Energy Industry at a Crossroads: Preparing the Low Carbon Future

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June 2 6 Toulouse Preliminary program March 28, Energy Industry at a Crossroads: Preparing the Low Carbon Future June 5 6, Conference Venue Arsenal Campus 11 rue des Puits Creusés 31000 Toulouse Program FRANCE http://www.tiger forum.com Conference Organizers Claude CRAMPES Thomas Olivier LEAUTIER Jean TIROLE Conference Secretariat Christelle FAUCHIE Phone: +33 (0)5 61 12 85 97 elecconf@tse fr.eu Conference Venue Arsenal Campus 11 rue des Puits Creusés 31000 Toulouse FRANCE Conference Organizers Claude CRAMPES Thomas Olivier LEAUTIER Jean TIROLE Conference Secretariat Christelle FAUCHIE Phone: +33 (0)5 61 12 85 97 elecconf@tse fr.eu

Thursday, June 5 08:55 Welcome address Amphi E Thomas Olivier Léautier (TSE) 09:00 10:30 Keynote Lectures Amphi E James Bushnell (UC Davis and NBER) David Newbery ( of Cambridge): What future(s) for liberalizedelectricitymarkets? 10:30 11:00 Coffee break 11:00 13:00 Parallel session 1: Carbon market and Energy Efficiency Amphi E Chair: Stefan Ambec (TSE) Severin Borenstein ( of California, Berkeley): Expecting the Unexpected: Emissions Uncertainty and Environmental Market Design Discussant: Gilles Lafforgue (Toulouse Business School) Estelle Cantillon (Université Libre de Bruxelles): Information aggregation in the European carbon market: The role of firm participation Discussant: Jean Tirole (TSE) Matthieu Glachant (Mines ParisTech): The impact of energy prices on energy efficiency: Evidence from the UK refrigerator market Discussant: Sylvain Chabé Ferret (TSE) 2

Thursday, June 5 11:00 13:00 Parallel session 2: Retail competition Amphi F Chair: Marc Bussieras (EDF, Direction Stratégie et Prospective) Toby Daglish (New Zealand Institute for the Study of Competition and Regulation): Consumer Governance in Electricity Markets Discussant: Jean Pierre Florens (TSE) Catherine Waddams ( of East Anglia): Measuring Consumer Inertia in Energy Discussant: Claude Crampes (TSE) Bert Willems (Tilburg ): Retail Competition in Dutch Electricity Markets Discussant: Fabien Roques (Compass Lexecon) 13:00 14:30 Lunch break 13:00 14:00 TIGER INSIGHTS: Reforms and Challenges of the Chinese Economy Gabriel Marty Presented by : Liwei Wang (Caixin Media) & André Chieng (Comité Chine France) Xiaonian Xu (CEIBS) Changwen Zhao (Enterprise Research Institute of Development Research Center of the State Council) TIGER Insights are one hour intensive sessions on specific themes, in a small format. Seats are limited to 50 to encourage debate and interactions. Registration on site from 9am on the morning of each session. 3

ROARING DEBATES: Industrial Policy for Sustainable Mobility & Energy Thursday, June 5 Amphi A Presented by: Jean Marc Vittori (Les Echos) 14:30 15:30 Economic and Prospective Analysis Augustin Landier (Toulouse School of Economics) Justus Haucap (Dusseldorf ) Dani Rodrik (Institute for Advanced Study) 15:30 16:30 Policy and Business Strategies Gert Jan Koopman (European Commission) Nicolas Fourrier (SNCF) Edouard Sauvage (GDF Suez) Changwen Zhao (Development & Research Center of China) ROARING Debates are round tables on Tiger key topics. They are open to every TIGER Forum participants, no registration is required. 19:30 to 22:00 Gala dinner Speech by Michel Pébereau (BNP Chairman & former CEO) 4

