441 1996-1997 717 756 708 672 582 546 501 472 424 474 431 477 503 3981 1397 1885 273 86 7,622 1997-1998 748 751 747 711 673 565 507 490 469 476 463 430 473 4195 1466 1842 263 94 7,860 1998-1999 717 762 736 754 719 662 535 527 508 508 473 504 491 4350 1570 1976 35 86 8,017 1999-2000 731 729 769 727 751 725 627 546 514 548 539 486 509 4432 1687 2082 18 94 8,313 2000-2001 730 747 724 776 727 744 689 630 544 555 567 544 483 4446 1862 2150 18 94 8,570 2001-2002 735 747 741 731 774 723 702 691 627 588 569 575 543 4451 2019 2274 18 94 8,857 2002-2003 739 754 741 746 732 766 682 705 687 679 598 576 573 4478 2074 2426 18 94 9,090 2003-2004 743 754 749 744 747 723 726 683 700 744 688 605 575 4461 2110 2612 18 94 9,294 2004-2005 746 759 752 751 744 742 683 726 680 758 755 697 605 4493 2089 2815 18 94 9,510 2005-2006 749 763 754 757 751 737 701 682 723 736 768 766 700 4511 2106 2970 18 94 9,698 2006-2007 747 766 758 759 756 745 696 701 680 782 745 781 773 4531 2077 3081 18 94 9,800 2007-2008 745 764 761 762 759 750 703 699 699 738 795 759 790 4541 2100 3081 18 94 9,834 2008-2009 743 761 759 765 762 752 709 707 697 756 752 811 769 4543 2112 3088 18 94 9,855 2009-2010 745 759 757 764 765 756 711 711 703 754 772 764 814 4546 2125 3104 18 94 9,886 Research and Evaluation 10/1/99 JPC
Greenwich Public Schools Enrollment by Grade School Year K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 K-6 K-5 7-9 6-8 10-12 9-12 Spec Pre-K District 1977-1978 483 593 683 683 743 675 775 788 880 912 829 950 948 4635 2580 2727 136 10,078 1978-1979 450 538 593 676 690 739 681 722 767 855 901 829 915 4367 2344 2645 139 9,495 1979-1980 449 483 536 599 669 671 730 636 714 753 895 929 777 4137 2103 2601 139 8,980 1980-1981 387 485 475 536 593 662 644 699 635 713 806 917 877 3782 2047 2600 141 8,570 1981-1982 362 424 478 452 526 576 632 629 691 650 761 801 868 3450 1970 2430 158 8,008 1982-1983 399 408 413 482 446 523 566 627 640 689 710 775 823 3237 1956 2308 200 7,701 1983-1984 380 451 415 419 485 430 515 562 634 663 748 702 789 3095 1859 2239 178 7,371 1984-1985 424 450 449 421 424 494 437 503 585 637 724 771 718 3099 1725 2213 172 7,209 1985-1986 472 456 442 454 422 426 477 426 530 594 707 741 764 3149 1550 2212 182 7,093 1986-1987 426 470 441 455 448 422 423 476 446 534 615 703 704 3085 1456 2022 195 6,758 1987-1988 485 435 453 450 460 456 411 428 478 444 568 642 699 3150 1350 1909 195 6,604 1988-1989 426 496 454 454 443 469 446 417 428 491 482 601 640 3188 1336 1723 206 6,453 1989-1990 508 442 491 466 464 452 480 456 426 456 540 513 607 2823 1362 2116 203 6,504 1990-1991 501 521 455 480 461 453 468 486 463 454 490 537 502 2871 1417 1983 185 6,456 1991-1992 505 521 526 465 481 461 423 462 486 492 501 496 542 2959 1371 2031 217 6,578 1992-1993 577 520 525 524 459 484 417 439 462 522 527 515 498 3089 1318 2062 212 6,681 1993-1994 658 602 519 544 529 458 465 425 429 506 525 518 498 3310 1319 2047 193 6,869 1994-1995 715 666 590 516 555 507 438 458 416 468 515 529 501 3549 1312 2013 235 34 7,143 1995-1996 748 713 657 605 532 533 488 430 455 448 484 512 501 3788 1373 1945 250 85 7,441 1996-1997 717 756 708 672 582 546 501 472 424 474 431 477 503 3981 1397 1885 273 86 7,622 1997-1998 748 751 747 711 673 565 507 490 469 476 463 430 473 4195 1466 1842 263 94 7,860 1998-1999 717 762 736 754 719 662 535 527 508 508 473 504 491 4350 1570 1976 35 86 8,017 1999-2000 731 729 769 727 751 725 627 546 514 548 539 486 509 4432 1687 2082 18 94 8,313 2000-2001 752 747 719 754 724 722 687 631 548 587 580 527 472 4418 1866 2166 21 87 8,558 2001-2002 743 769 741 715 761 712 680 683 625 600 594 578 521 4441 1988 2293 20 90 8,832 2002-2003 751 759 766 734 719 748 670 680 677 691 612 593 572 4477 2027 2468 20 90 9,082 2003-2004 759 767 754 760 741 703 707 673 674 746 710 611 586 4484 2054 2653 20 90 9,301 2004-2005 771 776 762 747 771 727 664 711 668 745 771 709 604 4554 2043 2829 20 90 9,536 2005-2006 778 787 771 755 757 759 687 664 706 741 767 767 699 4607 2057 2974 20 90 9,748 2006-2007 781 794 782 764 765 743 717 687 658 779 760 765 758 4629 2062 3062 20 90 9,863 2007-2008 782 797 789 775 774 751 685 720 680 727 800 758 756 4668 2085 3041 20 90 9,904 2008-2009 784 798 792 782 785 760 693 687 713 751 748 798 749 4701 2093 3046 20 90 9,950 2009-2010 784 800 793 785 792 771 701 695 681 788 773 746 788 4725 2077 3095 20 90 10,007 2010-2011 786 800 795 786 795 778 729 703 689 753 810 771 737 4740 2121 3071 20 90 10,042 Research and Evaluation 10/1/00 JPC