OLTIN YO'L GTL THE STRATEGIC OPPORTUNITY

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Transcription:

OLTIN YO'L GTL THE STRATEGIC OPPORTUNITY

Outline An introduction to Uzbekistan The business case for OLTIN YO L GTL The project Challenges Starting as we mean to go on

Uzbekistan

Country statistics Country size: 447,400 km² Population: 27,488,000 Capital city: Tashkent (population 2,201,000) Population density: 61.2/km² GDP: 2009 32,971,000,000 (current US$) 2005 13,751,000,000 (current US$) 2000 13,759,000,000 (current US$) GDP growth: 2009 7.0 (annual % at constant 1990 prices) 2005 7.1 (annual % at constant 1990 prices) 2000 4.0 (annual % at constant 1990 prices) Source: UN data

Cultural context A vibrant economic future based on a rich cultural heritage

Business context 1991 Uzbekistan becomes independent The centralised Soviet system did not suit the development of the economy of Uzbekistan Focus of the new state on evolving a socially-orientated market economy and a robust civil society A strong private sector has been created providing 75% of employment Considerable effort is devoted to supporting the development of the SME sector Uzbekistan has always placed a premium on education and a skilled workforce underpins a set of emerging companies of across a range of hi-tech sectors including pharmaceuticals and software development The growth rate of GDP in Uzbekistan currently exceeds 8% and nearly a million new jobs are created annually

World energy demand World economic growth, the expanding population and an increase in the purchasing power of individuals will increase energy demand World energy demand is expected to grow in the region of 50% by 2030 Oil will remain the dominant energy source for the transport section but cannot meet increasing demand indefinitely Natural gas is set to play an ever-increasing role if the energy challenge is to be met effectively

Gas for transport the strategic opportunity for Uzbekistan In an increasingly competitive energy world, GTL technology allows Uzbekistan to use its domestic gas resources to help meet transport fuel demand and deliver the energy required to sustain economic and social development objectives

GTL value GTL diesel can be used neat or as a blend and can help refiners to: Extend the diesel pool to meet growing demand Enhance crude optimisation options Upgrade lower grade material Enable increased bio-diesel inclusion Increase ultra low sulphur diesel production capacity Enable reformulated diesel blending At the retail level, GTL allows differentiation along the following dimensions: Performance very high cetane, very low aromatics and sulfur Cleanliness Emissions Reductions

GTL emissions profile

Project context GTL technology is a good strategic fit for Uzbekistan s energy portfolio and future energy needs The strategic fit creates a sustainable business case Uzbekistan already has a significant energy sector with the associated project development expertise The skill base exists in-country to build and operate a GTL facility GTL products are aligned with the national objectives of providing high quality energy to sustain economic development and future growth whilst looking for ways to reduce pollution across a wide range of emissions Uzbekistan is developing the necessary fiscal and legal frameworks to sustain major international energy ventures and to become a favourable destination for foreign investment

The project Uzbekistan GTL will be one of the world s most advanced energy production facilities. The plant will have approximately 38,000 barrels per day of saleable products. The product slate will include:- Diesel Kerosene Naphtha LPG ORYX GTL, QP/Sasol, Qatar. 32,400 bpd Sasol SPD TM technology Methane rich gas will be supplied by Uzbekneftegaz under a long term supply agreement at commercially competitive prices; The kerosene and diesel will be off-taken by NHC Uzbekneftegaz under a long term off-take agreement at international linked prices; and Maximize project financing anchored by Multilateral Agencies and Export Credit Agencies. The plant will be located next to SGCC, 40 km from Qarshi.

The technology CH 4 Sasol s Slurry Phase Distillate Process (SPD Process) GTL naphtha Natural Gas Oxygen Natural Gas Reforming Syn-gas Fischer- Tropsch Conversion Syn-crude Product Upgrading GTL diesel GTL kerosene Haldor-Topsoe World leader in auto-thermal reforming Sasol: World leader in Fischer-Tropsch technology Chevron: World leader in hydrocracking and catalytic dewaxing technologies

The JV partnership Established and highly experienced NOC Extensive in-country operating and business experience, market knowledge and regional presence Acknowledged global leader in synthetic fuel technology and a commercial pioneer of GTL technology Award-winning GTL project developer with operational experience on two continents One of the largest companies in the world with a proven track record in integrated oil and gas operations spanning the entire hydrocarbon value chain

Shurtan gas and chemical complex (SGCC)

Project plot

SGCC support facilities Accommodation Railway station

Project site

Project benefits 1. In-country beneficiation of natural resources through value-added liquid products, instead of exporting raw natural resources 2. Domestic resource used to offset imported oil products and to provide a valuable series of finished products for export 3. Inward investment and the stimulation of significant additional development in ancillary businesses, commerce and infrastructure 4. Employment benefits: Construction labour requirement: ~ 5,000 to 10,000 New, sustainable direct jobs: ~ 500 to 800 Indirect jobs: ~ 2-5 times the number of direct jobs 5. A slate of high-value energy products, which deliver high performance and reduced emissions and which can be used and distributed using the existing vehicle fleet and infrastructure

Progress to date Pre-Feasibility Study completed - December 08 Heads of Agreement signed - April 09 Joint Venture Agreement signed - July 09 FEED Phase 1 started - August 09 Presidential Decree issued - October 09 Charter and Foundation signed - November 09 Uzbekistan GTL LLC formed and incorporated - December 10 Preliminary feasibility completed - September 11 Gas Supply Purchase, Product Off-take and License Agreements signed -September 11 Investment Agreement signed and second Presidential Decree issued - September 11 FEED Phase 2 started - October 11 Project branded OLTIN YO L GTL July 12 Supporting infrastructure construction started July 12

Challenges 1. Uzbekistan is a double-landlocked country, one of only two in the world Logistics need to be squared away Construction strategy needs to be well planned and executed Markets need to be well understood 2. Site conditions are demanding Temperatures over 40 C Winds of 35-40 kmh Regular dust storms SHE plan must be mindful of very real risks from heat exhaustion and poisonous snakes 3. Adapting Uzbekistan s business processes for significant inward investment is still a work in progress though the government has taken ownership and is giving leadership. The progress made to date has been impressive, there is constant engagement and dialogue, and there is a very serious commitment to becoming an international investment destination of choice.

Challenges A dust storm photographed from approximately the same location

Starting as we mean to go on 1. To date the project has made steady, milestone-based progress 2. We understand the engineering challenges involved in developing a world-scale GTL facility in a double land-locked location 3. The commercial model for GTL in Uzbekistan is for the monetisation of domestic assets for a largely domestic market. This is an entirely sustainable and robust approach which has been talked about for a decade but it requires a different mindset to the export-orientated approach of ORYX GTL 4. In focusing on developing the project, we have not forgotten to also focus on developing the Joint Venture as an enduring commercial partnership and as an important asset for Uzbekistan

Project and partnership Developing the Joint Venture: Brand launch Developing the project: Support infrastructure under construction

OLTIN YO L GTL Brand developed during FEED to strengthen the team identity Requirement was for a name culturally rooted in the heritage of Uzbekistan but capable of telling the technology and high quality transport fuels story of GTL Oltin Yo l means Golden Road in Uzbek and refers to the ancient trade routes which pass through the country By choosing to brand the project so prominently and at an earlier stage than some other GTL projects, the Joint Venture partners are making a clear statement of belief in the future of the project, based on the achievements so far

And finally We intend our project to be: 1. World class 2. On time 3. Safe Practice makes perfect, so we have spent the summer on-site practicing the construction of OLTIN YO L GTL