08:30 10:30 Parallel session 3: Intermittency Amphi E Chair: Claude Crampes (TSE) Severin Borenstein ( of California, Berkeley): The Private Net Benefits of Residential Solar PV and who gets them Discussant: Estelle Cantillon (Université Libre de Bruxelles) Mar Reguant (Stanford GSB and NBER):Blowin in the Wind: Sequential Markets, Market Power and Arbitrage Discussant: David Salant (TSE) Yves Smeers (CORE, Université Catholique de Louvain): A Stochastic Two Settlement Equilibrium Model for Electricity Model for Electricity Markets with Wind Generation Discussant: Jérôme Renault (TSE) 5

08:30 10:30 Parallel session 4: Power transmission Amphi F Chair: Christophe Gence Creux (Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators (ACER)) Pär Holmberg (Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN)): Comparison of congestion management techniques: Nodal, zonal and discriminatory pricing Discussant: Thomas Olivier Léautier (TSE) Juan Rosellon (DIW Berlin and CIDE): FTR Allocations to Ease Transition to Nodal Pricing: An Application to the German Power System Discussant: Shmuel Oren ( of California, Berkeley) Petr Spodniak (Laboratory of Electricity Market and Power Systems and LUT): Efficiency of Contracts for Differences (CfDs) in the Nordic Electricity Market Discussant: Bert Willems (Tilburg ) 10:30 11:00 Coffee break 6

11:00 12:30 Roaring Debate: Secularism in the Company : Which Frontiers? Amphi A Moderator: Sophie Gherardi Aline Crépin (Randstad France) Jean Philippe Platteau ( of Namur) Anne Madelin (Sociovision) Pierre Tapie (PAXTER) Xavier d'arodes de Peyriague (Institut Catholique de Toulouse) ROARING Debates are round tables on Tiger key topics. They are open to every TIGER Forum participants, no registration is required. 11:00 13:00 Parallel session 5: Gas Markets Amphi E Chair: Marc Benayoun (EDF) Olivier Massol (IFP School): Market power across the Channel: Are Continental European gas markets isolated? Discussant: Michel Le Breton (TSE) Michele Polo (Bocconi and IEFE): The Development of Gas Hubs in Europe Discussant: Yves Smeers (CORE, Université Catholique de Louvain) Robert Ritz ( of Cambridge): Price discrimination and limits to arbitrage: An analysis of global LNG markets Discussant: Yassine Lefouili (TSE) 7

11:00 13:00 Parallel session 6: Industry structure and conduct Chair: Marcel Boyer (Université de Montréal) Amphi F James Bushnell (UC Davis and NBER): Vertical Forward Commitments Discussant: Richard Meade (TSE, ISCR & Cognitus) Luciano De Castro (Northwestern ): On the Design of Electricity Markets Discussant: Stefan Ambec (TSE) Richard Green (Imperial College Business School): Do costs fall faster than revenues? Renewable electricity subsidies dynamics Discussant: Renato Gomes (TSE) 13:00 14:30 Lunch break 8

13:00 14:00 TIGER INSIGHTS: The Causes of Modern Wars: Economics or Religions? Gabriel Marty Presented by: Sophie Gerardi Eli Berman ( of California, San Diego) Ian Morris (Stanford) Maristella Botticini (Bocconi) TIGER Insights are one hour intensive sessions on specific themes, in a small format. Seats are limited to 50 to encourage debate and interactions. Registration on site from 9am on the morning of each session. 14:30 16:30 Invited session: Electrification in emerging economies Amphi E Chair: Frannie Léautier (Mkoba Private Equity Fund) Hunt Allcott, (New York and NBER): How Do Electricity Shortages Affect Productivity? Evidence from India Discussant: Norbert Ladoux (TSE) Martino Pelli ( of Sherbrooke): Does the Quality of Electricity Matter? Evidence from Rural India Discussant: Toby Daglish (New Zealand Institute for the Study of Competition and Regulation) Catherine Wolfram ( of California Berkeley): Under the Grid: Barriers to Rural Electrification in Western Kenya Discussant: Stéphane Straub (TSE) 16:30 Concluding comments 9